Thursday, February 29, 2024

Mitch McConnell’s Exit

National Review Online

Thursday, February 29, 2024

 

An era is ending in the United States Senate.

 

Mitch McConnell announced that he is stepping aside as Republican leader, bringing to a close a historic run as the longest-serving GOP leader.

 

Ever the realist, McConnell made the difficult but correct decision that he was too old to continue in the job at his accustomed level of effectiveness.

 

He will be remembered as one of the most skilled Senate leaders ever. At a time when institutions are often considered merely platforms for personal advancement, McConnell deeply imbibed the history and practices of the Senate and was protective of its norms and traditions. Because he knew so much about his institution, he was able to operate within it with incredible deftness. He won the trust of most of his caucus and was always cognizant of their political needs. Even with narrow majorities, he was able to muster an extraordinary degree of party unity and had a knack for knowing when to cut a deal and when to draw a line. At the top of his game, his Democratic counterparts, Harry Reid and then Chuck Schumer, couldn’t come close to matching him as a political chess player or legislative tactician; sometimes it didn’t even seem fair.

 

McConnell had his share of critics on the right, ever more so as the party became Trumpified. It is true that McConnell could be too cautious at times, present his caucus with unpalatable last-minute deals, and sometimes back the wrong horse in Senate primaries. But, overall, his judgment was sound, and anyone who thinks Republicans could have accomplished more with a more aggressive leader congenial to the bomb throwers now has the cautionary example of the post–Kevin McCarthy House GOP to consider.

 

McConnell never had a big majority to work with, and Barack Obama was the president for a goodly portion of his time as leader. Still, he has impressive accomplishments on his ledger. He was a lonely but farsighted advocate of robustly free political speech and opponent of the execrable McCain-Feingold campaign legislation. He slowed and blocked as much of the Obama agenda as possible. He kept open the Antonin Scalia seat, despite intense pressure to buckle. This gave Donald Trump a key issue in the 2016 election and made possible the confirmation of Neil Gorsuch. He then famously pushed the accelerator on judicial confirmations during Trump’s presidency, leading to a historic raft of new constitutionalist judges on the bench. In addition, he preserved the Senate filibuster, and he has been a mentor to countless conservative legislators and jurists in Kentucky and around the country.

 

Lately, he’s been a vocal proponent of Ukraine funding and of our traditional alliances, pushing back against the isolationist tendency on the right.

 

All in all, it’s a record to be proud of. Senate Republicans would be wise to pick a successor who is also experienced and realistic, and avoid, at all costs, the dysfunction of the House. Whoever comes next will have the burden of filling the shoes of a man who deserves to be considered one of the great lions of the Senate.

How Boredom Kills

By Jonah Goldberg

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

 

Here’s a different take on Aaron Bushnell. He didn’t kill himself for a righteous cause. He killed himself because he was bored. 

 

Let’s put a pin in that for now. 

 

Boredom is one of the least boring topics in human history, but it doesn’t get nearly the attention it deserves. One reason for this is: It’s sort of invisible. Historians, journalists, social scientists, filmmakers, and other chroniclers of the human experience look at the things that people do. But people very often do things as a way to fight off boredom. Here’s a weird way to think about it. Figuratively, we’re all minutes away from dying from a kind of internal poisoning. But there’s an antidote that we have to consume every few seconds or minutes or we’ll succumb to it. The antidote is called “air,” specifically “oxygen.”

 

You might say we’re all dying from boredom poisoning. Boredom is like a lethal invisible background radiation that will be held back by action. We don’t talk about this omnipresent threat for the same reason that fish don’t talk about wetness. Instead, we talk about the things people do to keep the enemy at bay. That’s good, in moderation. Being productive, engaging with life, is what life is supposed to be about. 

 

But there’s a reason we say “idle hands are the devil’s workshop.” Those most allergic to boredom are often the drivers of history, yet—outside of biographies—we rarely discuss the drivers of their exertions, we just talk about their exertions. When we read about the Marquis De Sade, we focus on all the perverted (or sadistic—from whence we get the word) things he did and wrote about. But we often forget that his twisted schtick was fueled by a profoundly unhealthy desire to fend off the demons of boredom. In the 19th and early 20th century the “social question” dominated intellectual discourse because the new liberal order didn’t provide the sense of the heroic the romantics craved. “Shock the bourgeoisie!” was the rallying cry of artists thirsty for transgressive relevance in an age of peace and prosperity.

 

There’s a reason most revolutionaries come from fairly comfortable backgrounds. Few of the Jacobins and Bolsheviks actually rose from the ranks of the impoverished masses they claimed to speak for. The bourgeois Lenin was driven to revolutionary zeal to ward off the nauseating anguish of boredom. The Port Huron Statement begins, “We are people of this generation, bred in at least modest comfort, housed now in universities, looking uncomfortably to the world we inherit.” “It wasn’t the children of auto workers who pulled up the paving stones on the Left Bank in 1968,” writes Deirdre McCloskey. “The most radical environmentalists and anti-globalists nowadays are socialist children of capitalist parents.”

 

I don’t think it’s an accident that philosophers have written a lot about boredom. Historians look at the outward things people do to fend off boredom, the adventures launched for the conquest of nature or nations. Boredom drives philosophers to launch their adventures inward. “Philosophy,” Martin Heidegger wrote, “is born in the nothingness of boredom.” In What Is Metaphysics?” Heidegger talks about boredom as simultaneously a kind of revelation of the fundamental nothingness of existence and an illumination of one’s own being (or the state of be-ing). “Profound boredom, like a silent fog insinuating itself in the depths of existence, pulls things, others and oneself into it altogether with remarkable indifference. Such boredom reveals be-ing as a whole.” 

 

Indeed, Heidegger wrote explicitly about boredom more than any modern philosopher, though I think you could say that Nietzsche wrote more about it implicitly. But both shared a view that boredom—the sort of ennui that produces anomie—can spur us in a quest for authenticity and self-understanding. And they had a point. The loss of boredom is a real problem for kids today. How many of us born before the internet and iPhones forced ourselves to acquire new passions, get past the first pages of a book that ultimately changed our lives, simply because we had nothing better to do? “He who fortifies himself completely against boredom fortifies himself against himself too,” Nietzsche writes. “He will never drink the most powerful elixir from his own innermost spring.” 

 

But again, everything is moderation. Some have suggested that Heidegger’s embrace of Nazism was inspired by a deep desire to find a cure for his existential boredom. Indeed, at the heart of Nazism was the romantic infatuation with the idea of “struggle” as the true source of authenticity and meaning in life. The struggle of the individual (Mein Kampf means “My Struggle”), the struggle of the race and nation. 

 

Okay enough about philosophy. Let’s talk about psychology. It turns out that the allergy to boredom is not just a metaphor. Excessive boredom in kids is correlated with all sorts of negative health outcomes. But it’s also correlated with bad psychological outcomes. Boredom can be experienced as pain. And for some people, pain is preferable to boredom. Some would literally prefer to be electroshocked than bored. In one study, “67% of men and 25% of women chose to inflict it on themselves rather than just sit there quietly and think.”

 

Again, boredom can spur us to productive pursuits. But it can also spur us to behavior that merely feels productive. 

 

“One of the things that makes boredom distinct from other negative emotions,” science writer  Bahar Gholipour notes, “is that it’s uniquely associated with a strong desire to engage in more meaningful behavior.” 

 

“Meaningful” is the key word. We may have all sorts of ways to keep us occupied and distracted these days, but doom-scrolling Twitter and playing Minecraft won’t build up our sense of meaning. It’s like people are gorging themselves on food that provides no sustenance, drinking from a fire hose that never quenches their thirst for meaning and purpose.

 

We have taught whole generations of Americans that politics is one of the last legitimate places to pursue meaning—so long as it is the right politics. Indeed, so totalizing is this concept of politics, it is colonizing art, sports, education, religion, even family. “Meaningful” art must speak truth to power—not beauty. The heroes of Hollywood and athletics, we are constantly told, are those who use their fame to advocate for change—in political terms. Professors are lionized when they are political proselytizers. Children from kindergarten to graduate school are taught that organizing and protesting, often in cos-play of 1960s civil rights activists, is the highest and best use of their time. Millions still look to religion as an outlet for meaning, but that idea is continuously mocked by much of the culture. 

 

Indeed, the political antipathy to religion has resulted in religion becoming increasingly politicized for many people. When self-described very religious people say that Donald Trump is a person of faith, secular opponents of religion should rejoice. They’ve turned religion into precisely the creature they always claimed it to be. The Christian nationalists are simply becoming the right-wing version of the politicized left-wing churches of social justice. The politics of meaning has metastasized into politics as meaning.

 

I have written a great deal about the “politics of meaning”—a phrase popularized by Hillary Clinton and coined by Michael Lerner—and none of it was positive. I loathe the term. Not because I don’t think politics is a realm where “meaning” is a relevant term nor because I think a rightly ordered political system isn’t essential to the quest for meaning. No, I despise the “politics of meaning”—as elucidated by Clinton and her guru Lerner—because it places the state and “politics” at the center of our lives. The pursuit of meaning, like the pursuit of happiness, is an individual struggle. It’s achieved with others—family, friends, work, community—but definitions of a rewarding life vary from person to person and group to group, and the state’s role isn’t to deliver a one-size-fits-all conception of meaning, purpose, “the good life,” etc. We can debate how much the state should make the good life possible, but it has a very minor role in telling us what the good life is. The role of the government (a more republican, democratic, and pluralistic term than “the state”) is to protect liberty and fair rules for people—and peoples—to discover meaning on their own. 

 

Civil society is the place outside of government where this happens. But according to Clinton’s “politics of meaning” it means the opposite. “Civil society,” Clinton writes in It Takes a Village, is just a “term social scientists use to describe the way we work together for common purposes.” Or as countless progressives liked to say during the Obama years, “government is just a word for the things we do together.” We don’t need to wade back into nationalism, but it’s worth noting that this is almost a definitional understanding of the state according to nationalists. It turns out that meaning for some people only has oomph if it lets you impose meaning on others. 

 

The point of this detour is that the politics of meaning is the kind of thing very bored people come up with to find purpose and meaning in their own lives. Liberal democratic capitalism is great for improving the lives and expanding the liberties—material and political—of humanity, but it is constantly threatened by boredom. Francis Fukuyama recognized this in his sorely misunderstood book The End of History. Liberal democracy is the best system we’re going to get, he argued correctly. But what happens when the dog of humanity catches the car?

 

But supposing that the world has become “filled up,” so to speak, with liberal democracies, such that there exist no tyranny and oppression worthy of the name against which to struggle? Experience suggests that if men cannot struggle on behalf of a just cause because that just cause was victorious in an earlier generation, then they will struggle against the just cause. [Emphasis mine] They will struggle for the sake of struggle. They will struggle, in other words, out of a certain boredom: for they cannot imagine living in a world without struggle. And if the greater part of the world in which they live is characterized by peaceful and prosperous liberal democracy, then they will struggle against that peace and prosperity, and against democracy.

 

It shouldn’t surprise us that studies find that boredom encourages more extreme political views. In a society where the role and function of politics is settled and nobody thinks the opposition is an existential threat to society, politics is kind of boring for people who, like monkeys in a lab, want it to provide evermore cocaine pellets. 

 

“One of the things boredom does is that it essentially wakes up people to the realization that what they are doing at the moment is utterly purposeless,” Wijnand van Tilburg, a researcher from King’s College London told Bahar Gholipour. “And expressing political ideas or being connected to a particular political group is one way in which people gain a sense of purpose.” That’s fine when the ends of the political struggle are just and warranted. But when politics simply becomes the means to indulge in struggle as an end in itself, politics becomes deforming, even self-immolating. 

 

Which brings me to Aaron Bushnell. He deliberately set himself on fire in solidarity with terrorists who set Jewish families on fire. He believed lies about genocide because the lies offered an opportunity to cast himself as a hero-victim in a great cause. How mentally disturbed he was is debated, but unknown. But as Thoreau said of the trout in the milk, some circumstantial evidence can be quite strong. What seems obvious to me is that Bushnell wanted his name to ring out, to be a martyr, to find meaning in performative death because he found so little in his actual life. He wanted to be a kind of Hamas-stan Horst Wessel who died in a struggle against oppression. That so many celebrated his “sacrifice” is a symptom of societal sickness, of politics-poisoning, particularly given how much we know about the mimetic power of such acts in the age of social media. The epitaph “Rest in Power” clangs off my ear like a parody of all that plagues the post-Christian mind. 

 

But he’s just an extreme symptom in a society wracked with less extreme symptoms.  The right-wing keyboard warriors wish-casting about civil war and secession and winking about “what time it is,” the more literal warriors who found it necessary to beat up cops with flagpoles in service to a lie, the privileged idjit kids who throw paint on works of art, the federal workers who stage meaningless one-day hunger strikes (skipping lunch for justice!), the postliberal scriveners of the left and right thumping their dog-eared Marcuse or Schmitt into a drumbeat of war against the rule of law and the liberal order, the Instagram tradwives who find happiness not in matrimony but in likes, the testicle-tanning roid ragers, the trustafarian maroons who compensate for their inadequacy in the face of luxury by purchasing political activism wholesale, the Putin apologists drunk on his nonsense, the “white supremacy” obsessives, and the conspiracy theorists and fantasists of oppression of all stripes: They all want to live in a world where they are heroes struggling in a just cause. Lacking one, they struggle against the just and call it oppression all the same. Anything to keep the silent fog at bay.

Beware of the GOP’s Central Planners

By Christian Schneider

Thursday, February 29, 2024

 

In early 1990, Rob Pilatus and Fab Morvan reached the pinnacle of the music industry. The impossibly good-looking duo, collectively known as Milli Vanilli, won a Best New Artist Grammy after releasing their million-selling 1989 album Girl You Know It’s True.

 

But the German-based duo’s dream quickly came to an end when it was discovered that neither man had actually sung on the album — or in concert, or in their music videos. The vocals were pre-recorded by session musicians.

 

After the ensuing controversy that saw the duo stripped of their Grammy, state legislators around the nation decided to step in to protect America from the scourge of lip-syncing Germans. In Massachusetts, for example, two state representatives filed a bill levying fines of up to $50,000 for concert promoters who failed to notify ticket buyers that the act was lip-syncing. Similar laws were proposed in New York and New Jersey in the name of “consumer protection.”

 

One might suspect that such hilariously intrusive, nanny-state legislation would come from some big-government leftist. But in Massachusetts’ case, both co-sponsors of the bill were Republicans. Even 34 years ago, members of the party that craved smaller government and lesser regulation were happy to slap a new law on the books that solved no real problem other than their desperate lack of media attention. (To date, the cultural punishment for lip-syncing songs is more severe than trying to overturn an American presidential election.)

 

But that statist urge is now welcome to let its freak flag fly in today’s Republican Party, in which the GOP’s central planners are more than happy to inject themselves into cultural nonissues.

 

Take Florida, where Governor Ron DeSantis once thought a muscular post-liberalism would elevate him to the top of the GOP presidential field. DeSantis has recently said he supports legislation to criminalize the sale of lab-grown meat, a thing that doesn’t really exist on a wide scale and that few people actually sell. Last year, the U.S. Department of Agriculture declared the process of growing meat in a lab safe, but it will certainly be years before it is available in mass quantities. DeSantis might as well outlaw the Minnesota Vikings winning a Super Bowl.

 

Nonetheless, in order to placate both traditional beef manufacturers and to make it look like he’s fighting against steak-snatching hippies, DeSantis has signed on to this anti-business charade.

 

Even if one regularly enjoys the typical Ron Swanson “Turf ’n’ Turf” dinner (one 16-ounce T-bone and one 24-ounce porterhouse), exactly who is the victimized party if scientists were free to move ahead and innovate in the meat space? I am not particularly concerned that cows are sacrificed to satisfy my hunger or that the cattle’s emissions are warming the planet. But if there turns out to be a way to grow a New York strip in a petri dish, why kill the innovation that can make it happen for the people who want it?

 

That desire to strangle food innovation has purchase at the federal level as well, where Republican senators such as Susan Collins of Maine, James Risch of Idaho, and Roger Marshall of Kansas have signed on to a bill that would effectively ban nondairy products from being labeled as “milk,” “yogurt,” or “cheese.” Evidently these “conservatives” believe state intervention is necessary because Americans are too stupid to understand that products like “almond milk,” “coconut milk,” “plant-based cheese,” and “soy yogurt” are not actually dairy products.

 

One would expect a big-government enthusiast like Democratic senator Tammy Baldwin (D., Wis.) to promote such heavy-handed regulations, given her unquenchable thirst for state control and her position as a senator from a dairy-heavy state. But once again, Republicans have sacrificed philosophy to the desires of special interests.

 

And then, of course, are the Republican-led states that found themselves at the U.S. Supreme Court this week defending laws that force internet platforms to run content with which they disagree. A Texas law prohibits a social-media platform from censoring “a user, a user’s expression, or a user’s ability to receive the expression of another person,” while a Florida law — once again signed by central-planning enthusiast Ron DeSantis — would ban a large social-media platform from de-platforming a candidate for political office. (One suspects that, in order to earn immunity from moderation, millions of new state and local candidates will soon pop up in the state.)

 

Again, these laws are couched in the language of “freedom,” given that on historically progressive platforms like Twitter/X, right-wing speech is more likely to be disfavored. Yet this smacks of a historical argument in favor of socialism (made by Oscar Wilde and others): Once the government controls everything and “poverty is impossible,” freedom will flourish and men will be able to pursue their true dreams. In order to provide liberty, we must first crush it.

 

But for government to tell a private business what information it has to host is like the police telling a local bookstore what books it must stock on its shelves; the First Amendment protects an individual’s right to refrain from engaging in or supporting speech as much as it protects his right to participate in it. A conservative-owned bookstore that doesn’t want to stock the bound version of the 1619 Project should not be forced to do so because a bunch of whiny lefties think it’s a good talking point in their culture battles.

 

And, of course, once conservatives set the precedent that federal and state governments get to serve as market hall monitors, calling security every time an anti-vaccination post is taken down, they shouldn’t be shocked when progressives then use that power to impede free-market phenomena of which they disapprove. Imagine if right-wing websites were now required to add a progressive disclaimer at the end of every article they run about the border crisis or transgenderism. Such government-mandated moderation could one day come — and liberals would have the precedent to do so based on the actions of a party that once trusted the market to sort such things out.

 

There is no longer any party to represent people who value both individualism and the right to be left alone, whether applied to one’s business or personal life. At this very moment, Republicans in Oklahoma are considering a bill to criminalize sending a spicy selfie to another person to whom the sender is not married, even if it is consensual. In an effort to crack down on “deepfakes” created by artificial intelligence, other Republicans are pushing poorly worded bills that could, for example, bar publications from running editorial cartoons lampooning a famous person or criminalize a show like Saturday Night Live for having a cast member do a Donald Trump impersonation.

 

We do not need the heavy hand of government to protect us from either fake German singers or fake AI pictures, and we especially do not need such intervention from Republicans. At one point, the Right was the ideology of “Live and let live.” It’s now veering toward “Live the way I want you to, or else.”

 

Sadly, like Milli Vanilli, Republicans are now just lip-syncing the big-government arguments of the Left. Girl, you know it’s true.

The Fringe Cult of Anti-Israelism on the Left

By Noah Rothman

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

 

If the anti-Israel voters whom Democrats have cultivated as an element of their base were going to push their weight around, it would have been in Michigan. To judge by the Biden administration’s repeated efforts to mollify this restive force — dispatching envoy after envoy on listening tours to the state, only to be rebuffed by its unappeasable activist class — the administration knew it. And yet, Michigan Democrats spent the weeks leading up to Tuesday’s primary rending garments over the White House’s supposed failure to take seriously the threat to the president’s electoral bottom line.

 

“I feel like this is 2016 all over again,” one anguished Michigan Democrat told Politico last week. “If the president doesn’t change course, I would not be surprised if Biden loses the state.” Unnamed Democrats used the cover of anonymity to go even further. Potential Biden voters are hardening their hearts against the president, one party strategist lamented. “Every day, as violence in Gaza continues, getting those voters back becomes more of a challenge for Biden.” Anti-Israel Democrats tried everything from emotional blackmail to political extortion to get Biden to see the light and abandon his support for Jewish state’s war against Hamas. “If they’re not going to be moved because of the humanity of the Palestinian people,” state representative Abraham Aiyash said, “then perhaps they’ll view things differently when there’s a political calculus they have to make.”

 

As Biden entered the Michigan primary, activists’ anger over his refusal to bend to their demands reached a fever pitch. But the president didn’t heed their advice, and in the end he had little to worry about.

 

I’ve already parsed the spin on offer today from both the pro- and anti-Biden camps in Michigan, but the results demonstrate that one side of this debate has the better argument. Anti-Biden Democrats tried to humiliate the president by boosting the total number of votes for “uncommitted” in the Democratic primary. The effort was more or less a bust, even though “uncommitted” won just above 101,000 votes. The raw vote that “uncommitted” secured is impressive, but its grand total is not: It was 13 percent of the overall vote, just 2 percent better than the protest vote lodged against Barack Obama in Michigan in 2012. Moreover, in what was supposed to be the heart of the rebellion against Biden — Wayne County, which is home to Arab-American-heavy Dearborn — 78 percent of the more than 150,000 voters who turned out to vote in the Democratic primary backed Biden.

 

The question that looms largest over Team Biden today should be: Why has the campaign devoted so much nervous energy to fretting over the anti-Israel protest vote? Polling has long indicated that discomfort with Israel’s conduct in its defensive war against Hamas was a rump issue. Sure, Democrats are increasingly inclined to echo the sentiments they encounter on a near-daily basis from the party’s opinion-makers — namely, that a cease-fire should be the goal. But those same voters don’t want a cease-fire if it means leaving elements of Hamas in control in Gaza. They also don’t want military aid to Israel limited to the point where it would force Jerusalem to abandon the cause around which most Israelis are united: the defeat and destruction of Hamas. That alone should have been a wake-up call for this White House.

 

Indeed, with each passing day, elements on the Left most committed to anti-Israel activism are demonstrating the degree to which they can be — in fact, must be — ignored if not opposed.

 

While Michiganders were descending on the polls yesterday, students at the University of California, Berkeley, were forced to escape into hiding as a wild mob of protesters erupted in violence, fighting to get at the Jews assembled to hear an IDF soldier speak. The demonstrators “broke through the glass doors of a campus theater” and shouted “intifada” at their fellow students, the New York Post reported. “In one clip, a student could be heard telling his friends inside the auditorium that a woman outside spat on him and called him ‘Jew, Jew, Jew — literally right to my face.’” Even for UC Berkley, this was too much. In an email to students, the school’s chancellor and provost called the incident “an attack on the fundamental values of the university.”

 

The dialogue on the far-left end of the political spectrum this week prominently featured outright praise and admiration for a mentally disturbed individual who committed suicide by self-immolation, ostensibly in protest against Israel. For leftists, this act of violence was not the culmination of a series of failures by lawmakers or caregivers or anyone who knew the man — none of whom intervened on his behalf. Rather, they said, his setting himself on fire was a noble exercise in “self-sacrifice,” meant to help educate Americans about an ongoing “genocide.”

 

When they’re not making a menace of themselves, anti-Israel activists descend into spectacle, with the aim of maximally annoying Americans. They disrupt holiday parades. They threaten airports and compel the delay of flight schedules. They block thoroughfares and bridges. These and other similar displays have achieved little other than straining public services and irritating people.

 

The anti-Israel Left has done everything in its power to communicate that it is defiantly uncompromising. What is also on display, however, is its whole-scale impotence. Democrats have tolerated their antics thus far only because of the unspoken assumption that these activists are the most vocal vanguard of the party’s base. The results in Michigan’s primary call that assumption into question. Indeed, they suggest that the real risk to Democrats lies in giving this unsympathetic fringe vastly more positive attention than it deserves.

 

Many have noted that the primary results in the Great Lakes State have raised a number of “red flags” for Biden ahead of November’s election. The most glaring of these has to be that Democrats have invested too much time and energy in a cause that’s at odds with what most Americans want. Now that Democrats have some hard vote totals demonstrating just how peripheral their anti-Israel critics are, perhaps the Biden White House can steer clear of the brick wall the activist fringe is dead set on smashing into.

The Case for the U.S. to Stop Babying Europe on National Security

By Daniel R. DePetris

Thursday, February 29, 2024

 

Earlier this month, during a campaign stop in South Carolina, former president and presumptive 2024 GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump went off on NATO, one of his favorite punching bags. “NATO was busted until I came along,” Trump asserted. “I said, ‘Everybody’s going to pay.’ They said, ‘Well, if we don’t pay, are you still going to protect us?’ I said, ‘Absolutely not.’ They couldn’t believe the answer.” To emphasize the point, Trump stated he would encourage Russia to do “whatever the hell they want” to NATO allies that fall short of the alliance’s defense-spending standards.

 

The fallout was swift. Julianne Smith, the U.S. ambassador to NATO, called Trump’s remarks “irrational and dangerous.” Democratic lawmakers on Capitol Hill were aghast, while others downplayed the comments as an attempt by Trump to scare the Europeans into boosting their defense budgets. During the annual Munich Security Conference in Germany this month, Trump’s words, and the prospect of a second Trump presidency, hovered over the transatlantic dignitaries like a bad cold.

 

Yet in the weeks since, those few sentences in South Carolina have prompted a prevailing sense of urgency in European capitals. Even those who find Trump’s rhetoric boorish and alarming note that he has a point: European defense industries have been left to atrophy since the Soviet Union collapsed more than 30 years ago and are ramping up only now, after two years of war in Ukraine. “It’s high time for Europe to improve its own deterrence capacities and take its security into its own hands,” senior European Parliament lawmaker Valérie Hayer claimed. Dutch defense minister Kajsa Ollongren agreed, stating matter-of-factly that “Europe indeed needs to take more responsibility for its own security.” European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen is even basing her reelection campaign on beefing up the institution’s capacity to spend more and “spend better.”

 

All of this will no doubt be welcomed in Washington regardless of who wins the 2024 election. U.S. presidents have complained about Europeans penny-pinching on their militaries since the days of Dwight D. Eisenhower, when the former general vented to staff that Europe’s conventional forces weren’t up to par and that the continent’s leaders were close to “making a sucker out of Uncle Sam.” Trump and Barack Obama disagree on pretty much everything under the sun, but Europe’s freeloading on the U.S. military isn’t one of them.

 

This debate, however, misses a key element. The root of the issue isn’t defense-spending numbers and budgets but rather the lack of political will among European leaders to move toward self-sufficiency. Nobody wants to make the difficult decisions and trade-offs required to, for instance, transform the decrepit Bundeswehr into a professional military force that can recruit personnel and shoulder more of the burden of European security. It’s easy to cast all of the blame on the Europeans for being cheap and lethargic. But as much as U.S. policy-makers like to pretend otherwise, the U.S. is equally to blame because it hasn’t given its European allies any incentive to change.

 

U.S. policy-makers serving in both Democratic and Republican administrations are far more comfortable treating their European allies as dependents instead of true partners. The post–World War II European security framework has long since become institutionalized, and those inside the Beltway who dare to question it — let alone offer alternatives — are viewed warily. U.S.-troop deployments in Europe are all but permanent, the U.S. military’s basing infrastructure on the continent is extensive, and most of Europe is under the U.S. nuclear umbrella. This is a pretty great deal for the Europeans, who have the benefit of focusing largely on domestic matters courtesy of the U.S. defense guarantee. For any European leader to insist on taking more of a leadership role in these circumstances would be almost irrational. Why would any German chancellor, for example, brave the political costs of taking on debt or reducing social-safety-net programs to finance a military reboot when Germany is under the protection of a superpower?

 

It wasn’t always this way. There have been times when visionary European heads of state have sought to turn Europe into an independent geopolitical power with credible military force behind it. In 1998, British prime minister Tony Blair and French president Jacques Chirac signed a declaration that advocated an autonomous European defense capability. The Clinton administration opposed the initiative, with the U.S. defense secretary at the time, William Cohen, going so far as to claim that NATO “could become a relic” if the European Union built up its own military forces. And in 2018, when the EU was pursuing intra-European cooperation on weapons projects, the Trump administration warned the organization to cease and desist lest it shut American weapons manufacturers out of the action. The U.S., concerned that Europe would get out from under Washington’s thumb, has encouraged Europe’s slouching defense posture that policy-makers in Washington gripe about.

 

Why does any of this matter? Because notwithstanding the usual bromides about being the indispensable nation, the U.S. doesn’t have unlimited resources. Nor can it kick the prioritization can down the road. The Europe of 2024 isn’t the Europe of 1945: It is far wealthier and technologically advanced than its adversaries (i.e., Russia), remains an attractive market for global investment, and almost rivals the U.S. economically. The EU’s population is three times Russia’s, and at nearly $17 trillion, the EU’s GDP is more than seven times what Moscow has at its disposal. If there was ever a region where the U.S. could disinvest, it’s Europe. And if there was ever a time for Europe to take primary responsibility for its own defense, it’s now, when the Russian army is tied up expending enormous resources in Ukraine.

 

The most effective way to fix Europe’s dependency problem is for the U.S. to stop treating the Europeans as helpless little children incapable of fending for themselves.

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Hamas’s Death Cult Comes to America

By Noah Rothman

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

 

‘We love death like our enemies love life.” That chilling mantra, expressed a decade ago by Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, has since become the terrorist outfit’s unofficial motto. “The Israelis are known to love life. We, on the other hand, sacrifice ourselves,” Hamas official Ali Baraka told a Russian interviewer less than a week after the October 7 massacre. “The thing any Palestinian desires the most is to be martyred for the sake of Allah.”

 

Neither Haniyeh nor Baraka, who respectively reside in Qatar and Lebanon, were speaking for themselves. Both are sufficiently removed from the war to which they’ve consigned Gaza’s people that they have little reason to anticipate their own glorious martyrdom. They are, however, happy to see their charges massacred in furtherance of the death cult Hamas has erected around itself. That cult extends well beyond the borders of the Gaza Strip, as the self-immolation of Aaron Bushnell sadly illustrates.

 

Bushnell announced himself as an active-duty U.S. airman when he approached the gates of the Israeli embassy in Washington, D.C., on Sunday. There, he declared his opposition to “genocide,” dowsed himself in a flammable liquid, and set himself alight. He died of his wounds shortly thereafter. Bushnell seems to have captured the hearts of Americans who are predisposed to share Bushnell’s outlook on Israel’s defensive war against Hamas and the Biden administration’s support for it. Their praise for his act of violence is evidence of both the depravity cultivated by Hamas’s obsessive bloodlust and an unspoken but apparently widespread desire to see more violence follow it.

 

“Let us never forget the extraordinary courage and commitment of brother Aaron Bushnell, who died for truth and justice!” declared Cornel West, a professor emeritus at Princeton University and an independent candidate for the presidency in 2024. Indeed, the outright support (bordering on advocacy) for Bushnell’s suicide seems most common among Ph.Ds. Prolonged exposure to post-colonial agitprop explains a statement attributed to Biden “administration staff.” In an open letter, the fifth column in the White House explained that Bushnell’s “act of protest” represents “a stark warning for our nation” — a “haunting reminder for those who refuse to change course,” namely Joe Biden.

 

What is this sort of advocacy meant to achieve other than to convince other naïve, blinkered radicals to commit similar acts of violence — acts that may not be limited to self-harm? We’re left with no other conclusion, particularly given the strained efforts to maintain that Bushnell was of entirely sound mind when he committed this atrocity.

 

“There is no evidence Aaron Bushnell was suffering from mental illness,” the Daily Beast columnist Wajahat Ali protested. “He was very clear about his reasoning for self-immolation, the most extreme form of protest against what he believes is an ongoing genocide against Palestinians by Israel.” That may be true insofar as the only proof we have of Bushnell’s mental disturbance — beyond, you know, his decision to set himself on fire — are the calls onlookers made to 911 describing the “mental distress” he was exhibiting before his suicide. But whether Bushnell suffered from a clinical malady is irrelevant to the fact that he was laboring under an obvious delusion.

 

As his social-media posts indicate, the airman was utterly convinced of the lies promulgated by those who entice impressionable minds with visions of martyrdom. He was sure that the aggressive party in this conflict wasn’t the terrorist sect that has transformed Gaza into a labyrinthine fortress and drafted its population into a war for the explicitly stated purpose of eradicating Israeli Jews. He was sure the real bad guy was the party that has achieved what the military historian Sir Andrew Roberts observed was a remarkable ratio of combatant-to-civilian casualties for an urban-warfare campaign — a military that Biden spokesman John Kirby noted is “telegraphing” its punches at the expense of battlefield efficacy so as to preserve civilian life in ways even America would not. There is no “genocide.” Bushnell had been misled.

 

This horror — both the self-immolation of a beguiled Westerner and the fawning praise for his act of “self-sacrifice” — is precisely what Hamas seeks when its fighters shield themselves with civilians and launch attacks on Israel from in and around schools and hospitals. The big idea is to convince Western naifs that the morally righteous party to this conflict is the one that begat it. And too many Westerners are happy to play along, not because they fully comprehend this region and its complexities (they don’t), but because it contributes to their own self-conception as the heirs to a noble culture of dissent in America.

 

Time magazine illustrated this phenomenon when it graced a historically illiterate explainer on the history of self-immolation as an act of protest with an image of Thich Quang Duc, the Buddhist monk who burned himself alive in Saigon in 1963 in defiance of the South Vietnamese government. The piece drew a straight line between that episode and the self-immolations of climate-change activists in 2018 and 2022 — what were described as “deeply fearless” acts “of compassion” by fellow activists.

 

This should all be familiar to anyone who follows those so-called supporters of the Palestinian cause who routinely apply the framework of American racial politics to the conflict in the Middle East. The characterization of the executioners who prosecuted the 10/7 attack as “field hands” attacking their masters, the description of the West Bank as “familiar to those of us familiar with African-American history” by the author Ta-Nehisi Coates, the accusations that Israel is engaged in “apartheid” and the references to BLM’s protests as an “American intifada” — it’s all play-acting. They seek out the moral authority the generation who opposed Jim Crow and the Vietnam War secured for itself. Finding little in the way of truly comparable injustice in America today, they commit themselves to a profound category error and go abroad in search of monsters.

 

Therapy professionals object to the idea that suicide is a selfish act — the province of attention-seekers. They say that this is an unproductive and generally erroneous presumption, and maybe they’re right in most cases. But it seems a fair read on Bushnell’s case. He most certainly did seek attention. He was not attempting to better the circumstances of his survivors if his act was designed to perpetuate Hamas’s ability to export terrorism into Israel and oppress the people of Gaza. His was an act of moral blackmail, and those who have lionized him want to see more such acts. Their ghoulish and cynical advocacy is surely distinct from what we’ve seen from Hamas’s reprobate leaders. Though, from this vantage, it’s hard to see how.

The Laken Riley Tragedy

National Review Online

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

 

If millions of immigration-enforcement encounters are a statistic, the murder, by blunt force trauma to the head, of one American young woman is a tragedy.

 

Negligent enforcement policies set by the Biden administration, indulgent “sanctuary” given to lawbreakers by our cities, and abusive appropriation of taxpayer resources to aid aliens in their lawbreaking all likely contributed to the killing of Laken Riley, a 22-year-old Georgia nursing student. Her death is the result of United States policy enabling a criminally minded man who came here to press a bogus asylum claim.

 

The illegal immigrant, Jose Antonio Ibarra, who was arrested for her killing crossed the border into Texas on September 8, 2022. He was sent to a processing facility but was quickly “paroled” and released, as has become custom. He was chauffeured — at your expense — by bus to New York City. He was arrested in Queens for endangering the welfare of a child, his wife’s son, who had no restraint or helmet as he rode on the back of Ibarra’s moped. Normally when Immigration and Customs Enforcement learns that a removable illegal immigrant is arrested, it requests that local law enforcement keep the person in custody until he can be transferred to ICE and put in deportation proceedings. New York City released Ibarra before his detainer could be issued.

 

Every part of his story testifies to the barratry of the Biden administration and Democrats. Normal visitors and tourists to the United States have their backgrounds checked for criminal activity. But at the border, the Biden administration has incentivized everyone who wishes to come to America, but has no legal right to settle here, to claim asylum. Our lax enforcement encourages so many to come claiming asylum that we overwhelm the court system that adjudicates such claims. This overtopping of the system is then an excuse for “processing” entrants via an asylum officer, most often not a lawyer, and acting not upon the law but policies set by the Department of Homeland Security. Ibarra’s own marriage was confected, according to his estranged wife, to join and thereby strengthen their asylum cases. They were gaming the system. At every turn, Ibarra discovered that law in the United States is not seriously enforced.

 

Some commentators will say that immigrants have a lower crime rate than American citizens, and so in the Ibarra case we are dealing with a statistical outlier here. Even if this were true, it is a non sequitur. The Biden administration has a positive duty to defend our borders and to not incentivize lawbreaking. False asylum seekers often break several laws — not just illegally crossing our borders but working illegally, committing Social Security fraud, or obtaining other false identification documents. The crimes of those who have no right to be here should be counted against the authorities who knowingly enabled them to come and to stay. That starts with the Biden administration and extends to the cities.

 

Ibarra had no right to be in this country. Authorities had ample chances to do what the law of the land requires and bounce him back to Venezuela. They deliberately failed to do so. The Biden administration, through its malicious neglect and positive subversion of our immigration law, has made itself in effect, if not by the letter of the law, an accessory to Laken Riley’s murder.

With Unity Like This, Who Needs Division?

By Jonah Goldberg

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

 

Celebrating his victory in the South Carolina primary Saturday, Donald Trump declared, “I have never seen the Republican Party so unified as it is right now.”

 

It was an indisputable victory for Trump, particularly given that it was in the home state of his last remaining rival for the nomination, Nikki Haley, a twice-elected and popular former South Carolina governor. Trump beat Haley by about 20 points, and she doesn’t look likely to do much better than that going forward. Barring some shocking development, it’s a foregone conclusion that Trump will be the nominee.

 

But the GOP is not unified, never mind like never before. It’s actually as divided as it was in 1992, which was not a great year for Republican unity.

 

That was the year that Pat Buchanan challenged President George H.W. Bush for the nomination. Buchanan got just less than 38 percent of the vote in the New Hampshire primary, and it was widely regarded at the time—and ever since—as a devastating rebuke and a sign that the GOP was in deep disarray. 

 

Buchanan stayed in the race until the end despite failing to win a single primary, much as Haley is threatening to do. The conservative challenger contributed to Bush’s subsequent defeat in the general election, and his candidacy established a lasting Buchananite faction within the party.

 

Now, Trump isn’t an incumbent, but countless observers (including me) have made the point that he’s running as a quasi-incumbent. Indeed, last week, Haley referred to him as a “de facto incumbent.” Trump has 100 percent name identification, and the party’s infrastructure has largely acted as if he were still its leader.

 

More importantly, Trump falsely claims that the 2020 election was stolen, and many Republican voters believe him. This lie is often denounced for lofty reasons having to do with democracy and his unfitness for office—rightly so. I think Trump disqualified himself from political office with the conduct that culminated in the January 6, 2021, riot. But its practical effects on the GOP are often overlooked.

 

Much of right-wing media and many elected GOP officials, including most of Trump’s primary opponents, refused to acknowledge that he lost. This prevented the party from turning the page on Trump or having a healthy debate over whether to move on from Trumpism. 

 

Normally, when a party loses, an opposing faction within it gets a shot. That couldn’t happen in this case. As a result, Trump operates as an incumbent—a very weak incumbent.

 

But while the internal party reckoning that comes with a loss can be delayed, it can’t be denied. Over time, the opposition girds for its turn in power. Indeed, when Trump was elected in 2016, many—including Buchanan himself—hailed his victory as a long-postponed vindication for Buchananism.  

 

There’s a key difference, however, between 2024 and 1992. Buchanan’s campaign was about issues—immigration, trade and foreign policy chief among them. Today, with the partial exception of support for Ukraine—which is largely a proxy for supporting Trump and his Russophilia—Republicans aren’t badly divided over any issue other than Donald Trump himself.

 

In the old days, Republicans who were moderate on abortion, defense, or taxes were often dubbed “RINOs”: Republicans in name only. Today, the term is reserved almost exclusively for Republicans who are insufficiently loyal to Trump.  

 

Texas Rep. Chip Roy, for instance, is easily one of the most consistently conservative Republicans in Congress. But his support for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ campaign was enough for Trump to dub Roy a RINO and call for a primary challenge to him.

 

Trump has vacillated on abortion, fidelity to the Constitution and other formerly conservative litmus tests without paying a price among self-described conservatives. Moreover, the need to paper over his myriad character defects invites a kind of pathological defense of the man in full that has erased the “character issue” entirely. Indeed, it’s fair to say that many voters who describe themselves as “very conservative” mean they’re very supportive of Trump.

 

Similarly, Haley enjoys strong support among self-described moderate Republicans. But on the issues that once defined the party, she’s a conservative. 

 

Haley’s determination to stay in the race probably won’t lead to her being president one day. But if the GOP is ever going to have a traditional conservative as a standard-bearer again, it will be because she helped preserve a safe space for them within the party.

Don’t Shut Down the Government

National Review Online

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

 

With the first of two government-funding deadlines coming up this Friday, a partial government shutdown is looking more and more possible.

 

The challenge facing House Speaker Mike Johnson is the same as the one that plagued his predecessor, Kevin McCarthy. Republicans control only one chamber of Congress, by a razor-thin margin, meaning that if Johnson cannot unite his caucus around a bill to fund the government, he will have to rely on Democrats. Doing so could put his leadership at risk, because just a handful of Republicans have the ability to oust him. Under the “laddered” approach previously established by Johnson, the first batch of funding will expire on March 1, with the rest a week later, on March 8 (though a short-term extension being floated by Johnson remains possible).

 

At this point, the major sticking point is not about overall spending levels, which were hammered out last month. Instead, the House Freedom Caucus, in a letter last week, issued a series of demands and made complaints about the process itself. The letter warns that leaders will negotiate behind closed doors, cutting out rank-and-file members, and presumably release a “deal” at the last minute, with little time for members to read, debate, and amend the legislation before it comes to the floor for a vote.

 

The group also issued a list of 21 different provisions its members would like to see inserted into the bill to win their support. They are, generally speaking, provisions that most Republicans would support but that would be unlikely to get past the Democratic Senate or have a chance to be signed by Biden. Those include defunding Planned Parenthood; slashing Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas’s salary to $0; defunding various EPA mandates; defunding gender-transition surgeries; and blocking Biden from removing border barriers. Essentially, the Freedom Caucus members are attempting to use the government-funding process as a means to get Joe Biden to stop governing like Joe Biden. But realistically, a left-wing Democratic president is not going to transform into a conservative Republican — especially when he has a Democratic Senate behind him.

 

Johnson should be willing to see if there is a package that includes some of the Freedom Caucus demands that could secure a majority in the House and, if so, pass a bill that could be used to increase leverage with Senate Democrats. But barring that, he will have to cut the best deal that he can with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Biden, and rely on Democrats to secure the votes needed for passage.

 

If that is the case, Republican opponents of the deal should be content with the ability to vote “no” rather than threaten to force out Johnson and thus create another chaotic speaker fight.

 

To allow the government to shut down would be yet another indication of dysfunction among House Republicans that would serve as a life raft to Democrats at a time when Biden is flailing in polls.

Traditional Republicans Feel Unwelcome in Trump’s GOP

By David M. Drucker

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

 

CHARLESTON, South Carolina—Mike and Kim Brantley are regular Republican voters who pulled the lever for Donald Trump in the last election. They no longer feel welcome in a GOP coalition shaped by the former president and dominated by the newer, populist voters Trump has attracted to the party since 2015.

 

Trump’s provocative behavior undoubtedly contributed to their backing of Nikki Haley in the Republican presidential primary. “He never changed,” Kim Brantley told The Dispatch while attending a campaign rally for the former South Carolina governor and ex-U.S. ambassador to the United Nations in Moncks Corner, roughly 30 miles northwest of Charleston. “If he just humbled himself to the office of the presidency, we might be in a different place.” But there is a broader issue motivating their abandonment of Trump that transcends the former president and threatens to fragment the GOP, not only this year but far into the future. 

 

Many traditional Republican voters like the Brantleys, who have supported GOP candidates for years, are backing the longshot Haley instead of returning to Trump because they feel abandoned by the former president. Even more than that, these Ronald Reagan-era Republicans say the voters fueling Trump’s staying power inside the party are treating them with contempt and want them out.

 

“I don’t like being told that if I don’t believe a certain way, that I’m not a Republican,” Mike Brantley, a 56-year-old Army veteran, said Friday. The Brantleys are residents of Staten Island, a New York City borough where Trump remains popular, and were in South Carolina visiting family. They attended the Haley rally partly to encourage her to keep running even after the former president secures the 1,215 convention delegates he needs to become the presumptive Republican nominee. “I think she’s probably going to be independent at some point,” Mike Brantley said with a sense of hope in his voice.

 

Down the homestretch of the South Carolina campaign, The Dispatch spoke with several other voters who expressed similar feelings, many of which can best be described as the early stages of political homelessness. And this is not simply because they prefer not to vote for Trump, who turns 78 in June—and can’t imagine backing President Joe Biden, 81. Critically, it’s because they do not believe that Trump supporters generally are willing to tolerate them—or their views on fiscal, social, and foreign policy issues.

 

Exhibit A, as far as they are concerned, was Trump’s vow issued just after the January 23 New Hampshire primary that any contributor to the Haley campaign would be “permanently barred from the MAGA camp. … We don’t want them and we won’t accept them.” 

 

Message received. “Unfortunately, the MAGA people are not going to welcome us and they’re not going to like us,” said retiree Debbie Buck, who voted for Trump twice but now supports Haley and attended her final South Carolina rally in Mount Pleasant.

 

Becky Martin, a retiree who described herself as an undecided voter in the South Carolina primary, spoke fondly of Trump’s presidency and described him in mostly positive terms. But she was doubtful these two factions—traditional, Reagan-era Republicans and Trump-era “MAGA” Republicans—would be able to coexist under the same banner for long. “I don’t think it’s impossible. But I think it’s very difficult,” she said while attending the Haley rally in Moncks Corner. “They have such different beliefs and views on things.”

 

Despite warning signs for Trump posed by disaffected Republicans ahead of an expected general election rematch with Biden, it’s unclear just how much trouble he is in as he mounts his third consecutive White House bid. Trump has narrowly led Biden in RealClearPolitics’ national polling average for several months; his advantage currently sits at 47 percent to 45 percent. His lead in some surveys of the key battleground states likely to decide the November 5 contest—like GeorgiaMichigan, and Pennsylvania—is often more pronounced.

 

Meanwhile, Trump is on track to wrap up the Republican nomination as early as mid-March. He easily defeated Haley, 52, in the first five caucuses and primaries, racking up a 20-point win on Saturday in South Carolina, where the state’s Republican establishment spurned its former twice-elected governor and marched in lockstep behind the 45th president. Trump, who trounced Haley in Michigan on Tuesday, is likely to perform well in primaries and caucuses this weekend, and, crucially, win big in next week’s lineup of “Super Tuesday” nominating contests across 16 states.

 

But as Haley emphasized here in Charleston during a defiant concession speech after South Carolina was called for Trump, Republican voters are far from unified around the party’s likely nominee. “I’m an accountant. I know 40 percent is not 50 percent. But I also know 40 percent is not some tiny group,” she said, referencing the share of the vote she received in the Palmetto State on Saturday. “There are huge numbers of voters in our Republican primaries who are saying they want an alternative.”

 

Indeed, Haley’s not-so-tiny group of supporters is desperate for a Trump alternative: an alternative who embodies Reagan Republicanism and, critically, an alternative who appreciates them.

 

“The Republican Party right now is less of a party and more of a cult following,” Tom Jacobs, a 72-year-old retiree and Haley voter, said while awaiting her in Mount Pleasant, where she hosted a rally in the shadow of the U.S.S. Yorktown, a World War II-era aircraft-carrier-turned-museum. “I hope when Trump is gone—either way—in four years, the Republican Party will come back to its senses.” 

 

“She gives you a reason to vote for her,” added Rep. Ralph Norman, the South Carolina Republican who is Haley’s lone supporter in Congress and was on hand to introduce her in Mount Pleasant. “I’ve listened to some of Trump’s rally, and to be honest with you, it’s very divisive. Nikki is a Ronald Reagan; she’s a Margaret Thatcher. Her message—that’s what’s keeping people coming.”

 

These are the dynamics behind the robust grassroots and financial support for Haley that better resembles a candidate truly in contention for the Republican presidential nomination. 

 

Usually, candidates who fail to win a caucus or primary in a key early state suspend their campaign if for no other reason than the money dries up and voters stop showing up at events. But attendance at Haley campaign events remains healthy, with several hundred—or more—often there to hear her speak. And rather than an air of resignation about the inevitable, the mood is upbeat and enthusiastic. Even after losing big in South Carolina, the Haley team claims to have raised $1 million in the 24 hours after the primary.

 

Looking toward the fall, Biden will have his share of political challenges holding together the coalition that delivered him the White House in 2020. There is opposition in some quarters of the Democratic Party to his strong support for Israel in the wake of Hamas’ October 7 attacks and resistance elsewhere to proposals he is floating to crack down on illegal immigration at the Southern border, not to mention general concern about his age. But the danger for Trump is that a significant percentage of traditional Republican voters—those who helped him win the White House in the first place—might never “come home” in November because they no longer feel at home in the GOP. 

 

When pressed on this dynamic, Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung sidestepped, saying in a text message that “Republican voters have delivered resounding wins for President Trump in every single primary contest.” The former president argued during his victory speech Saturday evening that he has “never seen the Republican Party so unified as it is right now.”

 

Intra-party consolidation usually occurs because voters on the losing end of a divisive primary eventually decide that the winner shares a majority of their values and conducts themselves as they believe a president should. But given Trump’s polarizing nature—and unique liabilities, such as his four criminal indictments and culpability for the January 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol—that’s not necessarily a safe assumption this time around.

 

And it’s not just a matter of Trump’s personal foibles, either, that has made the GOP less hospitable to traditional Republicans.

 

Ideologically, the Republican Party under the former president’s stewardship is more populist, and less conservative, than it was for the decades-long Reagan era that preceded Trump’s election as president in 2016. Consider former Vice President Mike Pence, Trump’s running mate in that and the subsequent election, who just launched a $20 million effort through his political nonprofit organization, Advancing American Freedom, to protect traditional conservative values from assault by Republicans and the modern conservative movement.

 

“It is not just the party” that’s become the problem, said Marc Short, a senior Pence adviser and veteran conservative activist. “In my mind, it’s the conservative movement.”

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

The Left Discovers Victimocracy’s Downsides

By Noah Rothman

Monday, February 26, 2024

 

Among all the most entertaining subgenres of center-left commentary, those focused on the author’s discovery of an essential and long-held feature of conservative folk wisdom are the most amusing.

 

This phenomenon was on display in a recent New York Times exposé on the degree to which women in the dating scene still expect men to foot the bill for an evening out. This adherence to traditional gender roles cannot be the product of ancient convention or even evolutionary biology; it must be gleaned from progressivism’s hyper-attuned social consciousness. And so, men paying on dates is repackaged as a learned response to inequitable pay gaps in the workplace or the disequilibrium in employer-provided “reproductive care.” For progressives who embark on this journey of self-discovery, it’s less important that Right and Left arrive at the same conclusions about the dynamics between the sexes than that they get there via a process that preserves their sense of superiority.

 

The latest example of this sort of commentary comes to us via New York magazine’s The Cut, an increasingly parodic vertical covering “women’s lives and interests.” In it, author Kathryn Jezer-Morton expresses her fear that she may be incubating in her home two young men who will grow up to be monsters — i.e., conservatives. Despite having been raised “in a spirit of loving gender agnosticism,” her sons, ages ten and 13, have displayed disturbing tendencies typically associated with men. That isn’t the source of Jezer-Morton’s trepidation. By her own account, she is supportive of her children’s passions, even those specific to American males. What piques her anxiety are the signs that these outward displays of maleness are early indications that her kids will one day succumb to the distorting messages broadcast by the masculinity-industrial complex.

 

Like the Times before her, Jezer-Morton devotes a disproportionate amount of her essay to establishing her own sterling progressive credentials. Toward that end, she attributes the sort of virility she hopes to discourage in her boys to a variety of left-wing bugbears.

 

The author does not provide any specifics that illustrate why a conservative political orientation in men is undesirable. It’s merely assumed that her audience doesn’t need those details spelled out for them. She attributes the baleful condition in which America’s men currently languish to the “logic from the free-market economy,” in which success means “earning a windfall” rather than “just doing steady business year after year,” and the sense among men that conventional feminism “feels unfair” because it is predicated on the presumption “that women started from a position of inferiority.” That description of feminism would be alien to its first-wave founders, and market economics actually discourage hazardous speculative ventures with a commensurate downside risk. But Jezer-Morton was on a roll.

 

And what she was rolling toward was, in fact, quite valuable. The author summoned just enough self-awareness to observe that capital in the modern social landscape has been redefined by progressives possessed of an insatiable “appetite for stories about emancipation.” Because she believes prolonged exposure to the left-wing ideology dominant in the academy is the surest way to prevent latent conservatism from manifesting itself, that’s a problem. Straight men, she confesses, “feel the need to start from a place of grievance, because otherwise there’s no way to bounce back and beat the odds.”

 

Here, we dispense with the inscrutable patois native to the bleeding-edge blogs and arrive at one meaty and productive observation: “The appeal of a grievance-based identity makes it hard to convince straight white boys that they in fact have plenty going for them, and that they have no reason to feel aggrieved,” Jezer-Morton wrote.

 

Our contributor to The Cut has arrived at a conclusion that will strike conservative readers as downright banal. How many articlestelevision and radio programs, and books have been written by center-right authors and commentators about the pernicious effects of a culture that commodifies victimization? How many conservatives devoted their careers to pointing out the diminishing returns in a social marketplace in which achievement is measured by the relative experience of adversity? How often has the American Right warned that boosting demand for victimhood narratives guarantees an inflated supply? Jezer-Morton’s observation is only revelatory if the author and her readers alike have insulated themselves against even casual contact with conventionally conservative social mores.

 

The implications of this discovery clearly rattled the author. If she were to put her conclusions into practice, that would proscribe subjecting her offspring to imperious lectures about what they should believe and to whom they should perceive themselves subordinate. It would involve “letting reactionary and unformed pseudo-ideologies breathe the same airspace as us,” and it requires entertaining (if only for argument’s sake) the idea that “sexism works both ways.”

 

“I suspect that progressive-leaning white parents’ own anxiety about our reputations plays a part in our conversations with our teenage sons,” reads Jezer-Morton’s concluding confession. Her admissions end there, but they might not have. The very culture she is inveighing against is one for which she advocates in this very piece. The pervasive sense of victimization to which she hopes her sons will not aspire is retailed by the institutions of higher learning that she expects will educate her boys out of their creeping cultural conservatism. The author warns of the inefficacy or even counterproductivity of high-handed efforts to socially engineer progressive men while, at the same time, displaying academia’s mistrust of individuals’ ability to navigate a social milieu in healthy and productive ways.

 

Jezer-Morton’s commendably candid essay is not a lament about national dysfunction or the unhealthy proclivities of modern American men. It is a condemnation of a theory of social organization she and those who share her worldview helped to cultivate. Maybe if she had read some of the conservatives that she spent so much time and energy avoiding, the author would have arrived at her conclusion much earlier.