By Andrew Follett
Saturday, December 27, 2025
Democrats seem to have decided that beating the drum on “affordability” is the key to electoral success, and given
their recent strong performances in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City,
who could blame them? Indeed, the affordability focus allows them to set aside
their remarkably unpopular positions on immigration, crime, and
certain social issues in favor of a more marketable focus.
But Republicans should have a straightforward response:
Look at Democrats’ energy policies, and their so-called commitment to
affordability suddenly becomes empty.
Republicans’ answer to the Democrats’ affordability push
should be a full-throated endorsement of President Trump’s “Energy Dominance” agenda — an increased focus on domestic
energy production — while highlighting Democratic hypocrisy. This is a winning
political issue for the GOP, because while Democrats’ environmentalist base
wants expensive energy for ideological reasons (President Obama once said that under progressive policies, “electricity rates
would necessarily skyrocket,” and Columbia University’s Climate School
similarly claims that the energy transition has to be “expensive”),
pricey power hurts lower-income Americans the most.
This month, Gallup polling found that more than a third of Americans believe that economic issues
are the most important problem facing the country — up from about a quarter of
Americans in September and October. Surveys show that nearly three in four Americans think their
electricity bills are too high, and 81 percent think their local government
should be doing more about it.
Energy prices are certainly a function of public policy
more than anything else. And when you look at the costs of energy throughout
the country, it becomes easier to put a finger on who’s responsible for high
prices: Blue states pay far more than red states do.
According to a new report from Always on Energy Research
and the Institute for Energy Research, U.S. electricity prices spiked 27 percent under the Biden administration, with the vast
majority of this price increase affecting blue states. Even left-wing think
tanks admit that blue states saw soaring power bills, with New York
experiencing the largest price hikes in the country, according to a recent study by the Progressive Policy Institute. And this was
despite deep-blue New York’s delaying various global warming cap-and-tax
schemes because they would impose “extraordinary and damaging costs” on residents.
Looking at these findings, it becomes clear that
Democrats’ embrace of the affordability issue is massively hypocritical,
because the average blue state objectively pays almost 50 percent more per
kilowatt hour of power than the average red state. And these numbers get more
extreme in more partisan states: a resident of deep-blue California or
Massachusetts pays 28 and 26 cents per kilowatt hour of power, double the 14
cents a Floridian pays and nearly triple the 10 cents an Idahoan pays.
A similar argument is true for gasoline
prices. A Californian pays an average of $4.30 per gallon, while
in red states like Texas, Arkansas, and Tennessee, the average is below $3 a
gallon. The ten states with the lowest gasoline prices are all ruby red,
largely because many blue states charge a variety of special taxes and fees.
Blue California adds 71
cents per gallon in taxes, while red Oklahoma only adds 20 cents, according
to the Institute for Energy Research.
Around the time of the presidential inauguration in
January 2025, the average price was approximately $3.08 per gallon. It is now
down to $2.86, below
the major psychological threshold of $3 a gallon. This is largely the result of
new drilling enabled by Trump’s Energy Dominance agenda of deregulation and permitting-simplification. Low prices at
the pump are enormously beneficial to American households, as they use money
not spent on gasoline to save more, pay down debt, or buy other goods.
Expensive energy in blue states means price hikes for all
Americans, but the burden falls mostly on those with lower incomes — precisely
the people Democrats claim to be helping. Energy costs account for 7 percent of
the average American’s household budget, but this can exceed 20 percent for low-income families.
We’ve known for decades that expensive energy hurts
poorer people more than it does the rich, since the poor tend to spend a higher
proportion of their incomes on basic needs. A 2009 study by the National Bureau
of Economic Research found that green, global-warming policies would increase
the tax burden of the poorest households three times more
than it would that of the richest households.
This means that when energy prices rise, the poor are hit
disproportionately hard. Therefore, low energy prices are among the most
effective anti-poverty measures in human history. There’s no such thing as a high-income and low-energy country — yet
Democrats want the U.S. to become one. Democrats love to pretend to be defenders of poor Americans, so actively
flipping this talking point by pointing to cheap energy in GOP-controlled
states versus the immense expense of power in Democratic ones would be a
political winner for Republicans.
Cheaper energy would lower the cost of every product that
uses electricity as an input or as a means of transport — which is almost every
product. Less expensive electricity and fuel reduce manufacturing, farming, and
transportation costs, leading to lower prices for food, clothing, and consumer
products. Affordable U.S. energy, especially from our abundant natural gas,
which Trump has championed, gives American industries a global edge,
supporting jobs and keeping imported goods competitive. All that remains is to
sell these wins to voters.
Democrats’ record on affordability doesn’t live up to
their soaring rhetoric, because their policies raise the price of everything
and primarily serve to enrich politically connected environmentalist donors.
Republicans will likely benefit at the polls if they point out that hypocrisy.
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