By Nick Catoggio
Friday, March 07, 2025
I woke up excited to write about the day’s most important
political news—before
remembering that I said most of what I wanted to say on the subject a
few weeks ago.
Never Trumpers who work in media will face that problem
every day for the next four years. Good luck finding something new and
interesting to say as the president vindicates your arguments against him again
and again and again.
So let’s start today on a different note, with a
crowd-pleasing opinion that’s also neither new nor interesting but on which all
Americans now agree: Democrats are incompetent.
They’re definitely politically incompetent. The hole that
the party dug itself by adopting radically left-wing cultural attitudes over
the last decade is so deep that even California’s uber-woke governor, the
modern face of establishment progressivism, has belatedly begun
trying to climb out of it. Nothing says “we screwed up” like Gavin Newsom
confessing his skepticism of letting trans women play women’s sports … to Charlie
Kirk.
But Democrats are also tactically incompetent, as
Tuesday’s feeble
spectacle in the House chamber demonstrated. It was designed to please no
one. If you’re a diehard Trump-hater, watching “the Resistance” wave cutesy
little signs at the tyrant felt pitiful. If you’re center-left, disruptive
outbursts during the speech from the likes of Rep. Al
Green made Trump seem like an adult by
comparison.
In an age as polarized by partisanship as ours, you know
it’s bad when even
Democrats are voting to censure Democrats. Put it this way: The single most
memorable act of “resistance” by a party leader since Inauguration Day was
Chuck Schumer chanting “We will win!” at a rally last month, and that was
memorable for all
the wrong
reasons.
Democrats truly are incompetent.
And yet, there’s a distinct whiff of cope to the “Democrats
are incompetent” takes among the commentariat.
America does desperately need an opposition party that’s
politically and tactically capable of rising to this moment. But even a serious
Democratic Party that’s up to the task of restraining Trump will remain almost
completely powerless to do so until a new Congress is seated 22 months from
now. And when that new Congress is chosen, Tuesday’s antics during Trump’s
speech won’t matter. They’re ephemera, destined to be forgotten as quickly as
the speech itself as they’re buried beneath news about tariff
mayhem, DOGE
layoffs, and the backstabbing
of Ukraine.
“Democrats are incompetent” is a way of reassuring
oneself that American politics is still basically normal, that undoing Trump’s
transformation of public life into
a culture of fear can and will be undone with little more than a bit of
brains and gumption by the out-party. All they need is a smart strategy—except
there is no strategy, and realistically there can’t be one until January 2027
at the earliest. If you want someone to stop the president from trying to
terrify his domestic and
foreign opponents into submission, the Republican congressional majority is
the only game in town.
And if the answer to that is “Republicans are too
terrified themselves to try”—and it is—then America has a much bigger
problem than Democrats being incompetent.
Let’s talk about fear.
Promises made, promises kept.
“You’ll be doing this with other firms as time goes by,
right?”
That’s what the president said a few weeks
ago to his advisers as he signed an executive
order suspending security clearances for employees at Covington &
Burling and directing that their contracts with the federal government be
“evaluated.”
Covington is a well-known white-shoe law firm, esteemed
throughout the profession. It landed on the enemies list because of some work
its attorneys did for former Special Counsel Jack Smith in his prosecutions of
Trump. That means they’re guilty of participating in the “weaponization” of
government, never mind whether those prosecutions were meritorious or not.
Trump didn’t want to stop with Covington, though, as he
made clear when signing that order. So on Thursday, he issued another executive
order aimed at the firm of Perkins Coie, suspending its security clearances
as well, barring its attorneys from federal buildings (which may or may not
include federal courthouses) if access would somehow threaten national
security, and directing federal agencies not to hire former employees of the
firm without permission from the top.
The ostensible reason for this draconian presidential
intervention is Perkins Coie’s diversity, equity, and inclusion program, a
successor to the racial hiring quotas that the firm instituted in 2019 and
later abandoned under legal threat, per the executive order. Those DEI
practices are “unlawful,” Trump’s staff secretary asserted when presenting him
with the order to sign. “Wait, it’s illegal now for a private company to have
DEI policies?” you might ask. Why, no—or
at least, no court has yet said so.
But DEI isn’t why the firm is being punished. The real
reason is laid out in Section 1: “In 2016 while representing failed
Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, Perkins Coie hired Fusion GPS, which
then manufactured a false ‘dossier’ designed to steal an election.” The two
attorneys who led the firm’s work on Fusion GPS are long
gone, but no matter. If it’s possible to fail a Trump loyalty test more
spectacularly than Covington did by working with Jack Smith, Perkins Coie
managed it by spearheading the so-called “Russia hoax.”
And so Trump has decided to try to wreck its business, at
least to whatever degree his presidential authority empowers him to do so. He’s
been vowing “retribution” against his enemies for
the past two years. Promises made, promises kept.
Watch your step.
Why has he made law firms a prime target for the
culture of fear he’s building, though?
Two reasons, I think, one of which should be obvious:
Going after lawyers is an efficient way to signal to wider American society
that no one who crosses him is safe.
The courts are Trump’s weak spot, after all, the one
institution left (besides the stock market, I suppose) that might successfully
restrain him. And attorneys are uniquely suited by training to prevail in a
court battle, especially elite ones like those at Covington and Perkins Coie.
They’re exactly the sort of people you might think the president would avoid
messing with, preferring to focus on softer targets instead.
Instead, he’s gone right at them. If you’re a corporate
officer, business owner, media proprietor, or anyone else whose livelihood
depends directly or indirectly on the goodwill of the federal government and
its leader, you watch the grief being visited on America’s best lawyers and
think, “If they can’t escape trouble for antagonizing Trump, what hope would I
have?”
This isn’t hypothetical. On the same day that the order
targeting Perkins Coie was signed, the New
York Times published a long story by Elisabeth Bumiller on America’s
spreading culture of fear. “People on both sides of the aisle who would
normally be part of the public dialogue about the big issues of the day say
they are intimidated by the prospect of online attacks from Mr. Trump and Elon
Musk, concerned about harm to their companies and frightened for the safety of
their families,” Bumiller noted. One longtime Trump critic approached for
comment not only wouldn’t speak to the Times on the record, he asked not
to be mentioned in the story at all lest Trump’s lunatic fans start threatening
him again.
Covington & Burling can afford to wage a long legal
battle over its security clearances with a reasonable chance of success. Can
you?
It should go without saying that a culture of fear is
also one highly prone to paranoia. Amid political
purges of agencies and haphazard
cuts to the bureaucracy, for instance, federal workers have reportedly
grown anxious about their ability to tell friend from foe. Some fear that “malign foreign
actors” have begun reading their communications as DOGE has wormed its way
into government databases, but most of their worry has to do with saying
something critical of the king in front of some MAGA informant that’s secretly
infiltrated the agency.
“Many workers say they live in a constant state of fear,
unable to trust their colleagues, unable to speak freely, reflexively engaging
in self-censorship even on matters they view as crucial to national security,”
Karen Hao of The Atlantic alleged
last month. “One team that works on issues related to climate change has
gone so far as to seal itself off in a completely technology-sanitized room for
in-person meetings.” Even our secretary of state allegedly has a
“minder.”
Watch your step or you might be next: It’s all very
Soviet. Which brings us to the other reason Trump is keen to intimidate
lawyers.
Avoiding the courts.
In a way, a culture of fear is like any other investment:
You put resources into it up front to get it off the ground and then as it
grows more successful it begins to pay for itself.
That’s Trump’s strategy with Covington and Perkins Coie,
I think. Ideally, he won’t need to keep picking fights with individual law
firms who’ve made legal trouble for him. At some point, the rest of the
profession will reach the desired conclusion that it’s better for them not to
make legal trouble for him to begin with. Watch your step or you might be
next.
We may be at that point already. After Trump signed his
order targeting Covington last month, Bloomberg
Law reported that some firms had begun getting cold feet about
representing the president’s enemies. Attorneys who are willing to represent
Justice Department employees fired by Trump told the news outlet that their
bosses feared letting them do so would hurt the firm’s “brand.” Other lawyers
worried that their clients who have business with the DOJ would find the
department less willing to cooperate if the firm also happened to be defending
some disfavored deep-stater.
If it was that bad after Trump went after Covington,
it’ll be worse now that he’s gone after Perkins Coie. Good luck finding quality
representation if you end up on the president’s enemies list.
And that’s the point. By intimidating lawyers, Trump
isn’t primarily interested in intimidating lawyers. He’s interested in stopping
their prospective clients from challenging him in court. The surest way to
prevent the judiciary from restraining him as president is to prevent his
critics from filing suit against him in the first place—or, failing that, to
give America’s most talented lawyers good reason to refuse to take those cases.
“Meaningful access to lawyers is vital to the separation
of powers,” law professor Steve
Vladeck wrote last month, paraphrasing an opinion by former Supreme Court
Justice Anthony Kennedy, “because courts depend upon a robust bar in order to
play their role in holding the other branches of government accountable; they
can’t go out and find cases on their own.” Poor legal representation or no
representation at all: That’s the endgame Trump is after for his enemies.
If it works, it would amount to an end-around the courts’
power to limit his executive authority. Which feels familiar, no?
After all, an end-around was also his strategy for
intimidating the media when he took office in January. He couldn’t directly
infringe newspapers’ First Amendment rights to compel more favorable coverage,
as that would have been a heavy lift legally and politically and all but
certain to fail. But he didn’t need to. The culture of fear ensured that the
owners of those newspapers understood that his administration would target
their other financial interests if their outlets went too hard on him, so those
owners “chose” to meddle in
their coverage on his behalf. Problem solved, no First Amendment violations
required.
You don’t need to throw journalists in jail for exposing
one of your scandals if fear of being fired leads them not to expose it in the
first place. You don’t need to defy Supreme Court rulings if fear of losing
business keeps the lawyers who might have beaten you in court from bringing
those cases to begin with. Trump, the “transactional” politician, understands
that threatening people’s wallets is almost always sufficient to gain their
compliance.
And in fairness to him, his form of pressure is a hell of
a lot more subtle than demagoguing
conscientious judges or barking
about judicial impeachments. By the standards of his own movement, the
president is a relatively elegant gangster.
Political capital.
This is the point at which I should marvel at how foolish
it is for the White House to normalize a practice that can and will be
exploited by those incompetent Democrats once they regain their bearings and
eventually the presidency. Every act is a precedent, and the only constant in
politics is change. The harassment Covington and Perkins Coie are experiencing
today will be felt by Republican-friendly firms in time.
But I understand why Trump and his movement aren’t
worried about that. A government refashioned into a weapon for right-wing
authoritarianism will not be graciously transferred to the partisan left in
2029 simply because a narrow democratic majority says so. The whole point of
the right’s “Flight
93” catastrophism is to reimagine politics as a life-and-death struggle of
dire urgency, like war. Well, in a war, you don’t hand over your gun unless
you’re captured.
This administration isn’t ceding power if the GOP loses
the next election, or not willingly anyway. So, no, in their minds there’s no
precedent that’s being set by hassling enemy law firms. It won’t be used in the
future against Republican lawyers because in the future Republicans will still
be in charge.
But if that’s too grim a note to end on, here’s something
cheerier: The more political capital Trump continues to burn on idiocy like
DOGE chaos, the tariff-palooza
guessing game, and the repellent moral depravity of letting
Ukrainians be slaughtered to strengthen Russia’s negotiating hand, the less
fearful his skeptics should become.
A culture of fear run by a man with a solid majority of
Americans behind him is a lot more intimidating than one run by a man whom,
say, two-thirds of Americans are against. Lawyers who fear that antagonizing a
popular president will be bad for business might conclude that it’s actually
pretty good for business to antagonize an unpopular one. Newspaper owners who
lie awake now worrying what he might do to their income streams if they oppose
him might eventually lie awake worrying what the public might do to those
income streams if they don’t.
So long as Trump remains the biggest threat to his
enemies’ wallets, he’s in good shape. Petty harassment by
his toadies in government will continue. But the moment he isn’t—uh oh.
Frankly, we’re fortunate that he decided to fritter away a chunk of his popular
support on postliberal Jacobin nonsense before his inevitable confrontation
with the Supreme Court. The lower his polling sinks, the better the odds that
Americans will take sides with the judiciary against him.
Until that moment arrives, America needs Democrats to be
more competent—and everyone else, civic-minded Republicans above all, to be a lot
more brave. If you’re not clear on which problem is more urgent, you’re coping.
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