By Nick Catoggio
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
“Don’s double defeat” read the headline this morning at Politico,
reeking of triumphalism at the president’s expense.
I was mortified. To an Eeyore, a strong dose of
unexpected optimism has the same effect that garlic has on vampires. My
supernatural power to suck the hopefulness out of any political development was
momentarily disabled.
But only momentarily.
The “double defeat” happened in the span of a few hours
Tuesday. First came shocking news that our scummy
mafioso Justice Department had asked a grand jury to indict six
congressional Democrats over the video they cut last fall reminding U.S.
service members not to obey unlawful orders. I thought the FBI’s
investigation of the six was essentially for show, going through the
motions to appease Donald Trump as he screeched
about “sedition.”
Nope. The U.S. attorney’s office in D.C., led by “Judge
Jeanine” Pirro, actually tried to prosecute members of Congress for
accurately stating military policy. And then, the even more shocking news:
The grand jury said
no. Pirro’s office failed at the most notoriously easy task in
American law, and not
for the first time.
The second defeat came in an even less likely
forum—Congress.
Leaning ever further into his role as Renfield to the
president’s Dracula, House Speaker Mike Johnson sought to pass a rule that
would bar lawmakers (namely, Democrats) from introducing bills aimed at
repealing some of Donald Trump’s tariffs. Twice last year Republicans passed similar
rules
for specified periods of time; Johnson wanted another extension, hoping to
spare his conference from having to tackle a fraught issue that might
soon be rendered moot by the Supreme Court.
The Republican Party: Offloading its civic duty to
restrain the president onto others since 2016.
Nearly every member of the House GOP went along with this
latest attempt to outlaw, er, legislating, but this time “nearly every member”
wasn’t enough. Three Republicans—Thomas Massie, Don Bacon, and Kevin
Kiley—voted no, as did every Democrat. The
rule failed, 214-217.
The first floor vote on a Democratic resolution to undo
Trump’s tariffs passed the House today, with the support of six Republicans.
There’s a fair chance that this resolution or one like it will eventually make
it through the Senate, which has already passed several
resolutions under simple majority rules to rescind presidential tariffs.
That would be an embarrassing rebuke for a president whose party controls both
chambers.
Our system worked, in other words. Our legislature and
our justice system checked Trump’s attempts to abuse his power. It’s a great
day for the rule of law, no?
Sure, I guess. If you’re a chump optimist who cares more
about moral victories than outcomes.
Justice?
What is the outcome that our corrupt DOJ sought by
pursuing the six Democrats in Congress? Sending them to prison?
Unlikely. Trump may have fantasized about that because he
neither knows nor cares anything about law, but Pirro and Pam Bondi surely
understood that this wouldn’t end in victory for their side. There’s no
scenario in which an American, let alone an elected lawmaker, does time for
exhorting agents of the state to follow laws they’re already duty-bound to
follow. Federal judges would have made mincemeat of the Justice Department’s
case if a grand jury hadn’t done it for them.
The outcome the DOJ hoped for (besides getting the
president off its back by pursuing the case) was to scare Trump’s enemies by
showing them how far it’s willing to go in abusing its powers to harass them.
Not even members of Congress are safe from vindictive prosecution by the
president’s consiglieres, you see.
And they got that outcome. America is a more frightening
place for Trump’s critics today than it was yesterday, notwithstanding the
result of the grand jury proceedings.
I’m sure Bondi and Pirro would have preferred to obtain
indictments against the six Democrats, if only to save face, but it wasn’t
strictly necessary. Antagonists of the president are now on notice: If you
cross him, whether you escape the ordeal of criminal prosecution will depend on
your luck in drawing a grand jury with a higher-than-usual skepticism of
government allegations. The DOJ itself won’t refrain from trying to prosecute
you out of any quaint ethical sense that it’s improper to do so when it knows
it stands zero chance of a conviction.
It wouldn’t surprise me, in fact, if the sources for
yesterday’s news
stories
about the grand jury’s failure to indict were Trump loyalists inside the
Justice Department, not Trump opponents. To effectively intimidate the White
House’s critics, the fact that indictments had been sought needed to be
publicly known. Well, now it is.
If that’s a “victory” for the resistance, the resistance
is a cheap date.
The essential thing to remember today is that,
realistically, there’s nothing that can be done to halt the blatant,
ongoing corruption of the DOJ. (Well, nothing outside
the agency, anyway.) Last week National Review’s Andy McCarthy
proposed defunding
the department if it made supporting the president a qualification of
employment, but shutting down federal law enforcement is unimaginable
politically for Democrats. Every crime in the United States that occurred
during the shutdown would be blamed on the left, whether it fell under federal
jurisdiction or not. The GOP attack ads about “defunding the police” would
write themselves.
A Democratic-controlled Congress could impeach Bondi next
year, I suppose, as there’s no shortage of grounds—dubious investigations of
the president’s political enemies, cover-ups
shielding federal agents who have killed Americans, preposterously sweeping
claims about the executive’s
constitutional power to license illegal conduct, etc. (If egregious
hypocrisy were a high crime or misdemeanor, she’d be dead
to rights on that, too.) But what would be the point? Senate Republicans
won’t vote to remove her.
Even if they did, the cultural rot at the Justice
Department would persist. For all her faults, the attorney general clearly
isn’t the cause of her agency’s corruption. Replacing her with Todd Blanche
won’t fix anything and might plausibly make it worse.
Yesterday reminded us again that the Justice Department
is an unethical disgrace to the country and will almost certainly remain so
until 2029, if not longer. Some victory for the rule of law.
Tariffs.
What about the tariff vote in the House? What outcome
were Mike Johnson and Republicans seeking there?
Obviously, they were hoping to protect the president’s
power to impose burdensome tariffs on Americans based on nothing more than his
royal whim. Well, good news: He still has that power today and, unless and
until the Supreme Court takes it away from him, will continue to have it no
matter what legislation Democrats manage to move.
That’s because our country is now in the same
constitutional upside-down on trade that it’s been in for decades with
presidential-ordered military interventions. Instead of seeking lawful
authority from Congress before acting, the White House acts first and then
dares Congress to strip it of the authority it has asserted to do so. And
that’s nearly impossible: Since the president will veto any bill that tries to
curtail his power, the House and Senate are forced to try to muster
all-but-unattainable supermajorities to override his objection.
In a world where Republican cowards in Congress cared
more about protecting Americans from tariffs than they cared about protecting
themselves from primary challengers, that’s doable. In the world we live in, it
is not.
So the closest thing to a meaningful “victory” that
happened in the House yesterday is that the aforementioned cowards will now
have to go on record as to whether they support or oppose various measures to
limit Trump’s tariffs. And that ain’t nothing, in fairness, in the same way
that the grand jury declining to indict the six Democrats ain’t nothing. The
president’s trade policies have cost U.S. states $200
billion and counting, or about $1,000
per American household per one study, and they’re currently rocking a 37-60
approval rating, according to a recent Pew Research survey. Tariffs will
be a liability for the GOP in the midterms.
But how much more of a liability will they plausibly be
for House Republicans just because they now have to vote on whether to repeal
them? Midterms are referendums on the president’s agenda: If the average voter
hates a policy like tariffs, he or she is apt to punish their local GOP
congressman for it regardless of how that person voted in the House on the
subject.
And that’s especially true, I think, if the president has
bear-hugged the policy and stubbornly doubled down at every opportunity about
how supposedly great it is.
Last night, for instance, right around the time that the
House voted to kill Johnson’s rule, a clip circulated on
social media of Trump boasting in a new interview that he jacked up his tariff
on Switzerland from 30 percent to 39 percent because he didn’t like the tone
that an envoy from the Swiss government took with him on the phone. That’s the
sort of “national emergency” that supposedly justifies his power to set trade
policy unilaterally and the logic that now informs momentous decisions on which
the fate of many American businesses depends. “Arrogance” doesn’t scratch the
surface of describing his hubris.
Nothing that happens in the House going forward will save
Republican members from the wrath of voters outraged at knowing their
livelihoods have become pawns in a spiteful lunatic’s petty score-settling. But
if I’m wrong about that, then last night’s defeat was arguably a good thing
for the House GOP long-term: It means some members of Mike Johnson’s conference
will have a chance to distance themselves from the president’s unpopular
tariffs before November by casting a symbolic vote to repeal them.
So how was it some important victory for “the system”?
The proper response to the executive commandeering the
legislature’s power to set trade policy under a patently ridiculous claim of a
trade-deficit “emergency” is impeachment. Instead, we’re destined for a series
of votes on repeal bills with no hope of achieving their intended purpose, a
sort of congressional kabuki theater of accountability. Hooray for the rule of
law.
A silver lining.
Here’s where I surprise you with a bit of optimism,
though. In a way, Tuesday was a meaningful victory for Trump opponents.
In court and in Congress, the president’s allies were
forced by the perverse cultish dynamics of Republican politics to defend bad,
disliked policies that will damage their public support. Corrupt toadies
deserve the people’s scorn, and yesterday increased the probability that
they’ll receive it: I’d call that an example of our political system working.
It’s possible, as I said, that the House’s actions on
tariffs going forward either won’t matter to voters or will give some
Republicans an opportunity to register their opposition to Trump’s policies
before November. But it’s also easy to see how having to take those votes might
hurt them (which is why Mike Johnson wanted to avoid it, of course). Some
GOPers will vote against repealing the president’s tariffs because they’re
worried about a primary challenge, but that vote will haunt them in the general
election. Others will vote for repeal to protect their left flank in the
general election but at the risk of antagonizing Republican primary voters,
especially with an enraged Trump demanding consequences for “disloyalty.”
The White House’s obstinacy on sticking with tariffs
despite their unpopularity is a strategic disaster. It’s only fair that his
apologists in Congress should suffer for it, and now some of them are more
likely to. The system works!
It will also work, I expect, regarding the attempted
indictment of the six congressional Democrats. Polls taken late last year
showed Americans siding
with
the six against the administration’s attempts to punish them for sedition,
but I’d bet good money that the margin has since widened as anxiety
about lawlessness by federal law enforcement has risen. “Don’t obey illegal
orders” sounds a lot more reasonable now that ICE agents have begun shooting
American citizens.
My sense, which I hope is based on more than wishful
thinking, is that the president and his administration lost the benefit of the
doubt as to their good intentions from some critical mass of the electorate
over the last six weeks. If so, then the sleazy,
discrediting shenanigans in which our renegade Justice Department is
presently engaged—which are by
no means limited to harassing Democratic lawmakers—should affirm newly
minted Trump doubters in their skepticism and gradually harden opinion against
him further.
And needless to say, the failed indictment should add
rocket fuel to left-wing turnout in November. Our system has no means to stop a
corrupt DOJ from behaving corruptly, but handing control of the House to
Democrats this fall will at least guarantee some uncomfortable investigations
and revelations next year of how an operation run by the likes of Pam Bondi and
Kash Patel conducts business behind closed doors.
So the system worked yesterday after all. It didn’t work
the way it’s supposed to, by preventing abuses of power altogether, but it
created a modicum of accountability by supplying voters with two separate
vignettes illustrating why the party that runs Washington is unfit to govern
and shouldn’t be trusted with power. There’s virtue in that.
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