By Nick Catoggio
Friday, October 24, 2025
One of the best anecdotes I’ve seen about the Duma-fication
of Congress was buried in a Wall
Street Journal story published in August.
That Journal piece revealed that some of the
quislings whose party now controls the House and Senate have expressed
misgivings about the president’s trade war—privately, of course.
One, allegedly, was Rep. Celeste Maloy of Utah, who spoke
with constituents shortly after Donald Trump imposed (and then paused) his
global “Liberation Day” tariffs in April. The congresswoman “told business
leaders that she prayed every day that the turmoil surrounding Trump’s
tariffs—which at that point were roiling global markets and angering trading
partners—would subside, according to people familiar with the conversation.”
Maloy and her colleagues in Congress possess
constitutional power over tariffs and can repeal Trump’s trade policies any
time they like with a supermajority vote, but this is what learned helplessness
looks like under autocracy. When you don’t like what the president is up to,
there’s nothing to be done except silently asking God (or the Supreme Court) to
intervene.
I’m tempted to say that she should pray for congressional
Republicans to find moral courage, but some wishes are beyond even the
Almighty’s power to grant.
The cherry on top came when Maloy’s spokesman nervously
assured the Journal that the congresswoman had prayed for the
president’s trade war to succeed, not for it to end. As in Russia, even
private criticism of the czar is risky for a member of the Duma if it gets back
to the Kremlin.
No elected Republican will stop Trump’s glorious march
toward mercantilism. Or, rather, no living elected Republican will.
But what about a dead one?
Ronald Reagan is the unlikely flashpoint in the latest
skirmish between the White House and Canada. Last week, Ontario Premier Doug
Ford launched a
$75 million ad campaign in the United States that featured audio of the
Gipper criticizing protectionism during a short address
from April 1987. You should watch it, and not just because it’s necessary
context for what follows. There are less edifying ways to spend five minutes.
The president and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney met
earlier this month in Washington to talk trade and appeared on track for a
deal. No more: In a post on Truth
Social yesterday, Trump pitched a fit over Ford’s supposedly “FAKE” ad and
declared that negotiations with Canada were over. To support his claim, he
flagged a statement
from the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation that accused Ford of
“misrepresenting” Reagan’s address by quoting only “selective” parts of it.
Then he went on a manic, all-caps, late-night posting
tear about it, attributing the stock
market’s climb and pretty much every
other aspect of American power to his trade policy. Reagan “LOVED TARIFFS
FOR OUR COUNTRY, AND ITS NATIONAL SECURITY,” Trump insisted,
not at all insecurely.
Why is he so spun up about this? What is he worried
about?
He just likes tariffs.
Do I really need to explain to an audience of Dispatch
subscribers that Ronald Reagan didn’t “love tariffs”?
For starters, he certainly didn’t view them as a cudgel
presidents should wield to satisfy grudges. Trump has done that repeatedly with
his trade policy—and not just with respect to tiny, economically insignificant
countries either. He levied
Brazil when the government there refused to drop criminal charges against
his caudillo buddy, Jair Bolsonaro. Then he levied
India after the prime minister rebuked him for claiming to have settled
India’s latest conflagration with Pakistan.
Now, Trump is canceling negotiations with America’s second-largest trade
partner because his ass is chapped over an ad funded by a provincial
Canadian politician who isn’t even a member of Carney’s ruling party.
Reagan was an ideologue, not a monarchist. He would have
been mortified, I’m sure, by a president exploiting an economy on which
millions of American families depend as leverage for personal score-settling.
But he also would have been mortified by a president being stupid enough to
believe that trade barriers encourage, rather than retard, economic growth.
Reagan did impose tariffs occasionally in office.
That was the subject of his April 1987 address, in fact, and presumably why the
Reagan Foundation felt justified in claiming that Ford’s ad “misrepresented”
the former president’s remarks. Watch the clip
and you’ll see that it begins with Reagan announcing new duties on Japanese
goods to retaliate for violations of a trade agreement with respect to
semiconductors.
But his tone is downright apologetic. He says he intends
to meet with the Japanese prime minister as soon as possible to resolve the
impasse and ultimately cancel the tariffs. Then he launches into a two-minute
stemwinder on how protectionism ruins economies, key parts of which ended up in
Ford’s ad. You don’t often see presidents introduce a new policy by making the
ideological case against it, but Reagan plainly was keen for Americans not to
get comfortable with tariffs. In narrow circumstances, he explained, they’re
useful as temporary leverage to restore the free-trade status quo.
That’s not how Trump views tariffs, as even the White
House occasionally
acknowledges. He treats trade deficits as per se unfair practices
that justify retaliation in the form of import duties. (That was the
logic of the “national emergency” that supposedly justified the Liberation
Day tariffs, anyway.) But he goes further: The fact that the U.S. runs trade surpluses
with some nations, like
Brazil, hasn’t stopped him from levying them too. When members of Trump’s
Cabinet have been asked whether, a la Reagan and Japan, his tariffs are
designed to cow other nations into simply liberalizing their own trade
policies, they’ve
said no.
This trade war isn’t retaliatory. It isn’t being waged to
ensure “reciprocity.” The president is a mercantilist, enough so that his
so-called “national emergency” duties now target things like bathroom
vanities. Dispatch contributor Scott Lincicome said all there is to
say: He
just likes tariffs.
Rolling over.
And the Reagan Foundation surely understands that. So why
did they go to bat for Trump by insisting, falsely, that Doug Ford’s ad
misrepresented Reagan’s words?
We can only wonder. If we want to be charitable, we might
note that the ad rearranged
some of the sentences in Reagan’s monologue without distorting his
argument—which, if you squint hard, vaguely resembles “misrepresenting” him, I
guess? Or we might reason that the guardians of the Gipper’s legacy
understandably don’t want him thrust into a battle with Trump for the souls of
modern Republicans, as their side would be destined to take heavy casualties.
Somewhat absurdly given the classical liberalism he stood for, Reagan remains a
respected figure in the modern GOP. Turning him into a scourge of Trumpism from
the grave would change that.
But if we’re not feeling so charitable, we might
speculate that they rolled over for the president for the same reason Celeste
Maloy and many others have. Maybe they got a call from the White House letting
them know that it would be “appreciated” if they denounced Doug Ford’s ad. And
maybe that call came with a reminder that nonprofits that have made an enemy of
Trump are, or soon will be, facing trouble legally
and financially.
Frankly, that sort of warning might be unnecessary at this point: Protection
rackets don’t require overt threats to work once a few business owners get
roughed up and word gets around the neighborhood.
The brain trust at the Reagan Foundation could have
issued something short and sweet about not enlisting the former president in
political disputes when he’s not here to defend himself. Instead they lied on
Trump’s behalf by pretending that Ford’s ad distorted Reagan’s position on
trade when it didn’t, the latest case of a conservative institution
embarrassing itself in service of a fascist kakistocracy. Perhaps if the
foundation’s board members pray very hard, like Rep. Maloy, things in America
will magically be set right.
No wonder so many old-school Republicans have converted
to postliberalism. If the keepers of the Reagan Revolution’s flame can’t be
bothered to actually keep it, why should anyone else?
Rival authorities.
We still haven’t answered the question, though. Why is
Trump so ticked off about Ford’s ad?
It’s not like there’s a huge constituency for it here in
the United States. Trump-hating liberals have no use for Reaganism and
Trump-hating conservatives, er, basically don’t exist. As one Dispatch colleague
put it to me this morning, “If Ford’s audience was normie Republicans, someone
should have told him there’s like a dozen of us left.”
Ford’s ad is a clarion call to the American right to
return to first principles, you might say to that. To which I would reply:
My dude, the party of the right is doing actual
socialism now. Trump isn’t even pretending
otherwise, yet he still enjoys Heaven’s Gate-level devotion within the GOP.
We’re so far away from first principles that we couldn’t spot them with the
Hubble telescope. Republicans won’t awaken from the ideological coma they’ve
entered during my lifetime, and if I’m wrong about that, it won’t be an ad from
an obscure Canadian politician that rouses them.
So, no, I don’t think the president’s anxiety is chiefly
about Reagan. Although it’s partly about Reagan.
Ronald Reagan is the only politician of the past 50 (or
250?) years whose stature rivals
Trump’s among Republicans. He became an avatar of victory by leading a
right-wing political revival that produced three straight presidential terms
for the GOP, a feat neither party had managed since the era of Franklin
Roosevelt. And he became an avatar of strength when his hawkish resolve toward
defeating communism led to a Soviet capitulation shortly after he left office.
The GOP’s nostalgic
fantasy about making America great again can be slippery about identifying
when, precisely, America was great, but the Reagan era is an obvious
candidate—pre-NAFTA, post-Vietnam, the right in ascendance, and the economy
booming. It’s a potent symbol of American glory in the right’s collective
imagination and the president understands how
powerful right-wing imaginations can be. Trump himself is famously a
creature of the 1980s, having cemented his national celebrity during that
decade. It’s not surprising that he’d be sensitive about claims that he’s
betrayed the ethos of that age.
Ronald Reagan is also, well, dead, which means he can’t
be bullied or threatened or primaried to make him fall in line behind
protectionism. (Although the Reagan Foundation sure can.) His opinion on
tariffs is clear and preserved in amber for eternity in Doug Ford’s ad. It will
not change to suit Donald Trump’s political needs, which is why the president
is reduced to sputtering without explanation that the ad is “FAKE.”
And of course, that opinion can’t be dismissed by the
right as left-wing hooey the way Democratic critiques of Trump’s economic
policies routinely are.
The ghost of Reagan could even end up haunting the GOP
next fall as tariffs
drive prices even higher and Republicans’
polling on the economy falls. There’s no precedent in the Trump era for a
right-winger whose authority rivals the president’s own persuasively (or even
unpersuasively) blaming him for some consequential failure of policy. Zombie
Reagan’s prescient case against tariffs is as close as we’ve come and as close
as we’ll ever come. And in a party whose members seem completely unmoored from
ideology and slavishly obedient to authority, maybe that’s worth something.
But as I say, it’s not Reagan whom Trump is mainly
worried about here. It’s another rival authority: the Supreme Court.
Meltdown.
Trump was candid about that in last night’s manic Truth
Social spree. “Canada is trying to illegally influence the United States
Supreme Court in one of the most important rulings in the history of our
Country,” he said
in one post about Ford’s ad. “THE MOST IMPORTANT CASE EVER IS IN THE UNITED
STATES SUPREME COURT,” he repeated
for emphasis in another.
I like the idea of Amy Coney Barrett channel-surfing
after work, unsure of where she stands on tariff authority, only to have the
intellectual clouds part when she stumbles on a Canadian PSA reminding her that
the most celebrated small-government ideologue in the last century of American
politics favored free trade.
In fairness, Trump (probably) doesn’t sincerely believe
the court will be influenced by Ford’s ad. He’s just trying to mau-mau the
justices in advance of their decision on his tariff authority by implying that
it would be un-American, literally, to rule against him. He’s been mau-mauing
them for months, insisting at various times that an adverse judgment would cause
another Great Depression and “literally
destroy the United States of America.” He’s even said that he plans to attend
oral arguments on November 5.
That’s not because he’s intellectually curious about the
legal niceties surrounding executive tariff powers, needless to say. It’s
because he wants to stare the justices down and signal with his presence that
he’s very, very invested in this case and his reaction will be very,
very bad if it doesn’t go his way. The three members whom he put on the
court in his first term will decide whether he wins; no doubt he means to
communicate to them by showing up that they “owe” him, or so he believes.
Intimidation is the One Neat Trick of postliberalism, so
naturally that’s what he’s resorted to here.
The point is that his anxiety about losing his tariff
powers is peaking as November 5 approaches, and Ford’s ad may have reminded him
inadvertently that “his” justices on the court are Reagan Republicans more than
they are Trump Republicans. That’s been a sore point for him since January 20,
enough so that he attacked
the Federalist Society for recommending judges in his first term who are
more loyal to the Constitution than they are to him. Now his most prized
autocratic possession, his authority to create financial leverage for himself
over any industry he likes in any country he likes for any reason he likes, is
in the hands of those Reaganites. And he’s not feeling good about it.
If they rule against him, he’s going to lose what’s left
of his flipping mind.
I mean it. As dystopian as the Trump presidency has been
already, the court snatching away baby’s tariff bottle will open a darker
phase. It will start with pressure on congressional Republicans to nuke the
filibuster and pass a statute reinstating Trump’s imperial power over trade, or
even pack the court with more compliant chuds. (“Justice
Ingrassia” has a ring to it.) All of which would be bad—but legal.
We’re unlikely to get away that easily, though. The
president’s base will screech that the hour has come to start ignoring court
rulings forthrightly and usher in a proper dictatorship. The groundwork for
defying the judiciary has already been laid inside
and outside
of courtrooms; Trump is simply waiting for an adverse ruling of great enough
import to his fascist fans to grant him the political capital needed to make a
move so drastic and irreversible.
Although what he’s really hoping, of course, is that it
won’t come to that. His intimidation campaign against the court will work, he
expects, and lead them to bless his tariff authority reluctantly if only for
the sake of avoiding a momentous, destabilizing constitutional crisis. Doug
Ford’s ad confounded that plan, at least temporarily: By reminding America that
Ronald Reagan thought tariffs were garbage policy, it potentially steeled the
spines of conservatives who might soon be forced to decide whether to side with
SCOTUS against the president if the justices have the nerve to rule against
him.
There’s no room for rival authorities in postliberal
America. Not even dead ones.
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