By Elliott Abrams
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Even the most repressive dictatorships hold some kind of
elections — the tribute vice pays to virtue, as the old definition of hypocrisy
goes. That’s why communist regimes always called themselves the “People’s
Republic.” In March of this year, North Korea held parliamentary elections, and
Kim Jong-un’s Workers’ Party announced that it had won 99.93 percent of the
vote. There’s a long tradition here; in 1937, Stalin awarded himself and the
Bolshevik Party 99.3 percent of the vote for the Supreme Soviet.
But Nicaragua’s dictator Daniel Ortega is now dispensing
even with these electoral frauds. On July 19, the anniversary of the Sandinista
takeover in 1979, Ortega announced that elections in Nicaragua are coming to an
end. “There won’t be any more elections here for them to try to seize the
government and seize power,” Ortega said. “The days when parties backed by the
Yankees (United States) and the Somocistas would return to power are over —
never again!” The next formal step will be taken when his puppet parliament
cancels the scheduled November 2027 elections entirely.
Nicaragua is now a family dictatorship just like that of
the Kims in North Korea — or the Somoza family that the Sandinistas displaced
in 1979. Nicaragua today has two “co-presidents,” Ortega and his wife, Rosario
Murillo. Ortega is 80 and in poor health, so he and his wife changed the
constitution last year to assure that Murillo takes sole power when he dies.
And in the wings are their sons: Laureano, a “presidential adviser,” Rafael,
who heads the national oil company, Maurice, and Daniel, all under U.S.
sanctions for money laundering, each waiting for his turn. The only difference
between the Ortega family tyranny and that of the Kims in North Korea or the
Somozas is that they had phony elections and Ortega is dispensing with that
formality.
The overall human rights situation in Nicaragua is awful.
As Freedom House details in its latest (2025) report:
The 2006 election of Sandinista
leader Daniel Ortega began a period of democratic deterioration marked by the
consolidation of all branches of government under his party’s control, the
limitation of fundamental freedoms, and unchecked corruption in government. In
2018, state forces, with the aid of informally allied armed groups, responded
to a mass antigovernment movement with violence and repression. The rule of law
collapsed as the government moved to put down the movement, with rights
monitors reporting killings, extrajudicial detentions, disappearances, and
torture. Since then, Ortega’s regime has consolidated its power by engaging in
surveillance, curtailing press freedoms, arresting political opponents, sending
opposing voices into exile, and stripping away their citizenship.
The regime has jailed or expelled bishops and priests as
part of its repression of the Roman Catholic Church. As the Catholic news site Zenit put it,
The scale of the phenomenon is
striking. . . . 309 priests and religious sisters have been exiled, expelled,
or denied entry into Nicaragua in recent years; more than 95 percent of them
are Nicaraguan nationals. . . . The repression has also hollowed out diocesan
leadership. Four dioceses — Jinotega, Matagalpa, Estelí and Siuna — are
currently without their bishops in residence. . . . Carlos Herrera, Bishop of
Jinotega and president of the episcopal conference, was expelled in November
2024 after criticizing a local mayor aligned with the government who had
disrupted a Mass with loud music.
In 2024, the regime started banning public assemblies
celebrating Good Friday, Easter, and Lent.
The extremes of repression have soured even top
Sandinista leaders — including the longtime minister of defense, Daniel
Ortega’s brother Humberto. In May 2024, Humberto Ortega was arrested by
security forces and placed under house arrest after criticizing the regime in
an interview with a foreign press outlet. He died while under house arrest in
September 2024.
Venezuela and Cuba have gotten considerable attention
from the Trump administration, but Nicaragua much less so despite the deepening
dictatorship. These three countries represented the last leftist, anti-American
regimes in this hemisphere. With Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro in jail and his
regime either kowtowing to Trump’s instructions or (one hopes) moving toward
free elections, there are two to go.
Nicaragua should present an easier case than Cuba. Cuba
has not had multiparty elections since 1952, while Violeta Chamorro beat the
Sandinistas in a free election in Nicaragua in 1990. Nicaragua has not
experienced a Cuban-style regime until the last decade, making it easier to
restore both free elections and democratic institutions of government. The
state and Communist Party bureaucracies built by Fidel and Raúl Castro since
1959 do not exist in Nicaragua. Banned in Nicaragua but possible to restore are
the political parties and their leaders, plus journalists who worked in free
newspapers and TV stations. And the hundreds of opposition political leaders
expelled in the last decade can return home and take up their work again.
The moment for change may be approaching. Murillo
(sanctioned by the United States in 2018 for human rights abuses and
corruption) has been purging many of her husband’s closest advisers as well as
former Sandinista militants and public officials, part of her preparation to
rule alone. But that will leave her with a narrow base of support. When Daniel
dies or becomes incapacitated, it remains to be seen if she can seize all the
reins of power — becoming president and perhaps naming her sons as vice presidents
— and whether the military will go along with a family dictatorship.
The attention being given to Venezuela and Cuba is warranted, but Nicaragua’s future deserves the
Trump administration’s attention too — and merits a serious program to bring
down the Ortega-Murillo regime and restore legitimate, competitive democracy.
This can be the hemisphere of freedom and one where oppression does not create
massive refugee flows. Nicaraguans need U.S. encouragement and help to rid
themselves of a vicious, corrupt, and brutal regime, and U.S. policy for this
hemisphere should include another chance at freedom for Nicaragua.
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