By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, July 30, 2025
MAGA has a problem, in the form of Donald Trump. Put
simply: MAGA wants to define what MAGA (or “America First”) means, and Donald
Trump wants it to mean whatever he says at any given moment.
I should offer a little definitional clarity and
political nuance. MAGA means different things to different people. The Trump
coalition is not monolithic, it contains factions that do not necessarily
consider themselves to be MAGA. But as shorthand, MAGA is an identifiably
distinct bloc on the right, and it’s the dominant faction in the broader GOP
coalition. Its internal diversity notwithstanding, it still has a worldview or
ideology. And the MAGA faithful are increasingly frustrated by the fact that Trump
doesn’t always share, or prioritize, that ideology.
They believed that if you just “let Trump be Trump,” he
would follow their conception of MAGA. In Ronald Reagan’s first term, many
movement conservatives were frustrated by what they perceived as the Gipper’s
drift toward centrism. They blamed moderates in the administration. “Let Reagan
be Reagan” became a rallying cry on the right.
“It’s a piece of conventional wisdom on the new American
right that Donald Trump struggled in his first term because he hired the wrong
people—old-think Bush Republicans, figures like Rex Tillerson and Steven
Mnuchin, who didn’t have a populist bone in their bodies,” Semafor’s Ben
Smith offers in an astute
analysis.
As a result, Smith continues, “Trump’s most passionate
supporters weren’t going to make that mistake again. They created initiatives
like American Moment, Project 2025, and others aimed at grooming and
credentialing a cadre of MAGA appointees. When Trump took office, the America
Firsters moved en masse into the Department of Defense. Big Tech avengers
seized the antitrust apparatus. Conspiracy-minded podcasters took over the FBI.
“And yet—just as Trump often ignored his conventional
advisers in the first term, he’s stunned loyalists by sweeping aside this
carefully assembled apparat in 2025.”
Trump said
as much to The Atlantic last month: “I think I’m the one that
decides” what “America first” means.
“It turns out that
personnel isn’t policy,” the executive director of The American Conservative,
Curt Mills, “glumly” told Smith. The idea that “personnel is policy” is another
Reagan-era mantra: Put Reaganites in important positions and you’ll get
Reaganite policies. Putting Trumpists in powerful positions doesn’t yield the
same results.
Immigration hawks have been panicking over the
president’s suggestion
that farm and hotel workers should be excluded from his deportation schemes. As
Trump told Fox News, “I’m on both sides of the thing.” Foreign policy
“restrainers” were beclowned by his support of Israel’s strikes on Iran and his
apparent about-face on helping Ukraine.
On China, Trump’s been a hawk as promised, except
when he hasn’t, allowing NVIDIA to sell
chips to China and ignoring the law by refusing to sell or shutter TikTok.
Then there’s the Jeffrey Epstein fiasco, which has
bedeviled Trump for weeks. Its intensity and durability can best be explained
by the fact that it divides those who define Trumpism as loyalty to Trump and
those who believe that loyalty would be, must be rewarded by a cleansing of the
corrupt globalist elite—or something.
In short, there is
no “Trumpism” that is analogous to Reaganism. Reaganism is a philosophical
approach. What defines Trump’s reign is better understood as a psychological
phenomenon both as an explanation of his behavior and of his fans’ cultish and
performative loyalty. To the extent Trump has a philosophy, it is to follow his
instincts, which are most powerfully informed first by his own ego but also the
dramaturgy of professional
wrestling, reality TV, and Norman Vincent Peale’s prosperity
gospel.
He’s said many times that he considers unpredictability a
virtue in itself, which by definition means he is going to disappoint anyone
who expects philosophical coherence. When Trump was a bull in a china shop, the
people most excited by the sound of breaking vases and dishware assumed there
was a broader method to the madness. But now the same people are learning that
Trump won’t be saddled by his fans any more than he is by norms.
This was always going to be the case (as I noted
in 2017)
but what adds to MAGA’s frustration is that anyone can see and copy the
bull-handling techniques that are most likely to work. Compliment him,
call him “daddy,”
celebrate
his genius and expertise, and you too can manipulate him with at least moderate
success.
Perhaps most significant, it’s becoming clear that a
movement defined by loyalty to a mercurial personality is bound to split apart
once that personality leaves the stage—if not sooner.
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