By Yuval Levin
Thursday, October 23, 2025
Seventy years ago, when National Review launched
to help conservatives make their case to the country, it did so with a
distinctly factional ethos. In speaking for conservatives, the magazine
understood itself to be speaking not for a dominant orthodoxy but for a
dissenting sect seeking influence through winsome persuasion and prudent
political action.
In his opening editorial, William F. Buckley Jr. noted
that the magazine was unavoidably out of place:
It is out of place because, in its
maturity, literate America rejected conservatism in favor of radical social
experimentation. Instead of covetously consolidating its premises, the United
States seems tormented by its tradition of fixed postulates having to do with
the meaning of existence, with the relationship of the state to the individual,
of the individual to his neighbor, so clearly enunciated in the enabling
documents of our Republic.
For these reasons, Buckley continued, conservatives in
America “are non-licensed nonconformists.” This was true even within the
Republican Party. To advance their cause, they would need the skills to make
themselves important members of a coalition.
Much has changed in the intervening decades, but those
very skills are again urgently necessary. Today’s conservatives are sorely
lacking in both the self-knowledge and the coalitional prowess required to
advance our cause.
Conservatives forgot how to think as a faction in no
small part because we succeeded as one, especially within the GOP. By the end
of the 20th century, it was possible to believe that conservatives were not
just one sect vying for influence within the Republican coalition but the
party’s dominant mainstream, and indeed almost its entirety. To say that a
politician was not a conservative was to say that he had no place in the
Republican Party.
This was how Donald Trump’s populist insurgency was
received at first. In the 2016 Republican primaries, for instance, Marco Rubio
warned voters that “a con artist is about to take over the Republican Party and
the conservative movement and we have to put a stop to it.” Rubio didn’t draw a
distinction between the party and the movement — the primaries were about who
would run both.
Trump did not share that view. “This is called the
Republican Party, it’s not called the Conservative Party,” he told an
interviewer in 2016. And he was right. A political party, particularly in our
two-party system, is unavoidably a broad coalition that includes different
elements. These elements build and sustain that coalition because none of them
could have sufficient public support to win elections on their own. To succeed,
they must understand both the benefits and the demands of coalition-building.
The benefits for each faction are not only the potential
for electoral success but also the pressure to hone its case, clarify its
priorities, and better grasp the character of our society through the work of
negotiating its place in a larger party framework. This work demands patience
and energy for internal debates, clarity of purpose to know when to bargain and
when to insist on one’s priorities, and the prudence and self-confidence to
back a party that isn’t ideologically pure so it can make deals with opponents
for policy gains.
Such coalition-building is the essential political skill
in America’s constitutional republic. Our system is built to restrain narrow
majorities and force them to grow, so governing requires endless negotiation at
every step. Our two-party system has long served the constitutional order by
training politicians in the habits required for that before they ever rise to
power.
But in our time, both parties have grown dangerously
deficient in this basic competency and lost sight of their coalitional
character. Over the past 15 years or so, the Democratic Party has come to be
dominated by progressive activists, losing some key habits of coalition
maintenance in the process. Not by coincidence, the party has become less
persuasive and attractive to the public over this period.
But it happened to Republicans even earlier, precisely as
the Republican Party and the conservative movement became synonymous in the
minds of many on the right. The party came to expect its politicians to march
in step on all key issues, while conservatives expected their leading voices
and thinkers to toe the Republican line.
That mentality harmed both the GOP and conservatism, but
it hurt the latter more. A party’s factions operate by exerting pressure on its
politicians. If such criticism comes to be seen as a betrayal, then those
factions can’t do their work, and the party becomes disconnected from its
underlying framework of priorities and interests.
The resulting rigid, brittle, nominally conservative GOP
turned out to be easy prey for a populist takeover. There had always been a
populist faction in the Republican coalition, intertwined with conservative and
libertarian factions. But in a party that had largely ceased to understand
itself in coalitional terms, Trump’s primary victory in 2016 was implicitly
understood as heralding a new unitary agenda for all to embrace as one. Social,
fiscal, and foreign policy conservatives would not so much negotiate for
leverage over the party platform as demonstrate their fealty to the new regime.
And since Trump does not have clear ideological principles or a consistent
policy vision, they would be expected to support Trump personally and shift
their priorities as he shifted his.
In 2020, the GOP gave up on even producing a party
platform for this reason. By 2024, the party’s factions, and even its
single-issue groups (like those in the pro-life movement), were scurrying to
demonstrate their relevance by showing that Trump mattered to them more than
their own policy aims did. They felt the need to prove to their own grassroots
activists and donors that they supported Trump, not that he listened to them.
The logic of coalition-building had been entirely subsumed by the ethos of a
one-voice party.
This is bad politics, not only for the substantive aims
of the assorted ideological factions that compose the GOP but also for the
party as a whole. The era of intra-partisan consolidation has been an era of
electoral failure for both parties. Republicans and Democrats have effectively
both been minority parties for a generation. When one of them wins, it wins
narrowly and negatively — that is, by persuading just a hair more than half of
the electorate that the other party would be even worse. Because our constitutional
system restrains narrow majorities, winning by a hair means never really being
able to govern effectively.
The parties have responded to this dynamic mostly by
denying its existence. Winning 49 percent of the popular vote and then
insisting that the election was an epic landslide might make the winning party
feel a little better, but it doesn’t let it advance durable policy changes.
That would require winning bigger. And that, in turn, would require a recovery
of coalitional instincts. A party must find ways to reach voters who are not
already in the tent, and this is exactly what a robust coalitional politics can
accomplish.
Conservatives rose to dominate the GOP, and helped the
party win big, precisely by mastering the skills of intraparty
coalition-building. That is the art we must now learn anew. In true
conservative fashion, we should look to the founders of our movement, and of
this magazine, for models.
As Daniel DiSalvo of the University of North Carolina has
brilliantly shown, effective intraparty factions have always been the
constructive moving forces in American political development. They enable the
parties, and with them the country, to respond to changing circumstances and to
the dynamics of public opinion in ways that reinforce the strengths of our
constitutional order. Factions do this by clearly delineating their distinct
priorities and negotiating with other factions within their party. The result
is a coalition that emphasizes to the public the most broadly appealing facets
of each faction’s agenda and emphasizes in actual government those facets that
each faction values most.
This requires intraparty factions to make demands of
party leaders, not to march behind them in lockstep. And it requires some
willingness to let different factions speak to different voters in different
places at the same time.
But above all, a recovery of coalitional instincts
requires a culture of persuasion and negotiation within the party, which
requires factions with substantive ambitions beyond the defeat of the other
party. You can’t negotiate if you have no demands. This is where conservatives,
as a distinct and self-conscious faction of the GOP, have an essential role to
play in any post-Trump Republican future.
At our best, conservatives can bring a vision of
governing to bear in internal Republican debates — a set of ideas about the
centrality of family, religion, and culture; the properly constrained but
energetic role of government; the importance of the Constitution; the uses and
limits of markets; and the nature of America’s geostrategic challenges. We can
also advance concrete policy priorities and turn general ideas into an agenda
for governing — in education, health care, welfare, family policy, and more.
Conservatives are in a position to do both in ways that
are distinct from the approach of populists on the right. In this respect, we
can bring some needed dispositional balance to the broader coalition.
Traditional conservatives tend to approach politics with a sense of the
importance of institutions, a desire for solidarity and stability, and
sometimes even an emphasis on the importance of legitimate elites. The right
badly lacks all of these dispositions, and the longer it lacks them the more of
a problem that will be with voters.
Conservatives ought not (and could not in any case)
render the right content with today’s elite institutions and the people who run
them — they deserve harsh critique and transformation. But conservatives could
render the right more inclined to save, revitalize, and deploy those
institutions in new ways, while more-populist voices are inclined to obliterate
them. Voters should not just be faced with a choice between smug progressivism
and caustic populism. Republicans must offer an alternative leavened with a
constructive conservatism.
The populist faction of the right, meanwhile, could
balance the inclinations of conservatism with urgency and energy. It could also
emphasize an appreciation for the concerns and priorities of many current and
potential Republican voters who are moved more by suspicion of elite power than
by confidence in the American political tradition.
Of course, such vague general priorities would need to be
translated into concrete governing ideas — but that is just the work that
intraparty coalition-building could advance. The absence of such
coalition-building is a primary reason why Republicans have had so little to
offer voters for so long, and therefore why they have not won a real majority
in so long.
Republicans must grasp that they lack such a majority,
and in any case that they lack a plausible political framework for the medium
term. It is hard for Republicans to see past Donald Trump in this moment. But
Trump is a 79-year-old, term-limited, lame-duck president. Unless they intend
to indulge in unconstitutional fantasies about a third term, Republicans will
soon have to consider what the future of the party should involve. For
Republicans who are conservatives, this is an opportunity to think through how
those two self-designations — Republican and conservative — are distinct, and
how grasping the difference between them, after decades of obscuring it, could
revive both conservatism and the GOP.
Imagining that future and thinking like an intraparty
faction will require some non-licensed nonconformity. And it can’t start soon
enough.
No comments:
Post a Comment