By Noah Rothman
Wednesday, September 24, 2025
Last night wasn’t the first time California Governor
Gavin Newsom expressed his concern that the 2024 election may be the last
presidential election in the United States for a long time. “I fear that we
will not have an election in 2028,” he
told outgoing Late Show host Stephen Colbert, to the sound of wildly
inappropriate applause from the audience. “I really mean that.”
Newsom has been predicting America’s descent into
something like despotism for some time. The governor assured
an audience in late August that he is “absolutely convinced” there will be
no presidential election three years from now.
If Newsom were, indeed, so convinced, there are a lot of
things he would not be doing. He probably wouldn’t be replacing the “seasoned
Sacramento operator” serving as his chief of staff with Kamala Harris veterans who have more experience in
Washington and working on presidential campaigns.
He might have passed on the two-day speaking tour of
South Carolina, which he wrapped up in July. Newsom insisted he was swinging
through a critical early primary state only to help Democrats out ahead of the
2026 midterms, but, as the Associated Press noted, “South Carolina has virtually no
competitive midterm contests.
He wouldn’t have been telling reporters, as recently as June, that running for president is “a path
that I could see unfold,” nor would he be sending “daily queries to his fundraising list”
whenever he finds himself in a spat with the president, which is often.
It’s not unreasonable to conclude that Gavin Newsom does
not, in fact, believe that the next presidential election will be canceled. But
he knows that there are thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands, of Americans
whose heightened state of political anxiety is such that they will not
critically evaluate the claims they hear from influential figures who share and
validate their apprehension.
Surely, many Democrats — particularly those with some
experience following politics — can see the game that Newsom is playing, but
they don’t seem to resent the insult to their intelligence. Nor have they shown
any inclination to warn their fellow Democrats against falling for the
radicalizing deception that Newsom is engaged in. They should. And if they had
a little more respect for themselves and their political allies, they might.
This is not just another angle that can set him apart
from the rest of the field of invisible primary candidates, of which Newsom is
most certainly one — and an aggressive competitor, at that. It’s predatory,
manipulative, and dishonorable.
But the strategy does seem to be working for him, and you can’t argue with success.
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