By Philip Klein
Monday, March 02, 2026
A large cadre of commentators have been arguing that
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dragged U.S. President Donald Trump
unwillingly into war with Iran. At first blush, this theory received a boost
from comments made by Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Monday. But listening
to Rubio’s full comments in context, it’s pretty clear that he wasn’t advancing
this claim.
In his remarks, Rubio made two main points. One was about
the purpose of the war against Iran, which he said was to eliminate Iran’s
ballistic missile threat, attack drones, and the threat its navy poses to
global shipping. He then said, “The second question I’ve been asked is, Why
now?”
In answering this question, Rubio said,
“We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action, we knew that that would
precipitate an attack against American forces, and we knew that if we didn’t
preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer
higher casualties.”
This is the clip that is being taken as proof that Rubio
said that Netanyahu forced the U.S. into war. But those making this argument
are conflating the question “Why?” with the question “Why now?” In fact, if you
watch the full press conference, Rubio makes this clear. At about the
five-minute mark, he is asked explicitly whether he was saying that the U.S.
was forced to attack Iran because of an impending Israeli action, and he
responds “no.” He goes on to say:
That’s the question of why now,
but this operation needed to happen because Iran, in about a year or a year and
a half, would cross the line of immunity, meaning they would have so many short
range missiles, so many drones, that no one could do anything about it, because
they could hold the whole world hostage. Look at the damage they’re doing now.
And this is a weakened Iran. Imagine a year from now. So that had to happen.
Obviously, we were aware of Israeli intentions and understood what that would
mean for us, and we had to be prepared to act as a result of it. But this had
to happen, no matter what.
Rubio said that Iran was producing ballistic missiles at
the rate of 100 per month and that missile interceptors could only be produced
at a rate of six or seven a month. If Iran’s arsenal grew large enough, he
said, it would be able to make it too costly to strike its nuclear program at a
later date than it would be now.
Given the full context, it’s pretty clear what he was
saying. Last June, the U.S. let Israel take the lead in striking Iran, and then
joined later. This time, the U.S. made the determination that a simultaneous
attack would better protect American lives. But on the higher order question of
whether to launch an attack on Iran, the administration believed that it had
to happen no matter what.
Israel and the U.S. have been sharing intelligence
closely throughout this process. It was the CIA that obtained intelligence
about when
and where Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would be meeting with top officials and
provided it to the Israelis. Trump himself wrote on
Truth Social that the supreme leader “was unable to avoid our Intelligence and
Highly Sophisticated Tracking Systems.” Why on earth would the U.S. share
intelligence as to the time and location of Khamenei if the U.S. was not on
board with attacking Iran?
Trump isn’t exactly shy about pressuring people into
doing what he wants. Last June, he had Israel pull back planes that were on
their way for a bombing run on Iran just before the cease-fire took hold. He
pressured Netanyahu into accepting a cease-fire in Gaza that forced a number of
concessions on Israel’s part. Trump has, throughout his career in public
office, said that he didn’t want Iran to get nuclear weapons. He spent the past
several months arguing that if Iran didn’t willingly give up their pursuit, he
would attack. How low does one’s opinion of Trump have to be to assume that he
didn’t actually want to attack Iran but said all of this publicly and sent a
massive amount of U.S. military hardware to the region because he simply could
not tell Netanyahu no?
People are free to agree or disagree with Trump’s
decision, but it’s patently clear that Rubio was not trying to argue that
Israel dragged the U.S. into this war.
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