By Nick Catoggio
Friday, February 28, 2025
On Wednesday, Kash Patel held his first call as FBI
director with the bureau’s 55 field offices.
According to sources
who spoke to ABC News, at one point he asked his new deputies “to give him
a chance to prove himself as their new leader,” a sensible request from someone
whose moral, temperamental, and intellectual fitness for the job is in grave
doubt.
Then he told his deputies that he’d like the FBI to
develop a relationship with the UFC.
By “UFC,” he didn’t mean some alphabet-soup government
agency like the ATF or IRS. He meant the same thing everyone means when they
use that acronym. The head of the FBI, in explaining his vision for the agency,
considered it a priority to carve out a role for the Ultimate Fighting
Championship.
When I read that, my skin got hot from the flush of
embarrassment I felt for everyone involved. Patel’s goal of earning the respect
of his underlings as a serious law-enforcement officer will not be met, I fear.
An interesting question is why, exactly, he’s keen to
introduce the UFC to the FBI.
Maybe he’s so immersed in right-wing culture that the UFC
is his primary frame of reference for physical fitness. If he wants his agents
to be in better shape, who else would he turn to for the job but some hulking
dudes he saw on TV beating the tar out of each other inside a cage?
Maybe he’s trying to impress his boss, an ardent
fan of the sport. It’s a shrewd ploy, if so: Bringing the UFC in to train
the FBI is exactly the sort of superficial theater of “toughness” that
Donald Trump would equate with effective government.
Maybe it’s a grift. Dana White, the head of the UFC, is a
major Trump booster and donor, enough so to have introduced the president
before his acceptance speech at last year’s Republican National Convention.
Seemingly every other Trump crony is getting rich(er) off of his
administration; why shouldn’t White get a cut of taxpayer money in the form of
“fees” from the FBI?
Or maybe this was just part of the show.
Trumpist politics has always been a show. Trump is a
game-show host by profession and has been a national celebrity for 40 years.
His administration is full of television personalities. He’s been known to
choose high-ranking political appointees based on
their looks. He routinely teases major decisions to create dramatic
suspense,
as any showman would.
Before he was a UFC superfan, he was a WWE enthusiast who
occasionally made cameos inside the ring. As many
critics
have noted, pro wrestling might be the biggest influence on how he practices
retail politics: His taste for pugilistic spectacle and simple hero/villain
soap operas has brought millions of voters into politics who didn’t bother with
the stuff before 2016.
Populists expect a show from their president. There’s
nothing entertaining about announcing new physical fitness requirements for the
FBI, but announcing that their favorite UFC stars might be showing up to whip
“the deep state” into shape? That’s imagination-capturing. That’s a
show.
Can Trump and his flunkies sustain the show for four
years without hurting their own support?
A very special episode.
Thursday was a big day for sex-trafficking in the United
States.
Two “good” sex-traffickers (alleged sex-traffickers,
I mean!) were headed
home to America, freed from captivity in Romania reportedly
at the White House’s behest due to their outspoken admiration for the
president. Meanwhile, Attorney General Pam Bondi was preparing to publish the
Justice Department’s files on Jeffrey Epstein, the most notorious
sex-trafficker in U.S. history and a buddy of liberal luminaries ranging from Bill
Clinton to Bill
Gates to, er, Donald
Trump.
The publication of the files had “Trump show” written all
over it.
It was hugely suspenseful, promising the spilling of
government secrets about unimaginable moral corruption. And it had unusually
potent hero/villain potential. Here at last would be proof that not only is
America’s liberal establishment chockablock with horrendous pedophilic
perverts—Trump is the only Epstein pal who restrained himself, evidently—but
that the rotten DOJ helped suppress the evidence of that establishment’s
depravity.
Forget pro wrestling. This was the final episode in a
gripping mystery series. And it isn’t the only mystery show the Trump
administration has under production: The president has promised to reveal what
the federal government knows about everything from political
assassinations to UFOs.
That’s what populists signed up for. Last week, Bondi told
Fox News that the FBI’s Epstein files were “on [her] desk” and would be
released soon; on Thursday a group of MAGA influencers were called to the White
House to receive the first tranche of documents from administration officials,
a sort of victory ceremony for febrile populists over their deep-state enemies.
But there was nothing in the files. The final episode was
a bust.
The documents contained “less than 200 pages of
previously released flight logs, an evidence log and a heavily redacted list of
contacts,” per the Miami
Herald. Of course they did, an NBC News reporter
who’s been covering the case claimed afterward. The names of Epstein’s
associates are already public knowledge; contrary to MAGA belief, there’s no
reason to think any additional “list” is forthcoming.
As news of the letdown spread online, Trump allies
ranging from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna to Laura Loomer to Dave Portnoy couldn’t
contain their disappointment. “Why is the release of the Epstein files
always a sh-t show?” Portnoy asked.
Inviting well-known populist social media “personalities”
to Washington to formally receive the documents struck me as a clever attempt
by the administration to blunt the backlash it knew was coming. Bondi must have
realized that she had nothing juicy and reasoned that getting popular activists
like Chaya Raichik to participate in the reveal would make fans of those
activists reluctant to call it a complete failure.
And yes—it is tremendously depressing to think of
the attorney general of the United States needing to hide behind the
credibility of the person who runs “Libs of TikTok.”
If that was Bondi’s game, though, it backfired. Raichik
and the White House’s other populist guests were so tickled to be singled out
for recognition that they resorted to posing for the
cameras, all smiles, with the documents in front of the White House. And
the fact that they received invitations while rival influencers like Loomer were
snubbed incentivized the latter to attack the files as an embarrassing failure
of which they were glad not to have been part.
By the end of the day, an anxious Bondi had sent
a letter to Patel scapegoating him and the FBI for supposedly not turning
over all of the Epstein files. Patel then turned around and scapegoated the
FBI’s field office in New York for holding back information—a convenient
target, as New York is also where federal prosecutors recently staged a mini-rebellion
against Trump administration corruption. (A source “close to the FBI” told
the Miami Herald that the New York office turned over everything it had
on Epstein.) In no time at all, MAGA media figures like Glenn Beck were
demanding that the DOJ’s New York operations be padlocked.
And so, as luck would have it, the “final episode” in the
Epstein show turns out not to have been final. Now there’s a new episode
scheduled, rooting out the Manhattan-based moles inside the Justice Department
who are still hiding the secret “list” that will at last expose Epstein’s many
Democratic partners in crime.
The show must go on. It always does.
Getting canceled.
Is there a point, hypothetically, at which populists
might begin to tire of the show?
I think it depends on what we mean by “populists.”
There’s a large segment of committed Trump
supporters who’ll never tire of it. I’m on
record as believing that his job approval won’t settle durably below the
low 40s no matter how insanely he behaves, for the simple reason that there
really are that many Americans who’ll rationalize anything he says and does.
He has a demagogue’s—and screenwriter’s—genius for
crafting storylines about the hero’s journey past adversity created for him by
nefarious enemies. He and his band of Avengers will never run out of villains
to battle. It’s not a coincidence that so much of DOGE’s work, which should be
a boring matter of bean-counting and budget-balancing, has been promoted with wild
conspiracy theories about cultural enemies (including Jeffrey Epstein!)
receiving payoffs from the federal coffers. Thanks to the president’s trusty
sidekick Elon, even the dry work of fiscal rebalancing is an outrageous
revelatory spectacle.
The show will go on. MAGA diehards will keep watching.
But not all populists are MAGA diehards. Take Portnoy,
the original “Barstool
conservative,” whose politics have always seemed driven less by admiration
for Trump than antipathy to progressive cultural pieties. His complaint on
Thursday about the “sh-t show” around the Epstein files came packaged with
several other points. “What’s the point of booting out illegals and criminals
while somehow becoming a safe haven for the Tate brothers?” he asked. “Why
is Crypto in the toilet if Trump is crypto king? How far does [Tesla] stock
have to crash before Elon goes back to work?”
I don’t think Portnoy minds the show. He probably enjoys
it. But he doesn’t enjoy it so much that the show alone will keep him satisfied
if everything else starts going sideways. On the contrary: The worse things
get, the more annoying the show might seem.
That’s the real political risk for Trump in matters like
the Epstein files. No one will care if the soon-to-be-revealed Kennedy
assassination records turn out to be another sad-trombone confirming that
Oswald acted alone—if inflation is cooling off, if deportations
are ramping up, if Trump seems to be fixing the things Americans
imagined he would fix when they reelected him. The public will tolerate seeing
his suspense series turn into The
Mystery of Al Capone’s Vaults if life is good.
But if the economy dives, if the immigration crackdown is
slow-going, if we end up with a measles epidemic while America’s top health
bureaucrat begs people not to vaccinate their children, Americans won’t be in
the mood for a show. And if Trump insists on giving them one anyway, they’ll
demand that it at least be entertaining. “He might have tariff-ed us into a
recession, but at least he blew the lid off of Epstein’s co-conspirators!”
If the president can’t even do that, Portnoy types will
be left feeling bitter and wondering what they got for their votes. The
lameness of the show will become the lens through which Trump’s more
significant failures are interpreted, less a form of daily entertainment than a
chaotic distraction designed to channel their anger away from the White House.
Some populists who end up bearing a special burden from
his policies—if they were DOGE-ed
out of a federal job, say, or if their Medicaid was cut under the new
Republican budget—might even begin to wonder if the show is more fictional than
they’d been led to believe. What if … there aren’t any secret Epstein files?
What if that was just something that Trump and QAnoners told them to keep them
tuning in?
If you want the people to let you run the government like
a circus, you have to deliver a few clowns.
Great television.
As fate would have it, as I was writing this column, the
president and vice president got into a sustained argument with
the president of Ukraine. Not behind closed doors; in the Oval Office, in front
of the cameras.
What did Donald Trump say when it was over? Quote: “This is
gonna be great television, I will say that.”
Even at a moment of enormous international import, an
inflection point for the crumbling Atlantic alliance that’s ruled international
politics for 80 years, it’s all still a show.
I’m too much of a pessimist to believe that this
administration will ever truly run out of ideas for new episodes and risk
losing that 42 to 45 percent of the population that’s tuned in for a fight.
There’ll always be another villain to hiss at: Today it’s Volodymyr Zelensky,
tomorrow it might be the Supreme Court for declaring that Trump’s powers as
president aren’t limitless. What a phenomenal drama it’ll be when the president
declares that he’s no longer bound by the judicial branch and the courts need to
figure out what to do about it!
A Dispatch colleague told me that Thursday’s DOJ
faceplant over the Epstein files created a neat symmetry with my column
about the Tate brothers. If the repatriation of the Tates was disappointing
to “respectable” conservatives, he said, the dearth of evidence about a vast
left-wing child-trafficking conspiracy in the Epstein documents was
disappointing to less respectable ones. The president lost ground with both
wings of the right on the same day.
It’s a smart point. But are those less respectable ones really
disappointed? Certainly they’re not disappointed in Trump.
You can write the screenplay for the next episode of this
show as easily as I can. Bondi and/or Patel will fire some New York employees
as sacrificial lambs for failing to produce the “full” Epstein documents, which
will placate the MAGA audience for a while. Eventually, though, they’ll start
asking again where those documents are and why they still haven’t been
uncovered. Instead of blaming Trump, they’ll start asking dark questions about
whether Bondi and Patel might be quietly abetting a sinister deep-state effort
to embarrass our president by suppressing the information he vowed to expose.
“Agency capture!” populists will call it.
You’ve got to admit: The heroic attorney general and FBI
director being in on the conspiracy would be a hell of a plot twist in a
suspenseful drama about a villainous deep state.
My guess, though, is that Bondi and Patel will protect
their right flanks by introducing new villains into the plot. If the audience
gets restless about the lack of new information on Epstein or JFK, indicting
James Comey or John Bolton or Mike Pompeo or some other bad guy from a previous
season on some nonsense offense will keep them entertained.
There’ll always be another villain to hiss at. That might
not be enough for Dave Portnoy, but it’s plenty good enough to keep that 42 to
45 percent of loyalists from hissing at Trump.
In fact, as of mid-Friday afternoon, I’d say that
yesterday’s Epstein files flop is already a distant memory for the right.
Today’s new episode with Zelensky really was “great television,” a
crowd-pleaser so unifying that even the most hawkish conservatives in
the party are lining up to jeer at Ukraine’s president. It’s a tremendous
political asset to Trump and his team that there’s a new melodrama every day,
sometimes more than once a day, for his supporters to get sucked into lest they
dwell on the duds, like the return of the Tates, that they found less
entertaining.
Only 47 more months to go. This must be what it’s like to
binge Netflix in hell.
No comments:
Post a Comment