National Review Online
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Well, it’s going to be the hard way.
President Trump likes to tell adversaries of the United
States that we can do it the easy way or the hard way, and Iran, for the second
time in a year, is finding out what’s entailed in the latter.
In the wee hours of Saturday morning, Trump announced the
start of a massive military campaign. The strikes have been conducted jointly
with Israel, representing an unprecedented level of cooperation between the two
allies.
In a combined air and sea attack, the U.S.–Israeli
strikes hit anti-aircraft capabilities, ballistic missile sites, Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps facilities, and top leadership, including Supreme
Leader Ali Khamenei, who in an early stunning success was killed in the raid,
according to Trump and Israeli officials.
In a video statement released early this morning, Trump
explained that since the radical Islamic regime seized power in 1979, it has
been a destabilizing force in the region and a leading sponsor of terrorism
that has been responsible for countless deaths of Americans, including
servicemembers killed in roadside bombings in Iraq. Trump reiterated that he
was committed to ensuring that Iran does not have a nuclear weapon, but
negotiations made it clear that its leaders were never going to abandon their pursuit.
Thus, he said, military action was the only course remaining.
Trump made the case for regime change, but he said
ultimately it would be up to the Iranian people themselves. “When we are
finished, take over your government,” he told them. “It will be yours to take.
This will be, probably, your only chance for generations. For many years, you
have asked for America’s help, but you never got it. No president was willing
to do what I am willing to do tonight. Now you have a president who is giving
you what you want. So let’s see how you respond.”
In what looks to be an early miscalculation, Iran aimed
at U.S. assets in the Arab Gulf states. An Iranian drone hit a high-rise
building in Bahrain, and another one hit the Kuwait International Airport.
Other strikes included sites in the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Jordan. As
a result of these actions, Saudi Arabia, which initially tried to stay neutral,
condemned “heinous Iranian aggression” and said that “all capabilities” would be at the disposal of the Gulf
states in any counterattacks against Iran.
As we watch the awesome display of U.S. military might,
we remember that history has given us many reasons to have humility about the
exercise of power. Whenever military force is used, the results are
unpredictable and potentially dangerous. Trump himself warned in his remarks
that there could be U.S. casualties. It’s obviously difficult to effect regime
change from the air, even with Khamenei presumed dead. And we don’t have any
good idea what might replace the Islamic Republic, although it’s hard to see how
— for cold-blooded U.S. purposes — anything could be worse than the
aggressively anti-American, terrorist regime in place in Tehran for nearly the
last 50 years.
Another risk is that expending munitions and military
assets against the Iranian regime will leave America weaker in a potential
fight against China (even if there is also an argument that the fall of the
regime would deprive China of a key ally in the Middle East).
While there is a case to be made that the 2001
Authorization for Use of Military Force was written so broadly that it could
justify this campaign without congressional approval, by shutting out Congress,
Trump has also short-circuited the attempt to make a case to the American
people as to why this action was necessary at this time. Such a campaign of
public persuasion is necessary to sustain any protracted campaign against Iran.
All that said, for decades, the unwritten rule was that
Iran could kill and maim Americans, and we could never directly hit back. To
his credit, Trump rejected this implicit arrangement last year in Midnight
Hammer and, this time, has gone further. The campaign promises, at the very
least, to lay waste to the nuclear and military infrastructure of the Iranian
regime. This will set back these programs and capabilities in a way that will
be difficult to recover from any time soon and will make it impossible for the
regime to project its malign influence throughout the region on the level we’ve
seen in recent decades.
Too often, American leadership has taken the easy way out
by looking the other way regarding Iranian perfidy or seeking to paper it over
with foolish diplomatic deals. In this sense, too, Trump is taking the hard
way. We wish him and the U.S. military every success.
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