Monday, March 31, 2025

The Vibe Shift Hits Hollywood

By Ross Douthat

Thursday, March 27, 2025

 

Let’s not talk about Snow White, the Disney artistic dud and box office disappointment. The only interesting thing about the movie is the political conceit that gave it shape, the theory that the American cultural inheritance can be ideologically cannibalized indefinitely, so that a company like Disney can keep getting rich off its own past while making “equity” rather than truth or beauty the measure of all things.

 

Guess what? It can’t. While Snow White was meeting harsh reviews and audience indifference, my New York Times colleague Ezra Klein was interviewing the Democratic pollster David Shor about the 2024 election, and both were marveling at the indicators that young people are moving right, with Gen Z “becoming potentially the most conservative generation that we’ve experienced maybe in 50 to 60 years.”

 

This is not just a political fact; it’s a commercial one as well. Throughout the first Trump presidency, as the Great Awokening rolled over Hollywood, movie big shots could tell themselves that by disappearing potentially problematic tropes and genres (romances in Disney movies, romance generally, traditional male action heroes, broad and potentially offensive comedy, historical dramas with too many white people), they were just pivoting to where the younger generation expected them to be, and keeping themselves viable in the age of endless TikTok and YouTube competition.

 

But if the younger generation isn’t actually defined by its super-progressive elements, if Generation Z is recoiling from the woke maximum, if young men especially are never going to show up for woke cinema, then as of 2025, commercial self-interest should be dictating a real pivot. And certainly Hollywood has executed pivots in the past: You need only contrast 1970s cinema with the movies of the 1980s and 1990s to see how a political vibe shift can alter cultural production.

 

So, if studio heads had any sense, they would be studying that not-so-distant past. The formulas involved are not very complicated, and don’t require some kind of stark return to 1950s values. The Disney renaissance that began with The Little Mermaid, for instance, was achieved through the straightforward idea that you could take traditional fairy tales and adapt them with light-touch rather than heavy-handed modernizations. (Beauty and the Beast, too, managed to give Belle an extra dose of female agency and use its villain to satirize machismo — but all within a still deeply traditional fairy-tale structure.)

 

Likewise, it shouldn’t be that hard to recover the spirit of the action movies of the 1980s and 1990s; the most successful Hollywood action blockbuster of the post-Covid era, Top Gun: Maverick, did just that. The action vehicles of the Reagan era already had plenty of minority stars and active female characters; they just weren’t imprisoned by the schematics of diversity. You could have a female action hero, but it had to feel earned — which is why the best examples were in sequels: Linda Hamilton in Terminator 2 and Sigourney Weaver in Aliens, where you could see the unusual pressures that made them so violent and tough.

 

More important, alongside action heroes who weren’t as omnicompetent as John Wick or Jason Bourne, you could have a strong female lead who wasn’t a Strong Female Lead™ — who served as a complement and counterpoint to the male star, such as Bonnie Bedelia’s corporate mom in Die Hard or Sandra Bullock’s harried commuter in Speed, in a way that made the action movie feel like a slice of life rather than a dose of total unreality.

 

Finally, any aspiring vibe shifter should study the lost art of the Hollywood comedy. As the conservative cultural critic Peachy Keenan noted recently, you know we’ve reached levels of severe comedic deprivation when a movie like the Best Picture–winning Anora gets widely described as a “screwball comedy.” It is a genuinely funny film — I laughed out loud more than I usually do at the movies nowadays — but it’s funny inside a frame of realism; its humor is in the service of a gritty drama. It’s not funny in the same sense as Tootsie or Mel Brooks or Ivan Reitman or the Farrelly Brothers, or the Vince Vaughn–Owen Wilson run, or Bridesmaids and The Hangover from 2009 and 2011, respectively — the last hits of their kind.

 

Comedy, especially, requires a real political shift to recover, since it thrives in all the touchy areas of human life: ethnic differences, class differences, sex differences, all the embarrassments that surround cultural and physical embodiment. And a pessimist about the future of the movies would say that it isn’t just wokeness that’s rough on comedy; it’s the general retreat from embodied existence that characterizes digital and virtual life. You aren’t going to leave your house to go to the movies to laugh along with people suffering real-world pratfalls and embarrassments and sexual humiliations if you aren’t willing to risk experiencing those things yourself.

 

That’s the dark scenario for cinema, and indeed for humanity. But even if that’s where we’re headed, a Hollywood vibe shift would be a way for the industry to go down fighting — whereas every new movie like Snow White is an act of premature surrender.

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