By David A. Graham
Wednesday, February 12, 2025
Ask Trump supporters why they like the president, and
chances are good you’ll hear something like: He tells it like it is and says
what he means. The question, then, is why so many of them refused to take
him at his word. Over the first three weeks of the second Trump presidency, a
recurrent motif is that Trump does exactly what he said he would, and then
people who backed him react with shock and dismay.
If you’re surprised, you weren’t paying attention—and
judging from recent examples, many people weren’t. When Trump announced his plan (I’m using the word generously) to occupy the Gaza Strip and
convert it into an international real-estate development, the chairman of Arab
Americans for Trump, which formed to back him during the election, expressed
shock and betrayal, and announced that the group would rename
itself Arab Americans for Peace. Some Arab American
voters may have felt compelled to lodge a protest vote against Joe Biden’s
handling of the war in Gaza, even if it meant contributing to Trump’s win, but
no one should have been surprised that a guy who used
Palestinian as an insult during the campaign
was not a sincere champion for the people of Gaza.
Some Venezuelan Americans in Florida are feeling similar
outrage. Trump continued to make gains with Hispanic voters in 2024, but this
month he ended Temporary Protected Status, a designation that allows
noncitizens to stay in the country, for about 300,000 Venezuelans, with more
TPS designees likely to lose their status later. “They used us,” the Venezuelan
activist Adelys Ferro told NPR.
“During the campaign, the elected officials from the Republican Party, they
actually told us that he was not going to touch the documented people. They
said, ‘No, it is with undocumented people.’” In fact, both Trump and Vice President J.
D. Vance said they wanted to deport people legally
allowed in the country, such as Haitians in Springfield, Ohio. Some voters just convinced themselves
that their own groups wouldn’t become targets.
They’re not alone. Some Kentucky educators who voted for
Trump are aghast that his administration is trying to cut
off federal funding that they need to keep their
schools functioning, despite his campaign-trail promises to abolish the
Department of Education. “I did not vote for that,” one principal told
CNN. “I voted for President Trump to make America first again and to
improve our lives.” The Fraternal Order of Police, the nation’s largest police
union, endorsed Trump for president, then decried Trump’s decision to pardon January 6 rioters who attacked
police officers—never mind that he had promised pardons while campaigning. CEOs
and bankers who decided they liked Trump better because he favors low taxes and
less regulation are suddenly chagrined
to learn that he was serious about tariffs. A Missouri
farmer who voted for Trump is horrified that the administration is freezing federal funding for
conservation programs, even though Trump promised to eliminate environmental
programs and slash government spending.
All of this was foreseeable. In a 2015 tweet that remains
depressingly relevant a decade later, Adrian
Bott joked: “‘I never thought leopards would eat MY face,’ sobs woman who
voted for the Leopards Eating People’s Faces Party.” But I don’t want to single
out ordinary citizens. Even Republican members of Congress are
doing the same dance—cheering on Trump cuts in general but scrambling to
protect their own states from losing any federal money. They ran for office
with the Leopards Eating People’s Faces Party, but they never expected the
leopards to eat their faces too.
Other Trump promises were pretty dubious if you listened
to the rest of his plans. “Starting on day one, we will end inflation and make
America affordable again,” he
said. But Trump’s signature campaign ideas were large tariffs and mass
deportation. Both of these are inflationary: Tariffs raise the price of goods,
and mass deportation makes labor scarcer, raising salaries, which in turn
drives prices higher. Today, the Federal Reserve released the first Consumer
Price Index update of Trump’s term, finding 3 percent inflation. That’s a hair
above economists’ expectations but in line with last month’s figures.
Persistent inflation shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone, and not only
because of the sharp rise in egg prices, driven by bird flu, that my
colleague Lora Kelley covered last week.
You don’t need an economics degree to predict this. You
just had to heed the many warnings about it,
which even Fox
News covered. Or you could just listen to what Trump said, as when he
suggested that tariffs
would pay for child care or that Biden’s encouragement
of wind power was responsible for inflation. These
aren’t just the kinds of comforting nonsense all politicians sometimes peddle;
they’re incoherent. Since winning the election, he has downplayed his inflation promises and announced a set of tariffs that,
although not fully felt yet, may
already be edging prices higher. Now Trump wants the Fed to drop interest rates, which would stimulate the
economy—and likely increase inflation.
When Trump ran for president in 2016, uncertainty about
his seriousness was understandable. He was a legendary merchant of hyperbole,
and no one was sure where his persona ended and his real political intentions
began. No such excuse applies anymore—as I pointed out in September, Trump was
president once, and he tried to keep most of his big
promises, albeit often ineffectively. This time around, Trump said he was going
to do these things—and hey, he tells it like it is.
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