By Kevin D. Williamson
Thursday, January 16, 2025
How in the heck did the Republicans become the party of
good governance?
Relatively good, I mean.
The joke about the GOP used to be that Republicans
campaigned on the belief that government doesn’t work and then worked hard to
prove that once in office. The Republicans were, for a long time, a party that
really did only one thing in power: cut taxes. Republicans didn’t cut spending,
didn’t reform entitlements, didn’t radically reorganize government along lines
of greater efficiency or accountability, but they would—whether it was
economically appropriate or not—cut taxes when given the chance. Even Donald
Trump, who promised to be (and, unfortunately, is) a different sort of
Republican, did almost nothing else with Republicans’ 2017 trifecta except sign
into law an utterly conventional Republican tax bill put together by Paul
Ryan.
Democrats are the party of government employees. But the
party of the bureaucrats isn’t necessarily good at bureaucracy—and, in spite of
the low reputation of the word “bureaucracy,” there is no substitute for
effective, competent bureaucracy in a free society. Ultimately, competent
bureaucratic administration is what determines whether schools are worth a damn
or the trash gets picked up.
Or whether, instead, wildfires are permitted to burn out
of control.
Democrats’ reputation as a party of governance is at a
low ebb just now, and it isn’t only their incompetence in California. The
wildfire story isn’t primarily a policy story or a political story—wildfires
have ravaged California since prehistoric times—but thinking people with a
little bit of long-term memory might ask themselves how it is that Ron
DeSantis’ government in Florida always seems about as prepared for
hurricanes as they can be—down to having extra linemen and equipment
pre-positioned to swoop in and restore electricity service—while in California
the Palisades reservoir has been out
of commission for nearly a year because of a defective “covering designed
to preserve water quality,” i.e., a torn tarp.
Thomas Jefferson believed that “the best government is
that which governs least,” which is a sentiment dear to my libertarian heart.
And, while it is not exceptionlessly true, there is a lot of truth to that
maxim: My native Texas is not what I would call an especially well-governed
state, but it is not in most things a much-governed one, at least
at the state level. And that seems to work about well enough.
Here’s one way to think of the current state of affairs:
These United States have altogether about 335 million people living in them,
but 1 in 3 of those millions live in California, Texas, Florida, or New York. I
suspect that it is really in these states that the relative reputations of the
red-state model and the blue-state model are being made, in the main.
Florida was for a long time a kind of a political
mystery: It was a purple state by the numbers but one in which Democrats
couldn’t win an election to save their lives. Florida is many things to many
people, but one of the things it is is what you get when you have more or less
unified control of state government by Republicans who—this part is
critical—have a living memory of real political competition.
Democrats have not got a whiff of the governorship in
Texas since 1995, haven’t controlled the state Senate since 1997, and have
basically been relegated to the kiddies’ table in the state House since 2003. Republicans
have enjoyed similar dominance for a similar time in Florida, but the
elections have been a lot closer, and Florida has sent a Democrat to the U.S.
Senate as recently as 2012. And Texas is a little more Republican and a little
less Democratic than Florida. (The Pew
numbers are not what you’d expect, showing a small Democratic affiliation
advantage in both Texas and Florida. Color me skeptical.) Texas Republicans
are, in my experience, more confident in the durability of their commanding
position than their Florida counterparts are. That confidence may be misplaced,
but that’s for another column.
Florida has enjoyed a string of very competent governors
with a strong orientation toward ensuring the reliable delivery of state
services and encouraging a business-friendly tax and regulatory environment.
Jeb Bush, Rick Scott, and Ron DeSantis are very different kinds of men and
politicians, but all did very fine executive work in Florida. And Florida
remembers. George Bush and Rick Perry were popular in Texas for a reason; and,
while I don’t know anybody who points to Greg Abbott and his circle as the personifications
of administrative excellence (and Texas politics is fertile ground for
grotesques such as Ken Paxton), it is hard to argue with the state’s growth and
its generally attractive economic environment—though housing
affordability has become more of a problem in the Lone Star State as the
workforce grows faster than the housing supply.
Texas and Florida tend to lead the lists when it comes to
rankings of business-friendliness, as indeed do
Republican-leaning states generally. California and New York are not at the
bottom of those lists, but they aren’t at the top, either, in spite of being
home to premier cities such as New York City and economic powerhouses such as
Silicon Valley.
Perversely, Republican governors other than George W.
Bush have had a hard time of it as presidential contenders in recent years,
precisely because good governors must perforce do a lot of clear-eyed,
nonideological, necessarily bipartisan work—governor stuff—that
irritates ideologues and hyperpartisans. The kind of thing that might read as
“bipartisan pragmatism” to the general electorate reads as “sellout” to GOP
primary voters. But their big-state Democratic colleagues lately spend a lot
more time auditioning for Jonah Goldberg’s “parliament of pundits” than they do
making a good job of governor stuff. California’s Gavin Newsom acts like he’s
running for secretary general of the United Nations half the time, and New
York’s Kathy Hochul cannot muster the courage of her convictions even when she
happens upon something that is both good policy and popular with her
progressive allies, such as congestion
pricing, which she has partly
undermined, out of pure political cowardice, by reducing the toll from $15
to $9. (Want to actually change commuters’ behavior? Try $40. Want a real
radical change? Try $200.) Meanwhile California burns, and the State of New
York cruelly reminds residents of the state of New York, which
isn’t exactly what anybody wants it to be.
And so Republicans do, amazingly enough, appear to be the
party of slightly but meaningfully better state governance. If mostly by
default.
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