Monday, October 31, 2022

Scraping Advantage Off a Crime Scene Floor

By Noah Rothman

Monday, October 31, 2022

 

There’s a terrible rhythm to how we react to episodes of violence with a political dimension. Paul Pelosi’s brutal assault is no different.

 

Targeted, premeditated attacks like this one, we soon learn, are cooked up in an addled mind, but something as unsatisfying as madness fails to suffice for a motive. So, we go about the flawed human practice of seeking patterns and applying rationality to the irrational. In this ritual, we exercise the agency chaos has otherwise stolen, even if it usually manifests in the unconstructive practice of assigning blame for violence to the non-violent.

 

From what we know of Paul Pelosi’s alleged attacker, the preponderance of evidence indicates that he was a sick man. The paranoia to which he was attracted of late has an unmistakably rightwing flavor. He seems enticed by the collection of lunatic conspiracy theories espoused by disciples of “QAnon,” which the Associated Press summarizes as “the belief that the country is run by a deep state cabal of child sex traffickers, satanic pedophiles, and baby-eating cannibals.” This was, however, a recent conversion. His neighbors describe the alleged assailant as a transient drug addict, well-known around infamously left-wing Berkeley, California as a pro-nudity activist and a “hemp jewelry maker.” His online activities include a variety of anti-Semitic themes, which is a common feature of the psychologically deranged, whatever their politics.

 

This presents a maddening conundrum. When America’s mental-health crisis is discussed at all, it is either an intractable Gordian Knot or another example of how America just won’t throw enough money at its problems. Irresponsible conspiracy peddlers in media and politics display no sense of accountability. They’re not listening to these admonitions, nor are their audiences. The only people listening to reason, in fact, are the reasonable. So, that’s who you must train your fire on.

 

In Politico, reporters Sarah Ferris and Jeremy White point an accusatory finger at Republican ad makers, who may have contributed to the violent mania exhibited by Pelosi’s alleged assailant by crafting messages critical of the Democratic Speaker of the House in an election year. The article notes that Republican committees and candidates have used Pelosi as a foil for well over a decade—a fact the reporters believe supports rather than disputes the notion that this year’s fare crossed a line.

 

“The attack on Paul Pelosi is becoming the latest inflection point in an American political discourse that’s grown exponentially coarser since Republicans first embraced Nancy Pelosi as an attack-ad bogeywoman,” Politico asserted. The Democratic lawmakers the outlet quotes place the blame at the feet of Donald Trump and the Republican political “machine,” which “led directly to this attack.” The president himself echoed these sentiments within hours of the attack on Pelosi.

 

This attempt at advantage-seeking in the wake of this episode of violence is as familiar as it is sordid. It’s precisely what the New York Times editorial board engaged in when it alleged that a paranoid schizophrenic with a deluded grudge against English grammar shot Rep. Gabby Giffords because Sarah Palin’s PAC placed “Democrats under stylized cross hairs.” It’s of a piece with the efforts to establish a causal relationship between “martial metaphors” and attempted murder. That is a source of psychological comfort, insofar as those are things that are at least theoretically within our control. As a bonus, it is also a tool of political utility.

 

It would be nice if we had a more responsible political class (though the dominant figures in 2010 were more responsible by any definition, and that didn’t stop the commentariat from blaming everyone but the violent for their violence). There was no time in American history when our politics were unsullied by notions that a secret cabal is plotting against the public interest, but it would be great if American political life weren’t as conspiratorial as it is today. We know that radical notions can radicalize the disturbed, and we’ve seen a lot of radicalizations recently; only some of them right-wing.

 

The would-be gunman who was charged with the attempted murder of Supreme Court Justice Bret Kavanaugh was moved to violence by apocalyptic rhetoric around the Court’s rulings on abortion and gun rights. But that episode was “not especially hair-raising,” and it inspired no soul-searching.

 

When one of Marco Rubio’s campaign canvassers was beaten to the point of hospitalization, reportedly, “because he was a Republican,” Florida Democrats said the staffer’s history was perhaps behind the attack. He was “a misogynist and a racist,” a “white supremacist,” someone with a “history of being tied to hatred and bigotry,” and who should be “condemned” by the campaign that hired him.

 

The man who almost killed a number of Republican members of Congress in 2017 populated his social-media accounts with eschatology that Donald Trump’s presidency would supposedly fulfill. In 2020, American cities burned over the conspiratorial notion that the United States is founded in evil and remains wholly dedicated to the subjugation of its minority population. This year, dozens of pro-life pregnancy centers have been targeted with violence over the notion that their “campaign of oppression” is an existential threat.

 

Some of these conspiracy theories are more fashionable than others, but they are all poison. We should demand more seriousness and sobriety from our representatives. But even if a better politics were bestowed upon us tomorrow, it wouldn’t rid us of the violently mentally disturbed. It would, however, prevent our political actors from leveraging acts of violence to squeeze out whatever political rewards bloodshed provides the unscrupulous. As the attack on Paul Pelosi suggests, we’re a long way off from that.

They Have No Remorse

By Michael Brendan Dougherty

Monday, October 31, 2022

 

Should the Left be so afraid of Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter? Many certainly are afraid. Twitter is a relatively small social-media service, but it is the playpen of the mainstream media. It’s where journalists and other media figures go to discover the conventional wisdom, and to participate in its creation. The New York Times carried no fewer than five alarmed articles about the purchase on its homepage last Thursday.

 

A Democratic strategist told Politico that the change of ownership is “an earthquake,” and that Musk may allow Donald Trump back on to “spread any lies he wants about the election, voting machines, etc.” Does no one remember the week in 2020 where liberals were taking photos of postal trucks and boxes and spreading the rumor that Donald Trump was stealing the election via the Postal Service?

 

Another progressive social-media-watchdog functionary told Politico that Musk’s removal of Vijaya Gadde, Twitter’s policy chief, is a “long-term catastrophe.” Why? Because she’s the one making the decisions on what you can and can’t say on Twitter. She’s “the moral compass and clear-eyed leader,” according to Jesse Lehrich of Accountable Tech. Representative Jan Schakowsky (D., of course) of the House Energy and Commerce panel promised that, “I will be watching to see if the company maintains its commitment to promote healthy dialogue, free from disinformation and harassment.”

 

On Sunday, the New York Times ran an entire news story with this headline: “Elon Musk, in a Tweet, Shares Link From Site Known to Publish False News.”

 

The lack of self-awareness is astonishing. The New York Times is also known to publish false news. Just look at the way it overhyped juvenile Covid by conflating it with RSV, or the way one of its lead Covid reporters treated the lab-leak theory of Covid’s origins as nothing other than a racist conspiracy theory. We’ve caught the Times publishing urban legends when they conform to the Times’ biases, and then the Times began amending the article secretly as it got challenged, rather than appending real corrections.

 

Ever since 2017, we have been living in an era of progressive superintendence over social media. This new era of moderation and censorship of social media was pitched explicitly as the remedy for Brexit and Donald Trump — as if everyone who supported these things had fallen for a dirty trick.

 

This era began with BuzzFeed’s then-leader Ben Smith beating his chest about how reporters in the Trump era would have to be on guard for fake news and disinformation and challenge it. A few weeks later, he made the decision to publish fake news, loaded with foreign-sourced disinformation — the Trump dossier.

 

The Covid pandemic showed how it worked. It was always reasonable to speculate that Covid-19, which emerged in Wuhan, may have had some relationship to the one lab in China that was studying bat coronaviruses and had a history of poor safety practices. But, using Donald Trump’s speculations as a springboard, self-interested technocrats were able to sway the preponderance of liberal opinion. When liberal opinion generally converged on the idea that it was a conspiracy theory, suddenly, social-media sites such as Facebook began memory-holing posts on the lab leak.

 

There’s never once been an apology for any of this. Not on the dossier. Not on Covid’s origins. Not on the debates about cloth masks. Not about school closings. Not about the gaslighting over the “mostly peaceful protests” in 2020. None of it.

 

Progressives at tech watchdogs, or those working on Democratic campaigns or throughout the media, do not regret anything about the censorship of social media. They understand it is a source of power – and they are correct to do so. In fact, the obvious lies tend to magnify their power. You can’t prove you have power over the menu unless you occasionally serve up something everyone recognizes is rotten and yet you still force people to eat it. If the common opinion among non-expert but clubbable journalists can move the richest companies in America to begin censoring other Americans, who cares if the censorship has any relation to truth or falsity? The persuasiveness is the demonstration of the power itself. Everyone at the New York Times still has their job if they stayed on the side of that power.

 

Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter is a long-term disaster to these people because it reminds them that sometimes, accountability can exist. Sometimes, your network of popular friends can’t save you.

Biden Is a Captive of Progressives

By John Fund

Sunday, October 30, 2022

 

President Biden will soon be reading a political autopsy written by people in his own party. That’s how bad the midterm elections look for the Democrats.

 

In 2021, in a long screed entitled “The Democrats Are Trying to Lose: How party leaders learned to stop worrying and love losing to GOP fascists,” David Sirota, a former senior adviser to Bernie Sanders, accused Biden of running a Vichy Democrat administration.

 

And in January this year, liberal Washington Post columnist David Ignatius wondered why Biden had abandoned crafting centrist bills that could pass a narrowly divided Congress. Instead, Ignatius lamented, Biden “chases support from progressives in his own party.”

 

Biden has only tacked farther left since these criticisms, and it’s obvious why. It’s not Biden’s “reformist” Democratic Party anymore. “Transformational” progressives set out to take the party over 15 years ago, and they’ve succeeded. But their excesses have convinced remaining centrists, such as Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, that they are taking the party and much of the country over the cliff and that their zeal has few limits.

 

The takeover began in December 2004, in the wake of John Kerry’s unexpected loss in the presidential race against George W. Bush. Leaders of MoveOn.org emailed their donors to announce the silver lining: Its huge fundraising hauls had “proved that the party doesn’t need corporate cash to be competitive. Now it’s our party: We bought it, we own it, and we’re going to take it back.”

 

Scott Walter, who monitors money flows in politics at the Capital Research Center, says that email was a watershed: “Since 2005, the nonprofit tail has wagged the Democratic Party dog.” Campaign-finance “reform” has shifted money and power in politics away from candidates and parties and toward foundations, front groups, and billionaire donors.

 

In his 2012 book, Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns, left-wing reporter Sasha Issenberg noted that the new players “became a backdoor approach to ginning up Democratic votes outside the campaign finance laws, parties, and political action committees.”

 

In February 2021, Molly Ball, the progressive biographer of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, wrote an article for Time magazine headlined “The Secret History of the Shadow Campaign That Saved the 2020 Election.” The decisive element in Biden’s 2020 victory, she said, came from “a well-funded cabal of powerful people, ranging across industries and ideologies, working together behind the scenes to influence perceptions, change rules and laws, steer media coverage, and control the flow of information.”

 

The size of the Left’s alternative power structure is obscured by loopholes that allow its “dark money” flows to remain largely hidden. But the tip of the iceberg is revealing enough. Arabella Advisors, a for-profit consulting firm that the Center for Public Integrity calls a “dark money heavyweight,” raised $2.4 billion in the 2020 election cycle.

 

That compares with the $493 million raised by the Democratic National Committee and the $891 million raised by the Republican National Committee. With that kind of financial clout comes influence and the power to dictate party policy. It’s no secret that after Biden’s victory, Democratic civil-rights groups were asked what they wanted to include in a mega-bill that would have the federal government effectively take over election decisions from the states. The Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act was a 735-page behemoth that is not only purely partisan but also an administrative nightmare. The same pattern explains the sprawling, ramshackle spending monster that was the misnamed Inflation Reduction Act.

 

President Biden’s problem is that he didn’t campaign on the transformational change represented by those bills. Instead, on the very limited occasions when he surfaced at all during the presidential campaign, he promised stability and normalcy after the tumultuous Trump era.

 

Biden thought he could bridge the gap in his party between the far Left and the center Left. Henry Olsen, a conservative columnist at the Washington Post, noted last week that Biden, in his 50-year career, has prided himself on being “a political Zelig, able to materialize in whatever image Democrats want to project.” He tasked his staff, led by Chief of Staff Ron Klain, a faithful retainer for Biden for 30 years, with mollifying the progressives hungry for change; meanwhile, he would broker compromises in inside-baseball negotiations.

 

But this approach alienated two groups that had given him only tenuous support in 2020: progressives and independents. The former have never trusted Biden and only reluctantly agreed to support his nomination in the political turmoil surrounding the government’s shambolic response to Covid. The Left has kept Biden on a short leash. 

 

Independent voters have rebelled against what they increasingly view as a loony Left steering the Biden White House. Biden’s approval rating among independents is now down around 25 percent in some polls. The White House dismisses such polls as “outliers,” but Biden rarely tops 30 percent support among voters in the center of the spectrum.

 

Biden’s way out of his political hole isn’t clear. When the Washington Post interviewed 28 Democratic strategists and officials earlier this year, it found profound skepticism among them on the question of whether Biden will run again in 2024. In the eyes of many people, and across the political spectrum, he has clearly become a diminished figure, and that assessment is now being discussed publicly. Earlier this year, retiring GOP senator Ben Sasse of Nebraska — a Never Trumper who styles himself as a moderate — dismissed Biden’s hyperbolic partisan speeches as the “senile comments of a man who read whatever was loaded into his teleprompter.”

 

Joe Biden in his prime was capable of “Sister Souljah” moments like the ones Bill Clinton used in the 1990s to spurn extremists in his party and bond with centrist voters. As a senator, Biden sponsored a tough anti-crime bill in the 1990s; he has since repudiated that bill. He also noted the “limited, finite ability the government has to deal with people’s problems.” He authored a bill to sunset federal programs unless they were specifically reauthorized.

 

But the Joe Biden of today is captive to the progressive wing of his party. It is outside his control; it holds the financial clout that all Democrats have become dependent on, and it won’t take half a loaf as a legislative solution. As a result, in next week’s midterm elections, Biden is likely to lead his party into a historic defeat in which they lose almost the whole loaf of power.

Caitlyn Jenner vs. LGBT Activists

By Madeleine Kearns

Monday, October 31, 2022

 

On Sunday, Caitlyn (formerly Bruce) Jenner complained on Twitter that the “so-called ‘inclusive’ LGBT community” was really nothing of the sort. Jenner complained of receiving “nasty hate mail” for being a Fox News contributor.

 

Earlier, Jenner tweeted: “The lgbt community is NOT a community — it is a demographic. I love so many in it — but being an outspoken common sense conservative in it is dangerous. The left has reached new levels of violence and intolerance. So sad to see.”



The so-called “LGBT community” is really a group of very loud, self-appointed spokespeople who claim to speak on behalf of all people who are same-sex attracted, gender-distressed, or who just like dressing in opposite-sex clothes. These activists hate individuals like Jenner who serve to remind the public that not every person under the LGBT umbrella shares the same politics or even common interests.

Sunday, October 30, 2022

Why I Keep Getting Mistaken for a Conservative

By Kat Rosenfield

Thursday, October 27, 2022

 

One of my longtime survival strategies as a career freelance writer is a policy of saying yes to everything. This includes paid work, of course, but it also includes lunch invitations, since the only thing I love more than writing is eating. (These are also, incidentally, the only two things in the world that I am any good at.) My policy goes like this: If you invite me to lunch, I will come. Embedded in my policy is a second, equally important policy of asking no further questions about the purpose of the lunch, lest I accidentally trigger a series of events leading to the withdrawal of the invitation, which would be tragic.

 

This is how I came to be sitting across the table from National Review editor Rich Lowry at one of the nicer restaurants on Main Street in a small town in New England on a sunny afternoon in May. In keeping with my policy, I hadn’t asked what I was doing there — but he also hadn’t told me, and after nearly an hour, it was starting to get weird. The food was eaten, the plates were cleared, and we had covered all the obvious topics: our shared interest in writing fiction, our families, our respective trajectories out of New York City and into the suburbs. And then, finally, the penny dropped.

 

“I was hoping to talk to you about writing for National Review,” Rich said, apologetically. “But apparently you’re . . . a liberal?”

 

This was not the first time this had happened to me. The first and best (or perhaps worst) time someone mistook me for a conservative, I was interviewing live with a gravelly-voiced drive-time radio host whom I hadn’t bothered to google and who had evidently been similarly lax about googling me. 

 

“How about these libs,” he said, conspiratorially. (The noise I made in response was somewhere between “nervous laugh” and “strangled cat.”)

 

It happened at the Edgar Awards, where I was a Best Novel nominee for my 2021 thriller, No One Will Miss Her. A fellow attendee smiled and said, “It’s just so great that a conservative like you was nominated,” prompting my husband to snort so violently that he nearly choked on his beer.

 

And of course, it happens online — and particularly in the darker corners of what is known as “bluecheck Twitter,” where those who mistake me for a member of the political Right are not conservatives but fellow lefties, writers and lawyers and academics. There, the allegations of conservatism aren’t a fun case of mistaken identity; there, they’re delivered with an accusatory snarl.

 

***

 

To explain why people keep mistaking me for a conservative, I need to first explain what kind of liberal I am and always have been: the free-speech and bleeding-heart variety. As a kid born in the early 1980s — now a Millennial in early middle age — I understood conservatives through the lens of the culture wars long before I knew anything about politics, which is to say (with apologies to my audience) that I saw them as the uptight control freaks trying to ruin everyone’s good time.

 

Ah, yes, conservatives: the ones who wanted to ban, scold, and censor all the fun out of everything. They were humorless, heartless, joyless, sexless — except for their bizarre obsession with policing what kind of sex everyone else was having in the privacy of his own home. Conservatism was Rudy Giuliani trying to shut down an art exhibit at the Brooklyn Museum on the grounds that it was “sick stuff.” It was Dan Quayle giving a campaign speech that condemned Murphy Brown, a fictional character, for having a fictional baby out of wedlock. It was some lemon-faced chaperone patrolling the dance floor at homecoming to make sure nobody’s hands were migrating buttward. It was my eighth-grade homeroom teacher, Mrs. Teitelbaum, calling my parents at home to report that she’d seen me doodling “satyric symbols” in the margins of my notebook.

 

“Satyric?” my mother said, her brow furrowed with confusion. “Like, half man, half goat?”

 

There was a long pause, a series of faint squawks from the other end of the phone. “Oh, you mean satanic,” she said, and put Mrs. Teitelbaum on hold so that she could shriek with laughter.

 

Here I will acknowledge that it was a different time; the “satanic panic” (a frenzy I now understand to have been as much a product of breathless corporate media coverage and the hubris of certain medical professionals as it was of the religious Right) was only barely behind us. Teen-pregnancy rates were skyrocketing; half of all marriages ended in divorce; violent video games were transforming the entertainment landscape and stoking fears of copycat crimes. If conservatives were anxious about the culture and their place in it, they certainly had their reasons. But to me, a teenager, their anxieties seemed ridiculous, and meddlesome, rooted in a wholly inappropriate yearning to control what was going on in other people’s bodies, bedrooms, and minds. 

 

Of course, ridiculous and meddlesome are not the same as evil — and here, even early on, I diverged from the more strident members of my own political tribe. I had friends who didn’t share my politics, whose existence made it impossible to write off all conservatives as stupid and evil; these people, whom I loved, were clearly neither. I also had friends who did share my politics but whose existence was nevertheless a valuable cautionary tale about what a self-sabotaging trap it was to make “The personal is political” not just a rallying cry in specific moments, for specific movements, but a whole-life philosophy. 

 

So, yes, I was a liberal. I just wasn’t the type of liberal for whom other people’s politics were a deal-breaker or even necessarily all that interesting. When in 2006 I met the man who would become my husband, the fact that he’d voted for George W. Bush was less concerning to me than another affiliation, infinitely more horrifying and far less defensible: He was a Red Sox fan.

 

***

 

In hindsight, the breakdown of the liberal–conservative, Left–Right binary happened like the famous quote from Hemingway about bankruptcy: gradually, then suddenly. By the time Barack Obama was elected president in 2008, the culture wars that animated my young adulthood had been roundly won by the Left. 

 

Britney Spears, once the poster child for conservative purity politics and virginity pledges, had engaged in a three-way lesbian kiss on stage at the MTV Video Music Awards, gotten married and divorced twice over, and was fading into obscurity on the back side of a highly publicized nervous breakdown. The few conservatives still in the fight — over violent video games, high-school sex education, or the worrisome sexual proclivities of people on TV — seemed ridiculous as well as ancient, on the verge of obsolescence, like animatronic characters at Disney World still mouthing their lines from the 1980s through a decades-old patina of rust and grime. When Rush Limbaugh went on a three-day rant over the Affordable Care Act’s birth-control mandate, shouting about the “slut” who “wants to be paid to have sex,” it was less outrageous than pathetic, a front-lines dispatch from a battle long since lost. 

 

From my vantage point — I was by now working as an entertainment journalist at MTV News — this massive cultural shift was best observed alongside the rise of a remarkable new age of television. Creators were reimagining storytelling on the small screen, while redefining the limits of what was considered appropriate to beam into the average American living room on a Sunday night. A show such as Breaking Bad, which debuted in 2008, not only reflected the evolving culture but also revealed from the first just how much had already changed. Here was a story that, had it been released just ten years before, would have surely raised conservative hackles for its violence, its glorification of drugs and crime, its foul language up to and including one uncensored use of the f-bomb per season. (The f-bomb! On basic cable!) 

 

But when Breaking Bad came under fire for being a poor moral influence as it neared the end of its five-year run, it wasn’t because of foul language or graphic violence. The outrage was about toxic masculinity, male privilege, and “mediocre white men.” It was about the misogyny directed at Walter White’s long-suffering wife, Skyler, a topic on which actress Anna Gunn penned a New York Times op-ed in which she concluded that the venomous reactions to her character were symptomatic of a culture still permeated by deep-seated sexism: “Because Skyler didn’t conform to a comfortable ideal of the archetypical female, she had become a kind of Rorschach test for society, a measure of our attitudes toward gender.” It was about the show’s being too white, except for its villains. This was also — to use a buzzword — problematic. 

 

The trajectory of cultural juggernauts such as Breaking Bad was an illustration of the gradual. The sudden, on the other hand, was a series of jolts. There was one in 2015, when the horrific massacre of Charlie Hebdo staffers was met with suggestions from left-wing journalists that perhaps the violence was not undeserved, given the magazine’s penchant for “punching down.” There was another in 2017, when folks swept up by the momentum of the #MeToo movement suddenly began to argue that due process was not just overrated but wholly unnecessary. There was the 2020 Covid-era meltdown over “misinformation,” culminating in the bizarre spectacle of a bunch of free-speech, free-love, Woodstock-era hippies demanding the censorship of podcaster Joe Rogan, one of the country’s most successful self-made content creators.

 

And the new moral authoritarians, the ones bizarrely preoccupied with the proclivities of fictional characters, the ones clamoring to get their grubby hands on the censor’s pen? They weren’t conservatives — or at least not the kind I’d grown up with. This scolding, shaming, and censoring was coming from inside the house.

 

***

 

This is a theory I’ve had for some time, but it crystallized in the writing of this piece: In our current era, politics no longer have anything to do with policy. Nor are they about principles, or values, or a vision for the future of the country. They’re about tribalism, and aesthetics, and vibes. They’re about lockstep solidarity with your chosen team, to which you must demonstrate your loyalty through fierce and unwavering conformity. And most of all, they’re about hating the right people. 

 

Politics in 2022 are defined not by whom you vote for, but by whom you wish to harm.

 

Consider this representative moment from the Covidian culture wars, the aforementioned weeks-long controversy that began when musician Neil Young attempted to muscle Joe Rogan off the Spotify streaming service. Rogan, a one-time reality-television personality whose podcast was bought in 2020 by Spotify in a $200 million deal, had sparked backlash for interviewing guests who made skeptical comments about the Covid vaccine. Young blasted Rogan for “spreading fake information about vaccines” and issued an ultimatum. Spotify, he said, could have “Rogan or Young. Not both.” 

 

Spotify took Young at his word — his music was removed from the service within weeks — but the controversy, fueled by intense politicization of all things Covid-related, had ballooned by then into something bigger. Mainstream-media commentators argued in earnest that Rogan must be censored in the name of public health; Spotify quietly disappeared some episodes of the Joe Rogan Experience from its back catalogue while appending warnings to others; even the Biden White House weighed in, with then–press secretary Jen Psaki saying, “This disclaimer, it’s a positive step, but we want every platform to be doing more to be calling out mis- and disinformation, while also uplifting accurate information.”

 

Amid the kerfuffle over Rogan — which had begun to take the shape of a proxy war over independent media and free speech in times of national emergency — a list began to circulate online of all the guests Rogan had ever hosted, divided by perceived political affiliation. This list, created by journalist Matthew Sheffield of the Young Turks, attempted to undercut notions of Rogan as an equal-opportunity information-seeker by asserting that he “overwhelmingly” favored “right-wingers” as guests. Entries in Sheffield’s “right-wing” column outnumbered those in the left column by nearly four to one. But as multiple commenters (including me) began to note, a plurality of these so-called right-wingers were proponents of drug legalization, same-sex marriage, gun control, and other progressive policies. Many if not most were not just Biden supporters but longtime Democratic voters, dating back 20 years or more. One of them, Tulsi Gabbard, had been a vice chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee and then a Dem presidential hopeful in 2020. (This was before Gabbard’s recent announcement that she was leaving the Democratic Party, calling it an “elitist cabal.”)

 

In addition to their longtime progressive politics, many of these curiously categorized “right-wingers” had one other thing in common: In recent years, they had been critical of the Left for its censorial, carceral, and otherwise authoritarian tendencies.

 

As Reason’s Elizabeth Nolan Brown noted, “the whole thing makes no sense — except as an exercise in labeling anyone out of step with progressive orthodoxy in any way at all as a right-winger.”

 

But of course this exercise is increasingly the preferred — and perhaps only — means for sorting people into various political boxes. And on that front, the whole thing makes perfect sense: This with-us-or-against-us ethos is how I, a woman who has voted Democrat straight down the ticket in every election for the past 20 years, found myself suddenly accused of apostasy by the Left at the same time that I began receiving invitations from right-wingers to appear on Gutfeld! 

 

I said yes to those invitations, too, of course. I even had a good time! 

 

But this is why conservatives so often mistake me for one of their own: not because I argue for right-wing policies or from a right-wing perspective, but because progressives are often extremely, publicly mad at me for refusing to parrot the latest catechism and for criticizing the progressive dogmas that either violate my principles or make no sense. I look like a friend of the Right only because the Left wants to make me their enemy — and because I can’t bring myself to do the requisite dance, or make the requisite apologies, that might get me back in the Left’s good graces. 

 

On that front, I am not alone. There’s a loose but growing coalition of lefties out there, artists and writers and academics and professionals, who’ve drawn sympathetic attention from conservatives after being publicly shamed out of the progressive clubhouse (that is, by the type of progressive who thinks there is a clubhouse, which is of course part of the problem). It’s remarkably easy these days to be named an apostate on the left. Maybe you were critical of the looting and rioting that devastated cities in the wake of George Floyd’s murder by police in 2020. Maybe you were skeptical of this or that viral outrage: Covington Catholic, or Jussie Smollett, or the alleged racial abuse at a BYU volleyball game that neither eyewitness testimony nor video evidence could corroborate. Maybe you were too loud about the continued need for due process in the middle of #MeToo. Maybe you wouldn’t stop asking uncomfortable questions about the proven value of certain divisive brands of diversity training, or transgender surgeries for kids, or — come the pandemic — masking. Maybe you kept defending the right to free speech and creative expression after these things had been deemed “right-wing values” by your fellow liberals.

 

This is a fraught moment for those of us who aren’t reflexive team players, who struggle with reading the room, who remain committed to certain values on principle even when they’ve become politically inexpedient. The present climate leaves virtually no room for a person to dissent and yet remain in good standing. Attorney Lara Bazelon — whose commitment to due-process protections in Title IX cases puts her not just at odds with her left-wing peers but also, in a shocking turn, on the same side as the Trump administration — described the challenges of heterodoxy on an episode of Glenn Loury’s podcast in October 2022. “I have a tribe and they have a position, and I don’t agree with it,” Bazelon said, looking bewildered. “Why is it so poisonous and toxic and canceling-inducing to be able to say that basic thing?”

 

It’s also important to note that this isn’t happening only on the left. Many conservatives told me as much themselves, with a familiar mix of frustration and incredulity. 

 

But admittedly, as recently as a few weeks ago, I still thought that the left-wing manifestation was something else, something worse. It was in the toxic high school–ness of it all, the way that people gleefully coalesced around a new target each day, as if their confidence in their own righteousness relied on the perpetual presence of a scapegoat to kick. The intolerance seemed particularly intense among the type of highly educated liberals who dominate the media sphere, who police the boundaries of their extremely online in-group with the same terrifying energy as the most Machiavellian high-school mean girl. When various polls were released in the aftermath of the 2016 election as to the willingness of various American voters to date across party lines, it did not surprise me at all to learn that liberals were far more likely to say they wouldn’t.

 

After hearing stories from conservatives who have been shunned, shamed, and estranged from loved ones over their lack of support for Donald Trump, I no longer imagine that this brutal breed of politics is unique to progressives. I think it just seems worse to me because the Left has always been my home — and a home where (as those ubiquitous, insufferable lawn signs say) we believed certain things, and behaved in certain ways. We were not censors. We were not scolds. We were not in the business of trying to shut down artists or meddle in people’s sex lives or deny health care to people whose lifestyle choices we disliked. That sort of vicious sanctimony, the boot-stamping-on-a-human-face-forever sense of self-righteousness, was what the Left stood as a bulwark against . . . until it didn’t. 

 

On this front, the erosion of free speech in the creative and intellectual spaces that belong to the Left feels like a particular loss. It’s devastating to see the worlds of journalism, academia, publishing, and comedy all in such thrall to (or fear of) a culture that sees creative work as activism first and art second, a culture that demands conformity to progressive pieties and is always on the hunt for heretics. It’s also alarming to realize that virtually all of America’s cultural products are now being made in environments where admitting that you voted for Trump — a democratically elected president who was supported by roughly half the country — would be not just unusual but akin to professional suicide. 

 

This sort of homogeneity is bad for art, and it’s also not good for people, for building community, for coexisting peacefully in a society sustained by social trust. And it’s not lost on me that expressing these thoughts publicly, especially in the pages of National Review, will no doubt prompt a fresh round of allegations that I’m some kind of faker, a double agent, a wolf in sheep’s clothing. This, too, is part of the way we do politics now: Even if something is true, we’re told, you shouldn’t say it lest it provide ammunition to the other side. 

 

Within the past five years, this toxic variation of the no-true-Scotsman fallacy has become pervasive. In the span of just 20 years, we’ve gone from “The truth has a liberal bias” to “The truth is a right-wing talking point.” People who question the orthodoxy are no longer seen as gadflies but as traitors, and they’re summarily ejected from the club by some self-appointed arbiter of Who Is And Is Not Liberal. Commentator Bill Maher was the subject of one such defenestration this spring: “He prides himself on just asking questions (a lot of which sound suspiciously like GOP talking points),” wrote Molly Jong-Fast in an Atlantic article with the not-so-subtle title “Bill Maher Isn’t a Liberal Anymore.” 

 

Maher’s suspiciously Republican-sounding questions in this case centered on whether the explosion of the number of people under 25 who identify as LGBT+ could be explained in part by social contagion, a psychological phenomenon that has lately been explored by such hateful right-wing outfits as Reuters, the New York Times, and (wait for it) the Atlantic. But Maher was guilty of broaching an uncomfortable truth too early — which is to say, before the powers that be stepped in to declare that Now It Can Be Said. 

 

***

 

The title of this essay is “Why I Keep Getting Mistaken for a Conservative,” and it’s not lost on me that it would be an excellent setup for a tidily dramatic ending in which I suddenly realize that wait, no, the mistake was mine, and finally I see that I’ve been a conservative all along. But despite the occasional flirtation (or lunch) with members of the center-Right, and despite the lucrative career potential of a right-wing pivot, I shan’t be coming out of the closet or putting on a “Team GOP” jersey today. I still believe in liberal principles such as free speech, high social trust, and a government that provides a robust safety net for people in need while leaving the rest of us to live and let live. I support same-sex marriage, universal health care, police and prison reform, and an end to the destructive and foolhardy wars on drugs and terror — and while we’re abolishing things, I wouldn’t mind getting rid of the sex-offender registry and capital punishment, too. Like most people, I’ve seen some of my policy preferences evolve over the years (living through Covid has given me some pause about socialized medicine, for instance), but my values remain the same. 

 

On the other hand, those values also still include sitting down for lunch and conversation with anyone who asks — not just because I love eating (although, man, do I love eating), but because I like people and find them interesting, even when we come from different worlds, or perhaps especially then. To be clear, I don’t think this makes me special; if anything, it makes me normal. Those of us who live in political bubbles, who work in political fields, who spend all day online obsessively refreshing Twitter and consuming news straight from the hose — we’re the weird ones, and it behooves us to remember how weird we are, irrespective of which side we’re on. Outside of my professional sphere, I could probably guess with 85 percent accuracy how any one of my friends voted, but I also wouldn’t do this, because it’s not the most important thing. Really, it’s not even in the top ten. 

 

And within that sphere, where political affiliation resembles a team sport, a religious faith, and a recreational witch hunt, I remain more interested in watching the game than playing it. The work I love best is about analysis, not prescription; it’s about trying to understand what is and why, not what ought to be. And yes, granted, when talking about what the progressive Left is up to, sometimes I feel as if I’m standing inside a crumbling building that used to be my home, narrating the slow collapse of the walls as they rot and buckle around me. There’s also a sense that when the house is rebuilt, it might be elsewhere, on different foundations, so that all of us “suspicious” question-asking types are left standing outside. 

 

But the way things are going, the folks who’ve been pushed out of the club will soon vastly outnumber those still in it. And if words such as “liberal” and “conservative” and “left” and “right” are increasingly meaningless tribal signifiers rather than statements of policy or principle, if all they convey is who you’re against rather than what you stand for, then maybe it’s in our best interest not to keep clinging to them. What are we without these labels? A tribe of the tribeless, unaffiliated and unfettered, with no choice but to get to know one another as individuals. This doesn’t sound so bad. Let’s have lunch.

Bono Has Found What He’s Looking For: Capitalism

By Dominic Pino

Thursday, October 27, 2022

 

Bono is nobody’s idea of a conservative. But this line from a recent interview should get conservatives’ attention: “I’m for different T-shirts these days. I still don’t like Che Guevara T-shirts. [Expletive] Che Guevara.”

 

Couldn’t have said it better myself.

 

In an interview for the New York Times, the U2 lead singer was asked by David Marchese about income inequality. Marchese quoted a line from Bono’s new memoir — “Why is there hunger in a world of surplus?” — and asked him “whether you ever asked that question to all the billionaires you write about glowingly.”

 

Bono is no slouch himself when it comes to wealth (estimates put his fortune at around $700 million, making him one of the wealthiest musicians of all time). And he’s been close with billionaires, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, over the years.

 

Bono told Marchese of his personal evolution over his 62 years of life so far:

 

I ended up as an activist in a very different place from where I started. I thought that if we just redistributed resources, then we could solve every problem. I now know that’s not true. There’s a funny moment when you realize that as an activist: The off-ramp out of extreme poverty is, ugh, commerce, it’s entrepreneurial capitalism.

 

Take out the “ugh” in the last sentence, and that paragraph could have been written for Capital Matters.

 

He went on to say:

 

I spend a lot of time in countries all over Africa, and they’re like, Eh, we wouldn’t mind a little more globalization actually. . . . How are things going for the bottom billion? Be careful to placard the poorest of the poor on politics when they are fighting for their lives. It’s very easy to become patronizing. Capitalism is a wild beast. We need to tame it. But globalization has brought more people out of poverty than any other -ism. If somebody comes to me with a better idea, I’ll sign up. I didn’t grow up to like the idea that we’ve made heroes out of businesspeople, but if you’re bringing jobs to a community and treating people well, then you are a hero. That’s where I’ve ended up.

 

As Jim Pethokoukis wrote, Bono is unquestionably correct about the effects of globalization on extreme poverty. In 1990, about 38 percent of the world’s population lived on less than $2.15 per day, the international definition for extreme poverty. In 2019, only about 8 percent lived below that line (and yes, that’s adjusted for inflation and the cost of living). What used to be a problem for over a third of the world’s people is now a problem for less than a tenth of them.

 

Marchese was taken aback by Bono’s answer. Later in the interview, Marchese said:

 

I’ll admit my biases here. When I see billionaires, I’m inclined to see them as systemic problems. And I think when you see them, you’re inclined to see them as solutions.

 

We’re now in a world where journalists for the New York Times are far to the left of activist-musicians on issues of public policy. But let’s applaud Marchese for being honest. He sees billionaires as problems. Human beings who have a lot of wealth are, by the mere fact of their existence, problems to him.

 

As Kevin Williamson has pointed out before, any political movement that names as one of its primary goals the elimination of a class of people should set off alarm bells in a free country. And as Bono pointed out in his answer to Marchese, pondering the ethics of being a billionaire is, almost by definition, a rich-country problem.

 

“OK, it is likely that I have lost sight of the inequality issue within our own countries as I’m studying inequality on a global level,” Bono said. He continued:

 

Perhaps if I wasn’t so involved in defending the project that is loosely described as globalization, and because I understand how that has narrowed the gap of inequality in the wider world — I suppose I’m not as well read about it. . . . To people who grow up in abject poverty in the developing world, there’s no difference between our bank accounts. It’s like, you two got water, you got heat.

 

Focusing on “the bottom billion” rather than the handful of people with net worths over a billion seems like the smarter way to approach poverty alleviation.

 

Bono was able to appreciate capitalism by caring about the poor and seeing what actually worked to make them no longer poor. He has seen no shortage of well-intentioned Westerners thinking they could fix poverty through planning in the developing world. But through experience he has found that capitalism is what works, which is similar to how Edmund Burke came to support free markets in his day.

 

After six decades of life and a long and successful career in music, one of the top celebrity political activists of our time is telling a New York Times journalist that free markets are the best way to achieve the goal of extreme-poverty alleviation. Bono understands that the freedom he has to create music, sell albums, and make money from his work is the same type of freedom that all people need to prosper. Free markets allow people to find what they’re looking for.

A Lewd Public Stunt Is ‘Peak Trans’

By Madeleine Kearns

Sunday, October 30, 2022

 

Revealing your penis to unsuspecting members of the public is usually considered a criminal offense. But if you identify as transgender, then apparently, it can be perfectly wonderful.

 

Jordan Gray, a singer and comedian from England, appeared recently on a mainstream comedy show on Britain’s Channel 4, performing a song about how he is a “perfect woman” on account of the fact that his “tits will never shrink,” he can “f*** like a mother f***er,” is “guaranteed” to ejaculate, and does “anal by default.” He finished this charming performance by stripping naked and playing a few notes on the keyboard with his penis.

 

If it weren’t for Gray’s transgender status, I somehow doubt this would have gone down well. (And not least because he’s a dreadful musician.) But instead of being called a sexist pig, he earned praise for his “courage.” I am reminded, here, of a Family Guy scene that never gets old: A man in a dress sits at a bar and watches porn on his phone. “Excuse me, ma’am, no porn at the bar,” the bartender says. “It’s okay, I’m transgender,” he replies. “Oh, I’m sorry, I had no idea. Do whatever you want all the time.”

 

Nevertheless, the penis stunt did provoke some modest backlash. The Sun reported that Ofcom, the U.K.’s broadcasting regulatory authority, received nearly 1,500 complaints in relation to the episode. Others expressed disgust on Twitter. As is often the case nowadays, the public criticism was led by feminists — unsurprising given that Gray’s routine revealed both the absurdity and the misogyny inherent in transgender ideology.

 

Indeed, Gray’s penis stunt has great potential for what those of us who have been following the transgender phenomenon closely in recent years would call “peak trans” — a moment when an individual previously willing to accept trans ideology, when faced with some highly provocative or extreme expression of it, realizes its falsity and injustice. As my friend Venice Allan wrote on Twitter, “Everybody knows women don’t have penises but more people are beginning to realise that most ‘trans women’ certainly do.”

 

The context of Gray’s song, boasting about his being a superior woman because of his male body and sexual dominance, also shatters another of the transgender movement’s myths: namely, the idea that all people who identify as transgender are sympathetic characters. Some may be tortured souls, struggling with gender dysphoria and in need of help. But others, especially the high-profile ones, may be bullies and fetishists. No man is entitled to play on women’s sports teams or shower with girls, regardless of how sympathetic his circumstances may be. But men who use their transgender status to publicly demean women or deprive them of their rights ought to be rebuked.

 

There is another thing that Gray’s attention-seeking routine highlights. Most people are still prepared to express public disgust for certain expressions of sexuality, such as incest and pedophilia. But beyond those, as well as what’s criminal, there is a difference between tolerating deviant behaviors and being asked to celebrate them or declare them “equal.” The assault on “heteronormativity” by ideologues in the academy and our cultural institutions has meant that we are forced to pretend we think all expressions of sexuality are equally valid so long as they are freely chosen. But how many people view “f***ing like a mother f***er” and waving your penis around onstage as anything other than the most vulgar expressions of a degraded sexuality?

 

In this regard, Gray’s performance also blurs the necessary divide between public and private. What goes on in people’s bedrooms is their business. But that doesn’t mean people’s bedroom behavior must become the unwilling public’s business.

 

Take the notorious debate over drag queens, for instance. Drag — sexualized cross-dressing — was once viewed as edgy and subversive and could be sought out in nightclubs or at adult-only events for those who like that sort of thing. It then became more openly available as a form of comedic entertainment — again, if you like that sort of thing. Now it is being pushed as suitable for events attended by children and backed by corporations. It has even shown up in schools. When a high-school teacher in Canada came to school wearing enormous prosthetic breasts, it seemed (at least on Twitter and in the media) that more people than usual were willing to state the obvious — not only is a school an inappropriate setting for this behavior, but the behavior is itself perverted. Society can tolerate perverts. But it need not celebrate them.

 

The idea that people cannot distinguish women from men, public from private, good from bad sexual behavior is simply untrue. Jordan Gray’s performance was not only peak trans but perhaps also peak depravity. 

We Won’t Save California Like This

By Will Swaim

Sunday, October 30, 2022

 

There’s an old joke about a Good Samaritan walking down a nighttime city street when he discerns something in the gloom just ahead — not, as he’d first thought, a couple of dogs wrestling beneath a blanket on the curb, but a drunk outside a bar, on his knees in a cone of light emanating weakly from a streetlamp overhead.

 

He asks the drunk what he’s doing. “I’m looking for my keys,” says the drunk.

 

Meaning to help, the Good Samaritan gets down on all fours and asks, “So you lost them right here, you think?”

 

“Oh, no,” the drunk replies. “I lost them inside the bar. But the light’s better out here.”

 

Last Sunday’s California gubernatorial debate was like that. Scheduled during a midday NFL game featuring the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, the broadcast brought rehab-grad Governor Gavin Newsom face-to-face with state senator Brian Dahle, Newsom’s feckless but earnest opponent in the November 8 race. When the lights blazed in KQED’s San Francisco studio, Newsom was searching for answers in all the wrong places, and Dahle (pronounced “dolly”) was on his knees helping him. Dahle remained in that defenseless posture for the hour-long conversation, surrendering arguments on first principles in order to accommodate Newsom’s preference for grand government programs that will remedy — for the first time in human history, it seems — whatever ails you.

 

The debate captured what’s so frustrating about this contest. Even in this favorable midterm climate, we few California conservatives harbor no illusions that our state is a prime pickup opportunity. But the Republican nominee is hardly providing a choice, unlike Lee Zeldin in New York, who, as Dan McLaughlin wrote earlier in the week, has made a real race of his challenge to Governor Kathy Hochul, including with his debate performance. Here, Dahle is down double digits and isn’t doing much to change it.

 

At the debate, when the governor declared that abortion rights are “foundational, the core values of the state of California and something that I enthusiastically support,” Dahle objected as a technocrat might. He would have vetoed roughly $200 million for abortion-care providers in the state budget, he said.

 

Note to Dahle: When your opponent tells you that killing unborn people is “foundational” and one of his “core values,” you don’t argue about line items in the state budget. You spit-take. You ask your opponent if he’s unwell. You look off camera and call for a doctor in the house because it’s apparent that this guy right here belongs to a death cult. Healthy people celebrate births. Count on people like Gavin Newsom to bring cake and candles to an abortion.

 

Dahle did none of this. Instead, he paused, and so, like a well-trained high-school debater, Newsom seized his advantage.

 

“With respect, you’re not pro-life,” he asserted. “You’re pro-government-mandated birth. If you were pro-life, you would support our efforts to provide support for childcare and preschool and prenatal programs.”

 

This age-old, progressive sleight of hand — that allows for no solutions to public problems outside of government initiative — is what’s truly foundational for Gavin Newsom. If, like Dahle, your answer is that many problems are the products of government intervention and that life is best left to individuals (who act in their own best interests alone or through family, faith community, voluntary secular organization, or private business), then you are, in the progressive’s eyes, a do-nothing. You hate people, especially poor people, and especially poor people of color.

 

Dahle should have been prepared for this — both on the facts and the philosophy — because Newsom has repeatedly made similar claims. Just this week, for example, we learned (again) that California is among the nation’s worst states for public education, continuing a long, slow slide that began with the rise in the late 1970s of the powerful California Teachers Association. We learned this (Dahle ought to have said) despite Newsom’s attempt to delay the release of the catastrophic state test results until after Election Day. When the bad news emerged, Newsom ignored it — but managed to issue a press release celebrating the state’s marginally less-awful results on a different national test. His headline? “California Outperforms Most States in Minimizing Learning Loss in National Student Assessment.”

 

When the governor told Dahle, “I blame you for not having one imaginative idea except for those that were promoted by [former education secretary] Betsy DeVos,” Dahle might have responded that Newsom already takes advantage of DeVos’s most-prized solution, school choice: Newsom’s children attend a private school. But making that point was left to KQED moderator Marisa Lagos. Caught by this surprise attack from normally obsequious media, Newsom sputtered.

 

“My kids are going to school right behind our house, a Waldorf School, which is about creativity and critical thinking and the kinds of things that we’re advancing in our public education system,” he replied breathlessly. “And the approach we’ve taken is to provide that same kind of choice and opportunity that my kids are afforded for every single one of our 6 million Californians going to public schools.”

 

So, there you have it: The Wealthy Guy chose a private school both for its proximity (right behind his house!) and its curriculum. But because the WG is also governor, he forces poorer people to attend the failing neighborhood school assigned to them. But one day — one day! — the WG will “provide that same kind of choice and opportunity” to everybody.

 

Dahle remained silent, unable or unwilling to underscore Newsom’s towering hypocrisy.

 

Stealing a tactic from Newsom, Dahle might then have motor-mouthed a catalogue of similar Newsom hypocrisies — such as when Newsom, at the height of the Covid pandemic, violated his own state lockdown protocols to dine with lobbyists at the fabulous French Laundry restaurant. Or when he traveled with California police to states California government has banned for official travel, such as Texas and Montana. Or when the governor talks about the danger of “Republican extremism” even as he completes his third full year of emergency Covid authority. Or when he takes advantage of that emergency authority to award no-bid contracts to his corporate campaign supporters. Or when he brags about California’s job growth but uses as his baseline the joblessness he created during the pandemic.

 

Dahle made a game effort to bring up the costs of inflation, pointing frequently to the state’s record gasoline prices. He even offered the right policy prescription — eliminate the state’s gas taxes. But the challenger seemed unprepared for what everyone knew Newsom would say next: The reason for California’s punishing gasoline prices isn’t taxes or regulation. It’s that oil “companies are ripping you off and ripping us off. And that’s why I want to move forward with a price-gouging penalty to address this abuse.”

 

Any Californian chosen at random knows that higher taxes produce higher prices, even when you call those taxes “a price-gouging penalty.” But Newsom didn’t pause for breath. It’s like he has a third lung and a soprano’s diaphragmatic, costal-breathing control. He pounced and bit again and again, demanding to know why Dahle believed Bad Oil wouldn’t simply pocket a tax cut rather than push the savings to consumers. After all, Newsom said, he has talked to “leading economists” and they say a tax cut is “nothing more than a gimmick.”

 

Dahle answered meekly that he would “make sure that they do it through their taxes that we push down.”

 

It’s hard to know what that means, but it sure sounds like a technocrat’s play. The correct answer is that the free market is the best guarantee that oil companies will pass along savings — and that California’s regulations have created a boutique fuel market in which only a few major refiners can afford to operate. You can trust the evidence of your own eyes: Look at the American Automobile Association’s daily ranking of gas prices, which shows California prices are highest — higher even than Hawaii which imports all of its gasoline. The only relevant differences between the states are taxes and regulation, which are worst in California.

 

If you really wanted to cut the price of fuel in California, you don’t need government to do more. You need it to do less. You need it to trust the marketplace.

 

On point after point, Dahle surrendered the philosophical debate over freedom in favor of public-policy nuance. Instead of explaining his faith in ordered liberty — and pointing to our species’ remarkable capacity to innovate itself out of “shortages” — the challenger engaged in the technocratic knob-twisting and lever-pulling for which Newsom is rightly infamous. No one spits government solutions like Newsom.

 

The fact that those solutions are unworkable is self-evident. Dahle might have taken this rare opportunity to explain why: Like most progressives, Gavin Newsom does not trust people to make rational decisions for themselves, despises businesses and institutions he does not control, does not understand the wisdom of the U.S. Constitution, and believes in few freedoms — except, of course, for the regulatory state’s freedom to grow at the expense of working Californians.

 

It’s not likely that such a conversation would have altered the course of this election. But speaking about first principles might have made a race of it and laid the groundwork for the next one.

 

That would have been a step towards what should be a national project: saving California. Left to follow its own dark impulses, California will weaken the U.S., which will have dire consequences for the world. As Ronald Reagan said in another context, “If we lose freedom here, there’s no place to escape to. This is the last stand on earth.”

 

Then there’s this important fact: Any debate on first principles would have been more entertaining.

Saturday, October 29, 2022

Crime Is Not a Partisan ‘Narrative’

By Christine Rosen

Thursday, October 27, 2022

 

Democrats enjoy painting Republicans as the party of denialism — denial of election results, climate change, racism, “the Science,” and the like. The charge is sometimes true, particularly in the case of election results, but Democrats are loath to acknowledge that denialism is a bipartisan malady. Just ask second-time Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, who never conceded her 2018 loss and is no doubt preparing another non-concession speech to deliver after her likely trouncing in November. 

 

But there is one arena in which denialism is not merely politically risky, but dangerous: crime. 

 

The raw numbers are disturbing enough: FBI data show murders this year continuing to rise slightly after increasing nearly 30 percent in 2020 — although the data are only partial, as they do not include statistics from many local law-enforcement agencies. Thefts and robberies have increased 20 percent in the first half of 2022, according to the Council on Criminal Justice.  

 

Even for people who have never been the victims of crime, a breakdown of order has been noticeable in many parts of the country: from smaller crimes, such as fare-skipping on mass transit and shoplifting, that go unpunished, to organized swarms of thieves descending on retail stores in the middle of the day and clearing out merchandise, random assaults on the street, and, in cities such as Washington, D.C., more than one carjacking a day so far this year, often committed by armed juveniles as young as 13. The general feeling is one of disorder.

 

Which makes the message from Democrats so baffling. Democratic candidates and officeholders have engaged in a sustained denial of the experiences of Americans living through this new crime wave. As they have done with inflation (claiming that it is merely “transitory,” or caused by Big Business, or would be cured by an “Inflation Reduction Act” that, in fact, only made it worse), on crime Democrats are keen to tell voters that what they are seeing with their own eyes isn’t real. 

 

Worse, voters noticing crime invite the charge that they are ignorantly responding to racist “dog whistles” or are part of the problem by participating in the “systemic” forces that give rise to crime in the first place. In other words, voters worrying about crime are the problem, not the criminals whose behavior has stoked their understandable fears. 

 

For example, in the wake of yet another murder on the New York City subway, and amid a spike in violent crime on mass transit, Mayor Eric Adams sounded glib, claiming, “We’re dealing with the perception of fear,” as if this perception were not grounded in harsh realities. Violent crime on New York City mass transit is up almost 40 percent since 2019. 

 

The message of denial is echoed by many other Democratic luminaries. California governor Gavin Newsom sanctimoniously highlighted “America’s red-state murder problem” in a recent video, as did progressive Philadelphia district attorney Larry Krasner, who claimed that “these states in the United States that have a rate of homicide that is 40 percent higher are MAGA states, they are Trump states.”  

 

As Rafael Mangual of the Manhattan Institute has pointed out, this is deliberately misleading: “Criminal homicide is primarily (which does not mean entirely) a problem that resides within large cities. The 50 largest cities in America, home to 15.3% of the country’s population, saw 34.2% of the country’s murders in 2020; 34, or 68%, of the 50 cities had Democratic mayors in 2020, while only 14 (six of which were in blue states that voted for Biden in 2020) had Republican mayors.” In other words, the red-state murder problem is really a blue-city governance problem. No wonder elected Democrats who have controlled these cities for decades want to deny that it is happening. 

 

Governor Newsom would do well to ponder the reason that Rick Caruso, the former Republican running as a registered Democrat for mayor of Los Angeles, was closing the gap in his race with his more liberal opponent, Representative Karen Bass: his consistent and tough message about the disorder and violent crime accompanying the surge in homelessness in Los Angeles. According to a late-September poll reported by the Los Angeles Times, “among likely voters, 91% said that homelessness affects their life directly or indirectly, and 55% said that the mayor can have a major effect in solving the crisis.” 

 

Even when Democratic politicians do notice crime, they seem more eager to make preposterous excuses for it than to denounce the behavior. Recall that when crime rose precipitously in New York City in the summer of 2020, and video evidence emerged of gangs of thieves ransacking luxury retail stores and shoplifting everything in sight at neighborhood drugstores, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez claimed that they were merely misunderstood modern-day Jean Valjeans. “They go out, and they need to feed their child, and they don’t have money, so they feel like they either need to shoplift some bread or go hungry,” she told a virtual town-hall meeting. 

 

This denialism has proven to be an election problem for some Democrats in the midterms, with strategists worried about the party’s vulnerability on crime. Alas, they remain more focused on crafting the correct narrative than on confronting the challenge. 

 

A recent memo from the Washington, D.C.–based HIT Strategies, a firm that does public-opinion research geared toward “Millennials, people of color, LGBTQ+ and other underserved communities,” urged Democrats to “reimagine public safety” and had lots to say about how to combat the “‘crime rising’ narrative”: “If we want to actually protect people, and not just posture and signal about being tough on crime, we have to think about prevention, not punishment. We have to address the reasons for these problems instead of spending limited city budgets on flooding the streets with cops.” 

 

But the fear many Americans have of becoming crime victims is not just part of a “narrative,” and “flooding the streets with cops” sounds appealing to an increasing number of residents of cities such as San Francisco, Portland, Ore., Seattle, and Washington, D.C., where violent crime, homelessness, and open-air drug use have become the new normal. Telling someone who was just mugged or whose child just stepped on human excrement or a used needle at a playground that what they really need to be worried about is ending poverty is condescending, not to mention impractical. Most Americans would gladly like to help end poverty and crime; in the meantime, however, they want their families to feel safe.

 

Moreover, efforts by Democrats to “reimagine” public safety have yielded policies such as ending requirements for cash bail, which returns violent felons to the streets while they await trial and where a large number of them re-offend. Law-abiding people in poorer neighborhoods are the ones most at risk of becoming their victims. 

 

The frustration of even self-identified liberal and Democratic voters on the issue of crime has yielded some interesting bellwethers for the upcoming midterms. A recent poll by the Oregonian found that even the uber-progressive residents of Portland want more police, not “reimaginings” of police. Eighty-two percent of Portland-area voters told pollsters they want more officers walking the streets in the metro area. In mid October, Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin visited Oregon to lend his support to Republican gubernatorial candidate Christine Drazan. His message? If you want to get a handle on crime, elect a Republican. 

 

Of the Democrats, Youngkin said, “They are agents of chaos. They’re not trying to solve your problems — they’re trying to stay in power.” He urged Oregonians to “take back your cities, take back your law enforcement.” Contrast this with the gauzy messaging President Joe Biden offered a week earlier when he stumped for Drazan’s Democratic opponent, Tina Kotek. Oregon is on “the forefront of change — positive change,” Biden said. Evidently, the Obama-era “We are the change we seek” will magically resolve the crime, disorder, homeless encampments, and open-air drug markets on Portland streets.

 

In Wisconsin, the Republican incumbent for U.S. Senate, Ron Johnson, has aired a steady stream of advertisements about crime, a good move considering the results of an October Politico/Morning Consult poll showing that 64 percent of voters say crime is a “major issue” for them and that they trust Republicans more than Democrats to handle it. His opponent, Mandela Barnes, has embraced progressive talking points on crime, telling Wisconsin Public Radio that money should be spent on a “crisis intervener or a violence interrupter” rather than on police. 

 

As lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, Barnes also publicly supported an end to cash bail, and in a recent debate with Johnson, he doubled down on the “root causes” answer to crime. Elected officials should “make sure that communities have the resources they need to prevent crime from happening in the first place,” he said. 

 

Barnes’s message to voters, that the answer to their concerns about crime is to throw more money at “social workers” and “violence interrupters” — whose track record in dealing with violent crime is extremely mixed — and less at traditional policing, is straight out of the Democratic playbook. The HIT Strategies memo advised just that. But “reimagining public safety” with “police divestment” and “reallocation of resources” is merely rhetorical trickery. It is defunding police at a time when crime is rising. And to voters living in high-crime neighborhoods, the appeal to focus on “root causes” such as poverty reads as an excuse rather than a solution.

 

A few Democrats in tough races have implicitly acknowledged voters’ concerns about crime by distancing themselves from defund-the-police policies. In New Mexico, Democrat Gabe Vasquez had fully supported defunding the police when he was a city-council member; now, as a candidate for Congress, he claims he no longer supports defunding. Democrats Cheri Beasley, who is running for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, and Val Demings, who is challenging Senator Marco Rubio in Florida, have both openly opposed defunding police. 

 

Even if Democrats end up moderating their message, they still aren’t speaking to the existing chaos in many cities and towns — and in the process, ironically, are denying the “lived experience” of their own voters. Residents of these places are responding to conditions on the ground — and correctly placing blame on local officials who are overwhelmingly Democrats. All politics is local, as Tip O’Neill famously observed, and crime is a hyperlocal phenomenon. When voters perceive it to be out of control, those perceptions matter, because fear is a strong motivational force. 

 

In response to these fears, too many Democratic candidates talk about crime as if blame should be placed on the law-abiding (who have not done enough for the criminal class) rather than on those breaking the law. To law-abiding people, the system as it operates today, with no cash bail, lenient sentencing, and fewer resources for police officers, seems overwhelmingly to favor the irresponsible at the expense of the safety of the responsible. And the Democratic elected officials who for decades have deflected moral responsibility away from the individuals who commit these acts and pointed instead to vague systemic forces that supposedly cause them might find that voters have finally lost patience with this approach. 

 

Voters don’t want to “reimagine” public safety. They just want to be safe.