By Alexander Furnas & Dashun Wang
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Which political party provides more federal funding for
science? Given climate-denial rhetoric, attacks on expertise, the size of
government, and culture-war battles over research, many Americans may believe
that Democrats support science and that Republicans don’t.
But this is not what we have found. In research published last fall in Science with our colleagues Nic
Fishman and Leah Rosenstiel, we analyzed a comprehensive database of
federal science appropriations, collected from presidents’ budget requests,
from House and Senate committee bills, and from final, enacted annual
appropriations from 1980 to 2020. The data include 171 budget accounts across
27 agencies, such as National Institutes of Health, NASA, National Science
Foundation, and CDC, as well as Pentagon R&D programs.
When Republicans controlled the House or the presidency,
science funding was substantially higher—on average, about $150 million more
per budget account under a Republican House than a Democratic one, and $100
million more under a Republican president than a Democratic one. These
differences held up across dozens of statistical tests and weren’t explained by
the overall size of the budget or economic conditions. We found significantly
higher appropriations for NIH under Republican control, higher funding for CDC
under Republican presidents, and marginally higher support for NASA and NSF.
For the past year, we have wondered if our paper had
documented something purely historical—a pattern from a Republican Party that
no longer exists. The Trump administration proposed slashing NIH by about 40
percent. It attempted to cap indirect-cost recovery—the portion of federal
grants that reimburses universities for expenses such as facilities,
compliance, security, and equipment—at 15 percent, threatening billions in
research infrastructure. It stalled grants; cleared out agency leadership;
imposed political approval requirements on funding decisions, such as requiring
senior political appointees to sign
off on grants before they could be awarded and terminating
programs addressing racial health gaps; and
implemented targeted funding freezes at particular universities. The postwar
compact between government and science appeared to be collapsing.
But Congress—under Republican control in both
chambers—has systematically rejected the administration’s most extreme
proposals.
In the funding bill that President Trump signed into law
this month, lawmakers not only declined to cut NIH’s budget by 40 percent; they
instead increased it by roughly $415 million. They added targeted funding for
cancer research, Alzheimer’s disease, and the BRAIN Initiative for
the development of neurotechnologies. The final number: $48.7 billion—virtually
unchanged from the prior year.
Just as important, Congress included detailed language
constraining executive overreach. It reiterated that NIH cannot unilaterally
change how indirect-cost rates work. It limited the agency’s ability to shift
funds toward multiyear awards that crowd out new grants. It required monthly
briefings to Congress on grant awards and terminations to ensure the allocated
money is actually being distributed. And it directed NIH to continue to
professionalize the hiring of institute directors, with external scientific
input and congressional oversight.
Similar patterns hold elsewhere. NASA faces a 1.6 percent
cut rather than the 24 percent the administration sought. The NSF budget
dropped 3.4 percent instead of 57 percent.
The budget accounts in the database we analyzed track the
recurring operating expenses allocated across all parts of the federal
government for science and research, including science done through
grant-making and contracting with corporations. They don’t follow outgoing
grants to researchers directly, so the numbers do not capture the kinds of
funding freezes the Trump administration imposed on universities including
Harvard, Columbia, and Penn.
Even so, the Republican-led Congress behaved much more
like our data predicted than like what Trump requested. The appropriators
funded science, protected research infrastructure, and asserted control over
how agencies operate. In this regard, they did what Republicans in Congress
have done for decades.
The Trump administration’s hostility to science is real
and deeply concerning. But it has not—so far—reset the Republican Party’s
position on science funding in the way that Trump reshaped GOP stances on
trade, immigration, or foreign alliances.
Science funding in the United States has been sustained
not just by partisan enthusiasm but also by institutional structure. In our
data, funding tracked with control of the House and the presidency, but not the
Senate. That’s because the House majority controls the appropriations process.
And Republican appropriators seem to have once again funded science not despite
their priorities but because of them. Economic competitiveness, technological
leadership, and national security all rest on a foundation of scientific
advancement.
This outcome appeared improbable six months ago—to many,
including us, it looked nearly impossible. This wasn’t a normal policy
disagreement. It was a stress test. And the institution is holding. The 2026
funding package highlights the commitment of the Republicans in Congress to
consistently fund science.
Staffing losses are real, leadership vacancies create
drift, and political interference in grant decisions remains a serious threat.
Budgets alone don’t guarantee a functioning research system. But treating the
GOP as monolithically anti-science risks alienating a coalition that has
historically sustained federal research. Scientists who want to protect funding
should spend less time lamenting Republican hostility and more time engaging
Republican appropriators—particularly in the House, where the funding decisions
get made.
Science came under attack, and a Republican Congress
pushed back. That’s not an aberration.
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