By John R. Puri
Thursday, June 11, 2026
Early in his second term, President Trump announced his
intent to establish a sovereign wealth fund for the United States — a
government-owned investment vehicle similar to those run by petro-states. It
didn’t seem as if he would get his wish. The federal government was running a
$2 trillion deficit, not a surplus to reinvest, and Congress had no appetite to
appropriate billions for a presidential hedge fund.
What Trump quickly discovered, however, was that he did
not need congressional assent to start assembling shares in private companies.
All he needed was good old-fashioned leverage, using statutory tools he already
possessed. Whenever a firm sought the administration’s help or tried to access
an existing federal grant or loan program, the president would ask for an
equity stake in return.
He began last summer by exploiting an obscure account
dating back to the Cold War that is authorized to support defense-critical
industries. Typically employed to provide loans and purchase commitments, the
fund was used by the Trump administration to acquire a 15 percent equity stake
in MP Materials, which operates the nation’s sole rare earth minerals mine. The
purchase instantly made the Defense Department the company’s largest
shareholder.
One month later, Trump blew his first equity deal out of
the water. He eyed an ownership stake in the struggling chip giant Intel, which
was bleeding money and jobs despite billions of dollars in federal subsidies
under the Biden-era CHIPS Act. Trump noticed that $5.7 billion in grants had
previously been awarded to Intel but had not yet been paid. In exchange for
releasing the promised funds, the administration asked for 10 percent of the
company. Intel was happy to accede, winning the most powerful ally in the
world.
Before 2025, economic analyst Scott Lincicome notes, the
federal government had not made an indefinite, noncrisis investment in a
healthy private company since at least the 1950s. The Trump administration has
now taken more than 20 such stakes, targeting a range of industries from
minerals and semiconductors to nuclear energy and quantum computing. There is
no limiting principle at work; the government is taking equity in any company
it can, on any terms, in any amount. It’s a scheme that progressives can fall
in love with: Bernie Sanders is now clamoring to take government stakes in
artificial intelligence companies.
This endeavor is enabled by a mix of old and new
legislative appropriations written with few constraints on their deployment for
stretchable ends: bolstering the defense-industrial base, accelerating
innovation, etc. Congress clearly did not anticipate the current president’s
cleverness.
Trump is reaping the benefits of the industrial policy
pushed by his predecessor. The CHIPS Act and Biden’s green-energy law, the
Inflation Reduction Act, gave the executive tens of billions of dollars that he
could dangle. Last year’s reconciliation bill gave the Defense Department
billions more to dole out, and the administration’s recent budget request would
supercharge the military’s investment accounts.
Trump related his extralegal investment philosophy in an
interview last December: “We should take stakes in companies when people need
something. I think we should take stakes in companies. Now, some people would
say that doesn’t sound very American. Actually, I think it is very American.”
To call this approach transactional may sound trite — every equity deal is a
transaction, of course. But conservatives have long insisted that government be
the neutral arbiter of the marketplace, not an active participant. And, under
law, the executive branch was never meant to trade special favors and taxpayer
money for profit.
The president’s quest for ownership has pervaded his
discretionary governance style. Executives are reportedly so afraid that Trump
will demand stakes in their companies that they have rehearsed how they would
respond in Oval Office meetings. Even when Trump doesn’t receive a stake, the
mere prospect can affect his decision-making. When United Airlines’ CEO pitched
him on a merger with rival American Airlines, Trump’s aides discussed whether
to secure shares in the new company. The White House nearly bailed out Spirit
Airlines with a $500 million loan because the failing carrier was prepared to
hand over an 80 percent stake, until bondholders balked.
Treating federal agencies like venture capital firms
risks that government will do poorly what it needs to do well. There is a
strong national security case for using public funds to expand production of
critical inputs, such as rare earth metals, for which we are dependent on
China. It is essential to this mission, however, that finite resources are
distributed to companies based on their viability and strategic necessity. With
equity stakes on the table, government officials may instead be tempted to reward
whoever presents the most attractive deal.
Some companies that the Defense Department has bought
into, including MP Materials, are well-established producers looking to expand.
Several others are start-ups that have barely gotten off the ground. Vulcan
Elements, an aspiring rare earth magnet manufacturer, traded stock warrants for
a $620 million loan despite employing fewer than 100 people. Trilogy Metals, a
development-stage mining play in Alaska, got $35.6 million before it even
applied for a permit. The department spent hundreds of millions of dollars for
stakes in lithium and alumina producers — minerals that the United States
sources from friendly South American countries, not from adversaries. It’s hard
to say whether these companies would have received federal funds if they hadn’t
offered shares. Conversely, what happens when an invaluable defense supplier refuses
to fork over equity?
Federal stakes also threaten untold economic distortions.
Once the government takes a financial interest in a particular company, the
interventionism never ends there. Officials use the state’s power to privilege
their investments over other firms, supplanting the market’s role in steering
wealth and opportunity.
Intel is the clearest beneficiary of the president’s
embrace. Since taking a stake in the chipmaker, the administration has worked
to boost Intel’s business. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has effectively
become the company’s envoy, convincing the chief executives of Apple, Nvidia,
and SpaceX to form lucrative partnerships with Intel rather than with more
advanced competitors. They may not have had much of a choice in the matter:
Apple relies heavily on special tariff exemptions, Nvidia has an agreement with
Trump to bypass export controls, and SpaceX would not exist without federal
contracts.
Through such favoritism, Trump’s investment picks distort
the flow of capital. Government stakes are intended to “crowd in” private
investment, thereby diverting resources from more intrinsically promising
businesses that otherwise would have received that funding. Intel’s share price
has skyrocketed since its deal with Trump, despite persistently poor
fundamentals — a telltale sign of capital misallocation.
Positive returns for taxpayers often fail to translate
into success for the nation. Government-owned companies may well see their
valuations jump as investors seek the security of state backing, but that only
means they are eating up resources that could have gone to more productive
ventures. It’s the same model that has faltered in China — government directing
capital to state-owned and politically favored enterprises — with misallocation
costing the country trillions of dollars in missed economic output.
There are ways for government to secure critical supply chains without constructing a corporate patronage network. Indeed, that was the intent behind many of the programs that Trump is using to extract equity. But so long as the state is taking stakes in private companies, there can be no neutrality. The paper profits may be sweet, but the losses will be booked against sound governance and economic dynamism.
No comments:
Post a Comment