By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, August 28, 2026
“President Trump is one of the greatest showmen in
history, and we fully expect to have a spectacular showing in Dallas and draw a
massive viewership,” RNC spokesperson Natalie Baldassarre recently told Axios.
I’m sure Ms. Baldassarre is a formidable one. You would
have to be, to go through high school with the first seven letters of your last
name spelling out “bald ass.”
But such juvenilia aside, I’m not so sure. Ms.
Baldassarre was responding to reported concerns that the upcoming GOP midterm
“convention” in Dallas may struggle for its desired audience as it will be up
against the opening games of the NFL season. Vice President J.D. Vance’s first
night keynote will compete with a Superbowl rematch of the Patriots and
Seahawks. Who can doubt that a man with such exquisite comedic chops will win the crucial battle for ratings?
“President Trump gathered his top political advisers in
the Oval Office early this month to solve a problem of riches: How to spend his
super PAC’s $400 million political war chest with fewer than 100 days to go
before the midterm elections,” according to The Atlantic.
The gurus debated different approaches, but Trump knew
better. “The solution Trump settled on, according to three people familiar with
the meeting, was to lean into the Democratic strategy of focusing on himself.”
Now, in the abstract, just because this is perfectly
consistent with Trump’s narcissism—“America has a fever and the only
prescription is more me!”—this isn’t necessarily a bad idea. Democrats are
going with the time-honored strategy of making the election a referendum on
Trump, so making Trump more popular has a certain logic to it.
The logic is even more compelling when you take into
account that, at this point, it’s impossible to argue that a vote for a
Republican isn’t a vote for Trump by proxy. Trump, more than any other
president in American history, has turned his party into an extension of his
personal brand. Traditionally, parties support their incumbents. But Trump has
routinely intervened in primaries to make loyalty to him the litmus issue,
endorsing challengers who vow to be Renfields to his Dracula. The only way the
speaker of the House’s press conferences could convey his abject, supine,
lickspittelry better is if they began with Trump wheeling out a kennel and
having Mike Johnson emerge in a leather S&M onesie. “Gimp, say a few words
for the fake news.”
There’s more resistance in the Senate, and Majority
Leader John Thune deserves more respect and credit for it. But the Senate
Republicans, for understandable reasons, keep their resistance very low-key,
lest they invite too much of Trump’s wrath. Even the supposedly “YOLO” lame
duck senators routinely couch their criticism in the Bad Boyar tradition,
claiming that Trump is getting “bad advice.” As a result, the average voter
draws the reasonable conclusion that the Senate, too, is simply an extension of
Trump. So, again, if the midterms are a referendum on the president—as they
pretty much always are, to one extent or another—getting Trump’s favorability
out of the mid-30s makes sense in the abstract.
The problem is that Trump isn’t an abstraction—he’s been
the dominant political figure for a decade. And he’s unpopular.
But I don’t think his unpopularity is his only problem. He’s become boring. His “unpredictability” has
become utterly predictable, for friend and foe and bystanders alike. He has no
new material. It’s all variations of a very, very, familiar theme.
Yes, he can still make me mad. And he can infuriate
Democrats. But his schtick is tired. He keeps trying to update the same
material. He now says Lake Ontario is “Lake America.” It’s a dumb stunt, but
it’s also unoriginal. He did this with the Gulf of Mexico already. That was
dumb, too. But at least it was transgressive and shocking. It displayed a kind
of confidence—confident asininity is still confidence. This feels more
desperate.
I remember reading a profile of Bob Hope in his final
years. He was making a made-for-TV movie and there was a scene in which a
passing car was supposed to splash mud on him when going through a puddle. Hope
told the director to make it a lot of mud, so it would be really funny. So,
they followed his make-the-gag-bigger advice and had him drenched with gallons
of mud. The quantity of the mud didn’t contribute much to the quality of the
humor. It was a sad little vignette—the mud splash bit was a staple of an
earlier era of humor, but sensibilities had changed.
That’s how “Lake America” feels to me. Hit the cowbell
with a bigger hammer, the old logic went, and people will love it. Not so much
anymore
The bigger problem for Trump is that he’s become the
“establishment” and the status quo. His rebel-in-the-White-House schtick is now
incongruous with the reality that he’s not the rebel anymore—he’s the empire.
You can see this playing out on the Democratic side.
Numerous “Resistance 1.0” candidates lost their primaries because the old
resistance movement worked on the assumption that Trump was an aberration, an
unrepeatable fluke. But the fluke was repeated. And this time the “Deep State”
backstabbers and Never Trumpers in the crumbling ancient regime were purged.
His Cabinet has no John Kellys, Jim Mattises, Jeff Sessionses, Mike Pompeos, or
Bill Barrs. It has abject loyalists for the most part, and a few tacticians who
know that they can never say “No” to the president but also that they can
maneuver how they say yes. He is the unitary executive in the executive branch,
and the GOP. The new crop of Democrats still hate Trump, but they see Trump as
the face of the status quo and the establishment. And so do Democratic voters,
and a lot of independents, and a good number of Republicans.
The diehard MAGA types still talk like Trump is taking on
the establishment, but where? Mitch McConnell’s hospital room? Mitt Romey’s
poolside? Trump controls the party in power. He’s routed the resistance. The
only people who earnestly use the phrase “Never Trumper” anymore are the people
desperate to keep fighting old fights, to replay greatest hits, to hold onto to
the self-serving frisson that they are the insurgents. Though some want to mine
the reserves of anti-Never Trump hatred to create a “Never Vance” bogeyman.
It’s a rule in ideological media that it’s more fun—and
more profitable—to be on offense than defense. National Review always
got more traffic and subscribers when Democrats were in power. Rush Limbaugh
was at his height when he was the “leader of the opposition.” The Nation
surged under Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, and shrank under Bill Clinton
and Barack Obama. It’s just easier—and more fun—to play the armchair general
than to be in the trenches, responsible for your choices or your team.
It’s no surprise that the MAGA infotainment complex is reeling. Megyn Kelly is flailing for relevance, chasing
edgelord content to hold attention. Benny Johnson’s views have cratered since
the election. Take a gander at this:
Source: The Righting.
Defending Trump is even harder than a normal president
because his predictable unpredictability makes it impossible to make a
consistent argument in defense of his policies when his policies can change on
a dime. As I’ve argued many times, this has caused a lot of people to revert to
a blanket “In Trump We Trust” approach, defending his genius and instincts,
rather than his ideas. But that gets hard when the schtick gets old and prices
keep going up. Trotting out the talking points about his virility doesn’t work
as well when he’s falling asleep at Cabinet meetings.
Trump is becoming a Citizen Kane figure before our eyes,
increasingly spending his waking hours trying to turn Washington into a Xanadu
that will outlive him. When Susan mocks Kane for spending all of his time
collecting baubles and trinkets in his monument to himself, Kane responds
“You may be right—I sometimes wonder—but you get into the habit.”
For Trump, the habit he’s retreating into is talking
about marble and gold and how he knows how to build things better than anybody.
He knows more about grass than anybody, so let’s talk about the lifespan of
grass, rather than the lifespan of the war in Iran. If he has to talk about
politics, he’d rather talk about his “landslides,” like Al Bundy talking about
his four touchdowns in one game.
Yesterday Howard Lutnick removed his cranium from Trump’s
sphincter long enough to explain to the press why he has to be allowed to renovate
the Kennedy Center.
The president
works all day, every day. And there are two things that he does for enjoyment.
He plays golf on the weekend, and he builds. He loves to build.
So, this—like, why
are we talking about this? This is what he enjoys. So late at night, 11 o’clock
at night, he calls me and wants to talk about things he’s building because it’s
fun for him.
...
And the one thing
he likes to do during the week is construction. So I am helping him so he can
enjoy constructing the Kennedy Center.
And, according to Lutnick and the DOJ, if he can’t figure
out a way to put his mark on the Kennedy Center, we might just have to tear the
whole thing down.
What I love about Lutnick is his natural gift for saying
dumb stuff as if it was smart. Remember when he suggested withholding Social Security checks in order to out
fraudsters? “A fraudster always makes the loudest noise, screaming, yelling and
complaining.”
The key to understanding Lutnick is that he speaks for
Trump’s id, not Trump’s ideas or political interests. He says to cameras what
everyone else whispers to Trump at Mar-a-Lago. So while the professionals want
to argue that Trump is focused on Iran or affordability and deny the “fake
news” that 70 percent of Trump’s brain is occupied by renovation
projects, Lutnick wants to make the case for letting the baby have his bottle.
If he was the spokesman for Louis XVI, he’d be telling the press that the
king’s obsession with locks and clocks was something to celebrate even as the
sans culottes were building the scaffold and sharpening their pitchforks.
There’s always been a King Lear quality to Trump. He
wants all the pageantry and esteem of the presidency, but not the
responsibilities. He likes to have Natalie Harp post charts designating him the greatest president of all
time, but cannot muster the energy to even be a serviceable one if it gets in
the way of selecting bathroom tiles. This kind of schtick worked when it was
new and shocking, it’s now old and pathetic, aimed more at reassuring
himself—and the handful of true believers he thinks represent the silent
majority. Never trust a man to make good decisions when the only counsel he
listens to is flattery.
Making the midterms a referendum on Trump is what Trump
wants. He cannot fathom the idea that he’s not actually popular or that Trump
fatigue is setting in, even among the faithful. He recently told Michael Cohen that if a presidential election were
held today, he’d win by 25 points. No wonder he thinks the solution to the
GOP’s problems can be found in more rallies, more greatest hits, more clanging
cowbells about the enemy within. Let’s have another chorus of “Free Bird,” or
in his case, another shake-weight dance to “YMCA.”
Like poor old Norma Desmond, he’s always ready for his
closeup.
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