National Review Online
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Recent local elections are a reminder that voters in
Britain are fed up with mass immigration. And the current Labour government is
responding.
Repurposing a slogan from the Brexiteers, Labour Prime
Minister Keir Starmer said that his country would “finally take back control”
of its borders — and that he would “close the book on a squalid chapter of our
politics, our economy, and our culture.”
In a frank and welcome speech from a British political
leader, Starmer lambasted the previous Tory government for campaigning on
taking control of the border and then doing nothing. “Between 2019 and 2023,
even as they were going around our country telling people, with a straight
face, they would get immigration down, net migration quadrupled,” Starmer
huffed. “Until in 2023, it reached nearly 1 million, which is about the
population of Birmingham, our second-largest city. That’s not control — it’s
chaos.”
In a demonstration that some of the old political taboos
erected upon the grave of Enoch Powell have been shattered, a Labour leader
said that his country was becoming “an island of strangers.”
These are astonishing words from any political leader in
the United Kingdom, all the more so because it was Tony Blair’s popular Labour
government that opened this very chapter in British history. The nearly 30-year
period from 1997 to now will have a primary header in the history books, the
Demographic and Social Transformation of England. And for once, these words
are, it seems, going to be backed by some action. Perhaps the most important
(for now) is that the government plans to retroactively extend the residency
requirement for the grant of an Indefinite Leave to Remain (roughly, the
equivalent of a green card) from five to ten years, timing designed to limit
the extent to which the “Boriswave” surge of migrants can take root. This
influx followed poorly thought-through changes to visa rules introduced in 2021
— while Boris Johnson was prime minister. The proposed changes are a welcome
and overdue first step.
Cambridge historian Robert Tombs wrote that if a nation
is a people with a sense of kinship, a political identity, and representative
institutions, then England may be able to claim to be the oldest nation on
Earth. And yet England (more than Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland) has
been utterly transformed since 1997, when Tony Blair’s Labour government sought
to remake the nation as a “multi-cultural society.” The foreseeable social
problems have been ignored for decades by successive Labour and Conservative
governments, vindicating G. K. Chesterton’s century-old observation: “The
business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of
Conservatives is to prevent mistakes from being corrected. Even when the
revolutionist might himself repent of his revolution, the traditionalist is
already defending it as part of his tradition.”
Politically, Starmer’s speech is risky. At times, it
seems the only words missing from it were, “Nigel Farage was right, there I
said it.” Critics believe it could transform the next election into a simple
test: Whom do you trust more on immigration, a Reform party that was always
sincerely opposed, or a chastened Labour Party? It would be a binary choice
from which the Tories are, rather notably, missing. Kemi Badenoch, the
Conservatives’ new leader, had recently (and belatedly) proposed doubling the ILR’s residency
period, but she has now been outflanked. Starmer can now portray himself as
someone who is trying to clean up the worst of the immigration disaster the
Tories left behind.
Voters worried about immigration may find the choice
between Labour and Reform less straightforward than Reform may hope. Starmer’s
speech was reportedly crafted by Morgan McSweeney, the notorious Downing Street
political Svengali. McSweeney, an Irishman, has seen off a nationalist
challenge from the right to Labour before and understands that territory. He’s
routinely refocused Labour away from metropolitan lifestyle liberalism, to
bread-and-butter issues of government delivering good service. But if Starmer
wants to seal the deal with voters tempted by Reform, he will have to do more.
In Denmark, the center-left Social Democrats swung behind an immigration policy
tougher than Starmer’s and have been rewarded with a sharp drop in support for
the populist right. That would be an obvious precedent for Starmer to follow,
but he also has to hang on to Labour’s support among Muslim voters, a key
constituency he cannot afford to lose. They have started to vote for sectarian
alternatives.
We praise Starmer guardedly for his courage, while
recognizing the cunning behind it. This week’s turnabout should be a lesson to
all Tories, and to Republicans here in the United States if they haven’t
learned it already. Voters will eventually get what they want. And if they
can’t get it from you, someone will make an opportunity of your failure to
deliver. We live in an age in which the internet, falling travel fees, and
globalization of culture have all dramatically reduced the financial and social
costs of emigration. Voters in first-world countries are desperate for a sense
of control over their own destinies in this new environment. Starmer’s Labour
is now promising exactly that. He has to deliver or he will have finally opened
the door to Nigel Farage and the Reform party.
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