By Kevin D. Williamson
Friday, June 07,
2024
The thing about America is, it is full of
Americans.
Even in Manhattan, where, in spite of what you might have
heard, the local political realities are not so different from what they are in
the rest of the country.
New York had a big idea—it was going to impose
“congestion pricing,” meaning a $15 daily fee for anybody who wanted to drive a
car in Manhattan below 60th Street. Gov. Kathy Hochul, who has the keen
understanding of major urban affairs that you can really only get in Greater
Buffalo, was talking
up the plan only a couple of weeks ago at some globaloney conference in
Ireland—and, of course, she
has now killed the proposal.
Why? Because New York—and New Jersey, and Connecticut,
and neighboring states beyond—are positively full of
Americans, and Americans do not want to pay $15 to drive their cars south of
the Plaza. (How will they even get to Bergdorf’s? Take the R Train?) Americans
do not much want to pay $15 to drive their cars anywhere. Americans
are kind of funny that way: Many of them—and I mean the well-off who can afford
a few extra bucks and think nothing of paying for such expeditious amenities as
TSAPre
at the airport or admission
to Georgetown—will sit positively boiling in their Audis
rather than pay to drive in the express lane. You see it in Dallas, you see it
in Washington, you see it in Los Angeles. You saw it at the mere mention of
congestion pricing in Manhattan.
Congestion pricing, like higher
pay for public-school employees, is the progressives’ Swiss Army knife, and
there is nothing—advocates say—it can’t do: It would fund transit, contribute
to urban revitalization, increase social justice, mitigate climate change, etc.
etc. et a whole lot c. The arguments against it were also perfectly
progressive: It would make access to driving into the “red zone” a privilege
for the rich, and what about all the impoverished people trying to drive to
Rockefeller Center or Dior SoHo? It might even damage New York City’s fragile
economy, which is still recovering from endemic misgovernance under
progressive ideologues the COVID-19 pandemic.
Hochul says the congestion tax “risks too many unintended
consequences,” which, well, bless my little libertarian heart! Now do the
minimum wage, the Jones Act, and the Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau.
The real problem for Hochul et al. is that
the congestion tax would almost certainly work—at least a little
bit. Some people would decline to drive into the affected area, and some people
would do so and be made to cough up the price of a Hocus Pocus Frappuccino (which
is a thing!) at Starbucks, assuming a $1 (we’re talking cheap bastards
here) tip. Nobody wants that.
We have been here before. Democrats have been fighting
for years to uncap the so-called SALT deduction, the measure that allows
taxpayers in high-tax (meaning Democratic) jurisdictions to deduct their state
and local taxes from their federal tax obligation. Reinstating the full
deduction remains a major goal for Democrats in high-tax progressive states such
as New Jersey. Getting rid of the SALT deduction was a good policy—it
raised revenue and reduced a fat subsidy for big-spending misgovernance in
places such as New Jersey. Getting rid of the SALT cap would add
more than $1 trillion to the debt over a decade, more than it will cost to
operate the State Department or
the Department of the Interior at current spending projections. Some
of us are old enough to remember federal anti-deficit measures such as Gramm-Rudman
and budget sequestration, which were undone by bipartisan majorities because
they worked—i.e., because they actually threatened to force the
government to limit spending or raise revenue rather than go deeper into debt.
(Sequestration—automatic cuts based on budget goals—is, in theory, still on the
books, but Congress simply works around it.) So, none of this is new.
What we have here is a classic public-choice problem:
concentrated costs and dispersed benefits, the equally toxic inversion of the
more familiar challenge of concentrated benefits and dispersed costs (i.e.,
Sen. Marco Rubio and his “national security” argument for sugar-industry
handouts). There probably would be significant benefits from the congestion
fee, although it is worth emphasizing that New York City’s transit problems are
not mainly a matter of resource scarcity. (The London Underground costs $9.30 a
mile to operate, while it’s $15.10 a
mile to operate the New York subways. And if you ever get a chance to
compare them—it’s no comparison. Transit authorities have spent $2 billion a
mile on the Second Avenue line, spending more
money on consultants than on digging the tunnel and laying tracks. New
York’s transit construction costs six
times what they pay in Paris, which isn’t exactly Swiss in its efficiency.)
But the benefits wouldn’t land in anybody’s bank account—not very often or very
directly, anyway. Telling the people who run businesses in Midtown that you’re
going to tax x to subsidize y which will,
someday, produce some vague benefit z on 42nd Street is a hard
sell—for a good reason. New Yorkers have heard all that before, as indeed have
the good people of Los Angeles and Provo and Muleshoe.
Remember this the next time some nice progressive tells
you that we’re going to get to “net zero” with construction, air travel, and
electricity generation, and that not only will there be no unpleasant economic
trade-offs but the big bold agenda will—all together now!—“pay for
itself.”
Even New York Democrats know that kind of thing is
nonsense—and sometimes, they will even act on that knowledge, when pressed.
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