By Jonah Goldberg
Friday, May 09, 2025
My friend Cliff Asness is fond of tweeting his dismay
over the horseshoeing of American politics when it comes to economics (and
other things). One of his pithier expressions of this lament: “We
now have two economically far left (and economically ignorant) parties, they
just differ in their preferred pronouns.”
Now, Cliff isn’t using “pronouns” literally. His point is
that the fringier economic policies of the left and the fringier economic
policies of the right are substantially similar but culturally or stylistically
opposed to each other. If you’re an advocate for industrial policy on the left,
you’ll use different buzz-phrases and shibboleths than an advocate of
industrial policy on the right will. But you’re still for industrial policy.
You might have different winners and losers in mind, but you’re still picking
winners and losers. Then again, sometimes, both the left and right are just
haggling over the same constituency, making losers of everybody else.
For instance, in the Inflation Reduction Act the Biden
administration implemented a policy of “importing” foreign
price controls for pharmaceuticals under Medicare (though in horsehoe-y
fairness, the Trump White House floated
something similar in 2018). The Trump administration is sticking
with that policy and looking to expand
it. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Josh Hawley have teamed
up to cap limits on credit card interest rates, something Trump ran on in
2024 (and Kamala Harris floated in 2020). In 2024, Trump proposed no taxes on
tips—a terrible idea. And Harris promptly adopted the same position, pissing
off Trump. Last example: For decades, Democrats have wanted to raise the top
income tax rate for the highest earners. Now, Donald
Trump does too.
Again, right-wingers can come up with all sorts of
rationalizations for why policy X is good when Team Red does it and bad when
Team Blue does it, and vice versa. That’s a very old story in Washington. The
filibuster is either a bulwark against tyranny or an impediment to progress,
depending on which team is in power. Judges are good when they thwart your
team, but have gone “rogue” when they get in the way of mine.
What I find both amusing and fascinating is the way in
which the GOP’s sudden lurch toward statism and mercantilism has left a lot of
people on the right searching for a story—and the vocabulary to tell it—that
doesn’t sound lefty, even as they embrace what were, until recently, nearly
universally considered left-wing ideas.
Manly, patriotic MAGA types can’t use phrases like
“degrowth” or “sustainability” because they’re associated with stuff like
climate change and sound kind of feminine to the Jesse Watters crowd. And,
besides, Donald Trump doesn’t think he’s shrinking the economy; he just
thinks, wrongly, that his tariff policies will usher in a new golden age and
launch the economy into the stratosphere after a “period of adjustment” where
kids will have to be happy with fewer toys. So they come up with stuff that is
right-wing coded, like he’s “fixing
the crisis in masculinity” and liberating manly
men like miners to do what they’re meant to do.
As for the story they need to tell, that’s even harder.
The argument for the tariffs is that we’ve been ripped off and plundered
through bad trade policies for the last half century. As Trump explained in his
“Liberation Day” address, “I don’t blame these other countries at all for this
calamity. I blame former presidents and past leaders who weren’t doing their
job. They let it happen, and they let it happen to an extent that nobody can
even believe.”
The main problem with this now-familiar tale of woe and
Trumpian heroism is that it’s just not true. America’s economy, with the usual
dips and downturns, has steadily improved over the
last—pick your timeline—20, 30, 50, 100 years. Of course, there are downsides
to this story. But they are downsides to a good story.
The economy was pretty good when Trump got elected and he
made it worse and it’s just hard to come up with a coherent argument that says
“the economy was terrible before Trump was elected, and now we need to make it
even worse before it gets better.” It’s tough to defend austerity in the name
of a president whose name is virtually synonymous with capitalist excess who
promised to deliver an economic boom almost overnight if elected.
The key to reconciling these economic and political
challenges lies in describing what the golden age will look like when we get
there, and—surprise!—it looks like the 1950s. Not the 1950s as it was, but the
1950s we think we remember from TV.
Indeed, nostalgia
for the workforce and economy of the 1950s suffuses MAGAnomics, which should
not be surprising given what MAGA stands for (it ain’t “Make America Great for
the First Time!”). Search social media for phrases like “We traded this for a
higher GDP” or “They took this from us” and you’ll find gauzy or
grainy images
of happy suburban families or some other bourgeois icons or lifestyles (you’ll
also find a lot of excellent mockery of
such claims).
Nearly 20 years ago, Brink Lindsey chronicled in his book
The Age of Abundance how, in the words of a reviewer,
“Republicans want to go home to the United States of the 1950s while Democrats
want to work there.” It turns out that if you talk about wanting to live there
long enough, you’ll want to work there too.
Neoliberalism Uber Alles
But there is one word that has jumped the chasm from one
end of the horseshoe to the other: “Neoliberal.”
I like to think I know a bit about intellectual history, but I’ll be honest: I
never really understood what the hell progressives thought they were doing with
the term “neoliberal.” I mean, I know what it’s supposed to mean: free market
economics, or a revived classical liberal economics, or privatization, or
libertarianism. It’s mostly a pejorative term. And the left has used it for
decades as an umbrella concept for pretty much any accusation possible—much as
the left did when classical liberalism went by the term “liberalism” or
“Manchester liberalism.” The extent to which neoliberalism is a catch-all for
everything the left hates really can’t be exaggerated. Here’s Robert McChesney
just last week in the socialist magazine Monthly
Review (the ellipses are his):
Zombie fascism is on the march
again … . The notion that neoliberalism, or “libertarianism,” as its boosters
prefer to call it, is the polar opposite of fascism is entirely bogus … . In
fact, libertarians, or “free market conservatives,” see their most important
mission as protecting and extending the class domination of the wealthy few by
any means necessary…
This kind of talk is just nonsense. The idea that, say,
Charles Koch is a zombie or any other kind of fascist is just silly tribal and
partisan paranoia (Verlan Lewis has a great piece on
this). I don’t agree with everything Koch believes, but I am really
confident he believes it.
But let’s stick with the term neoliberal. Phillip Magness
has written an exhaustive and just plain brilliant intellectual
history of the term, and I highly recommend it to those interested. I’ll
just quote this overly academic-sounding passage (emphasis mine):
In its more common use by far,
“neoliberalism” functionally operates as an amorphous moniker for a disliked
economic other. It is defined primarily by its oppositional relation to a
vantage point on the economic far-left, with the latter axiomatically presumed
to be, and yet also normatively put forth as, the superior ethical and economic
system. To be designated a “neoliberal” then is to stand against normative
anti-capitalism, and to become blameworthy for that stance.
Translation: The primary meaning of “neoliberal” is
basically anyone who stands in the way of the left’s anti-capitalist agenda.
Well, the New Right crowd now uses the term exactly
the same way.
The only meaningful difference is that they’re deploying
it against those who stand in the way of Trump’s mercantilist agenda. Steve
Bannon is, of course, all about dismantling neoliberalism. In Vanity Fair,
he lamented
how “We [America] are now defending global capitalism and NATO and the entire
enterprise of neoliberalism.” Oren Cass, the foremost advocate of protectionism
not on the White House’s payroll, uses it constantly. So does the Hewlett Foundation,
which supports Cass’ work at American Compass. Everyone should find someone who
loves them as much as Sohrab Ahmari loves to throw
around “neoliberal.” Ahmari explains that neoliberalism is a tyrannical
ideology dedicated to “turning state and law into instruments for promoting
market values everywhere.” Because that’s been the problem with public schools,
universities, public sector unions, NPR, PBS, etc.: the state just relentlessly
cramming pro-market values in every nook and cranny of American life.
To his credit, Ahmari acknowledges that the modern
pejorative use of “neoliberalism” owes a lot to Michel Foucault, who
re-popularized it in the 1970s. The fact that the New Right crowd is growing as
indebted to Foucault as the worst elements on the left—a lot of the
“oppressor-oppressed” and “post-colonial” garbage is recycled Foucaultian
trash—is a fun data point for the horseshoe theorists.
My problem with the New Right’s story of neoliberalism is
pretty much identical to my problem with the left’s gripe about neoliberalism:
It’s not true.
Again, America has gotten richer under what these people
call “the era of neoliberalism.” To the extent the middle class has gotten
smaller, it’s because the lion’s
share of the middle class has moved upward on the income ladder.
The most common refrain among the anti-neoliberals is
that free market reforms, privatization, work requirements, etc., have gutted
the social safety net. We’ve “starved” government to reward the top 1 percent,
according to Bernie Sanders and his adherents. Huh, government doesn’t look all that starved.
Total government spending (federal, state, and local) accounts for a third of
GDP. That’s held fairly constant (not counting the COVID pandemic) for a while.
In 1980, it was 30 percent, and in 1962, it was 25 percent. We don’t spend less
on welfare, health care, or other safety net programs, either.
It’s just a myth that the era of “neoliberalism” gutted
government and the safety net. The anti-neoliberal people claim that you can’t
just look at expenditures but at the havoc neoliberal policies, like right-wing
welfare reform in the 1990s, wrought on people. Except child poverty improved
after welfare reform. If you think capitalism erodes virtue, let me tell you
about the dole for able-bodied people.
For years, the left asked us to look to Scandinavian
nations for economic and moral inspiration (the way the new right says,
laughably, that we should look to Hungary). But as our own Kevin D. Williamson
is fond
of noting,
Scandinavia has been a hotbed of neoliberal reform for decades. Those countries
still tax too much, but they aren’t
socialist economies anymore either. The Denmark Bernie Sanders rambles about is
every bit as much of a nostalgic mirage as the 1950s America the MAGA crowd
hallucinates.
Economist Russ Roberts has been on a tear for years about
the scapegoating of free market economics for everything that’s gone wrong in
America. It drives the amazingly unflappable host of the EconTalk podcast
to heights of near-flappableness to hear people talk about how the adoption of
NAFTA amounted to an across-the-board victory for libertarianism in every
sphere of policymaking (Hell, Milton Friedman, according to Roberts, had real
problems with NAFTA because it wasn’t free trade-y enough). Modest
liberalizations in trade, which have made America richer, were not accompanied
by meaningful cuts in regulation, safety net and health care expenditures,
zoning, etc. It’s sort of like Tucker Carlson’s preposterous claim that
libertarians have run Washington for 30 years. “It is absurd,” Roberts writes,
“to think that somehow Friedman’s free-market ideology triumphed and the time
has come to roll back his policies.”
Roberts was right when he was aiming leftward, and he’s
just as right when he looks rightward.
Which brings me back to Cliff’s tweet. (Oh yeah, yeah.
Requisite disclosure: I hold the Cliff and Laurel Asness Chair in Applied
Liberty at the American Enterprise Institute, where Cliff serves on the board,
and he’s a good friend.)
I have long worked on the assumption that, when someone
uses the word “neoliberal,” they’re up to no good. It hasn’t always been
perfectly predictive, but as rules of thumb go in Washington, it’s worked far
more often than not. It’s a tell, a shibboleth, a code word that signifies you
buy into a story that just isn’t so, and you’re going to try to sell me on it.
And that’s why I’m grateful the New Right has decided not
to “code-switch” and come up with some new stupid term that does the same thing
as the old stupid term in service to the same stupid arguments. It just saves
everybody time. As a fan of capitalism, I appreciate efficiency wherever I find
it.
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