Thursday, July 10, 2025

Trump’s Reckless New Tariffs

National Review Online

Thursday, July 10, 2025

 

You may recall that “liberation day” was supposed to be in April, but then the stock market and the dollar tanked, bond yields soared, and President Trump delayed all the tariffs for 90 days. Since then, three federal judges — one appointed by Reagan and one appointed by Trump — unanimously ruled that the “reciprocal” tariffs Trump is imposing under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act are illegal.

 

Now, Trump is imposing the tariffs by sending letters to the leaders of foreign countries. Many of them are at rates similar to those announced in April. He insists these letters are final and the tariffs will be in force on August 1, with no extensions.

 

The markets’ reaction this time is different: They don’t believe him. Markets have barely budged as Trump announces basically the same destructive tariffs in a different form of communication. The Wall Street mantra “TACO” — Trump Always Chickens Out — seems to be conventional wisdom now.

 

That doesn’t make the tariffs any less crazy. He is sending these letters to foreign leaders as though they are the ones who pay tariffs. Trump should be sending all of these to the American people, as they are the ones who would bear the burden of these tax hikes.

 

Remember these tariffs are supposedly about national security and reducing trade deficits. So it’s more than a little odd that Trump’s letter to Brazilian President Lula da Silva begins with a rant about a “witch hunt” against former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and imposes 50 percent tariffs on goods from Brazil — a country with which the U.S. has a trade surplus.

 

The administration has cited a need to counter China’s abusive trade practices, but this is undermined by the 25 percent tariff on Japanese goods. Trump sees the trade deficit there as a greater problem than the benefits gained by close trading relations with an allied nation. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba expressed his exasperation, calling the tariffs “deeply regrettable,” and Japan has been looking at closer trading relations with China in recent months.

 

There are plenty of issues on which we have criticized Congress for inaction, but Congress has in fact acted to promote free trade with South Korea. Large, bipartisan majorities in both chambers approved a free trade agreement with that country in 2011. Then, Trump himself renegotiated the deal during his first term in office.

 

When he signed the new agreement with the president of South Korea in 2018, he said it was “a historic milestone in trade” and “a great day for the United States and a great day for South Korea.” Now, Trump says he wants 25 percent tariffs on goods from South Korea because of trade barriers that by and large do not exist.

 

Was anyone particularly concerned about the trade balance with Kazakhstan? Moldova? Brunei? Algeria? Tariffs on all of them, just because.

 

Presidents should not behave this way, and they can’t. Trump’s actions under IEEPA have already been ruled illegal by one federal court, and oral arguments for the appeals court are scheduled for July 31. IEEPA does not mention the word “tariffs” at all, and Congress cannot delegate its enumerated power to regulate international commerce without any limits, which is what Trump is claiming by continuing to freelance trade policy while pointing to that law.

 

If they put an end to Trump’s tariff spree, the courts would be doing the rule of law, and the markets, a favor.

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