By David Frum
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Is Donald Trump over? Can we all now relax and move on to
the next thing?
That’s the message from a significant portion of
Democratic primary voters. Just as Trump is bored with Iran and the economy and
wants to play with monuments and gilding, so too are many Democratic primary
voters in Florida and elsewhere bored with Trump and eager to play factional
politics instead.
The political statistician Nate Silver summed up the mood
on X today:
“It’s kind of been a rough set of primaries for Heroes of the Resistance 1.0.”
Silver then listed stalwart anti-Trumpers who have lost their contests in 2026
and concluded, “People want to move on.”
America is a fast-moving, dynamic country. It’s tough for
Americans to stay focused on a single thing, even if that single thing is the
threat to American democracy. As the celebrity spokesmodel Heidi Klum tells the
audience on Project Runway: “In fashion, one day you’re in, and the next
day, you’re out.” This law also apparently applies to Democratic candidates who
took serious risks to challenge Trump. The resistance, it seems, is out.
The far left of the Democratic Party has never been as
energized as the party’s center about Trump and democracy. A 2017
analysis in The Washington Post suggested that between 6 and 12
percent of people who voted for Bernie Sanders in the 2016 Democratic primaries
voted for Trump in the general election. With many careful caveats, the
analysis observed that these voters exceeded Trump’s margin of victory.
In 2024, likewise, some leaders of the activist left
noisily defected from the Harris-Walz ticket. For many of them, opposing
Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza mattered more than stopping a Trump
presidency at home. The effect of this mobilization on the left is hard to
measure, but The Nation was quick to insist
that the Biden administration’s Gaza policy likely cost the party Michigan,
because many Arabs and Muslims swung toward Trump. The article did not
seriously consider whether culture politics, such as Kamala Harris’s support
for transgender rights, influenced socially conservative Arab and Muslim
voters, even though the city of Dearborn has long been a locus of anti-gay
grassroots politics in the state. The claim that Harris lost to Trump
because of Gaza may well be activist self-medication, but this kind of story
about the election is telling.
This year, the dulling of anti-Trump impetus on the left
is even more visible and consequential. Again and again, primary voters have
made choices that subordinate general-election concerns to factional
power-seeking. Democratic leaders—the dreaded “Establishment”—have promoted
highly plausible candidates for statewide office in North Carolina, Texas, and
other suddenly competitive states. But the insurgent left has again and again
upset leadership plans with high-risk choices to serve its own factional agenda,
putting at risk once-probable Senate victories in Maine, Michigan, and some
House seats too.
That agenda seems to argue as follows:
Donald Trump is not that important. His attacks on the
rule of law, on free and peaceful elections, on U.S. alliances, on trade and
markets—those are all mere symptoms of a disease, not the disease itself.
Political energy should be focused on treating the deeper problems of which
Trump is a mere passing expression, even at the risk of losing the Senate in
2026 and forfeiting the presidency in 2028. “Winning” with Chuck
Schumer–approved candidates is no win at all. Better to risk losing than to
“win” on Schumer’s terms.
The Democratic left is making a complicated—and quite
ironic—internal gamble here. The faction’s efforts to hijack the larger party
to their own unpopular causes will work only if they can convince Democratic
voters that Trump is not the most important and urgent problem facing
Americans. Yet the only reason Democratic centrists would coalesce around the
party’s leftist candidates in November is if they believe in the absolute
urgency of stopping Trump.
Many of the far-left candidates are aggressively
obnoxious from a centrist’s point of view. Centrist Democrats are not
socialists, not revolutionaries, and not disposed to blame Zionist conspiracies
for every trouble in American life, including police
brutality and urban
gentrification. Why on earth would centrist Democrats in Michigan vote for
a radical leftist who calls
most Democrats hypocrites when the other choice on the ballot is a Republican campaigning
on reducing housing costs by simplifying the government-approval process?
In Florida last night, Democrats rejected Alex Vindman,
the former national-security official who at immense personal and career risk
blew the whistle on Trump’s 2019 plot to blackmail Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelensky into fabricating campaign dirt against Joe Biden. Voters
chose instead Angie Nixon, who campaigned as an explicit “socialist” in a state
that is home to hundreds of thousands of Cuban American and Venezuelan American
refugees from socialism, and who ran alongside anti-Israel figures such as
Oliver Larkin and Rashida Tlaib in a state with the nation’s third-biggest
Jewish population.
From a Democratic-centrist point of view, if Trump’s
attacks on the rule of law are not a supreme and imperative threat, then a
Republican Senate majority led by John Thune is an endurable nuisance. Far-left
candidates have a chance in the general election only if Democrats believe that
Trump is the supreme and imperative threat.
The remains of the suddenly unfashionable Democratic
resistance can only hope that Democrats in Texas, North Carolina, Michigan, and
elsewhere will rise above the factional politics and remember in November what,
and who, remains the most pressing danger to the nation’s law and democracy.
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