By Eliot A. Cohen
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
As Cabinet members snarl at representatives and senators,
and social media fills with semiliterate trolling and insults by public
officials, we need to remember that rhetoric—the art of persuasive speech—still
matters. Marco Rubio, the U.S. secretary of state, gave an excellent
demonstration of that fact at this year’s Munich Security Conference.
Any contemporary speech carries the burden of multiple
audiences. In this administration, the first and most important is the volatile
and tempestuous president. But at Munich, there are other audiences as well:
those in the room who represent not only a European but a global
national-security elite; European and other politicians outside the room who
care chiefly about domestic politics but are aware of international politics;
real and potential enemies; and an American audience taking the measure of its
country’s leaders.
Delivering speeches at Munich is a perilous business. In
2018, Lieutenant General H. R. McMaster gave a podium-thumping address about nuclear proliferation and jihadists. A month later he was
sacked; he’d received a tweeted dressing-down in midair on the way back for
having acknowledged Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election.
Last year, J.
D. Vance headed in the other direction—denouncing
democratic decay in Europe while calling out errant allies by name. This
undiplomatic tirade went over well in the White House, but marked him as a
belligerent nativist abroad and something of an isolationist at home. The
speech might have elevated his standing with MAGA world, but showed him to be
out of the mainstream of American foreign-policy views as measured by
consistent polling of what the American people want. Vance’s tone was loutish
in the distinctive, and tiresome, Trump way.
Rubio’s lengthy speech this past weekend was very
different. There was nothing in it to offend the president, who was referenced
three times, enough to flatter but not so often as to seem to grovel. The
phrase sigh of relief was used by Rubio’s European host after the
speech, and he meant it: The secretary of state received a standing ovation at
the Hotel Bayerischer Hof. The American political class, including those on the
right, cheered as well. Fox News approvingly noted, “Rubio Fuels 2028 Speculation.”
This reception was not surprising. Rubio is not merely
bright and well spoken but a far more experienced politician than anyone else
in the Trump Cabinet: He spent eight years in the Florida House of
Representatives, including two as the youngest speaker and the first Cuban
American to hold that position; served three terms in the Senate with weighty
experience on the Foreign Relations Committee and the Select Committee on
Intelligence; and now holds the combined roles of national security adviser and
secretary of state in the highly personalistic Trump White House.
At 55—older than he looks—Rubio is a politician in his
prime. It is highly unlikely that his career is over. He has articulated high
principles and shown the occasional streak of ruthlessness and expediency—the
latter having landed him in the Cabinet of a man he once despised. In theory,
he has indicated his intention to play second fiddle in a Vance administration,
but the current vice president would be a fool to take that as the final word.
If the slippery turns of politics leave Vance exposed or failing, Rubio will
undoubtedly do to him what he did to his mentor Jeb Bush, shunting him to the
side with brutal skill. He assuredly wants to be president and might very well
end up there.
There is every reason, then, to take his speech seriously
and examine it carefully. While keeping Trump onside, Rubio sought not only to
reassure but to rally Europeans. Where Vance seems only to have desired to
berate and insult, there was something more urgently coaxing in Rubio’s tone.
He seems to understand that the United States needs allies, that NATO was and
should remain a cornerstone of American foreign policy, and he probably knows
as well that an alienated Europe is dangerous for the United States. He spoke
of our “intertwined destiny” and asserted that “the fate of Europe will never
be irrelevant to our own.” In short, he reaffirmed the old saw that the only
thing worse than fighting with allies is fighting without them.
His description of the common bonds, however, was
predominantly civilizational. He cited poets and authors rather than political
thinkers: Shakespeare, Mozart, Michelangelo, and the Beatles got shout-outs,
not Montesquieu or John Locke. God appeared once, Christianity twice, and
cathedrals, but not the Mother of Parliaments in London.
He disparaged globalism and the “rules-based
international order,” though not in nearly as simple-minded a fashion as Pete
Hegseth or his subordinates, a dull array of bumpkin Metternichs. The main
themes that Rubio hit were the profoundly damaging consequences of unfettered
free trade and mass migration. In this, he addressed the justifiable anger that
has fueled populism in the United States and abroad, and that even now baffles
an uncomprehending wealthier class that does not feel, understand, or even particularly
care about what its fellow citizens are experiencing.
Like Vance, Rubio named no foreign adversary—not Russia,
China, Iran, or jihadist fanatics. This was partly out of deference to a
president who thinks not of enemies but only of potential counterparties to be
bargained with, bullied, swindled, or accommodated. And Rubio was evasive when
asked about Moscow and Beijing in the brief question-and-answer session. But he
also reflected an introversion in the West that can easily go too far.
Rubio’s critique of the rules-based international order
echoed that of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. Both accept the truth that
such rules as have existed have resulted much more from American hard and soft
power well exercised than from a Kantian consensus among right-thinking
politicians. Far more troubling was Rubio’s substitution of the word civilization
for values.
Rubio’s vaunting of America’s roots in Europe may not
play well with the descendants of enslaved peoples, Native Americans, and Asian
American immigrants. His celebration of Europe’s expansion—“its missionaries,
its pilgrims, its soldiers, its explorers pouring out from its shores to cross
oceans, settle new continents, build vast empires extending out across the
globe”—may seem rather one-sided to populations that felt the lash as much as
or more than the benefits of colonial rule. And the invocation of Christian
civilization leaves at best an uncomfortable marginality for atheists, Hindus,
Sikhs, Buddhists, Muslims, and Jews.
Abraham Lincoln once said, “I have never had a feeling
politically that did not spring from the sentiments embodied in the Declaration
of Independence.” There was in Rubio’s speech, however, no “decent respect for
the opinions of mankind,” no affirmation of innate human equality, no
insistence on the fundamental natural rights of the individual, no reverence
for God without proclaiming the preeminence of any sect. The Declaration
mandates no particular American foreign policy, but the values the document embodies
have always informed it, even as American statesmen have struggled to reconcile
the country’s many mundane interests with the principles that gave it birth.
This was indeed a noteworthy divergence. It may represent Rubio’s actual views, or alternatively, his adroit maneuvering within an ideologically constrained political space. The son of refugees from Castro’s Cuba must have within him something that echoes Lincoln’s faith and that of the Founders—at least so one hopes. Whichever it is, his speech outlined a path for American foreign policy that may wander from older verities yet prove far more acceptable to America’s allies, and far more constructive, than that of the first year of an administration so shamefully out of the American norm.
No comments:
Post a Comment