By Tibor Rutar
Thursday, April 10, 2025
Note: This article was first published in Areo
Magazine in June 2023.
It’s been almost a century and a half since Karl Marx’s
death, and decades since the collapse of socialism in the Soviet Union,
Yugoslavia, and elsewhere. In the still nominally Communist China, almost 90
percent of the workforce is employed in the private sector (as compared to 0
percent when Deng Xiaoping seized power). The core structures of capitalist
society are more firmly entrenched across the world than ever before. Even the
spectre of climate change has not been enough to challenge capitalism’s total
domination—no IPCC climate mitigation scenario presumes the radical
restructuring of economic institutions. It seems there really is no viable
alternative to capitalism. Yet the debate between Marx’s defenders and critics
shows no signs of abating.
There are two interrelated sets of ideas that should be
of interest to anyone examining the usefulness or otherwise of Marxism. The
first is his theory of history, which he views as progressing through distinct
stages in a single, specific direction, towards an endpoint. According
to Marx, history unfolds through increasingly technologically advanced
epochs, which are separated by revolutionary upheavals carried out by the
dominated classes (such as the bourgeoisie under feudalism and the proletariat
under capitalism). Technology is constantly advancing, while social relations
remain the same, until at some point there is a revolution and new social
relations spring into being because technological progress has rendered the old
ones obsolete. This cycle will continue until the end of history which, for
Marx, will occur when society has become so technologically advanced that class
exploitation is no longer possible due to extreme universal material abundance
(a kind of Star Trek future).
The second set of ideas constitute Marx’s theory of
society and social phenomena, which addresses the question of why and how
underlying economic structures, such as capitalism, shape society at large. For
example, Marx offers explanations of why economic crises recur under
capitalism; of why the capitalist state typically protects the rich; how
workers are exploited; and why the working class is the only truly
revolutionary class. His theorising is not restricted solely to capitalist
society. He also, for instance, tries to explain why feudalism was so war-like
and violent, while modern capitalist societies are much more democratic and
peaceful.
Both sets of ideas are connected by the notion of
economic determination and in particular the idea of surplus extraction,
a concept that Marx defines in the 1859 Preface to A Contribution to the
Critique of Political Economy:
In the social production of their
existence, men inevitably enter into definite relations, which are independent
of their will, namely relations of production … The totality of these relations
constitutes the economic structure of society, the real foundation, on which
arises a legal and political superstructure and to which correspond definite
forms of social consciousness.
He repeats a similar notion in Capital:
The specific economic form in which
unpaid surplus-labour is pumped out of direct producers determines the
relationship of rulers and ruled … Upon this … is founded … the economic
community which grows out of the production relations themselves, thereby simultaneously
its specific political form.
For Marx, the precise nature of the relationship between
the economic ruling classes and those who are exploited by them determines the
broader structure of any society. First, the very fact that in class societies
some people extract unremunerated work from other people (i.e., capitalists
exploit workers and feudal lords exploit peasants) gives the first group
disproportionate power in all social matters, not just economic ones. Second,
the way in which surplus extraction is carried out shapes the non-economic
aspects of society.
To better grasp the second point, consider the following
Marxist proposition: under capitalism, workers lack their own independent
property and are therefore dependent on the ruling class. This means that the
ruling class don’t need to take things from them by force (like a warlord
riding in and seizing grain stores or abducting women). Instead, the workers
themselves voluntarily approach the capitalists, seeking employment, and
because they control the means of earning a living, capitalists can leverage this
to extract surplus value from them (by exploiting the gap between wages and
profits). This is the “mute compulsion of economic relations” of which Marx
writes in Capital. It is very different from what happens in feudal
societies, in which each peasant works his own plot of land and doesn’t need to
go to the lord’s manor to seek paid work.
Marx suggests that this structural difference between
economic systems leads to certain political differences between them. Key
institutions and features—such as democracy, the rule of law, and civil and
interstate peace—can only emerge under capitalism and are always absent from
pre-capitalist societies. This is because, under capitalism, the ruling class
has no need to resort to violence to amass money, while, in a feudal society,
the rulers maintain their power and wealth through unequal laws, aristocratic
privileges, and constant territorial incursions. Capitalist elites don’t need
to do this: they can let the impersonal forces of the market do the work for
them.
This analytical framework offers explanations for a wide
variety of social and historical events. Say you’re trying to understand why
the welfare state—which Marx himself did not predict—came into being in the
twentieth century. Marx’s system suggests that this, like all large-scale
social phenomena, was primarily motivated by economic considerations. Thus,
perhaps the welfare state was an instrument of the ruling class to pacify an
exploited workforce, or perhaps it was a bulwark against socialist radicalisation
emanating from the Soviet Union.
Or perhaps you’re interested in why World War 1 started.
The Marxist formula suggests that the war might have begun as an attempt to
further the interests of German businessmen, who had close links with leading
politicians, through a land grab by a rising imperial power. How about the
Norman Conquest or the Crusades? Marxist theory suggests that these were the
result of hunger for land during a pre-capitalist age, when the upper classes
could not achieve economic growth by increasing the productivity of the labour
force because the peasants possessed their own land, rather than working in
factories under someone else’s supervision.
Its ability to churn out such plausible sounding
explanations for historical and social phenomena is part of Marxism’s core
appeal. But this grand theoretical framework simply does not hold up in the
light of modern social science.
First—and perhaps most crucially—Marx’s theory of history
has proved unfounded
and unworkable.
Marx never offered a convincing explanation of how exactly technology is
constantly improving, bumping up against stale social relations, and triggering
revolutionary upheavals that birth new, ostensibly more appropriate social
relations. He relies instead on functionalist
theory, which postulates that particular phenomena come into being because they
are needed for a social system to function. This is a frustratingly circular
explanation. Moreover, it is not the case
that technology was constantly (if slowly) improving in the past, or that
societies that replaced older ones never
regressed technologically. Marx’s idea of how and why bourgeois revolutions
occur is
inaccurate too. Contemporary Marxists like George
Comninel and Vivek
Chibber themselves argue that the French Revolution of 1789 was not led by
an ascendant urban capitalist class battling against a feudal aristocracy, nor
did it result in the creation of a democratic capitalist society; the same is
true of the English
Civil War of 1642–48. Marx regarded the working class as the only
potentially revolutionary class—but, in fact, history shows that revolutions
can be started by any disgruntled group.
What about Marx’s social theories? Take, for example, the
idea that economic crises occur due to “the tendency of the rate of profit to
fall.” Marx reasoned that capitalists will always be looking for ways to cut
costs by automating production and that, over time, this will lead to the
replacement of labourers by machines. Since he viewed human labour as the only
source of economic value, he concluded that, over the long-term, all businesses
will gradually cease to be profitable, as more and more workers are laid off.
But without robust profits, capitalists will be unable to fund new investment,
and without investment the whole economic system will grind to a halt,
resulting in a general crisis.
There are many issues with this hypothesis. For one
thing, empirical
evidence demonstrates that profits have not declined over the past 40
years, despite increasing automatisation. And, more importantly, Marx’s
assumption that labour is the only source of economic value has been completely
rejected by almost all mainstream economists.
Marx’s concept of “surplus value” implies that workers
are always necessarily being exploited even if they freely sign a legal
contract with an employer under competitive conditions (since the cost of their
wages is always less than the profits they allow the company to make). This is
simply wrong. It’s not that workers are never exploited under capitalism; they
just aren’t always exploited.
Marx also underestimated the problem of free riding among
the working class and instead wrongly attributed working-class division and
passivity to false consciousness (a semi-conspiratorial, quasi-Freudian
notion). In fact, as Mancur Olson has argued in The
Logic of Collective Action, under normal circumstances, workers have no
compelling reason to take part in a revolution. The chances of an individual
worker tilting the scales are extremely small. The revolution will succeed or
fail regardless of what he personally decides to do. So, he’s better off simply
staying on the sidelines and not risking getting arrested or killed. If the
revolution succeeds, he’ll still enjoy its benefits, if any—say, expanded
democratic rights or the abolition of exploitation—even if he didn’t participate
in it. Assuming most workers are rational, one would expect large-scale
revolutionary collective action to be an uncommon phenomenon: no “false
consciousness” is necessary to explain this.
And what about Marx’s idea that the form of a society is
determined by the structure of its economy? As a single overarching explanatory
principle, it has not fared well. Most social scientists reject it in favour of
the more pragmatic stance associated with sociologist Max Weber, known as methodological
pluralism, according to which economic power (and conflict), political
power, and ideological power are three irreducible and equally important
factors. Sometimes, economics is the most important driver of historical events
and social change. At other times, it is not. Contemporary historians are clear
that World War 1 cannot be reduced
to its economic dimension. The same goes for the Crusades—we
now know that they probably had
little to do with the crusaders’ desire for wealth and land, given that
knights usually lost money on that adventure and probably knew from the
outset that it would be costly, not profitable. That’s not what motivated them.
Of course, Marx was a philosopher as well as a social
scientist and some people find his philosophical ideas more persuasive than his
historical analyses. The idea of commodity fetishism, or reification, is
one example. Reification happens when people endow a physical thing with
human-like properties or act as if they were in a human relationship with it.
The classic example of this is a religious icon, which is worshipped as if it
were capable of performing certain human acts, such as mending a broken
friendship or improving crop yields. For Marx, the fundamental reified aspect
of capitalist society is that people’s economic relationships to each other are
represented by relationships between things (products) and mediated by
impersonal market forces. What gets produced and how it gets produced is
determined, he says, not by people’s personal relationships and ideas but by
abstract shifts in supply and demand. Such, he says in Capital, is the
“domination of things” over people in capitalism.
But supply and demand are themselves directly determined
by people’s personal wants and preferences, as expressed through their
purchasing decisions. Moreover, most contemporary Marxists and socialists do
not defend centralised state planning, but instead support so-called market
socialism. Any market society with a highly sophisticated division of
labour and a system of economic exchange—whether “socialist” or not—would
surely exhibit the same apparently problematic “domination of things” in this
sense.
Dialectics—which in the Marxist sense is a mysterious,
never fully defined method of inquiry—is another confused concept. On the one
hand, dialectical thinking is sometimes taken to simply mean a kind of thinking
that acknowledges the existence of vicious and virtuous cycles, reciprocal
dynamics, unintended consequences, and the fact that phenomena can be
“overdetermined” (i.e., caused by many different factors at once). For example,
Marxist Antonio Gramsci emphasised that, even though the behaviour of capitalists
determines the state’s political decisions, state policies also influence
capitalist behaviour. This idea is often expressed in rather impenetrable
jargon such as “the economic base influences the political superstructure, but
then the superstructure feeds back into the base.” In this sense, however,
dialectics is obviously not especially Marxist at all and is pretty much
synonymous with sophisticated thinking or careful analysis of complex
phenomena. The Marxist philosopher Étienne Balibar defines dialectics
as “a logic or form of explanation specifically adapted to the determinant
intervention of class struggle in the very fabric of history.” But if this is
not meaningless, it’s pernicious. If you can’t defend Marxism using
conventional forms of critical thinking and have to resort to a style of verbal
gymnastics specially tailored for the purpose, that does not indicate anything
good about Marxism. And the fact remains that Marxism is usually understood as
a social scientific paradigm that explains how the world works. In this, it has
mostly failed.
Some contemporary Marxists admit that Marx’s classical
theories are mostly mistaken, but propose that we rework them, extracting what
is useful and discarding the rest. For instance, we could abandon the notion of
surplus value, while still holding onto the idea that workers are exploited
under capitalism. Contemporary Marxists, such as Erik Olin Wright and Vivek
Chibber, deduce this from the fact that there is an asymmetric relationship
between relatively powerless individual workers and powerful individual
capitalists.
The problem is that there’s nothing specifically Marxist
about such an observation. Standard neoclassical economics makes the same point
about asymmetric bargaining positions using the so-called monopsony model.
Imagine a market with only one employer, without whose paid work people would
starve: she would be free to set wages as high or as low as she pleased.
Although, in our current world, the employment market is more competitive than
that, it is still imperfectly competitive: competition can still be stifled in
certain ways (e.g., through monopolies or government regulation), leading to
artificially lower wages.
In contrast to the Marxists, however, neoclassical
economists have gathered robust quantitative evidence of the amount of worker
exploitation that results from imperfectly competitive markets of this kind.
The typical statistical estimate indicates that US workers, on average, receive
wages that are about
20 percent lower than their actual contribution to the firm would merit.
The problem for Marxists is that these economic models also reveal that
inequality of power is just one mechanism of exploitation. Other factors
responsible for the discrepancy between economic contributions and wages
include search costs and frictions—i.e., the fact that a worker cannot switch
to a higher paying job without first gathering information about potential
employers and spending time putting in job applications and will sometimes have
to relocate to take up the new job. This all costs so much time and money that
the worker might prefer to remain employed with the original company, even
though they pay him a suboptimal wage. This has nothing inherently to do with
capitalism: such disincentives to change employer would also exist in a
hypothetical future socialist society.
Some Marxists have tried saving Marx’s theory of history
by stripping it of its technological bias and functionalist framing and
focusing on the dynamic of class struggle. The idea is that we can explain
historical change in terms of struggles between groups—say, the middle class
against the peasantry—for control of resources. The Marxist historian Robert
Brenner, for instance, speaks of “vertical” and “horizontal class
struggle.” This definitely expands Marx’s rigid schema, but what is gained by
relabelling well understood sociological phenomena such as, say, religious
infighting as “horizontal class struggle”? Why even call this class struggle?
This smells of what philosopher of science Imre Lakatos has termed a
“degenerating research programme,” the main characteristic of which is not
discovering any actual new insights, but merely reframing older ones every time
they are empirically falsified by new data—a kind of ideological p-hacking.
The heart of the Marxist system of thought is the
principle of economic determinism. The uncompromising version of this principle
is misguided and unusable. However, more recent Marxists have tried to salvage
it by watering it down. Friedrich Engels began this process just a few years
after Marx died, by talking about “determination in the last instance.” As
Engels pointed out, economic class relations are not the sole cause of
social phenomena. Instead, he argues, the economic aspect of society is simply
“the basis” of everything else, though non-economic aspects also play a role in
shaping social outcomes. But it is unclear exactly what—if anything—this means
or what practical applications such a theory could have. Even hardworking
Marxists like Louis
Althusser have failed to make Engels’ idea of “economic determination in
the last instance” comprehensible or practicable.
Marx’s failed theories, then, can be propped up by
reframing them with the help of non-Marxist ideas, by downplaying their
distinctively Marxist tone, by modifying them to better fit new data, or by
stretching the meanings of words like class and economic determinism
almost to breaking point. But if the original concepts for which Marx is
justifiably best known are nowhere to be seen, there’s really no reason to
invoke Marx’s name.
This does not mean that Marx himself is not worth
reading. He was approximately correct about quite a few things, like the
existence of exploitation under capitalism, the fact that capitalists and
politicians enter into mutually beneficial deals that screw over the public,
and that economic inequality is a pernicious social problem. But his main
theory has nothing further to offer us. RIP.
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