By Noah Rothman
Friday, January 02, 2026
Events inside Iran have progressed rapidly since I wrote about them on Tuesday, just two days after a
new wave of anti-government demonstrations erupted on the streets of Iran’s
major cities.
Indeed, to call this outpouring of hostility toward the
mullahs a “protest” movement would be to downplay its significance.
That doesn’t look like an expression of political dissent
that can be mollified through dialogue with the clerical establishment. The
speed with which the demonstrations evolved into an outright insurrection
justifies the fear that gripped the Iranian political class at the
unrest’s outset.
Today, President Donald Trump acknowledged the growing
crisis inside Iran, and he sided definitively with the anti-establishment
forces in the streets.
“If Iran shots [sic] and violently kills peaceful
protesters, which is their custom, the United States of America will come to
their rescue,” read a presidential note posted to social media. “We are
locked and loaded and ready to go.”
No one knows what that means. Iranian security forces are
already deploying force against the country’s dissidents — some of it lethal. The Iranian regime has not acknowledged
the civilian deaths that human rights groups have highlighted at the hands of
security forces, but it has noted that at least one
member of the hated Basij militia was killed during a crowd suppression
operation. That suggests the demonstrators are giving as good as they’re
getting.
Those who were seduced by the notion that “peace through
strength” compels America to retreat from the world stage lamented
the president’s commitment to support the aspirations of freedom-loving
Iranians — as though that support manifests solely in bombs and bullets. Yet,
as the Wall Street Journal’s editors observed, facilitating
the efforts from average Iranians to take their country back can take many
forms.
It “can mean restoring internet access when the regime
cuts it off, unmasking regime thugs, and much more,” the Journal observed.
Trump could implement congressional legislation holding Iranian officials
accountable for their human rights abuses. The president might even enforce
sanctions targeting Iran’s energy sector “with even half the vigor the U.S. has
lately displayed against Venezuela.”
Those inside the president’s orbit who fear the
unintended consequences of U.S. action more than those that flow from American
lethargy are, as ever, trepidatious. That fear often prompts prudential
thinkers to tacitly endorse the devil they know. But the United States is not
and should not be invested in the preservation of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
For nearly a half century, the regime in Tehran has hunted and
killed Americans. It has sidled up alongside every anti-American regime on
earth, frustrating Washington’s initiatives along the way. The mullahs have
carried out assassination plots on American soil, sponsored the destabilizing
activities of anti-American activists inside the country, and exported
state-sponsored terrorism across the globe. The collapse of this regime at the
hands of its oppressed people would usher in an era of uncertainty, but it
would be an era in which the unique malevolence of the Iranian theocracy has
passed into history.
Fortunately, the president is confident enough to take
America’s side in a fight, and in the process he is rectifying Barack Obama’s admitted mistakes. Perhaps this uprising
will be brutally crushed, just as the many that preceded this moment were. The
mullahs, though, should not have an easy go of it.
The desperate hardships that forced Iranians into the
streets are the result of maladministration as much as they are the intended
consequences of the crippling sanctions America and its allies have imposed on
the regime in Tehran. The ongoing events in Iran today are the logical
consequence of those policies. America should have the stomach to see its own
policy preferences through to fruition.
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