By Jack Butler
Sunday, January 19, 2025
When Donald Trump swears at his second inauguration tomorrow to “preserve,
protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States,” it will be more
than a return to the presidency for a man who left office four years ago. It
will also be a rebuke to his skeptics. Consider one such skeptic, who early in
2023 called Trump “an obstacle to the achievement” of progress on “the
important issues he brought to or revived in the conservative mainstream,” and
declared that “the future of conservatism — even (especially) a conservatism
influenced by Trump’s presidency — now depends on rejecting Trump.”
Who could have been so blinkered, even at a time when Ron
DeSantis and others were considering or had already announced presidential
primary challenges to Trump, about the possibility of his political resurgence?
That would be me. As Trump returns triumphantly to
Washington, he can further vindicate his supporters and defy doubters by
ensuring that he, those in his administration, and others around him make good
on his promise to drain the swamp by dismantling the Beltway-centered governing
apparatus of which he will soon assume control.
It is a test past Republicans have failed. George H. W.
Bush won the presidency as the third term of Ronald Reagan, for whom he was
vice president. Bush nonetheless turned his back on the Reagan swamp-draining legacy. He purged his administration of Reagan holdovers,
and helped to set conservatism adrift from its principles. Republicans in
Washington during George W. Bush’s presidency made their peace not only with
big government, but also with the corruption that goes hand in hand with it.
Not for nothing did Rush Limbaugh warn the Republicans elected in the 1994 wave year not to
be seduced by the trappings of power. “This is not the time to get moderate,”
Rush exhorted them. “This is not the time to start trying to be liked.” Would
that elected Republicans had better heeded his warnings.
The Trump administration appears well-positioned to take
this advice. Trump’s political fortunes owe considerably to the feedback-like
energy he derives from the opprobrium heaped upon him by the press, by his
political opponents, and by elites in other spheres. In opposition to him, they
abandon their principles (such as they were) and pervert
their institutions. The result has been their abasement and Trump’s elevation,
as well as a growing disinclination on the part of others on the right to pay
much attention to elite opinion. Such an attitude could lend itself well to a
full-scale assault on the bureaucracy that has distorted our representative
government, siphoned power away from the people and the states and toward the
federal head, and enriched D.C. and its environs.
But the possibility of failure always looms. It presents
itself in a particularly seductive way for the incoming Trump administration.
Beginning late in Trump’s first term, a notion has gained some currency on the
right, especially inside Washington, that Republicans have been insufficiently
enthusiastic about making themselves comfortable in the Beltway. The first
Trump administration rightly boasted of its massive deregulatory success. Yet in summer 2020, one
advocate of surrender to big government weakly conceded that “however much we may long for a return
to constitutional government, the modern administrative-welfare state is here
to stay,” and thus argued that the “right must be comfortable wielding the
levers of state power.” Such arguments are typically vague on what “power”
means. Governing obviously requires using just authority, and debates over what
that entails. But the Constitution demarcates that authority. The “modern
administrative-welfare state” is fundamentally incompatible with the government
the Constitution ordains. A manful conservatism would turn to the Constitution
both for the means to undo that incompatibility, and as a benchmark for
restoration.
Yet even as Joe Biden’s failed presidency almost daily evidenced the
mischief and malice of an engorged state, some on the right have
made their peace with it. One speaker at a conference of national
conservatives advocated that his fellow travelers “be a little less
principled” so as to “build an interconnected web” of “client interests” that
are “committed to our political success.” Another prominent votary of this
faction put it bluntly: “We should just seize the administrative
state for our own purposes.”
That votary was JD Vance. Not yet an Ohio senator when he
uttered those words, he will soon become vice president. His presence in the
Trump administration is but one sign of the ideological pull his faction will
attempt to exert upon Trump’s presidential aspirations. It is also a possible
indication of the direction in which they will try to push conservatism during
the next four years and beyond. Considering the likelihood of abolishing the
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a monstrosity that has been unconstitutionally insulated from our political system, a
former financial policy adviser to Vance urged conservatives to accept its place and “instead focus
on weaponizing the bureau to charter an America First course.” Such thinking
will masquerade as a muscular conservatism, distinct from its “effete” predecessors.
It is nothing of the sort. It is a pretext for some on
the right to succumb to the temptations of the Beltway so thoroughly that they
will ultimately be more or less indistinguishable from their leftist analogues,
who have been cheering on and outright funding their efforts. It is a means to increase
the likelihood that their time in power more resembles the failures of the
Bushes than the successes of Reagan and Trump. Most important, it is a way to
squander the trust that those who voted for Trump placed in him.
In 2021, I wished that Trump’s supporters could see how he had “failed
them, how more tact, restraint, or decency on his part could have made him a
standard-bearer truly worthy of their support — and possibly still president.”
By returning him to office, they showed I was wrong, and that he remained
worthy of their support. Trump and those who purport to act on his behalf and
in his spirit should understand this moment as an opportunity to restore
representative government and the Constitution that he will swear tomorrow to “preserve,
protect, and defend.” That would honor and empower those to whom they owe their
positions and their allegiance. If the Beltway insiders Trump has empowered
instead use this moment to advance their own factional interests and to secure
sinecures, leaving Washington’s status quo more or less intact but with different masters, it will be a missed
opportunity, a vindication of skeptics — and, worst of all, a betrayal of
Trump’s voters.
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