By Charles C. W. Cooke
Thursday, August 20, 2026
Political types are often tempted to ascribe their
opponents’ undesirable ideological positions to their being paid, evil, stupid,
or in thrall in one way or another to a dastardly enemy lurking somewhere
behind the scenes. This temptation is understandable but misguided. There are,
indeed, a few among us whose commitments are the product of perfidy, ignorance,
or greed, but mostly we remain infantry within what Thomas Sowell famously
termed our “conflict of visions.” Why is it the case that, as Sowell put it, “the
same familiar faces can be found glaring at each other from opposite sides of
the political fence, again and again”? Because, he proposed, each side is
animated by an opposite “sense of how the world works.” In consequence, Sowell
concluded, the bulk of our contemporary political disagreements are the result
not of varying exposure to the facts but of differing moral intuitions and
value judgments.
Sowell was writing in the 1980s, and he focused on the
divide between the left, which exhibits what he terms the “unconstrained
vision,” and the right, which exhibits the “constrained vision.” To my mind,
his work is as persuasive today as it was then, and it continues to explain
many of the fault lines within our politics. Nevertheless, I might offer an
addendum to his theory that I believe is of growing importance in our era:
that, in addition to one’s view of human nature, the most potent predictor of
one’s current political disposition is whether one is comfortable living in
America as it actually exists in the year 2026 or one so resents the present
for its many perceived failings that one wishes one had lived in an earlier
time.
Consider how common it is at the moment to hear people on
both the left and the right talk of a given period within the recent past as if
it represented Eden before the Fall. On the left, the period in question might
be the New Deal, or any time “before Reagan,” or perhaps any day up to and
including the one before Donald Trump became president. On the right, the
period might be the 1920s, or the 1950s, or the week before Richard Nixon took
the United States off the gold standard. Pick an epoch; the details don’t
especially matter. What matters is that, for whatever reason — be it the latest
cost of housing or health care or burritos; the existence of billionaires; a
sense that there are insufficient opportunities for the young; the decline of
religious belief — millions of people have decided that the past was preferable
to the present, and those millions of people do not sort into neat left/right
groups.
That alone sets this predictor apart from the others. One
would expect self-described conservatives to be more prone to nostalgia, and
yet polling shows that, in 2026, self-described Democrats are more likely to
take a backward glance than self-described Republicans. Asked earlier this year
by Pew whether America’s best days were “ahead of us” or “behind us,” only 34
percent of Democrats answered “ahead of us,” compared with 46 percent of
Republicans. Historical polling suggests that this gap is a by-product of the
incumbent president’s being a Republican and that it will be reversed when a
Democrat is next voted into the White House. But this underscores rather than
diminishes the point — which is that within both parties, a majority of voters
are of the view that modern life is inferior to what preceded it.
This matters, for just as a man who has been given two
weeks to live will make profoundly different choices from those of a man who
expects to live for another 60 years, so an American who is comfortable with
contemporary life — and who expects to remain so — will behave differently than
one who is not. Among other things, those two individuals will adopt differing
opinions about the integrity of their civic institutions, about the virtue of
their regnant culture, about the wisdom of their fellow citizens, and more. One
will become habitually pessimistic, the other habitually optimistic. One will
be open to change; the other will feel perpetually in danger of losing his
national inheritance. One will be more likely than the other to have children,
build a business, and otherwise engage with what Edmund Burke described as the
“little platoon we belong to in society.”
***
Once one acknowledges this divide, one sees it
everywhere. Take, for example, the recent intramural fight over Christopher
Nolan’s production of The Odyssey. Ostensibly, the fight was over a
movie. In reality, though, it was a proxy argument about how comfortable
right-wingers ought to be with modern American life. On one side of this
argument were a bunch of people who are so appalled by the state of things
that, having learned that the cast would include a black woman as Helen of Troy
and a trans actor as Sinon, they considered even seeing the movie as an
act of cultural treason. On the other side were a bunch of people who, while
they may criticize the state of things, are fundamentally happy in the world. I
am a conservative, and I suspected I might agree with some of the criticisms
that the movie’s antagonists had offered up. But I went to see it anyway — and
I enjoyed it anyway — because I regarded its flaws less as an indication of the
ongoing collapse of Western civilization and more as nicks on the hull of a
generally admirable and satisfying work. Which, of course, is pretty much how I
see America in 2026. Yes, I have a series of strong political opinions, which I
share enthusiastically — sometimes caustically — in this very magazine.
But I would not want to live anywhere else. I would not want to live in another
time. And, if I tally up the good and bad, I find myself filled with optimism,
gratitude, and the conviction that the future is bright.
One might suppose this means that I do not take my strong
political opinions seriously — or at least that I am willing to ignore them in
favor of thinking happy thoughts. But that is untrue. I am, for example,
sincerely pro-life, which in practice means that I consider the vast majority
of American states to be sanctioning murder. I am a constitutional originalist,
which in practice means that I consider an enormous amount of what the federal
government does every day to be flatly illegal. I dislike the president, as I
have disliked every president we have had since I moved to this country in
2011. I think that the media is a national disgrace, that academia has fatally
beclowned itself, and that the entertainment industry has lost its way. If you
were to invite me to gripe, you would, after the end of the second hour, wish
to throw me out of an airplane.
It’s just that I also think that we live in the
midst of an unparalleled miracle, and that, while every age features terrible
problems, not every age has the upsides that ours enjoys. I could rehearse, as
I often have, the intellectual case in defense of this view. But here’s the
thing: While making that case is important, doing so will not be sufficient to
overcome the great divide I am describing, because the great divide I am
describing is not the result of disagreement about the facts. Whittaker
Chambers and William F. Buckley Jr. had access to the same facts, and yet one
of them experienced life as tragedy and was perpetually uncomfortable in the
world, while the other offered his critiques with sprezzatura and
remained at ease even among his adversaries. Could either man have argued the
other into altering his disposition? I think not.
I do not mean to suggest that debate is futile, that
political conversions are impossible, or that the attitudes displayed by our
public figures are irrelevant to the fate of the nation. If I believed that the
future of this country were foreordained, I would never write another word. I
merely mean to propose that, as our politics becomes more muddled, it is worth
looking outside of the traditional ideological axes to determine what is going
on. If one does, one will find some strange bedfellows. In theory, the
so-called post-liberal conservatives and the democratic socialists are sworn
enemies, and yet if one listens to the descriptions of American life that both
promulgate, one discovers that they actually have a great deal in common. Both
groups believe that American life has been hollowed out by shadowy forces, both
believe that this hollowing out was made inevitable by the design of the
American system, and both believe that the solutions to America’s problems come
from thinkers from other places and times. So similar are these two groups in
disposition, in fact, that they routinely reserve their fiercest anger for
those who are nominally on their side. The democratic socialists hate the
moderate Democrats more than anyone else on earth, while the post-liberals are
so incandescently angry with the Reaganites that they respond to any suggestion
that life in the United States is tolerable by insisting triumphantly that such
sentiments will turn people into socialists.
And perhaps they will. But by rights, they ought not to,
because life in the United States is, indeed, tolerable — and usually a great
deal better than that. Negativity may well be a character trait, but it is one
that, like sloth or self-indulgence or impatience, ought to be treated as a
flaw and worked on. Nostalgia may well be an inevitable hankering, but when it
causes one to undervalue one’s actual life, it ought to be suppressed as an
impediment to flourishing. (There is a good reason that nostalgia was
originally classed as a disease.) A traditional conservative concern was that
the arrival of mass affluence would lead people to forget by what mechanism
they were liberated from want and thereby to kill the golden goose. To this,
conservatives might want to add a related worry: that, having been freed from
the need to fret about their subsistence, Americans would come to consider
their own time frivolous and fall in love with the phantoms of a golden era
that did not exist — and never will.