By Rich Lowry
Monday, August 04, 2025
Trump must be a double agent.
The purported Russian asset is now rattling the nuclear
saber against Moscow, saying that he has repositioned two nuclear subs in
response to bellicose statements by former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev
and that the U.S. is “totally prepared” for nuclear war.
This is highly unusual conduct from a U.S. president who
we were assured for years must be compromised by Russia and, just a few months
ago, was supposedly dumping Ukraine to fall into the arms of Vladimir Putin.
If all of this were true, the Kremlin now has reason to
consider Donald Trump its greatest betrayer since the legendary Oleg Gordievsky, the longtime top KGB officer in London who
was actually working for British intelligence.
At the height of the insanity about Trump and Russia
during Trump’s first term, Jonathan Chait notoriously speculated in New York magazine
that Trump might have been a Russian asset since 1987.
Chait wasn’t laughed out of the room. Instead, many
left-of-center opinion makers thought he had a point.
Tom Nichols wrote a piece in Politico, “What
Jonathan Chait Gets Right About Trump and Russia.”
Max Boot called Chait’s piece “invaluable” in a humdinger
of a January 2019 column in the Washington Post,
headlined, accurately by my count, “Here are 18 reasons Trump could be a
Russian asset.”
Boot turned the knife after going through his exhaustive
catalogue:
Now that we’ve listed 18 reasons
Trump could be a Russian asset, let’s look at the exculpatory evidence:
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I can’t think of anything that
would exonerate Trump aside from the difficulty of grasping what once would
have seemed unimaginable: that a president of the United States could actually
have been compromised by a hostile foreign power.
What would be the case against Trump now? That he wants
the U.S. to get into a nuclear war with Russia that he’ll deliberately lose?
That he’s serving Russia’s interests by engaging in nuclear brinkmanship that
will convince Americans that it’s too risky to support Ukraine? That it’s all a
ruse to take people off the scent of his untoward relationship with Putin?
Tom Nichols endorses something like the latter option. He
argues that Trump’s nuclear threats
“maintain the fiction that he wants to be tough on Russia,” and the
back-and-forth with Medvedev allows him to “thump his chest without any danger
of getting into a real fight with someone who scares him,” namely, Vladimir Putin.
This ignores the fact that Trump has indeed criticized Putin, and that giving
Ukraine more weapons, as Trump has in recent weeks, is not a measure
specifically aimed at Dmitry Medvedev. Nor are nukes on U.S. subs targeted at
the former Russian premier rather than Russia proper.
It was always pretty obvious what was going on in 2016
and its aftermath, when Trump was so defensive about Russian hacking and said
warm things about Putin: Trump got his back up because people tried to minimize
his 2016 victory by attributing it to Russian interference, and launched an
investigation of him based on will-o’-the-wisp evidence of coordination with
Russia. At the same time, he was deferential to Putin because he respects
strength and thought he could get more from the Russian leader with honey
rather than vinegar.
You can criticize these impulses and how they were
expressed, but that’s different from accusing Trump of being an agent of
Russian influence.
The fact is that Trump’s actions in his first term did
not advance Russia’s interests. He gave Ukraine lethal weapons. He inveighed
against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. He hit Russian mercenaries in Syria. He
launched a cyberattack against the Russian Internet Research Agency. He spent
more on the U.S. military, unleashed U.S. energy production, and urged NATO to
spend more.
None of this screamed “Russian plant!”
In the second term, the alarm about Trump has been that
he was on the verge of throwing in with Putin on Ukraine.
In early July, Anne Applebaum warned in a piece in The Atlantic,
“The U.S. Is Switching Sides.” She claimed that “the American realignment with
Russia and against Ukraine and Europe is gathering pace — not merely in
rhetoric but in reality.”
This always seemed overwrought, although at least there
was evidence for the proposition. As it happened, though, Applebaum was writing
at the high tide of the administration’s pressure on Ukraine. Within days, it’d
be clear that Trump was taking a different tack.
The more reasonable interpretation of Trump’s initial
actions on Ukraine was that he was attempting to get a peace deal and
erroneously considered Zelensky the problem — or more of a problem than he was
— and would readjust if Putin remained recalcitrant.
That is indeed where we are. Now, it easily could change.
I’m still not sure why Putin wouldn’t credit Trump’s diplomatic canny for
bringing him to the table and try to negotiate a favorable deal that would
allow him to retool and take up the fight again a couple of years from now,
unless he’s on a more expedited timetable for personal reasons or assumes that
he can simply outlast Ukraine and the West.
That might not be a crazy calculation, but it has nothing
to do with Trump’s being his tool, no matter how much supposedly serious people
have deluded themselves otherwise.
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