By Philip Klein
Thursday, June 18, 2026
It is impossible to describe President Trump’s deal as
anything other than total humiliation.
You could argue that he had no choice, that it was in
America’s best interest for him to cut his losses, and that he had to suck it
up and do whatever it took to reopen the Strait of Hormuz (which, by the way,
is only temporarily reopened under the current deal). But there is no credible
way to argue that what has happened represents anything other than surrender.
To claim that this isn’t an embarrassment for the U.S.
requires ignoring months of Trump statements before and during the war about
his red lines and war aims. People are getting too focused on the text of the
memorandum of understanding itself, when the text needs to be viewed with the
added context of Trump’s public statements, in which he gave away the store on
just about every major point of contention he claimed he had with Iran until
very recently.
Trump, either in his words or in the MOU, abandoned his
positions in favor of the Iranian position on: supporting anti-regime
protesters; allowing the enrichment of uranium; removing Iran’s enriched
uranium; and on its ballistic missile program.
To review:
• In January, Trump urged Iranian protesters to “keep protesting” and to “take
over your institutions,” promising them “help is on its way.” He vowed “very
strong action” if Iran executed its protesters. Iran then massacred 30,000 protesters. When Trump launched the war on February 28, he said, “To the great
proud people of Iran, I say tonight that the hour of your freedom is at hand.
Stay sheltered. Don’t leave your home. It’s very dangerous outside. Bombs will
be dropping everywhere. When we are finished, take over your government. It
will be yours to take.”
In the text of the MOU that he signed, the U.S. and Iran
pledged to “refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.”
After agreeing to the Iran deal, Trump said, “I never really cared about regime change.” And he
claimed the new leaders of Iran were “not radicalized.” Yet just this week, Iran executed two more protesters.
It is perfectly defensible for an American president to
argue that democracy promotion shouldn’t be the job of the U.S. military. But
Trump himself was the one who encouraged protesters to rise up, claiming he
would help them.
• Trump negotiator Steve Witkoff said when talks broke
down before the war that the major sticking point was that the Iranians
asserted a right to enrich uranium and the Trump administration was insisting
on no enrichment. Trump wrote on Truth Social in April that “there will be no enrichment of Uranium, and the
United States will, working with Iran, dig up and remove all of the deeply
buried (B-2 Bombers) Nuclear ‘Dust.’” Yet at the G-7, Trump said
it would be unfair if other countries were able to enrich uranium and Iran was
not. Furthermore, the MOU said instead of being removed, the enriched uranium
would be downblended and remain in Iran — the same standard that
existed in Barack Obama’s Iran deal.
• As I wrote in more detail yesterday, for nearly a decade,
going back to his first term, Trump criticized Obama’s Iran deal on the basis
that it allowed Iran to maintain its missile program and cited the missile
threat as one of the primary reasons why he launched this war. And yet, at the
G-7, Trump said it would be unfair to tell Iran it couldn’t have missiles if
our ally Saudi Arabia also had missiles.
Again, people could have different perspectives on
whether Iran should be able to enrich uranium, have ballistic missiles, or
massacre domestic protesters. But the record is clear that Trump moved
dramatically in the direction of the Iranians over the course of negotiations,
rather than the other way around. And in doing so, he unlocked tens of billions
of dollars in sanctions relief for Iran.
As a result of his capitulation to Iranian demands, Trump
has degraded his ability to have his threats taken seriously. Throughout the
war, Trump spoke in apocalyptic terms about what he was going to do if Iranians
didn’t bend to his will. He threatened to take Iran’s oil depot at Kharg Island
and knock out its energy infrastructure, and, in arguably the most reckless
statement ever made by an American president during wartime, he even claimed ahead of a phony April deadline that “a
whole civilization will die tonight.”
The Iranians simply ignored Trump and held out for what
they wanted, and he caved to them on everything that matters. I suspect that
other world leaders will take the same lesson from this debacle.
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