By Matthew Schmitz
Monday, March 02, 2026
For more than four decades, Donald Trump has called for
invading Iran, seizing its oil, and preventing it from gaining a nuclear
weapon. You wouldn’t know this if you listened to some of Trump’s erstwhile
supporters. In the wake of his latest attack on Iran, they accuse him of
betraying the America First movement. “This isn’t stabbing Trump’s original
followers in the back. It’s stabbing them in the front,” says
American Conservative editor Curt Mills.
Trump has always taken a less idealistic approach to
foreign policy than do neoconservative interventionists or liberal
internationalists. He has frequently and opportunistically attacked his
opponents as warmongers. But his problem with “forever wars” was not that they
involved bloodshed; it was that they didn’t end in victory.
Trump’s Iran-hawk bona fides go back to 1980, when he
gave what the historians Charlie Laderman and Brendan Simms describe
as his “earliest recorded statement on foreign policy to a national audience.”
In an interview with NBC, Trump complained that the Iran
hostage crisis was a sign that America no longer commanded international
respect. His interviewer replied, “Obviously you’re advocating that we should
have gone in there with troops, et cetera, and brought our boys out like
Vietnam.” Trump replied: “I absolutely feel that, yes.”
Trump then worried aloud that the Iran-Iraq war could
develop into a larger conflict because the United States “is not more involved
in terms of setting policy in that area.” This interview set the pattern for
the coming decades.
In a 1987 speech in New Hampshire, Trump suggested,
in the words of The New York Times, that the United States should
“attack Iran and seize some of its oil fields in retaliation for … Iran’s
bullying of America.”
In 1988, Trump told
The Guardian, “I’d be harsh on Iran. They’ve been beating us
psychologically, making us look a bunch of fools. One bullet shot at one of our
men or ships and I’d do a number on Kharg Island,” an Iranian oil hub.
In 2000, Trump complained
again about how Jimmy Carter had handled Iran and said that as president he
would “believe very strongly in extreme military strength.”
In 2007, Trump said,
after being asked what he’d do if he were president, “First, I’d try and solve
the problems in the Middle East.”
In 2011, Trump told
Bill O’Reilly, “I wouldn’t let them have a nuke”—referring to Iran. He then
dismissed Barack Obama as a “weak president that kisses everybody’s ass.”
In 2020, after killing General Qasem Soleimani, Trump warned
that any retaliation from Iran would result in his hitting Iranian cultural
sites “very fast and very hard.”
In 2024, after intelligence officials told Trump that
Iran was attempting to assassinate him, Trump declared,
“An attack on a former President is a Death Wish for the attacker!”
Given this record, it isn’t exactly surprising that Trump
ordered strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites in 2025, or that he has now launched a
more ambitious attack on Iran.
It is true that Trump often presented
himself as the anti-war candidate. But just as frequently, he indicated his
readiness to use military force. He was more restrained in his first term than
he has been in his second, making it easier to see
him as a non-interventionist. And he brought into his second administration
several people identified with foreign-policy restraint. But his overall record
indicated a readiness to vindicate American honor and advance American
interests, rather than a rejection of foreign conflicts. Even as Trump claimed
to be the “president of peace,” he spoke
of achieving “peace through strength.”
It is understandable that non-interventionists are
disappointed in Trump. But many have gone further, accusing him of a radical
about-face brought about by undue influence from Israel. Both Dean
Baker, the establishment liberal economist, and Candace
Owens, the anti-establishment right-wing podcaster, have begun referring to
“Operation Epstein Fury.” Curt Mills says
that Trump has been “conned and bullied by Israeli hawks and Capitol Hill
neocons.”
But there was no need to con or bully Trump into a course
of action he was always ready to pursue. Trump’s actions should be blamed on—or
credited to—himself and his supporters, rather than any foreign country. Here
as elsewhere, talk of Israeli conspiracy has become a way for MAGA influencers
to explain away the gap between their claims about Trump during the campaign,
and his record since entering office.
Precisely because this war reflects Trump’s priorities,
it will be an important test for his vision of foreign policy. There are
reasons to doubt
the prudence of Trump’s latest move. But as Stephen Wertheim has noted,
the fact that Trump does not care about democracy promotion gives him greater
freedom of movement than George W. Bush enjoyed. Just as Trump’s actual foreign
policy views never constrained him from launching this attack, they may leave
him freer to bring it to an end.
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