By Jonah Goldberg
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
For reasons that will baffle my many detractors, I am
often asked for advice about being an opinion journalist. One of my standard
responses is: You have to be willing to disappoint your biggest fans.
What I mean is that if you start to see your job as
telling fans what they want to hear, you risk becoming an entertainer rather
than a thinker, and eventually you become a caricature. I’ve seen it happen
numerous times. Patrick Buchanan was a brilliant columnist and a serious
person. But over the course of his career, he listened too much to the people
who said, “Go Pat, go!” and too little to friends who said, “I think that’s
taking it too far.”
In journalism—or what passes for it—you can see the same
arc most acutely in talk radio and TV hosts, who define their roles as telling
the audience what it wants to hear rather than what it needs to hear. In the
early Trump era, many prominent pundits were fairly conventional conservatives.
When the audience veered toward populism and MAGA, the hosts followed the
advice widely attributed to the 19th-century French politician,
Alexandre Auguste Ledru-Rollin: “There go the people, I must follow them, for I
am their leader.” (In fairness, he didn’t say it; critics ascribed it to him.)
But the most dangerous realm for this dynamic isn’t
political journalism. It’s politics. Politicians often get captured by their
true-believing base. It’s most commonly seen among “conviction” politicians,
who make a name for themselves on a single issue or idea. Congressman and
Secretary of State William Jennings Bryan’s deep populist support was enough to
earn him the Democratic nomination three times (1896, 1900, and 1908), but his
support wasn’t wide enough to ever win.
Segregationists like George Wallace, socialists like
Norman Thomas, and even Buchanan himself offer similar examples of the problem.
Sarah Palin, Bernie Sanders, Kari Lake, and Ron Paul provide more recent
cautionary tales.
One of the key problems is ego. Politicians see huge
crowds or read favorable media coverage and assume their people are the
people. In the U.K., socialist Labor politician Jeremy Corbyn was wildly
popular among people who liked Jeremy Corbyn. He brought his superfans into the
party, but his superfans didn’t represent the broader electorate or even the
traditional rank-and-file who fled the party in droves.
At a campaign event for Lake’s 2022 bid for an Arizona
U.S. Senate seat, she asked the crowd, “We don’t have any McCain Republicans in
here, do we? All right, get the hell out.” John McCain was one of the most
dominant political figures in Arizona, winning six back-to-back Senate
elections. Thinking that she didn’t need support from Republicans, or the
Democrats and independents who voted for McCain, was a pristine example of
mistaking intensity of support for quantity of support.
But I started with journalism to illustrate a point.
Jesse Watters, a reliable water carrier for President Trump, is Fox News’ most popular primetime host, averaging about 2.7 million viewers per night. That means
on any given night, roughly 346 million Americans aren’t watching. But if
you’re Trump, you might think Watters is representative of the American people.
Now Watters’ audience does matter, not least because GOP
primary voters and small donors are undoubtedly more likely to watch. And
because of idiotic “reforms” to our system, many politicians now care more
about the primary electorate than the general electorate, because the greatest
threat to incumbency is in party primaries. Also, primaries are what matter for
the nomination.
The result: Politicians orient themselves to small,
intense slices of the electorate. This polarizing dynamic is further
intensified by social media. Politicians and activists mistake the “vibes” of X
and TikTok for the real world. They become intensely “online” and responsive to
the feedback they’re fed by social media algorithms.
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth recently told Jack
Posobiec, the exceedingly online conspiracy theorist and right-wing troll, that
the Pentagon would livestream the execution by firing squad of Nidal Hasan, the
Fort Hood shooter. I have no issue with Hasan being executed, but a
livestreamed execution of a wheelchair-bound man is grotesque. Hegseth, who is
reportedly contemplating a presidential run, cares about appearing strong and
manly to Posobiec and his audience. Posobiec, if you didn’t know, is an open superfan of Spanish dictator Francisco Franco, hosting “Franco Fridays” on his podcast.
It seems that Hegseth’s pandering to a tiny sliver of the
electorate won’t yield a political snuff film. Even Trump and J.D. Vance are
leery of the idea.
But, who knows, maybe if Watters starts pushing it,
they’ll change their minds.
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