By Rebeccah Heinrichs
Tuesday, March 03, 2026
President Trump said there’s a “big wave” of military
action against the Islamic Republic of Iran in Operation Epic Fury. That
probably means we’ll see more action from our bombers, the only U.S. aircraft
that can carry our largest “bunker busters” to reach the most deeply buried
targets. America’s stealth bomber, the B-2 Spirit, has already dropped
precision, penetrating munitions in this operation. As Chairman of the Joint
Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine commented,
they flew undetected for 37 hours from the continental United States, just as
they did in Operation Midnight Hammer.
Over the past several years of Russia’s war against
Ukraine, we’ve heard a lot about the lethality of drones and how they may be
making larger, more traditional, and bespoke platforms obsolete. Not only is
that so obviously untrue, but it’s also backward. As we are witnessing in Epic
Fury, to take on minimal risk to our forces while delivering the desired
military effect, the United States relies on these heavy stealth bombers. To
shore up and consolidate American global preeminence, we require a lot more. The
U.S. has only 19 B-2 stealth bombers. Seven of these were used in Midnight Hammer, and reportedly
four have been used in Epic Fury. The program of record for the
next generation B-21 Raider was originally assessed to be 100. This was decided
around 2011, before planners had a clear picture of the need to shore up the
United States’ global position and defend its core interests against a
determined authoritarian axis, led by China and including Russia, North Korea,
Iran, and narco-communist states in our hemisphere. It was prior to China’s
ongoing dramatic expansion and modernization of its forces, including its
nuclear posture.
Over the next decade, the United States will seek to
simultaneously deter, for the first time in history, two major nuclear powers:
China and Russia. Washington will also seek to carry out combat operations
against China’s and Russia’s partner nations, as we are witnessing in Iran. At
the same time, the U.S. must prepare to win a war against China if deterrence
fails while concurrently deterring opportunistic aggression in another
geographic region. As the Trump administration seeks to regain stability and ratchet
up its geopolitical advantages to keep a cold war from going hot, its strategy
should be underpinned by the stealth bomber. No other nation in the world, from
a Chinese weaker partner such as Iran or Russia, or even China with all of its
sophistication, can match America’s stealth technology, let alone sufficiently
defend against it.
The good news is that the Department of Defense is
increasing the production rate of the B-21. Previously, officials anticipated the B-21 to enter service in the “mid-2020s,”
but by accelerating production by 25 percent, the bombers are expected to be “on the ramp” at Ellsworth Air Force Base in
South Dakota by 2027. This is a good first step in giving the Raider a more
elevated role to ensure that the next century remains an American one. The
United States should open a second B-21 production line and aim for a bomber
fleet closer to 300.
In 2025, then–Commander of U.S. Strategic Command General
Anthony Cotton said that, for his command’s mission, a larger fleet was
necessary. The number he cited was 145. U.S. Strategic Command has its
requirements, but so do the other commands preparing for combat operations in
their areas of responsibility; they need stealth bombers, too. In a Taiwan
contingency, the B-21 could act as our quarterback, contributing to the fight
prudently positioned among the second island chain, delivering a complex
variety of ordnances, and it could direct drones to the battlefield in higher
volumes than possible with fighter jets alone. The concept of the B-21 as a
missileer has been floated since the late 2000s, but it was not initially
incorporated into the model’s design. With expanded investment in production,
this capability can be added to make the Raider an even more potent and
versatile asset. And, as a drone mothership, the B-21’s unique payload, survivability, and
range capacities could make it the ideal delivery system for small, cheap,
unmanned drones. Though cheap to produce, it is much more costly to transport a
drone to the battlefield. With the B-21 carrying them in, eliminating the need
for drones to possess such range themselves, it can dramatically lower costs.
The B-21 as a missileer can fight our way into a highly
contested Chinese airspace and suppress enemy air defenses to secure and keep
air superiority. U.S. Indo-Pacific Command Commander Samuel Paparo affirmed
last year that “ceding air superiority is not an option if we intend to
maintain a capability against our adversaries and the ability to support our
allies.” Air-power experts point out that a large-scale, proven air-to-air capability
on bombers is useful in keeping an enemy confused about which platforms might
deliver which effects, limiting their ability to react.
Another one of the lessons from the way Ukraine has been
permitted to fight is that restraining Ukraine’s ability to launch into Russian
territory and to wage only a defensive war primarily fought via drone is a
recipe for protraction. That kind of war with China — a war in which the U.S.
fights a protracted drone war at sea and refuses to target the Chinese homeland
— would cede the advantage to the Chinese, with their dominant industrial
capacity to produce drones. The United States should be building a force to go
on the offensive to destroy Chinese mobile launchers and weapons production
facilities in mainland China. This is a perfect mission for the B-21, which has
deep range, and a mix of conventional and nuclear mass-deliverable options in a
single system.
The most critical lesson from Ukraine and from our
ongoing military campaigns against the Islamic Republic is that we need to lean
into our comparative advantages — our warfighting competency and globally
unmatched stealth. Chinese academic and military writing predictably indicate worry about the American stealth bomber. We would be wise
to increase their worry, optimize our advantages instead of fighting on the
enemies’ terms, and, in doing so, convince the Chinese that peace is a better
path.
No comments:
Post a Comment