By Thomas Chatterton Williams
Thursday, November 07, 2024
There is no single explanation for Donald Trump’s
unambiguous win. But if, as we were constantly told, this was in fact the most
important election of our lives, in which the future of democracy really was at
stake, Democrats never conducted themselves that way.
It was an egregious mistake—not just in retrospect but in
real time—to allow Joe Biden to renege on his implicit promise to be a one-term
president, and to indulge his vain refusal to clear the way for younger and
more charismatic leaders to rise up and meet the magnitude of the political
moment. Perhaps no candidate, not even one blessed with the talents of a Bill
Clinton or a Barack Obama, could have overcome the handicap imposed on Kamala
Harris when she emerged valiantly from the wreckage of the Weekend at
Bernie’s campaign this summer, which her own administration had so brazenly
tried to sneak past the voting public.
But other major mistakes were made over the past four
years. The Biden presidency was understood to be a return to normalcy and
competence after the terrible upheavals of the early months of COVID and the
circus of the first Trump administration. That was the deal Americans thought
had been accepted—that was Biden’s mandate. Instead, as president, even as he
leaned into plenty of policies that served all Americans, Biden either could
not or would not forcefully distance himself from the Democratic Party’s need
for performative “wokeness”—the in-group messaging used by hyper-online and
overeducated progressives that consistently alienates much of the rest of the
nation.
Here’s one narrow but meaningful example: On day
one—January 20, 2021—the Biden administration released an “Executive Order on
Preventing and Combating Discrimination on the Basis of Gender Identity or
Sexual Orientation.” The order said that “children should be able to learn
without worrying about whether they will be denied access to the restroom, the
locker room, or school sports.” Supporters argued that the order was simply
pledging that the administration would enforce previously established legal protections
for LGBTQ people, but critics saw it differently. As the author Abigail Shrier wrote on Twitter:
“Biden unilaterally eviscerates women’s sports. Any educational institution
that receives federal funding must admit biologically-male athletes to women’s
teams, women’s scholarships, etc. A new glass ceiling was just placed over
girls.”
In signaling their commitment to an extreme and debatable
idea of trans rights, Democrats hemorrhaged other constituencies. Many
Americans of all races care
about girls’ sports and scholarships, and they believe that protecting women’s
rights and flourishing doesn’t begin and end at safeguarding their access to an
abortion.
Out of this larger context, Harris entered the final
stretch of the campaign already compromised. Republicans seized on her previous
comments in support of progressive proposals such as defunding
the police (which she later renounced). But it was more than culture-war
flash points. Fair or not, many Americans didn’t believe Harris deserved to be
vice president in the first place. This is in large part the fault of her boss,
who stated up front before selecting her that he would prefer a vice president
“who was of color and/or a different gender.” It was a slightly less blunt
version of what he said before appointing Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson—that
the job was only ever available to a Black woman. Harris’s very presence within
the Biden administration therefore, to many onlookers, amounted to a kind of
glaring evidence of precisely the kind of DEI hiring practices they intended to
repudiate on Tuesday.
Voters’ response was definitive. According to a New
York Times
analysis, “Of the counties with nearly complete results, more than 90
percent shifted in favor of former President Donald J. Trump in the 2024
presidential election.” That is to say, Trump improved with every single racial
group across the country except one. He performed slightly better with Black
voters overall (13 percent voted for him this time, according to exit
polls, compared with 12 percent in
2020), and significantly better with everyone else—particularly Latinos, 46
percent
of whom gave him their vote. He received an outright majority of ballots from
voters marking the “other” box—a first for Republicans—and his party reclaimed
the Senate and looks poised to hold on to the House. All told, the only racial
group among whom Trump lost any support at all turned out to be white people,
whose support for him dropped by a percentage point.
Were Trump not such a singularly polarizing, unlikeable,
and authoritarian figure, one of the most salient and—when glimpsed from a
certain angle—even optimistic takeaways from this election would be the
improbable multiracial and working-class coalition he managed to assemble. This
is what Democrats (as well as independents and conservatives who oppose Trump)
must reckon with if they are ever going to counter the all-inclusive nihilism
and recklessness of the new MAGA majority. Much attention has been paid to the
gender gap in voting, and it’s true that more men voted for Trump than women.
But the fact that so many citizens of all geographies and skin tones wanted to
see Democrats pay a price, not just for policy differences but also for the
party’s yearslong indulgence of so many deeply unpopular academic and activist
perspectives, must be taken seriously.
“The losses among Latinos is nothing short of
catastrophic for the party,” Representative
Ritchie Torres of the Bronx told The New York Times. Torres, an Afro
Latino Democrat, won a third term on Tuesday. He criticized the Democrats for
being beholden to “a college-educated far left that is in danger of causing us
to fall out of touch with working-class voters.”
Yet I fear that far too many elite Democrats will direct
their ire and scrutiny outward, and dismiss the returns as the result of sexism
and racism alone. In an Election Night monologue on MSNBC, the anchor Joy Reid
expressed this mentality perfectly. Anyone who knows America, she said,
“cannot have believed that it would be easy to elect a woman president, let
alone a woman of color.” Her panel of white colleagues nodded solemnly. “This
really was an historic, flawlessly run campaign,” Reid continued. “Queen
Latifah never endorses anyone—she came out and endorsed! She had every
prominent celebrity voice. She had the Swifties; she had the Beyhive. You could
not have run a better campaign.”
Over on X, Nikole Hannah-Jones, the creator of The New
York Times Magazine’s “1619 Project,” wrote that we “must not delude
ourselves”: “Since this nation’s inception large swaths of white
Americans—including white women—have claimed a belief in democracy while
actually enforcing a white ethnocracy.”
Moments after North Carolina was called for Trump, Reid
diagnosed what went wrong for Harris: White women, she said, didn’t come
through; it was “the second opportunity that white women in this country have
to change the way that they interact with the patriarchy,” and they had failed
the test again. On X, commentators immediately jumped on the blame-white-women
bandwagon, as if it was an evergreen obituary they all had on file, ready to
post within a moment’s notice.
Reflexive responses like these exemplify the binary
framing of culture and politics in the United States—white/nonwhite,
racist/anti-racist—that ascended with the death of Trayvon Martin in 2012 and
peaked after the racial reckoning of 2020. For many on the left, it has proved
a powerful and compelling means of contextualizing enduring legacies of
inequality and discrimination that are rooted in past oppressions. And it has
notched real successes, especially by forcing the country to confront bias in
the criminal-justice system and policing. But it has also become a casualty of
its own discursive dominance—an intellectual and rhetorical straitjacket that
prohibits even incisive thinkers from dealing with the ever-evolving complexity
of contemporary American society. As a result, it has taught far too many
highly compensated pundits, administrators, scholars, and activists that they
never have to look inward.
But the framing didn’t work for many other people. “I’m
thankful that victimhood didn’t win as a strategy,” one of my oldest and
closest friends, a Black man who doesn’t have a college degree, messaged me
after Trump’s victory. (It is worth noting that his twin brother, a veteran,
turned MAGA during the racial reckoning.) If we are to listen to what
enormous numbers of our compatriots—including unprecedented numbers of newly
minted nonwhite GOP voters—are trying to tell us, the straitjacket proved
decisive in their shift rightward.
All of us who reject the vision of America that Trumpism
is offering are going to have to do something grander than merely counter a
vulgar celebrity demagogue who commands a potent populist movement. It is too
late for that anyway. We are going to have to reimagine the inner workings of
the multiethnic society we already inhabit. The stale politics of identity that
tries to reduce even the glaringly inconvenient fact of Trump’s multiracial
alliance to “white women” stands in the way of overcoming the real democratic
crisis.
Harris herself knows this. When Trump attempted to goad
her, mockingly pondering whether she was even Black at all, she shrewdly
avoided appealing to superficial categories. In this crucial way, her campaign
may be viewed as an unequivocal success, one that we can learn from.
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