By Noah Rothman
Monday, December 22, 2025
On Friday, American armed forces mounted the biggest
anti-ISIS operation in years against Islamic
State positions inside Syria. More than 70 targets were hit by fighter jets,
attack helicopters, and rocket artillery — a mission, Pentagon chief Pete
Hegseth said,
that was designed “to eliminate ISIS fighters, infrastructure, and weapons
sites.”
Ostensibly, the operation was purely retaliatory. On
December 13, two U.S. soldiers and a civilian who served as an interpreter were
killed, and three more U.S. service personnel were wounded, in an
ISIS-affiliated ambush. “As we said directly following the savage attack, if
you target Americans — anywhere in the world — you will spend the rest of your
brief, anxious life knowing the United States will hunt you, find you, and
ruthlessly kill you,” Hegseth wrote.
U.S. Central Command attributed the ambush near the Syrian city of Palmyra to a “lone ISIS
gunman.” And yet, the strike package deployed against a broad array of ISIS
targets on Friday suggests that the threat to U.S. interests and service
members is not limited to one radicalized individual. Nor can we ascribe to
overcaution the Trump administration’s expansion of a ban on travel visas to
Syrians, which risks the administration’s efforts to engineer a thaw in
relations with the post–Bashar al-Assad regime in Damascus. The Islamic State is
reconstituting itself.
“I think many elements in recent years show that the
organization is gaining ground,” one terrorism researcher told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. “It’s boosting its
capabilities, and it’s focusing on new operative models.” These remarks were
based on evidence that the Bondi Beach slaughter was, at the very least,
“inspired” by “Islamic State ideology.” Investigators are still looking into
the prospect that the two attackers — in addition to the firearms training they
had received from local Australian sources — had been privy to bomb-making and
terrorism tactics training during a monthlong trip to the Philippines. (They
had constructed four unused but “viable” improvised
explosive devices.) It would be quite a coincidence if the father-and-son
terrorist team had not had any contact with Islamist radicals in Mindanao,
where an Islamist insurgency has been simmering for decades.
Only savvy police work spared the United States from the
experience of its own Bondi Beach–like attacks. In October, two Michigan men
were arrested after they allegedly scouted potential locations for a
coordinated terrorist attack they planned to execute on Halloween. Attorney
General Pam Bondi called
it “a major ISIS-linked terror plot.” The following
month, two New Jersey teenagers and another Michigan teen were arrested in connection with the Halloween plot. They were charged with
stockpiling arms and ammunition, developing “their firearms skills in
furtherance of an attack,” and using encrypted communications “to share
extremist and ISIS-related materials that encourage attacks similar to what
they planned.” Moreover, they had “pledged themselves to ISIS and were plotting
acts of terrorism in our country,” then-acting U.S. Attorney Alina Habba wrote.
One of the suspects was described as having shared and produced his own pro-ISIS
propaganda. He also reportedly distributed “antisemitic messages advocating
violence along with images and purchases consistent with preparation for
attack, including a knife and sword collection, tactical gear, and images of
him practicing at a gun range.”
Those plots are only the most recently interdicted
terrorist plots that could have produced significant bloodshed. Election Day
2024, for example, might have been marred by horrific violence had law
enforcement not intervened against Afghan nationals
who had plotted to attack civilian targets on behalf of the Islamic State.
ISIS is hardly the only Islamist terrorist threat to the
U.S. homeland. An updated report by the U.S. House Committee on
Homeland Security released this month identified 60 incidents between 2021 and
the end of this year. “This includes those who’ve provided material support to
ISIS, Hezbollah, and al-Qaeda, who received military level training from
Hezbollah and al-Qaeda, and who claimed to commit attacks because they were
inspired by foreign terrorist organizations,” ABC News reported.
At the potential risk of one of the greatest achievements
of his first term — the shattering of the Islamic State caliphate — Donald
Trump deserves credit for taking the fight against ISIS to its home turf. The
security environment in the West is deteriorating at an unsettlingly rapid
pace. Degrading ISIS’s capacity to export radicalism and terror outside its
region has once again become a national security imperative.
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