By Joseph Palange
Wednesday, April 16, 2025
Since “liberation day,” free traders have launched a
strong and sustained attack against Trump’s new tariff policy — and justifiably
so. People far more credentialed than I have written about the intellectual
bankruptcy of this policy. As someone who has read Smith, Hayek, Schumpeter,
etc., I do not quibble with their analyses.
Yet in knocking arguments in favor of tariffs down on
their merits, something can get lost. The protectionist defenses of them are so
disjointed and incoherent that the reasons for their appeal are challenging to
discern. But free traders need to understand that, to the extent the tariffs
are popular, it is because they resonate with those in the working class who
feel like they are the ostensible losers in global free trade.
Critics of protectionism need to argue differently if they expect to reach the
working class.
To understand why, you have to understand the working
class at more than an intellectual level. Experience helps. I have never had a
job that did not pay me by the hour and I have only ever showered at the end of
the day as opposed to the beginning. I have worked in some of the most
productive steel mills in the country. Buildings that in their glory days
crawled with people, like kicked-over anthills, and now, due to automation,
still hum, while resembling post-apocalyptic wastelands. I have worked in places
far more depressing, in which a few sparse lines run in cavernous buildings set
on miles-long abandoned industrial campuses. I have watched the seasoned men I
work with get drunk on nostalgia, as they recall a state of the world that
could only be so perfect when playing on the unsoiled reel of memory.
Those in the working class often drive down streets that
traded bustling businesses for blighted and empty storefronts, and past
dilapidated houses and buildings spared the wrecking ball by virtue of a
failing local government unable to raise the funds for their destruction. They
feel the realities noted by Richard Reeves in Of Boys and Men: that the next generation of men seems
lost, despaired, unmotivated, and lacking the values that once defined our
culture. They experience what Kevin Williamson has written about so brilliantly, the heartbreak of living in
and around company towns or industrial neighborhoods whose painful death has
dragged on for years. They feel the disappearance of the poor yet tight-knit
and low-crime neighborhoods that Jane Jacobs wrote about.
These depressing realities are best explained as a
product of complicated sociological forces, cultural failures, and
well-intentioned yet paternalistic public policy mistakes. But scapegoating global free trade carries the irresistible
charm of a false but clear idea.
Because these problems are not
the necessary outgrowth of free trade, and because there are so many benefits
to trade, free traders are talking past what makes protectionism so seductive.
Their arguments are about the incredible prosperity facilitated by free trade, but do not
make qualifications about failures that feel linked to it. Yet these
failures make free trade feel like it has taken more from the working
class than it has given.
The truth is that the successes and failures come
alongside one another. Take Detroit. Its greater metropolitan area is more
prosperous than ever before — while its economic engine and cultural heart, the
city proper, has been in a state of free-falling decay for decades on end. Its
downtown resembles an office park surrounded by a vast sea of half-abandoned
slums that act as a buffer zone between it and where most Detroiters have
retreated to, the suburbs. Unemployment is low, but the collapsing relics of the
former economy still loom as monuments of a hollow nostalgia over the city.
These strange paradoxes give a faint feeling of destitution to the whole area,
regardless of how well individual people might be doing.
This is a story that defines many American cities and
towns today. The downsides of the transition away from an industrial economy
make it hard for a lot of people to see clearly the prosperity that transition
generated. Protectionists offer a simple solution. It doesn’t matter if many of
the explanations for decline and hardship have nothing to do with free trade;
or that, as JD Vance put
it before he became vice president, “if you’re worried about America’s
economic interest, focus more on automation/education than trade
protectionism.” It doesn’t even matter if the real explanations would identify
too little economic freedom, as opposed to too much, as the primary cause.
Without the right explanations and qualifications, arguments about the
prosperity free trade has brought fall on deaf ears.
One way to persuade free trade skeptics is an argument
familiar to economists. Do not to tell people what they should prefer, but
rather explain how their preferences are more available in a free market. Free
traders often argue that global trade frees domestic workers from the toil of
labor. This argument, however, does not land how they think it will. While
those in the working class are not necessarily hoping that their kids will work
in a textile mill, many do not understand why anyone would want a desk job.
They tend to find meaning and dignity in hands-on skilled labor, and they
believe working class culture is an indispensable part of American culture.
So it is not enough simply to tell people that it’s a net
positive to send manufacturing overseas — unless the goal is to drive such
people into protectionism. It is essential to explain how free trade facilitates division
of labor and specialization, how it drives down the price of inputs
manufactured by low-skilled labor elsewhere, and how it therefore facilitates
more high-skilled labor domestically. This more sophisticated perspective makes
it possible to argue that, say, apparel-manufacturing jobs are a terrible form
of blue-collar employment — without implying that blue-collar jobs as a whole
are inherently inferior to white-collar service jobs. The latter is a losing
proposition to the working class.
A positive agenda to restore the economic well-being of
the working class is also necessary. Cheaper inputs would only be a start in
such an agenda. Applying supply-side lessons to liberate restrictions in the
building sector, such as zoning and building codes and regulatory burdens from
agencies like OSHA (which the working class hates, I assure you), would
increase construction employment and drive demand for skilled tradesmen. Trade
could lead to a resurgence of artisanship and craftsmanship as people with
disposable incomes look for bespoke goods. People with extra money buy handmade
furniture; those without go to Ikea. A winning proposition to those in the
working class is that we are trading low-skilled assembly jobs for high-skilled
trades and crafts — not desk jobs they do not understand.
The free trade case is correct. But free traders need to
frame their arguments differently. Not because they are wrong, but because the
emphasis is off and the “to be sures” do not scratch the right itch. The
working class is looking for a place at the table. Arguments about offshoring
labor often feel like telling them they will not need — or even that they do
not deserve — one. Those in the working class are looking to address problems
that feel like the outgrowth of global trade. Arguments about our staggering
prosperity — while true — feel incomplete. Making the case for free trade only
along such lines conveys to skeptics the sense that free traders do not believe
there are any problems to solve.
Americans open to protectionism are not all hoping to sew
sweatpants and assemble iPhones. Many simply see public policy failures
that seem caused by free trade, and want to live in dynamic places where a
working class culture and practical knowledge have not disappeared. They want
to be assured that there are jobs with dignity for people like them. Free trade
has not caused their woes. In combination with liberated supply-side
restrictions and good governance, it has far more to offer them than
protectionism. But few are telling them that.
No comments:
Post a Comment