By Noah Rothman
Monday, September 22, 2025
We’re confronted with the curious condition in which,
following the recognition of Palestine as a state by a handful of Western
capitals, almost no one is talking about the reaction to it among the
Palestinian people. Indeed, Palestinians themselves are little more than an
afterthought in the debate over their own political future. This was all about
Israel.
The governments of Australia, Canada, Portugal, and the
U.K., with France likely to follow their lead soon enough, talk about the
extending of statehood to Palestine as a means of either punishing Israel or
coercing it. British Prime Minister Keir
Starmer hopes that his government’s maneuver will force Jerusalem to
recommit to the “two-state” solution. “The current Israeli government is
working methodically to prevent the prospect of a Palestinian state from ever
being established,” Canada’s Mark Carney said in a bitter address that marked a
supposedly celebratory day. The gambit has so far “not curbed Israel’s military
campaign against Hamas in Gaza,” the New York Times admitted, a tacit confession that
shackling Israel was the whole point of this enterprise.
It’s not entirely clear why these left-of-center
governments thought their maneuver would have any effect on Israel’s military
posture. Their recognition of Palestine is contradictory and ill-considered
policy on its merits.
The “terror group, Hamas, must release all hostages
immediately,” British Undersecretary of State Mike
Tapp wrote on the day his government rewarded Palestine with recognition as
a state. That was always an option available to Hamas, and it is one the
terrorist organization has largely spent nearly 24 months avoiding. What is the
rationale that would lead Hamas to conclude that the jig is up, its terrorism
has backfired, and it must surrender its last sources of leverage over Israel?
Their resistance on the battlefield might be futile, but it has objectively
produced dividends on the global diplomatic stage. From Hamas’s perspective,
terrorism works.
Indeed, the incredible foolishness of this initiative is
crystallized in the fact that the British government is preparing to impose
sanctions on the entity it just recognized because, in contravention of all the
principles to which the civilized world is beholden, it turns out that the
Palestinian “state” is run by terrorists.
“For the first time in its history,” France’s i24 News reported, the U.K.’s “Labour Party will
take concrete action against Hamas.” The report frames the Labour government’s
gesture as one that is designed to “minimize the backlash” against the Starmer
government among the vast majority of Britons for whom Hamas
is not popular. If London was being consistent, it would extend those
sanctions to the whole of the Palestinian Authority. After all, in 2006, the
last time elections to the Palestinian Legislative Council — a legislative body
that is recognized only in the West Bank — took place, a majority of its seats
went to Hamas’s political party.
In illustration of London’s cowardice, Palestinian
Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has repaid Starmer’s generosity by demanding
no less than £2 trillion in “reparations in accordance with international law.”
According to the Daily Mail’s reporting, some “international law
experts have described £2 trillion, roughly the size of Britain’s total
economy, as a ‘good place to start.’”
Canada, too, insists that the Palestinian Authority must
undergo “much-needed reforms.” It should “fundamentally reform its governance,”
“hold general elections” next year, and “demilitarize the Palestinian state.”
Indeed, “Hamas can play no part” in any future Palestinian government. What
mechanisms does Ottawa propose to realize these objectives now that it has
recognized the statehood of an entity that has met none of them? Indeed, Israel
is engaged in the demilitarization of one of the Palestinian territories and is
doing its utmost to expel Hamas from power, not that Canada has exactly been
supportive of those efforts.
In advance of Australia’s capitulation to the demands put
to it by proponents of Palestinian nationalism, Canberra also reaffirmed its
commitment to sanctioning some of the region’s most active terrorist groups,
including Hamas, Hezbollah, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. “We continue to work
with the international community to isolate Hamas and end its grip on Gaza,”
said Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong. “We have made clear that there can be no role
for Hamas in a Palestinian state.”
You most certainly have not made that clear. By
recognizing a Palestinian legal entity that has not expelled Hamas from its
ranks, you’ve ratified the legitimacy of that legal entity as it is presently
constituted. Indeed, Australia, Canada, and much of Western Europe have managed
only to convince sentient observers that their commitment to constraining
Israel is far deeper than their rote and perfunctory condemnations of the
Palestinian regime.
But then, this whole scheme is hopelessly complicated by
the reality of “Palestine” as it is presently constituted. None of the
governments that recognized it as a state observed the fact that we are not
talking about one Palestinian entity but two. The Gaza Strip and the West Bank
are distinct and noncontiguous geographic territories. They are governed by
mutually antagonistic sects that are not above going to war with one another
when they get the chance. They have discrete foreign policies and divergent relations
with regional actors. They have unique economies and divergent social
contracts. They are, at most, proto-statelets that are wholly dependent on
outside assistance for survival.
Nothing about this status quo suggests that the
Palestinian territories are ripe for statehood. In fact, granting that status
now functionally consigns the Palestinian people to subjugation at the hands of
the authoritarian and terroristic cabals under which they’ve languished for so
long. It seems that no one gave much thought to the Palestinian people in all
this. No, Israel was the target of this maneuver. In that sense, this
long-sought dispensation to the Palestinian nationalist cause is an insult to the
Palestinians themselves. It’s not about them and it never was. It’s all and
only about the Jews and their borders.
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