By Jim Geraghty
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
For the last five weekdays, this newsletter has ripped
Los Angeles and California elected officials, and the federal U.S. Forest
Service, over the decisions leading up to and during the opening days of the
wildfires. But I have largely held back on criticizing the leadership of the
Los Angeles city and county fire departments — for now — in part because these
guys still have their hands full fighting the fire. But this morning, Paul
Pringle, Alene Tchekmedyian, and Dakota Smith of the Los Angeles Times report a troubling scoop:
As the Los Angeles Fire Department
faced extraordinary warnings of life-threatening winds, top commanders decided
not to assign for emergency deployment roughly 1,000 available firefighters and
dozens of water-carrying engines in advance of the fire that destroyed much of
the Pacific Palisades and continues to burn, interviews and internal LAFD
records show.
Fire officials chose not to order
the firefighters to remain on duty for a second shift last Tuesday as the winds
were building — which would have doubled the personnel on hand — and staffed
just five of more than 40 engines that are available to aid in battling
wildfires, according to the records obtained by The Times, as well as
interviews with LAFD officials and former chiefs with knowledge of city
operations.
The forecast
from the National Weather Service is that a “Particularly Dangerous
Situation Red Flag Warning remains in effect” with “‘extremely rare and
dangerous fire weather conditions” from 3 a.m. to 3 p.m. local
time Wednesday.” With the crisis still ongoing, this may not be the precise
moment for the public to turn their ire at the leadership of the LAFD. But that
moment is coming, probably sooner than those officials think.
Meanwhile, the L.A. Times has a second infuriating scoop this morning, this one about the
city’s initially absentee mayor, Karen Bass: “As the Palisades fire exploded in
Los Angeles on Jan. 7, Mayor Karen Bass was posing for photos at an embassy
cocktail party in Ghana, pictures posted on social media show.” You can see the
photos of Bass at the party here
and here.
The paper reports that Bass’s spokesman said the mayor
left the embassy cocktail party between 12 p.m. and
12:30 p.m. Los Angeles time on January 7.
At
10:30 a.m. that day, the Los Angeles Fire Department reported a brush fire
in the Pacific Palisades. At 11:22 a.m. local time, the local L.A. City
Emergency Management Department sent out a city-wide alert that the fire
department was “currently addressing a fast-moving brush fire situation in the
Palisades Hills area” that was “already exceeding 10 acres. Please avoid
traffic into this area, and if nearby — follow instructions from Fire officials
in the area.”
On Tuesday, CBS
News’s Jonathan Vigliotti asked Los Angeles mayor Karen Bass, “Looking
back, would you have taken that trip overseas?” With her weird, inappropriate
grin refusing to budge, Bass answered, “You know, I am going to focus today . .
. on what we know. Thank you.”
The 71-year-old mayor walked away as reporters shouted
questions, a galling and uncanny parallel to the soon-to-depart 82-year-old
president. It seems fair to ask if Bass is in some sort of state of
psychological denial, unable to grapple with the harsh fact that when she chose
to gallivant to the other side of the world for an inauguration, the worst
disaster in her city’s history struck. A city alongside the San Andreas Fault that has lived in fear of
“the big one” for generations is finding that the local leadership proved
powerless in the face of moving walls of fire, descending down the hillsides.
You don’t have to be a crazy right-winger to conclude
that as long as Bass remains in the mayor’s office, the rest of the country
will see Los Angeles as a dysfunctional urban dystopia, with swaths of the city
reduced to an ashen hellscape, and the nominal governance a clown show.
Peter Hamby, writing in Puck:
The National Weather Service warned
of dangerous fire conditions on Friday, January 3. Bass knew about it, because
we all did. If you live in L.A., you got the weather alert, on the news or on
your phone. The mayor’s office certainly did. Despite that, Bass boarded a
plane the following day for Ghana as part of a delegation attending the
inauguration of the country’s president. And as The New York Times reported
over the weekend, Bass had promised during her mayoral campaign never to
leave the country. It got worse on the return trip — a long way home — when a
Sky News reporter happened upon Bass and an aide at the airport. The reporter
asked Bass, repeatedly, to deliver a message to the city. Bass ignored him, on
camera, for 90 painful seconds, in stone-faced silence. The clip is
devastating, a campaign ad ready-made, the moment for which she will always be
remembered. “If it is true that she left the country on a Saturday after the
warning came out, that is a dereliction of duty,” Endeavor C.E.O. Ari Emanuel,
who donated to Bass’s 2022 campaign, told me.
Los Angeles Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong appeared on
the podcast of Sean Spicer and Mark Halperin Monday and said, “We’ll accept
some blame. . . . At the L.A. Times, we endorsed Karen Bass. I think,
right now, up front, that was a mistake, and we admit that.”
The position “host of Shark Tank” does not appear
in our Constitution, but it’s hard to begrudge Kevin O’Leary for his contention that federal assistance to the city ought to be
conditioned on new leadership. Why would anyone expect Bass to perform
better as mayor in the days ahead than she has so far?
House speaker Mike Johnson told reporters Monday, “Obviously there’s been water
resources management, forest management mistakes, all sorts of problems. And it
does come down to leadership and it appears to us that state and local leaders
were derelict in their duty in many respects. . . . So that’s something that
has to be factored in. I think there should probably be conditions on that aid.
That’s my personal view.”
Get Ready for Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth
Iowa Republican senator Joni Ernst will support the
nomination of Pete Hegseth to be secretary of defense — and with that, the
confirmation fight is effectively over, if not technically over. All, or almost
all, of the Republican senators will vote to confirm, and all, or almost all,
of the Democratic senators will oppose the nomination.
As
I said yesterday, when your party has 47 likely “no” votes, you must frame
your hearing questions in the way most likely to persuade four members of the
majority party — presuming, of course you genuinely want to torpedo the
nomination and not just go viral for fundraising.
So, what would persuade a Republican senator? Well, Elon
Musk, one of the guys running Trump’s new Department of Government Efficiency,
has argued there’s no need for manned aircraft anymore, and that only “idiots”
“are still building manned fighter jets like the F-35.”
·
The F-35 is built at Air Force Plant 4 in Fort Worth, Texas. That plant employs
roughly 17,000 people.
·
The F-15X is manufactured at the Boeing facility in Saint Louis, Mo.
Boeing will end the F/A-18E-F Super Hornet production line in 2025.
·
Lockheed Martin’s Greenville, S.C., site is the home of the
F-16 Fighting Falcon production line, made for export; as of August, the
production line has a back order of around 124 jets and a likely deal for 40 more jets to Turkey.
The continued manufacture of manned fighter aircraft
matters a great deal to Texas Republican senators Ted Cruz and John Cornyn,
Missouri Republican senators Josh Hawley and Eric Schmitt, and South Carolina
Republican senators Lindey Graham and Tim Scott. At minimum, those GOP senators
will want assurances that the shift to drone-focused aerial fleet will not cost
jobs in their home state.
If you really wanted to torpedo the Hegseth nomination,
you would try to get Hegseth to either admit Musk has a point and that the era
of manned fighter jets is ending, and that there’s no need to keep making them,
or you try to drive a wedge between Hegseth and Musk.
Hegseth largely punted on the issue of drones vs. manned fighters and
the composition of the U.S. Air Force when the issue was raised by Senator Ted
Budd (R., N.C.). (Marine
Corps Air Station Cherry Point, N.C., received its first F-35C Lightning II
jet in September.)
Hegseth promised to “look under the
hood” of the NGAD program but provided few clues on how he might come out in
the debate over how much to rely on manned fighters or drones.
“In the Indo-Pacific, say,
interoperability, range could matter because it’s such a large battle space,”
Hegseth said. “Unmanned will be a very important part of the way future wars
are fought—just the idea of survivability for a human being drives cost and
time in a way unmanned systems do not.”
If a Senate Democrat had wanted to, they could have put
Hegseth on the spot, either looking like a guy willing to preserve the status
quo and resist innovation and change to preserve jobs in key states, or they
could have made him a really tough vote for those six GOP senators. But that
approach would require knowing some things about how drones are changing modern
warfare, the arguments about how manned aircraft and drones compare, and where
those manned aircraft are made.
Instead, Senator Tammy Duckworth (D., Ill.) quizzed
Hegseth over the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, asking him
if he could name one member and how many countries were in the bloc.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is not a military alliance and the U.S. is not a member
state, although the U.S. has “comprehensive strategic partnership” status
with the group.
Do you think that question persuaded any GOP senators? Me
neither.
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