By Nick Catoggio
Monday, June 29, 2026
I pay special attention to polls about pride in America,
mostly as a matter of narcissism.
I’m keen to know how many people have had their
patriotism shattered by the relentless demoralizing scumbaggery of the MAGA
era, as I have. Am I the exception or the rule?
A little of both, it seems. Gallup’s new data strongly suggests a “Trump effect” on
deteriorating American pride, in case the pitiful attendance at the Great American State Fair this
past weekend didn’t already clue you in. But that doesn’t tell the whole story.
For instance, ousting Donald Trump in 2020 and regaining
control of the White House did boost patriotism among the left—but only
modestly and temporarily. The highest share of Democrats who said they were
“extremely proud” to be American in recent years was 34 percent in 2024. By
comparison, the lowest share that said so during the hated George W.
Bush administration was 46 percent.
Independents followed a similar arc. Extreme pride in
being an American dipped within that group after the first year of the first
Trump administration; then Joe Biden became president and … it kept falling,
recovering slightly in 2024 before dropping further during Trump 2.0. Public
dispiritedness at the abiding popularity of a corrupt, demagogic postliberal
buffoon can’t explain all of that.
But it explains a lot, I think. Between the depths of the
Bush years in 2006 all the way through the end of Barack Obama’s
administration, the share of adults who claimed they were extremely or very
proud to be American barely budged. Then you-know-who took office and the
numbers began to plummet, from 81 percent in 2016 to 75 percent the following
year to 63 percent in 2020 to 53 percent today, the lowest mark this century.
Among independents, extreme pride in being American has
gone from 55 percent in 2006 to 28 percent in 2026. Among Democrats, it’s all
but vanished. The 46 percent who felt extremely proud 20 years ago has
collapsed to 14 percent now.
Seeing that this morning, I thought, “This is how you got
Graham Platner.”
It stands to reason that a party whose sense of
patriotism has collapsed will be more willing to send burn-it-all-down
socialists into the government, even personally obnoxious ones like the chud
from Maine or the anti-miscegenation
woke muppet who clinched a House seat last week in New York City. Another
member of the Democratic Socialists of America is poised to oust 30-year Democratic incumbent Rep. Diana
DeGette in Colorado tomorrow night. And far-left Abdul El-Sayed has become the frontrunner for his party’s Senate nomination in Michigan,
one of the country’s traditional bellwethers.
Socialists have even begun to perform well in
favorability surveys. New data from pollster G. Elliott Morris finds that the six most popular (or least
unpopular) politicians in America are Democrats; those seven include Sen.
Bernie Sanders, New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and Rep. Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez, all of whom have been associated with the left’s radical DSA
wing at one time or another.
What might explain it?
Washington Examiner editor Peter
Laffin has a theory. “Trump had a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to
delegitimize the opposition after 2024 through effective conservative
governance and honorable comportment,” he wrote this morning. “But he couldn’t
escape his impulsiveness, and he could very well go down as the figure who
ushered in socialism in the U.S.”
Is that the answer?
As I noted
last week, the president’s right-wing apologists love to credit his continued
political viability to a popular backlash to progressivism. “This is how you
got Trump,” they’ll snort, alluding to how the elite left’s
condescension and cultural excesses alienate the working class. But that logic
works, or should work, both ways: If socialists sweep into federal office this
fall, presumably that too would be driven by some sort of backlash among hoi
polloi—to the right this time, not the left.
What will the nature of the backlash be, according to
Republicans? When they ask themselves “What did we do wrong to make a creep
like Graham Platner electable?” what conclusion will they reach?
The wrong answers.
We can start with a conclusion they won’t reach. They
won’t embrace Laffin’s theory.
Admitting that Trump cocked things up so badly as to make
socialism attractive by comparison would require right-wingers to admit they
erred catastrophically in reelecting him. They’ll never do it. They spent 10
years being warned by “elites” that the president is an embarrassing civic
blight on America who’s as incompetent as he is crooked. They’d sooner pay $12
per gallon for gas before they acknowledge that those elites were correct.
Laffin himself isn’t correct either, of course. There’s a
germ of truth in what he said: Had Trump’s second term looked more like his
first, focused on the economy and less sidetracked by self-indulgent nonsense
like foolish wars or putting his image on U.S. passports, he’d be more popular
than he is.
But there was no universe in which he might have
delivered “effective conservative governance and honorable comportment,” and to
pretend otherwise is to stoop to self-indulgent nonsense yourself. Trump warned
everyone what the point of his second term would be and what
caliber of person it would employ; Republican voters who now feign surprise
and dismay that he’s governed as he has are transparently making excuses for
their own knowing dereliction of civic duty. They knew he was
a snake when they took him in.
A more popular answer on the right to the question of
“How did we get Graham Platner?” will be: We didn’t! The election in Maine was
rigged.
That will be the president’s answer to defeats across the
country, certainly, and so it will also be the answer mindlessly adopted by
many right-wingers—but not
all of them, and possibly not most. The 2020 reprise we’re headed for is
destined to be less popular among Republicans than the original.
Trump himself won’t be on the ballot this time, reducing
his supporters’ emotional investment in the midterms and their urgency to find
excuses for defeat. And his victory in 2024 will inadvertently undercut some of
the conspiracy theories that might be used to rationalize a November disaster.
If, as we’ll be told, socialist victories are due to America having imported a
third-world electorate, how do we explain the president and his party having done so well with nonwhite voters two years ago?
How believable will it be that Graham Platner won on the
strength of illegal immigrants voting en masse in … Maine?
The real problem for “Stop the Steal” this time around,
though, is that influential right-wing factions will be incentivized by their
respective policy hobby horses to call b.s. on it. That wasn’t a problem in
2020, when every stripe of populism was foursquare behind the coup attempt, but
this fall will be different. Iran doves like Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor
Greene, and Megyn Kelly will look to blame a GOP defeat on Trump’s war, not on
Democratic vote-rigging. And Iran hawks like Mark Levin will look to blame it
on J.D. Vance’s (i.e., Trump’s) peace-deal capitulation to end that war.
The lines of battle for control of the post-Trump party
in 2028 are being drawn. Successfully scapegoating a rival faction for a
Republican midterm wipeout will matter more to right-wing populists than
advancing the latest face-saving excuse for a major presidential failure. And
circumstances might make it easy: If the economy tanks or gas prices climb
again, the idea that Democrats had to cheat to win won’t pass the laugh test.
So “How did we get Graham Platner?” is likely to become a
battle royal of narratives. The “rigged!” cranks will struggle with the
Tuckerites who insist that Republican warmongering and obeisance to Israel
seeded a popular appetite for a radical socialist alternative. And the
Levinites will allege that dejected hawks stayed home rather than turn out for
a right-wing party whose foreign policy has become a pale imitation of
Jew-hating leftism.
There are more persuasive answers to the Platner
question, though.
The cost of living.
The obvious reason socialists are getting a hearing from
voters is that the cost of living has bedeviled the last two presidents.
That probably explains why patriotism didn’t rebound
among Democrats and independents during the Biden era. Pride in being American
is tied up in the idea of the American dream; when the American dream feels out
of reach, that pride lags. (Especially among the young.) And when it feels out
of reach across two separate administrations, one left-wing and right-wing,
voters might plausibly deduce that the problem may not be solvable with
traditional politics and policies.
America needs to try something different to make life
affordable again. Socialism sure is different.
It’s not just inflation, though. For many years, across
many administrations, leaders of both parties have agreed that the United
States needs to break certain bad habits—and then haven’t broken them. Middle
Eastern wars, enormous annual federal deficits, uncertainty about what to do
with the millions of illegal immigrants who have been here for years: No matter
whom one elects, including a gonzo outsider like Trump, the problems recur,
deepen, or simply never get addressed.
The less Americans feel they have to lose by giving
someone like Darializa Avila Chevalier a crack at power, the more likely
they’ll be to do so.
The president’s failures have been especially helpful to
socialists, I think, because the promise of his 2016 campaign has proven
fraudulent twice over. The implied warranty of Trumpism is that bureaucracy
makes big problems unfixable; if you want real change in the United States, you
need a strongman who’ll bulldoze laws and rules to impose his will on “the
swamp.” Americans took him up on that offer—and, apart from controlling the
border, it’s been a disaster. Life is still expensive. The annual deficit is
grotesque. Even the U.S. military seems less formidable than it used to be.
To make matters worse, the president got elected and
reelected by insisting that he’d champion a working class that had been
forgotten by Republicans and Democrats, with special emphasis on bringing down
costs in 2024. Americans believed him, only to find that he cares less
about affordability than he does about the amount of algae in the Lincoln
Memorial Reflecting Pool.
If you’re the sort of person who was intrigued by the
potential of postliberal authoritarianism to solve previously unsolvable
problems, Trumpism has been a bust. So maybe it’s time to roll
the dice on the left’s version, in which power is less concentrated and
redistributing wealth is a higher priority.
Republican voters will find it hard to concede that
Trump’s failure on affordability is how we got Graham Platner. For one thing,
they won’t want to admit that the president’s blue-collar credentials are
almost entirely cultural, not economic. But I think the right is also
instinctively allergic to interpreting politics through the lens of class and
redistribution. They associate such things with the Marxist left, and I think
on some level they resist the idea that control of the government should depend
on which side is delivering tangible improvements for voters.
To the modern right-wing tribalist, politics isn’t a
contest to see who can deliver more. (Except with respect to deportations.)
It’s an existential struggle to keep the left out of power so that they don’t
destroy the country. Concede that socialists are benefiting from Trump’s
failure to bring down the cost of living and you’re conceding that, in some
circumstances, the public might reasonably prefer socialist leaders.
Unthinkable.
The Trump factor.
The other correct answer to the question “How did we get
Graham Platner?” is related to the decline in Democratic and independent
patriotism. The ceaseless humiliations that the president continues to inflict
on the United States aren’t the only reason that pride in being an American is
down, but it certainly is a reason to anyone outside the MAGA cult.
It’s not just a matter of him behaving badly or
“impulsively,” to borrow Laffin’s excruciating euphemism. It’s the squalor of
it all. Trumpism is an experiment in what would happen if America were run like
a third-world country—sidelining the legislature, installing cranks and
imbeciles in high positions, using the police to harass enemies, abusing state
power in all sorts of ways to enrich friends and family, delegitimizing every
political development that doesn’t go your way as a product of cheating or
criminal activity. (Including algae.) Tinpot dictators don’t debase themselves
in their daily pronouncements as reliably as our president does.
We dwell on those subjects a lot in this newsletter, so I
won’t belabor the point. But if you grew up, as I did, with “American
exceptionalism” as the engine of your patriotic pride, the last 10 years have
been a sustained exercise in having your face ground in a pile of s--t. (If you
grew up during the Trump era, you never had that engine to begin with.)
Americans might once have been an exception to the grubby manner in which most
other populations on Earth governed their countries, but no more. If we’re exceptional
now, it’s only insofar as we gave a second chance at leadership to a man any
respectable people would have thrown in prison or exiled after his first term
ended the way it did.
Patriotism will recover somewhat once Trump is gone, but
I’ll be surprised if it ever rebounds completely. Having seen what other
Americans are willing to elect and indulge, the disillusionment about
exceptionalism can never be undone.
And that partly explains how you get Graham Platner. When
you lose respect for your country, electing unfit, unrespectable people to
office can only feel less objectionable. That’s basically what populists say
when asked why they excuse Trump’s poor character, no? I came to hate the
system, so I was willing to overlook a dishonorable candidate’s flaws to shake
it up.
Well, a lot of people hate “the system” that Trump and
MAGA have created. If there’s a guy out there willing to tear it down, who
cares if he once had a Nazi tattoo? The branch of government he’s running for
functionally doesn’t even exist anymore! Political squalor is like any other
good: If you make it profitable, as the right did by twice electing the
president, you’ll get more of it.
Needless to say, I don’t expect any soul-searching on
this point from Republicans in November if Platner and the other socialists
win. The market among the grassroots right for less squalor and more dignity
is, shall we say, not robust.
If anything, I imagine many will seize on a swell of
support for “godless communism” as an excuse to become more radically
squalid in their politics. That’s another impediment to Trump’s “Stop the
Steal” plans, in fact: Postliberals will want mainstream Republicans to believe
that the socialist threat is real and rising, not an artifact of election
chicanery. It can’t be defeated by banning mail-in ballots or tightening voting
procedures. It can only be defeated by—you guessed it—the GOP becoming even
more fascist.
In addition to the self-serving explanations by the
Carlsons and Levins that I mentioned earlier, my guess is that many
right-wingers will explain a rising socialist tide at the polls as a mysterious
organic outgrowth of the left’s supposedly fundamental radicalism. Trump didn’t
cause anyone to support Platner, you see, nor did the remorseless cost of
living. What caused it is that Democrats are America-hating Marxists at heart
and many of them are simply being more honest with themselves about it, for whatever
reason.
Maybe so. It’s true that Democrats’ pride in America has
consistently lagged behind Republicans’ throughout this century per the Gallup
poll I flagged above. There’s something in leftist ideology that’s less
comfortable with patriotism—possibly the transnational ambitions of class war,
possibly its preoccupation with “progress” disposing it to dwell on the
nation’s sins. But it’s also true that electing a boorish demagogue like Trump
who wraps himself in the flag for cynical reasons is influencing how Americans view that flag.
Nationalism and patriotism are distinct things. But when
the president treats authentic American patriotism as a tribal totem of
postliberals, go figure that some Democrats and independents might become
polarized around feeling pride in America, coming to view it as an expression
of MAGA-style nationalist chauvinism. And inevitably finding themselves more
tolerant of anti-Americanism in leaders than they should be.
That’s how you get Darializa Avila Chevalier, and we will
get her in November. If we get Graham Platner too, don’t be surprised.
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