By Noah
Rothman
Monday,
July 10, 2023
It was
said time and again in the wake of the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision
that the Court had sacrificed its “legitimacy” by overturning the popular
precedents of Roe and Casey.
Those
who posed as the most concerned about the Court’s “legitimacy” retailed the
idea that the institution’s failure to defer to public opinion was de facto
evidence of its ideological corruption. This “deeply unpopular,
society-changing ruling” was only a symptom of how the “institution’s
credibility and legitimacy has suffered so greatly,” wrote MSNBC’s Steve Benen.” Vox’s Ian Millhiser
appeared to agree. “The Dobbs decision is the culmination of a decades-long
effort by Republicans to capture the Supreme Court and use it,” he wrote, “not just to undercut abortion
rights but also to implement an unpopular agenda they cannot implement through
the democratic process.” The cause of the Court’s “unpopularity is no secret,”
the New York
Times editorial
board opined. “Over the past several years, the court has been transformed into
a judicial arm of the Republican Party.” As a result, “the court’s legitimacy
has been squandered in the service of partisan victories.”
Perhaps
in an ideal world, the Dobbs decision wouldn’t have
“undermined popular support” for the Court, as Washington University professor
James Gibson’s white paper on the subject posited. But it did. And his theory
of the case is hard to argue against. “Prior to 2020 — believe it or not —
liberals won nearly half of the time (and lost half of the time),” he wrote. “Since 2020, however, a determined
and emboldened majority on the court wants nothing but conservative decisions.”
When “liberals rarely get what they want from the court,” Gibson continued,
they have little reason to back the institution.
The
Court’s left-wing critics insist their defamation campaign targeting the
bench’s conservative justices is informed by high principle, but this parochial
explanation for their crusade is more convincing. And Gibson’s proposition can
now be tested. Insofar as those who insist the Court is hopelessly biased
toward the GOP are unpersuaded when it renders
verdicts that
cut against the Republican
Party’s interests,
we now have a ruling that is broadly popular but nonetheless still
illegitimate.
An Economist/YouGov poll of American adults taken after
the Court’s ruling in Students for Fair Admissions Inc. vs. President
and Fellows of Harvard College found that 59 percent of respondents
support the ruling, which bans colleges that accept federal funding from
considering “an applicant’s race when making decisions on admissions.” That
figure includes a majority of women and a plurality of black, Hispanic, and
younger respondents between the ages of 18 and 29 — demographics that make up
the base of that aggrieved center-Left voting block that is so frustrated with
the Court’s recent decisions.
These
numbers are consistent with polling on affirmative action generally. This
summer, Pew Research
Center polling
prior to the Court’s verdict found that a majority disapproves of using race
and ethnicity in the admissions process. By 49 percent to 20 percent, most
Americans said affirmative action made the college-admissions process less
rather than more “fair.” A year ago, another Pew
poll found
that 74 percent of respondents believed “race or ethnicity” should not be a
factor college administrators consider when selecting admittees. That included
59 percent of African Americans, 68 percent of Hispanics, and even 62 percent
of self-identified Democrats.
So, will
this have any effect on how the public views the Court — which a recent Quinnipiac University poll found has seen its reputation
suffer because voters believe the body is “mainly motivated by politics” rather
than “by the law”? Probably not, if only because those who are leading the
crusade against the Court are keen to revise their line of attack to preserve
the public’s distaste for its findings.
“One of
the longer-term consequences of this ruling, coming on the heels of a series of
other decisions by this Court going back to 2022, is public agitation about the
Court,” said Harvard University historian Jill Lepore in an interview with PBS last
week. She alleged that the majority’s determination that affirmative action
violates the 14th Amendment’s proscriptions against racial discrimination is
“baffling to people.” The decision, coming after a series of other rulings that
“were at variance with public opinion” and whose “legal logic is a little bit
illegible,” would “erode confidence in the Court,” Lepore concluded.
You
apparently need a Ph.D. to understand why a constitutional amendment blocking
publicly funded ventures from engaging in negative racial discrimination also
invalidates initiatives designed to produce outcomes based on positive racial
discrimination. At the very least, Lepore’s logic dispenses with the notion
that the unpopularity of the Court’s verdicts is solely responsible for the
body’s declining favorability ratings. Sometimes, the substance of those
rulings, even when they might be popular, also contributes to the specter of
illegitimacy allegedly haunting the Court. The only common thread appears to be
that the Court is illegitimate when it isn’t doing what the Left wants.
This is
a useful admission. It demonstrates the malleability of the attacks on the
Court’s legitimacy, which are increasingly exposed by those making them as a
conclusion in pursuit of a rationale. The Court’s “legitimacy”
is imperiled when
it takes up a “fake” case in the effort to determine
that the state cannot compel private speech — a dubious charge that has little bearing
on Colorado’s efforts to
enforce what it assumed was its prerogative. Its legitimacy is threatened when
conservative justices decline to recuse themselves from certain cases on the flimsiest
of pretexts, but
not when liberal justices refuse to recognize
obvious conflicts of interest or opine on cases from which they’ve
recused themselves.
The Court is illegitimate because it is supposedly accumulating power for
itself, even when it disaggregates
political authority across the whole Madisonian scheme. It is illegitimate when it “dominates
policymaking” thereby “undermining democracy” because it insists that only Congress — not
the president, not executive
agencies, and not
the judiciary — has the authority to write
new law.
Those
who are waging a war on the Court’s legitimacy will use any weapon at hand to
prosecute their case, even at the expense of consistency. But the kitchen-sink
strategy muddies their arguments. Maybe the hyper-partisan left sees no
contradiction in arguing that the Court is illegitimate when it renders popular
verdicts as much as unpopular ones, that conservative justices must adhere to
standards of conduct from which liberal justices are exempt, and that insisting
that Congress should do its job constitutes a power-grab. But average voters
can be forgiven if they are confused.
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