By John Gustavsson
Friday, September 04, 2026
On Monday, Keir Starmer announced his resignation as a
member of British Parliament for the Holborn and St. Pancras constituency. In
his statement, Starmer said he wished to “focus on other issues” including
international affairs and defense. While he did not specifically name NATO,
many believe Starmer wishes to succeed Mark Rutte as secretary-general when the
role is up in 2028. If that’s indeed where his sights are set, America should
not let that happen.
Why might Starmer think he has what it takes to be
secretary-general? The truth is that for European politicians, NATO has become
something of a retirement gig. Former secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg got
the position after losing reelection in Norway, as did Mark Rutte after his
last government imploded in the Netherlands. The same can be said for the EU:
Ursula von der Leyen was a moderately successful politician back in Germany
before she was elevated to the position as president of the European Commission.
Neil Kinnock, who lost two general elections as Labour leader, was later
appointed as Britain’s European commissioner.
For those failed politicians who don’t enjoy moules-frites, there’s always the U.N.: After losing the
general election of 2010, Gordon Brown became U.N. special envoy for global
education. His predecessor Tony Blair, meanwhile, was appointed Quartet
envoy for the Middle East on the very same day he resigned.
There are several reasons why Secretary-General Keir
Starmer would be bad news for the United States. First, while Starmer’s
failures in domestic policy have dominated his political obituaries, he was
arguably an even worse disaster on foreign policy. He attempted to give away
the Chagos Islands to Mauritius — a country that never even controlled them —
and pay Mauritius for the privilege. Only an intervention by the U.S. stalled
the deal so that the handover couldn’t take place before Starmer was forced out.
The Chagos handover highlights how Starmer is, at heart,
still the same human rights lawyer he was before entering politics, unable to
distinguish between legal legitimacy and strategic necessity. The
decolonialist, third-worldist mindset and submissiveness toward the U.N. that
characterizes Keir Starmer would render NATO absolutely impotent. At a time
when Americans’ trust in NATO has eroded, the worst thing that could happen
would be for NATO to be led by a secretary-general who may seriously suggest the
U.S. should give up control of Guam or Puerto Rico.
Second, there is Starmer’s stance on Israel. While he did
support Israel after October 7, this support quickly waned as his party began
to worry about losing Muslim and far-left voters to the Green Party. Starmer,
who had started his tenure as Labour leader strong by expelling former leader
Jeremy Corbyn and other extremists from the party, came to gradually embrace
the fringe. Starmer and his government went on to recognize Palestinian statehood and also suspended certain arms
sales to Israel, viewing the country through the lens of humanitarian,
international law rather than as an ally. Though Israel is not a NATO member,
it is a major non-NATO ally with cooperation ranging from counterterrorism to civil
emergencies preparedness.
Third and related to this, Keir Starmer not only refused
to back the U.S. war on Iran but also refused
to let the U.S. use British bases like the joint British-American Diego Garcia
base on the Chagos Islands to carry out attacks, though he later changed his
mind and allowed limited “defensive” use.
Finally, and speaking of changing one’s mind, Starmer’s
record in government is one of an unprecedented number of U-turns. Keir Starmer
broke promises or reversed stance on everything from
welfare reform to grooming gangs and digital ID. Though mostly not related to
foreign policy, the constant U-turns reveal Starmer as someone who, even when
backed by a massive parliamentary majority, cannot hold firm against pressure —
an essential characteristic of any NATO secretary-general, especially in
turbulent times like these.
In the short term, Andy Burnham’s problem will be to
retain Starmer’s seat in the upcoming by-election. Though on paper a safe
Labour seat, it is also a London seat — a poor match for Burnham, who has spent
years railing against London and the London-centric government.
Green Party leader Zack Polanski has announced his intention to run for the
seat, and many in the local constituency Labour party are Starmer loyalists who
may feel demoralized by his exit. While Labour is likely to win, even a close
race would send shivers down the spines of the other 58 London Labour MPs,
abruptly ending Burnham’s honeymoon.
Beyond that, however, Andy Burnham is all but certain to
make a push for Starmer to be appointed secretary-general in 2028, if this is
indeed Starmer’s goal. With the election coming up in 2029, Burnham will want
to have Starmer safely stored out of his way and out of Britain, to prevent the
former PM from causing any ruckus during the campaign.
In the past, failed British policymakers and aristocrats
were routinely exiled to the country’s distant colonies, being “promoted” to
positions with fancy titles that ensured they would never again set foot in
London. Though the empire is long gone, Britain does still control the island
of St. Helena in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, to which Napoleon was
exiled and where he died. As the governor of St. Helena is appointed rather than elected,
this position may be a more suitable retirement gig for Keir Starmer — as long
as Andy Burnham makes it clear he’s not allowed to give the island away.
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