By Helen Lewis
Thursday, February 12, 2026
As the shaky evidence base for youth gender medicine has
become better known, activists have retreated to an argument from authority.
Never mind the Cass Report, whose findings resulted in the closure of Britain’s
leading youth gender clinic. Never mind the study by a leading American
practitioner showing
that the treatments she championed did not improve minors’ mental health. Never
mind reports
that some adolescents were being put on a medical pathway after only a single
clinic visit. For advocates, the important thing to remember was that
“gender-affirming care” for minors—puberty blockers and hormones, plus surgery
in rare cases—was endorsed by all of the major American medical associations.
“Doctors Agree,” proclaimed
the American Civil Liberties Union: “Gender-Affirming Care Is Life-Saving
Care.” GLAAD declared
that “every major medical association and leading world health authority
supports health care for transgender people and youth.” Fired up by the
Republican “war on trans kids,” and naturally deferential to institutional
authority, Democrats have tended to echo this line. At a 2023
congressional-subcommittee hearing on pediatric gender medicine, the ranking
Democrat, Representative Mary Gay Scanlon of Pennsylvania, declared
that “gender-affirming care is safe and effective” and “supported by every
major medical association”—groups that collectively count more than 1.3 million
doctors as members. “It’s not up for debate,” she said. In line with this, Joe
Biden’s administration lobbied
to remove age minimums from the industry’s standards of care.
Today, though, the future of medical transition for
minors is up for debate. On February 3, the American Society of Plastic
Surgeons recommended
that “surgeons delay gender-related breast/chest, genital, and facial surgery
until a patient is at least 19 years old.” The next day, the American Medical
Association, the country’s largest organization representing doctors, endorsed
that view: “In the absence of clear evidence, the A.M.A. agrees with A.S.P.S.
that surgical interventions in minors should be generally deferred to
adulthood.” These statements echo what skeptics of American youth gender
medicine have been saying for years: The evidence of the benefits and risks of
mastectomies and other surgeries is insufficient to justify their use as
treatments for gender dysphoria, and follow-up data on those who have undergone
the procedures are scant.
More significant, the ASPS statement explicitly endorses
the conclusions of the Cass Report and the evidence review commissioned by the
Department of Health and Human Services last year. LGBTQ groups and gender
clinicians have dismissed both of these documents as fuel for right-wing
attacks on care, even though Hilary Cass was a nonpartisan retired
pediatrician, and most of the HHS report authors were self-described liberals
and Democrats. But the ASPS references both warmly, and bases its new
guidelines on the research carried out by the official British and American
inquiries. “Both the Cass Review and the HHS report emphasize that the natural
course of pediatric gender dysphoria remains poorly understood,” notes the ASPS
statement. “Available evidence suggests that a substantial proportion of
children with prepubertal onset gender dysphoria experience resolution or
significant reduction of distress by the time they reach adulthood, absent
medical or surgical intervention.” Put simply, that is an American doctors’
organization acknowledging that gender dysphoria frequently resolves itself
without treatment—a challenge to the idea that children’s new identities should
be uncritically endorsed.
I don’t want to overstate what has happened here: The
ASPS has been more cautious
than other groups for many months now, and its new positions are limited in
scope. Gender surgeries on minors were never offered by Britain’s health
service, and only a few
thousand have been performed in the United States, according to a 2023
study. The ASPS statement also cites “insufficient evidence demonstrating a
favorable risk-benefit ratio” for hormone treatments, but does not explicitly
recommend against them. Yet the organization’s stance still represents a shift
away from the purely affirmative model, in which saying no is never a
clinician’s job. Notably, the group reminds members that “plastic surgeons
cannot rely on the presence of a prior medical intervention, referral, or
letter of support as a proxy for surgical indication or adolescent readiness.”
This matters, because the idea of performing mastectomies
on girls as young
as 13 became a powerful symbol of a clique of doctors who could not be
trusted to regulate themselves. The Miami surgeon Sidhbh Gallagher became known
on TikTok for her catchphrase “yeet the teet,” referring to mastectomies, and
for calling
herself “Dr. Teetus Deletus.” The detransitioner Chloe Cole, who has testified
in favor of state bans on pediatric gender medicine, received a double
mastectomy at 15. Johanna Olson-Kennedy, who formerly worked at the gender
clinic of the Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, was the lead author on a paper recommending
that mastectomies be offered based on “individual need rather than chronologic
age.” She once boasted
at a seminar that she did not worry about regret: “If you want breasts at a
later point in your life, you can go and get them.”
Unfortunately, things are not that simple. In a recent
lawsuit in New York State, a detransitioner called Fox Varian testified
that she’d had her breasts removed at 16, only 11 months after first
identifying as male. She had also been diagnosed with autism and had struggled
with an eating disorder and anxiety. By the time of the surgery, she had
changed her name twice already. Varian asserted, according to the reporter
Benjamin Ryan, who attended the trial, that her doctor “served as an enabler,
repeatedly assuring her that the mastectomy she desired would greatly improve
her well-being.” Varian told the court that she regretted the surgery
instantly, and detransitioned three years later. She was awarded $2 million in
damages. The court heard that she had been left with scarring and a lack of
sensation, and would be unable to breastfeed.
Varian’s lawsuit also claimed that doctors encouraged her
mother to approve the surgery by invoking the specter of suicide. As I wrote
last year, the idea of youth gender medicine as “lifesaving”—for the
prevention of suicide—has been key to overriding parents’ understandable
concerns about these treatments. But this is another activist talking point
that has begun to crumble. In front of the Supreme Court, the ACLU’s Chase
Strangio conceded that there was no evidence to support the assertion that
transition prevents suicide, because “completed suicide, thankfully and
admittedly, is rare.” He argued that instead it reduced suicidal thoughts—a
significant climbdown from the once-popular assertion that parents had to
choose between “a dead son and a living daughter,” and vice versa. His
concession helped expose this rhetoric as the emotional blackmail that it
always was.
The tide is now going out on the affirmative approach to
youth gender medicine as practiced in America. “I stopped the mutilation of
children,” Donald Trump told a prayer
breakfast on February 5. Twenty-seven states have placed restrictions on the
medical pathway, while gender clinics in blue cities such as Los Angeles have shut
down under Trump’s threat of funding cuts to their host institutions. Now
the success of such a high-profile detransitioner lawsuit—one of more than two
dozen currently under way, according to Ryan—will make the remaining
affirmative clinicians nervous.
Frankly, they should be nervous. As the field has
received more scrutiny, advocates have begun to stress the need for careful
assessments, even though American providers in the 2010s largely rejected
this essential feature of the Dutch protocol, the medical treatment for youth
gender dysphoria developed in Europe in the 1990s. Today, when Democrats defend
youth gender medicine, they tend to do so on the basis of individual freedom
rather than the effectiveness of the treatments themselves. In 2024, a brief
signed by 11 Democratic senators and 153 Democratic House members urged the
Supreme Court not to uphold Tennessee’s ban on youth medical transition. The
state law “intrudes on an individual’s decisions about their own medical care,
made in partnership with their medical providers,” the signatories said.
All of this represents a clear retrenchment from the
2010s and early 2020s. The excesses of that era prompted a backlash that fueled
the current MAGA
demonization of gender nonconformity. The story of youth gender medicine is
one of good intentions, arrogance, fear, and polarization. It is also an
avoidable tragedy.
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