By Seth Mandel
Wednesday, August 14, 2024
Benjamin Netanyahu has been so universally condemned for
allegedly holding up hostage negotiations that I assumed there must have
been something to the accusations. But alas, I have relearned
an important lesson about assuming.
A trio of New York Times reporters have obtained
documents relating to the Israel-Hamas “ceasefire” talks. These papers include
the Israeli premier’s demands and counteroffers, with the intent to prove that,
as the
headline has it, “Israel Was Less Flexible in Recent Gaza Cease-Fire Talks,
Documents Show.”
Yet the facts of the story show Bibi to be completely
reasonable, even according to his own frustrated hostage negotiators who have
been painting him as intransigent in the press for months. The Biden-Harris
administration, hellbent on portraying Israel as the problem, looks silly here
as well.
Here’s the build-up: “Mr. Netanyahu has, in fact, added
new conditions to Israel’s demands, additions that his own negotiators fear
have created extra obstacles to a deal. According to unpublished documents
reviewed by The New York Times that detail Israel’s negotiating positions,
Israel relayed a list of new stipulations in late July to American, Egyptian
and Qatari mediators that added less flexible conditions to a set of principles
it had made in late May.”
And here’s the try-not-to-laugh payoff, beginning a full
20 paragraphs into the story:
For months, Israel said it would
agree to a cease-fire only if its soldiers could screen the returning
Palestinians for weapons as they moved from southern to northern Gaza.
Then, in its May proposal, Israel
softened that demand. While its position paper still stated that the returnees
should not be “carrying arms while returning,” it removed the explicit
requirement that Israeli forces screen them for weapons. That made the policy
seem more symbolic than enforceable, prompting Hamas to agree to it.
Israel’s July letter revived the
question of enforcement, stating that the screening of people returning to the
north would need to be “implemented in an agreed upon manner.”
So Netanyahu’s “demand” was that returnees be checked for
weapons by some mutually agreed-upon process, with Hamas’s full consent.
Frankly I am surprised Netanyahu is being that flexible
about checking returnees. The only reason Hamas would oppose including an even
symbolic method of ensuring that returnees cannot be armed is that members of
Hamas will be “returning” to northern Gaza along with the residents. That’s
it—that’s the only reason. Hamas doesn’t want arms it cannot control in the
hands of Palestinians who do not answer to it. Bibi’s demand is that Hamas at
least agree on paper to an actual ceasefire, knowing full well that in any deal
there would be holes a Hamasnik can drive a jeep through.
Speaking of which. Another sticking point in the
negotiations appears to be whether Israel will abdicate its stewardship of a
tunnel system Hamasniks have been driving jeeps through. In May, the Times
writes, Israel “had suggested” it would withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor.
Yet now, Netanyahu wants to keep IDF troops in the vicinity of this piece of
the Gaza-Egypt border. What gives?
Well, a lot can happen in three months. Since that May
proposal, Israel has discovered—and made public its discovery, which is key—of
two dozen smuggling tunnels running under that part of the border with Egypt.
The IDF even released a photo of a military truck driving through one. These
tunnels are for moving weapons, terrorists, and supplies from Egypt to Gaza.
They are quite literally Hamas’s lifelines.
The discovery of these tunnels was not necessarily
surprising, but they do represent a black eye for Egypt, which has now been
revealed to have been keeping Hamas alive and enabling it to keep the region at
war. Now that the public is aware of the Egypt-Hamas collusion along the
border, to whom should Israel hand off control of that crossing? Egypt? Hamas?
It sounds like a rhetorical question.
Lastly, there’s this: “Senior Israeli officials familiar
with the latest negotiations, as well as leaders in Israel’s security forces,
agree in principle with Mr. Netanyahu that it would be better to maintain
checkpoints to screen people for weapons. But they also believe that it is not
worth holding up a deal over this point, and want Mr. Netanyahu to back down
ahead of the planned meeting on Thursday.”
So: Netanyahu—according to the negotiators who have been
criticizing him to the press—is correct on the particulars, but they want him
to back down anyway. That’s a legitimate position: They acknowledge the
security threat the deal would pose but they believe the harm is outweighed by
what Israel would be getting in return.
That calculation is at the heart of every such deal
Israel makes with its enemies. Netanyahu himself has made such deals—most
notably, the one in which October 7 mastermind Yahya Sinwar was freed. Perhaps
that experience has made Netanyahu more hesitant to dismiss the security
ramifications of these tradeoffs. But let’s be clear that that tradeoff is what
we’re discussing, not some imagined intransigence by the prime minister.
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