By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
One of the things I’ve come to appreciate about this
Horseshoe Era we’re currently in is the ample opportunities it’s given me to
say, “I told you so.” Sure, very few
people care. But it helps me get through the day.
Let’s take one of my longstanding gripes: the cult of
youth. I’ve been writing about this forever. Here’s how I began my “Youth”
chapter in my underrated second book, The
Tyranny of Clichés:
There is a little
discussed fact, well established in the social science literature: Young people
tend to be stupid. In fact, as a statistical matter, the younger you are, the
more likely it is you will be ignorant and, frankly, dumb. While there’s a lot
of noise in the data, it’s clear that all the way at the left end of the x axis
every newborn person is what psychometricians call “a complete moron” and that
conditions only lessens as you get less young.
The idea that young people are inherently wise or have a
superior grasp of important truths has a long pedigree, which we don’t need to
dive into too deeply here.
I think this false idea has its origin in a
misinterpreted truth. Because young people are ignorant, they can often stumble
into some awkward truth-telling, like the kid in “The Emperor’s New Clothes.”
Every parent has some story about their kid blurting out some rude or
embarrassing observation best kept quiet.
For instance, my wife once took our then very young
daughter with her to the liquor store. Lucy asked, “What is this place?”
“It’s a booze store.”
“Booze!? Daddy loves booze!” she exclaimed. The
staff laughed.
But there’s a kind of winner’s bias at work here. We
extrapolate from the handful of times young people stumble onto a truth but
ignore all the dumb things they say. It’s a bit like saying that because the
millionth monkey banging on a typewriter taps out some lines of Shakespeare,
monkeys are geniuses. I still chuckle when I think about Hillary Clinton writing
in It Takes a Village that “some of the best theologians I have ever met
were five-year-olds.” Take that, Aquinas.
The cult of youth becomes more pernicious as children
become young adults. In politics, it’s a kind of power-worship by older
people—young people are the future, so you better get on their good side! And
it’s a kind of arrogance bordering on narcissism from young people, especially
self-styled youth activists. “We don’t care about your old ways!”
For decades, progressive baby boomers were enthralled
with the cult of youth, first when they were young themselves, and then later
thanks to their nostalgia for the 1960s and their own political success. In the
dominant narratives peddled in journalism, popular history, and Hollywood,
young people as a class were heroic champions of “change,” antiwar activism,
and civil rights. This story was true in a Pauline Kael kind of way
(Kael was famously misquoted
as saying, “I can’t believe Nixon won. I don’t know anyone who voted for him.”)
Graduates from elite colleges were indeed very liberal, very antiwar, etc. But
most people didn’t go to college, never mind an elite one, then—or now. (The story of Democratic
politicians thinking college campuses are representative of all young people
began a long time ago.)
The stereotypical lefty kids went into academia, to
Hollywood, and elsewhere and told a gauzy version of their youth as if it was
the story of their entire generation.
To illustrate the point: Older voters were more
opposed to the Vietnam War than younger voters. Younger voters in the 1960s
and early ’70s were more
hawkish than their parents. Richard Nixon did much better
with people under 30 overall in the 1972 election than the conventional wisdom
suggests, but George McGovern cleaned up with college students and recent
grads. When ratification of the 26th Amendment in 1971 lowered the
voting age to 18, many assumed it would help Democrats, but Nixon and McGovern
split the youth vote. George Wallace’s best demographic
in the 1968 presidential election was 21- to 29-year-olds.
But forget about America for a second. If the youth are
so inherently noble, how do you explain the horrors of the Chinese Cultural
Revolution with all of those vicious kids? Heck, how is it that both Italian
fascism and German Nazism began in many respects as youth movements?
That’s a good place to pivot to the I told you so.
Yair Rosenberg has a troubling Atlantic essay
on the fact that the most antisemitic cohort in America is young people. A Yale
Youth poll Rosenberg cites states it plainly: “Younger voters are more likely
to hold antisemitic views than older voters.”
“When asked to choose whether Jews have had a positive,
neutral, or negative impact on the United States,” Rosenberg summarizes, “just
8 percent of respondents said ‘negative.’ But among 18-to-22-year-olds, that
number was 18 percent. Twenty-seven percent of 18-to-22-year-olds strongly or
somewhat agreed that ‘Jews in the United States have too much power,’ compared
with 16 percent overall and just 11 percent of those over 65.” A slew of other
polls find similar results. A
recent Manhattan Institute poll found that a quarter of Republicans under
50 say “they themselves openly express” antisemitic views. That’s a sixfold
greater share than those over 50 (4 percent).
Note: This is a bipartisan problem. The issue isn’t
right-wing antisemitism or left-wing antisemitism. It’s antisemitism.
Now, I’m happy to debate the issue if necessary, but I
will simply assert that antisemitism is bad. I also think it’s wrong—morally
and factually.
One of my rules of thumb is that you can tell how much
merit there is to a position by how much those holding it have to lie to win
the argument. If you have to make up facts to prove your claim, it’s evidence
that the actual facts aren’t on your side. The second you tell me “the Jews”
were responsible for everything from Charlie Kirk’s murder to Pearl Harbor, I
know you’re either a fool or a liar.
More to the point, I don’t think antisemitism is one
scintilla less bad because a lot of young people are antisemitic. (A related
point: I don’t think racism is one scintilla less bad just because a bunch of
new, young Republicans are racist.)
I don’t think these young people are bringing some fresh
insight or experience to the question. They’re just wrong. Their wrongness
stems from not knowing very much history, or anything else. It also stems from
the fact that they are impressionable, more emotionally motivated, and
disproportionately get their “news” and “facts” from frauds, ghouls, bigots,
grifters, jabronis, and/or airheads.
Forget “the
socialism of fools” and consider plain old socialism. Once again, older
socialists are convincing themselves that socialism will finally be tried
because young people like socialism. (In case you’re too young to get the joke,
it’s an ancient cliché for
socialists to respond to the claim that socialism doesn’t work by saying “True
socialism has never been tried!”)
Now, I think the old socialists have a lot in common with
the youth, in that they both reject the verdict of history. But the old
socialists reject it out of a quasi-religious conviction (and a profound
confusion about the difference between is and ought), while the
bulk of the young ones just have no idea what they’re talking about.
I’ve been saying for a very long time that youth politics
is the cheapest form of identity politics. But it’s also a form of populism (as
is identity politics), and not just because populism supplants arguments with
passion, a common tendency among the young.
One of my core problems with populism is that it assumes
the plural of one wrong person is many right people. In other words, if you get
enough wrong and angry people to organize around their wrongness, they become a
constituency that must be listened to, appeased, and cultivated.
Among the many reasons the cult of youth is the worst
mixture of identity politics and populism is the fact that old intellectuals
and politicians just love to be supported by young people. It boosts their egos
and corrupts their judgment. The youth “get it,” they tell themselves. The
future belongs to me because I have the youth on my side!
Or as Hitler put it in a 1933 speech, “When an opponent
says ‘I will not come over to your side,’ I calmly say, ‘Your child belongs to
us already ... You will pass on. Your descendants, however, now stand in the
new camp. In a short time they will know nothing but this new community.’”
Yes, I could have picked plenty of quotes from far less
sinister figures. No, thinking the youth are with you doesn’t make you Hitler.
But the point is, it doesn’t make you not-Hitler either. Because fetishizing
the support of young people has no intellectual or logical heft to it. It is
simply power-worship and vanity.
If some student walks into a professor’s office and says,
“The Jews control the world,” or, “We must solve the Jewish problem” you’d
expect the professor to either patiently explain why the kid is wrong or maybe
throw him out of the office. But if a thousand students say it, there’s a
certain kind of intellectual who responds by saying, “I gotta get out in front
of this.” If a single voter tells a politician that we need to socialize
American industry, most politicians outside of Bernie Sanders would politely
disagree or dismiss it. But if enough of them say that, they become Ferris
Buellers getting out in front of the parade. Even if most intellectuals and
politicians can resist the corrupting temptation to “meet the moment,” enough
of them still cannot.
My response is screw that. Meeting the moment is easy
when you’re telling one person they’re wrong. The test of your character and
your convictions is when you meet the moment by telling the crowd, “Your boos
mean nothing to me, for I have seen what you cheer.” You can multiply wrongness
as much as you like; there’s no number at which it becomes rightness.
I’ve spent much of my career being lectured to, mocked,
and taunted by progressives besotted with the cult of youth, telling me that my
views are wrong because they’re unpopular and they’re a waste of time because
young people are on their side, so I too must get on the right side of history.
For the last decade, I’ve been hearing much of the same from the right. I’m
happy to tell them all: I told you so.
But I’m perfectly happy to toss my stack of
I-told-you-sos into the trash in exchange for some buy-in on fixing the
problems. Those on the left can learn so many lessons from this moment. And I
think many are. For instance, there used to be mostly scorn for federalism from
the left, but now many are realizing that state sovereignty is a useful bulwark
against centralized power when, for
example, the president wants to send the National Guard into Illinois or
California. Many on the left took for granted that young people and minorities
would always be in their column and that there was no price to pay for
alienating the white working class. And many on the left convinced themselves
that young people were inherently more moral and tolerant simply because they
were young. But I now hear the same garbage from the right. Curtis Yarvin is—I
defecate you negatory—talking about a “1,000 Year
GOP Reich”—whatever the hell he thinks that is.
There is no right side of history if you ignore the
lessons of history. There are no permanent victories because there are no
permanent defeats. Young people can be taught to be wrong, but they can also be
taught to be right. Demography is not destiny when it comes to political
attitudes. The only way out of these problems is arguing through them.
Pandering to mobs—old or young—is surrender.
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