By Jim Geraghty
Monday, March 23, 2026
The New York Times headline declares, “G.O.P. Bid to Target Transgender
Athletes Falls Flat in the Senate.”
Now, it did “fall flat” in the sense that the proposed
amendment did not reach the 60 votes needed to be added to the SAVE Act, nor
did it or the SAVE Act become law. But it didn’t “fall flat” in the sense that
it didn’t get more votes than the other side did; 49 senators voted for the motion to
invoke cloture on the amendment, and 41 senators voted against it. As the Times
itself notes, “no Democrat rose to speak against the transgender proposals.”
Those of you who are good at math will notice that adds
up to only 90 senators voting in the motion to invoke cloture; Democrats Chris
Coons of Delaware, John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, Jeanne Shaheen of New
Hampshire, Tim Kaine of Virginia, Mark Kelly of Arizona, and Dick Durbin of
Illinois missed the vote, as well as Republicans John Curtis of Utah, Tim
Sheehy and Steve Daines of Montana, and Rand Paul of Kentucky.
Democratic senators probably had a good reason for not
wanting to speak against the GOP proposal.
Gallup found in May that 69 percent of
U.S. adults continue to believe that transgender athletes should only be
allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth sex. Among independents,
72 percent hold that position, and even 41 percent of self-identified Democrats
hold that position.
So every Democratic senator running for reelection this
year will face attack ads that they voted to keep transgender athletes in
girls’ sports. Sure, Republicans would have preferred to pass the measure, but
now every incumbent Democratic senator has taken an unpopular vote or skipped
it, and advocates for transgender athletes in girls’ sports know that
Democratic senators will vote their way but don’t want to defend that vote. For
“falling flat,” that’s not so bad.
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