By Jeffrey Blehar
Thursday, September 03, 2026
The Democratic siege against Republican incumbents has
been a brutal, yearlong struggle — a civil war on both sides of the aisle, but
one whose outcome looks likely to strongly favor Democrats in November. Trump
is not a popular man, nor have his economic or foreign policy decisions
endeared him to anyone except his most devoted fans.
If you hew to traditional sentiments about such things,
the last time a party on the back foot has any chance to turn its fortunes
around before the November elections is by Labor Day. And perk your ears: Lo,
the sound of a trumpet! Look out over yonder, toward next week — what’s that
heading over the horizon? Is it the Republican cavalry charging over the hill,
with a flood of advertising money and a positive electoral message in its
train, to at last relieve beleaguered GOP incumbents hunkered down across
America?
Sorry, readers: Best
I can do for ya’ is more Trump.
Yes, the first-ever Republican “Midterm Convention” is
coming to Dallas next Wednesday, a two-day spectacular that promises to give
American voters more of what they’re hungry for right now: Trump, Trump, Trump.
True, I am only guessing as to what the tone of next week’s events will be. But
I know my man, and anyway the preview
advertisements from Trump’s super PAC have set the tone. “Look at How Great I’ve Made America!” Let’s
see if it works.
Beyond the fact that Trump expanded his role from one
night to two — originally he was supposed to keynote on Thursday with Vance
handling Wednesday, but then he chose to speak on the first night as well — I
don’t know the full list of speakers, and neither does anyone else. Perhaps
that’s because most Republican politicians aren’t being shy about their
decision to find any other way to spend their time and money than by flying
to Dallas near the end of campaign season to renew their wedding vows to a
demonstrably uncaring president.
Note what I wrote there: Attending Republican congressmen
are not only expected to spend two days pledging their allegiance to Trump on
national television; they are also expected to pay for the privilege, a
“suggested” $25,000 donation to the NRCC. Given how close many of these midterm
House races already are, spending five digits to do something that can only
hurt you with swing voters seems like a dubious trade-off.
But beyond that, let us ask: What is the point of any of
this? What is the electoral goal of a midterm convention even supposed
to be? The idea isn’t a new one: The Democrats held them three times, in 1974,
1978, and 1982, albeit for much different reasons: They were a legacy of the
lunatic concessions made during the 1972 convention to the McGovernite wing of
the party. And they were finally dispensed with when the party realized that
all conventions did was encourage Democrats to tear each other apart
factionally. (One bright side: The 1978 convention enabled rosy-cheeked
manslaughterer Ted Kennedy to lay the groundwork for his 1980 campaign against Carter, an effort so disorganized and
brainless that it immediately blew away like a drunken belch in the middle of a
nor’easter.)
This one is different. This is a purely brand-promotional
exercise, meant in theory to excite a sullen electorate and encourage them to
get out there and defend the Republican majority across the nation. There will
be no behind-the-scenes debates; a unified front, programmed by the
administration, will be presented. (It is also probably what Trump considers
his key in-kind donation to the Ken Paxton campaign: himself.)
But what message is there to sell to voters in 2026? What
story is there to tell? Erick Erickson did a fine job this morning on his
Substack of summarizing the self-evident reasons why this venture seems
garishly misconceived: A midterm convention that seeks to rally the voters —
even just the base — ought to be organized around what the GOP can do
for you. The pitch can’t just be a defensive one. “They’re crazier than
we are” may technically be correct, but it’s hardly inspiring (and sometimes
incorrect these days in any event).
Instead, we are getting a message based exclusively on
the greatness of Trump and on how Trump has made America as great as him. And
that is inevitably going to strike a sour note at a time when Trump is as
popular with American sentiment as a persistent case of scrofula. But it’s also unavoidable — and not just because
Trump’s ego requires every event to be a celebration of himself.
“Sell the future, not the past,” Erickson says, repeating
the wisdom of former Texas Governor Ann Richards. But what future? And what
past? The true folly of a midterm convention is that Republicans can’t make
many positive arguments for either their achievements or agenda in Congress
because they don’t have much to point to. Thank Trump.
Trump returned to the presidency in 2025 transparently
intending to sideline Congress and govern instead by executive order, which
enables him to exploit the powers of his office unilaterally: remaking global
economics on spurious legal grounds, renaming buildings and bodies of water,
prosecuting his enemies, etc. (On the good side: closing the border and
striking down government involvement in DEI and transgender activism.) The fact
that all of these acts can be instantly undone by the next president means
little to him: He can bank easy and instant wins. He has never had need for the
legislative branch as anything but a rubber stamp — and a buffer against his
enemies. They are shield bearers only — he alone wields the sword.
So what argument can the GOP really hope to make to a
public that is profoundly tired of Trump? “It’s critical to vote GOP in
November, to ensure the next two years are exactly the same as the last two!”
It’s easy (and fair) to criticize Donald Trump for making
next week’s midterm convention about him instead of the Republican Party. But
in a sense, it’s honest advertising.
No comments:
Post a Comment