By Noah Rothman
Tuesday, June 03, 2025
All’s fair in love, war, and politics, as they say. But
there comes a point at which surreptitious deceptions in the effort to confuse
and beguile voters say more about you than your opponents or even the voters
you’re attempting to hoodwink.
“Democratic strategists in recent months approached
officials at the party’s main Senate super PAC to discuss a bank-shot idea for
flipping control of the Senate,” The Bulwark’s Lauren Egan reported this week. One of those ideas
includes “quietly backing independent candidates in traditionally Republican
states.”
“The strategy is highly sensitive,” Egan added. Sure, as
one might expect from a tactic that tacitly acknowledges the atrocious odor
about the Democratic Party. “Any involvement, should it come, would likely be
done late in the cycle and with minimum disclosure.” The party is, however, not
entirely dismissive of the prospects for success via proxy, and it’s reportedly
considering the approach in states such as Nebraska, Iowa, and Alaska.
Indeed, something a little like this strategy took place
in Nebraska’s U.S. Senate race last year. There, nonpartisan Senate candidate
Dan Osborn ostentatiously rejected the Democratic Party’s endorsement in his
race against incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer. Democrats felt
“betrayed” by Osborn’s independent affiliation, and they had a right to their
irritation. Reportedly, the candidate told state Democratic Party chairwoman
Jane Kleeb that he wanted them to “keep our ballot line open so we could form a
coalition,” only for Osborn to make a show of denouncing the party for the
benefit of his own electoral prospects.
Democrats ended up backing Osborn anyway — likely with
the understanding that, if elected, he would vote with Senate Democrats. “In
the final stretch of independent Dan Osborn’s attempt to unseat Sen. Deb
Fischer,” Politico reported in December, “Senate
Democrats’ main super PAC dropped more than $3.8 million into another outside
group that was a top player supporting Osborn.”
A bogus independent candidate. Late in the cycle. Minimum
disclosure. It’s all there. In the end, however, the strategy was a bust.
Fischer went on to win her reelection bid by nearly seven points. But the feint
wasn’t a total disaster. After all, Osborn outperformed every Democrat who has
run for U.S. Senate from the Cornhusker State since Ben Nelson’s final
reelection in 2006.
It would, however, be a mistake to attribute Osborn’s
relatively modest success purely to his independent affiliation. It wasn’t just
the “(I)” after his name that established Osborn’s autonomy. He made genuine
efforts to distance himself from the Democratic
Party. Those efforts ingratiated him to Nebraskans as much as they irritated Democratic partisans.
Still, any port in a storm. The Democratic Party’s brand
is still moribund, and it doesn’t look like Democrats can count on
Donald Trump to make the opposition look good simply by dint of his own
missteps. Democrats will have to be the authors of their own rehabilitation.
And if that means running Trojan horse candidates who only pretend to oppose
the Democratic Party, that’s a sacrifice that will have to be made.
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