By Rich
Lowry
Tuesday,
March 21, 2023
If Donald
Trump’s Truth Social post about his impending arrest made it feel
like our politics was about to reach another level of insanity, just wait.
The
impending Alvin Bragg prosecution offers a taste of what our national politics
will be like post–November 2024 if Donald Trump wins the presidency again.
The Left
freaked out in 2017, and that was before the Trump attempt to overturn an
election, before January 6, and, we can presume, before he was indicted,
perhaps more than once.
If Trump
wins again via the Electoral College while losing the popular vote, it will be
considered a damning indictment of our constitutional system, and there will be
some new reason — some equivalent of Russian election interference in 2017 —
for progressives to deny the legitimacy of his victory.
There
will be large-scale street protests, making good on the threat that had cities
around the country boarding up
prior to the 2020 election.
The
atmosphere will be fevered, and however much people lost perspective in 2017,
the reflex will be to lose it even more.
The
notion of national divorce will gain more traction on the left.
Trump
will probably be in personal danger, and so will nearly anyone associated with
him.
Security
around cabinet officials will have to be beefed up, and the question won’t be
if White House staff members will be harassed in restaurants and other public
places, but how threatening it will be.
For his
part, Trump would certainly be running an ALL CAPS presidency.
He promised as
much at CPAC
earlier this month: “In 2016, I declared, ‘I am your voice.’ Today, I add: I am
your warrior. I am your justice. And for those who have been wronged and
betrayed, I am your retribution.”
When
Hugh Hewitt pushed Trump on this point in an interview, asking if he would “use
the powers of the presidency to punish people who punished you,” he denied it.
“I would
be entitled to a revenge tour, if you want to know the truth,” Trump replied,
“but I wouldn’t do that.”
Why?
Because he is so beholden to propriety and institutional constraints?
The
revenge tour isn’t a new thing, by the way. During his first term, Trump demanded
the arrest of his enemies. Why would a second term be any different, especially given that he is
angrier and more aggrieved than a few years ago?
What is
likely to change is that the administration will be stocked with officials more
likely to act on Trump’s worst instincts and half-baked ideas than the first
time around. After seeing how many of the officials from the first term had bad
ends — cashiered or insulted or both — the pool of people willing to say,
“Thank you, sir, may I have another,” will be much smaller.
Republicans
on the outside will surely find themselves often forced into the same position
as this week, when they’ve tamped down Trump’s call for PROTESTS of his
prospective arrest.
Of
course, the wilder a Trump administration gets, the crazier the opposition
becomes, and vice versa. Energy that in a different Republican administration
could be devoted to moving the ball forward will be dissipated in an endless
cycle of chaos and drama.
It would
be profoundly irresponsible of Alvin Bragg to go forward with the indictment
and arrest of Trump. The only upside is providing a preview of a future that
Republicans, no matter how much they oppose Bragg’s prosecution, should want to
avoid.
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