By Kevin
D. Williamson
Monday,
March 20, 2023
Donald
Trump says he is going to be arrested on Tuesday. Maybe. Probably not. There
are two things we know for certain about Donald Trump: The first is that he is
the sort of irritating New York neurotic who believes that he ceases to exist
when attention is not being paid to him, and the second is that he is
constitutionally incapable of producing three consecutive sentences without a
lie in one of them. A lie that brings him attention must be as irresistible as
a well-seasoned hunk of porn-star jerky who pays him postcoital
hush money rather than his usual arrangement, which goes the other way around.
If you cannot see the hand of divine judgment at work in the prospect of this
ailing republic being convulsed over an episode that, by the account of one of
the intimately involved parties, had all of the impact of a Vienna sausage
landing in a catcher’s mitt, then you have no religious imagination at
all.
A few
hours after Trump’s claim—in all-caps, of course, from the great sobbing
kindergartner of American politics—that he “WILL BE ARRESTED ON TUESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK,” a Trump spokesman almost immediately “issued a statement clarifying that
Mr. Trump had not written his post with direct knowledge of the timing of any
arrest,” as the New York Times gently put it. The spokesman
says “there has been no notification,” and people close to the case say that a
Tuesday arrest is unlikely, So, more bulls—t from the bulls—t factory. Trump is,
of course, calling for protests, as he did leading up to the riot of January 6,
2021, the street-theater complement to the coup d’état he was
attempting to orchestrate through various implausible attempts at legal and
institutional chicanery.
Donald
Trump is, like James Joyce, one of those authors who can be inscrutable on a
by-the-word basis and is best appreciated on a by-the-page basis, though if we
strung all of Trump’s tweets together and put them in a book we’d still have
something less comprehensible than Finnegans Wake. So, at the
risk of assuming the position of Stormy Daniels (one of the positions of Stormy
Daniels), the enterprising reader must take Trump in at full length, such as it
is.
That is
not the sort of thing one expects from a man who was, until about five minutes
ago, the president of these United States of America. It is precisely the
sort of thing one would expect from a delusional bedlamite who invented an
imaginary friend to lie to the New York Post about his sex life
and then named his youngest son after said imaginary friend. A federal prison
is not the only kind of facility one can imagine Donald Trump locked up in. I
don’t know whether he is mentally ill in a medical sense any more than I know
whether Joe Biden is cognitively impaired in a medical sense, but I do know
that, in the colloquial sense of the word crazy, he is as crazy as
a sack of ferrets.
Neither
do I know whether Trump is guilty of any particular crime—that is why we have
trials and juries and such. Trying a former president for a crime, even a petty
one, will be a spectacle, though if there is a crime to prosecute, it will be a
necessary spectacle: The men and women who hold power should be held to the
very highest standards of law and ethics. It is inconvenient that modern
liberal democracies have taken away the most useful weapon of civic
self-defense in cases such as these, which is, of course, exile.
But a country that isn’t ready to repeal the 17th Amendment is
not going to reach back in history for such a golden oldie as exile.
What is
remarkable to me is that, all these years after the fact, the Trump admirers
are still complaining that Hillary Rodham Clinton called them “deplorables.”
The Clintons are awful and embarrassing and gross—Roger Stone has been known to
plagiarize my line about the Clintons’ being “the penicillin-resistant syphilis
of American politics”—but, if all this isn’t deplorable, what
is?
Economics
for English Majors
The idea
is not unique to me, by any means, but I have received many questions about my
suggestion that the FDIC should, as a matter of prudence, insure all bank deposits rather than only the first
$250,000.
One line
of criticism goes, roughly: “Why should the FDIC insure the fat cats with tens
of millions of dollars, or billions of dollars, in the bank?” Answering that
question will depend on what you think deposit insurance is there to do. If you
think of deposit insurance as a social-justice measure—ensuring that regular
people of modest means don’t pay a disproportionate financial price if bank
executives do a poor job managing a financial institution—then means-testing
deposit insurance (which is what the cap amounts to) might make sense. On the
other hand, if you want to use deposit insurance to influence the behavior of
bank depositors, preventing widespread financial panics and runs on banks, then
it makes sense to insure the big accounts, too: It is, after all, a much bigger
problem for a bank when a guy with a gunny sack walks up to the teller’s window
and asks for his $1 billion back than when somebody with $5,300 (the median
bank balance) does. This would require congressional authorization, of
course—we’ve already had enough administrative freelancing in the past 20 years
to last us the rest of this century—but, as an economic and regulatory
proposition, the idea is sound. As a general rule, insurance gets more efficient
the larger the insured population is, and charging banks (and, through them,
their customers) an economically appropriate premium for deposit insurance is
the sort of thing a reasonably functional government ought to be able to
do.
There
already exists a version of this, confined to Massachusetts, where the
Depositors Insurance Fund (DIF), a private, bank-financed deposit-insurance
company that covers deposits beyond what the FDIC guarantees, has been
operating since the 1930s. The DIF is available only to Massachusetts-chartered
banks, though the protection is extended to the out-of-state customers of those
banks and out-of-state branches, as long as the bank is legally a Massachusetts
bank and DIF participant.
I
frequently quote F. A. Hayek on the welfare state and social insurance in The
Road to Serfdom:
In a society which has reached the general level of wealth which ours
has attained … some minimum of food, shelter, and clothing, sufficient to
preserve health and the capacity to work, can be assured to everybody. … Nor is
there any reason why the state should not assist the individual in providing
for those common hazards of life against which, because of their uncertainty,
few individuals can make adequate provision.
Where, as in the case of sickness and accident, neither the
desire to avoid such calamities nor the efforts to overcome their consequences
are as a rule weakened by the provision of assistance –where, in short, we deal
with genuinely insurable risks—the case for the state’s helping to organize a
comprehensive system of social insurance is very strong. There are many points
of detail where those wishing to preserve the competitive system and those
wishing to supersede it by something different will disagree on the details of
such schemes; and it is possible under the name of social insurance to
introduce measures which tend to make competition more or less ineffective. But
there is no incompatability in principle between the state’s providing greater
security in this way and the preservation of individual freedom.
In my
view, the interesting and useful part is “those common hazards of life against
which, because of their uncertainty, few individuals can make adequate
provision.” Market competition really does contribute to improvements—improvements
in quality, improvements in price—for all sorts of goods and services. The
consumer-choice dynamic works best in markets where there are lots of sellers
and lots of buyers—and lots of repeated, ongoing interactions. You use your
mobile phone every day, and you get a new one every couple of years, maybe
every year. So you are on the lookout for the next improvement, and
manufacturers have a very strong incentive to provide it. But bank failures are
very, very rare—thank goodness. How many of you asked a lot of pointed
questions about reserve-capital allocation strategies when you opened up your
last checking account? My current bank has been my bank through seven places of
residence in five states, going on 20 years. I know what kind of shocks are on
my truck—I have no idea how my bank runs its internal affairs. I just assume
they are evil but competent—you know: bankers.
(And I
work hard to keep my bank balance under that $250,000 FDIC
ceiling!)
In any
case, relying on consumer pressure to keep banks on the straight-and-narrow
does not seem to have worked very well, nor does it seem very likely to work.
Maybe in 10 years somebody will have cooked up some financial innovation that
makes old-fashioned depository banks beside the point, but, for now,
individuals use banks, families use banks, and businesses use banks, and it
seems to me that we would probably be better off as an economic matter if
people didn’t have to worry about their bank deposits. And don’t think that
you’re in the clear just because you are under the $250,000 limit—if a jumbo
depositor or a couple of dozen of them decide to pull out of your bank, that
could tank the institution. Sure, the FDIC promises to step in and make you
whole, but there is bound to be some disruption, some risk, and some uncertainty.
That kind of uncertainty is the archenemy of long-term prosperity in a
free-market economy.
(Obligatory
reminder that The Dispatch was a customer of Silicon Valley
Bank, the failure of which started this whole conversation.)
Insuring
all deposits would harden up the U.S. commercial banking system. So would
raising banks’ capital requirements (the cushion they have to maintain against
deposits) and tightening up a few other rules. The problem, of course, is
execution. If I had been around when the FDIC was being created, I probably
would have argued against it, but we have an FDIC and it has done a pretty good
job, for the most part. But not a perfect job: As some of you may know, for the
decade leading up to the financial crisis of 2007-08, the FDIC basically
stopped collecting insurance premiums, believing that it had all the reserves
it needed to get through any foreseeable emergency. But we don’t maintain the
FDIC just for foreseeable emergencies—we maintain it for unforeseeable emergencies,
too.
Mandatory
comprehensive deposit insurance and regulatory reforms such as increasing
capital requirements will make banking more expensive and make banks less
efficient, and that may lead some very large and very risk-friendly businesses
to explore non-bank options. That will create new risks, challenges, and costs,
and we should be open-eyed about that kind of thing. And if there is a lesson
to be learned from such episodes as the junk-bond mess of the 1980s to the
turn-of-the-century subprime-mortgage meltdown, it is that attractive returns
will sometimes lead small-time investors and big institutions alike to make
bets they cannot afford to lose. (Junk bonds, which are high-risk and
high-yield investments, make sense for some large, diverse, and sophisticated
institutional investors. They do not make sense for two soon-to-retire
schoolteachers looking for some place to park their life savings.) So when
Uncle Buck tells you about this great new thing that isn’t exactly a
bank but pays you 11 percent on your savings account—be skeptical.
There
was a time when banks were boring. Boring banks are the kind of banks you want
to have.
Words
About Words
Tell a
woman that she’s “isn’t photogenic” and you’ll hurt her feelings; tell her that
“pictures don’t do you justice” and she’ll take it as a compliment. Of course,
you’re saying the same thing in both cases—that she looks better in person than
she does in photographs—but we have come to treat photogenic as
though it were a synonym for attractive—which, strictly speaking,
it isn’t. A remarkable thing that I noticed writing about movies and theater is
how many famously beautiful people are, in reality, even more beautiful than
you expected from seeing them on screen and in pictures. Gwyneth Paltrow is one
such, Kate Winslet another. Clint Eastwood in his early 80s (I think he was 82
the one time I encountered him) looked like more of a movie star in person than
he had on screen in probably 40 years. In that sense, photogenic may
be the opposite of a compliment: Even before the ubiquity of vanity filters and
the like, it was not uncommon to meet someone who is much less attractive in
person than in pictures.
Words
relating to attractiveness and appearance can get pretty dicey. Zaftig,
a Yiddish-derived word that has enriched English, is, if you are going by the
book, a term of praise. Usually applied to a woman, it means pleasingly
plump—the literal definition is succulent or juicy—but
you would be playing Russian roulette if you used it to describe a living
woman. A recent scan of the word’s usage in newspapers turns up a reference to
a sea turtle, a film-and-television production company, a Vogue article
on a fashion trend described as the “Torah-teacher aesthetic,” and a Jewish
Journal review of Melissa Broder’s novel Milk Fed bearing
the headline, “The Rise of the Orthodyke,” which means pretty much what you are
guessing it does. A disproportionate share of the uses I found in recent
publications appeared in Jewish-oriented stories and/or in Jewish
publications—not surprising for a word of Yiddish extraction.
Statuesque once was a common description
of a woman (the lexicon relating to female beauty is, naturally, much more
extensive than that describing men) whose solidity and form suggest that she
ought to be carved in marble. There’s a funny scene in The Wire in which a gaggle of newspaper
editors on a cigarette break lament the passing of certain journalistic
clichés, and one asks whatever happened to all the “statuesque blondes.” (No
good ever comes to someone identified as “honors student” in a newspaper. And
the editors also observe the difficulties facing “mother of four,” another
recurring character: “You ever notice how ‘mothers of four’ are always catching
hell? Murder, hit and run, burnt up in rowhouse fires, swindled by
bigamists.”) Buxom means approximately the same thing as zaftig,
but it has fallen into disuse after becoming very strongly associated with
breast size, making the word sound pruriently quantifying. Comely and comeliness
have both nearly disappeared from modern English not because they came to
be used pruriently but because they contain the sound of a profane sexual term.
(The word niggardly, which has nothing to do with the racial
insult, has gone into hiding for the same
reason. Even rhymes
can be a minefield: There’s a bit in the cop movie 21 Bridges in
which a police officer refers to a pistol-happy black colleague as a “trigger,”
to which the detective, played by the late Chadwick Boseman, responds, coldly:
“You better have perfect diction.”) Stripped (if that word may be allowed in
the context) of the dirty-sounding adjectives, English is left with a lot of
very, very stuffy ones to do the work at hand: pulchritude, beauteousness, resplendency—too
starchy even for me, and I like extra starch in my prose.
Going
through some old slang, there are some fun words for beautiful people,
including sockdolager, which is literally a knockout punch—knockout,
though it sounds old-fashioned, is still used in that way, and the sock of sockdolager still
means punch. In the play Our American Cousin, one
character says to another: “Well, I guess I know enough to turn you inside out,
old gal, you sockdologizing old man-trap.” Apparently, that was a laugh line,
but the laughter wasn’t loud enough to drown out the report of the Derringer pistol John Wilkes Booth
fired at that moment in the play’s most infamous performance.
In
Other Wordiness …
Some of
you very generously assumed that I was making a joke last week about the
term drawing room. I assumed that there was a back-story
there, but I didn’t know what it was, though many of you did: Drawing in
this instance is an abbreviation of withdrawing, and before there
were drawing rooms there were withdrawing chambers,
meaning a parlor or salon to which hosts and guests would withdraw following
dinner. To draw is to make something move by pulling it—you
can draw water from a well or draw a saw across a board or withdraw a sword
from a stone—and draw in the sense of making a picture comes
from drawing a pencil or other implement across a piece of paper. English
generally prefers economy: Once, you would draw the pencil across the paper to
make a picture of the cat, but now you just draw the cat.
It isn’t
easy to draw a cat. I once heard an art critic insist that most practitioners
of Abstract Expressionism were frauds who couldn’t draw a cat and make it look
like a cat if their lives depended on it, whereas Kandinsky could draw or paint
Notre-Dame de Paris if he liked, but what he liked was whatever you want to
call this kind of thing.
Pulchritudinous!
In
Closing
If you really want entitlement reform, don’t send an American conservative to do the job—what you want is a slightly rehabilitated French socialist.
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